3Massachusetts: the fanbase's identity shifting.
Joe Harasymiak begins his tenure with a 0-12 losing record to confront — UMass is playing for the version of itself that gets invited to the conversation.
3Joe Harasymiak begins his tenure with a 0-12 losing record to confront — UMass is playing for the version of itself that gets invited to the conversation.
UMass spent nearly a decade as a homeless independent and just rejoined a conference — and the first season back, a winless one, was less a verdict than the price of finally having somewhere to climb from.
Outsiders ask why UMass is even at this level — and the fanbase answers that running football at a flagship has always meant explaining itself to people who'd rather it disappear, and showing up anywa…
Approaching
28 days
until kickoff · at Rutgers · Thu Sep 3 · 22:00 UTC
UMass is playing for the version of itself that gets invited to the conversation.
The team returns 76% of its roster but faces challenges in EDGE and OT positions, while recruiting ranks #116 with a depth-class reload strategy.
UMass plays for the rung above itself. The off-season is where that gets built.
the open questioncan a new staff change the trajectory?
Joe Harasymiak inherits a 0-12 program with 76% production returning — UMass's fourth coach in five seasons now faces the task of proving its identity.
William Watson III (QB) arrives at UMass as the headline addition in a top-2 MAC portal class — Harasymiak's first step toward escaping 0-12.
Massachusetts enters 2026 — top-quintile returning production contrasts with a 0-12 record, and Joe Harasymiak’s first season will define whether UMass reclaims the version of itself that earns respect in FBS.
Joe Harasymiak begins his tenure with a 0-12 losing record to confront — UMass is playing for the version of itself that gets invited to the conversation.
Elijah Faulkner sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline -- the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.
Joe Harasymiak begins his tenure with a 0-12 losing record to confront, as UMass plays for the version of itself that gets invited to the conversation.
Donnie Gray: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
Jacquon Gibson: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
Massachusetts: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
QB Logan Inagawa transfer commits from Drake
Pioneer League quarterback to MAC — Inagawa is competition for the QB1 picture, not a presumed starter.
Top 3 commits
Market outlook
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
UMass · Next-Season Outcome Band
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
Joe Harasymiak took over as Massachusetts's head coach, replacing Shane Montgomery. It is the program's third head coach in five seasons. The hire has receded from the front page. The roster and recruiting pipeline are the real measure now. The discourse has moved on; what's left is the quiet work of building something.
The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
Only 1 of 553 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
Board health this week (56 posts): 9% positive · 84% neutral · 7% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Massachusetts signed a top-62 transfer-portal class — 35 additions headlined by Brandon Rose (QB) from Utah and Grant Jordan (QB) from Yale. It is a top-2 portal class in the Mid-American this cycle. Portal pickups don't redshirt. The coverage sees this as a targeted, ready-to-contribute class built for snap competition, not depth-chart filler. The coverage reads this as a credible, targeted haul.
The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.
The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
This event was in 29 of 553 board posts (5%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (56 posts): 9% positive · 84% neutral · 7% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Zero of five. Reset territory.
Opens Sep 3
vs Rutgers · away
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
MA leads the 2026 class with 3 commits. National footprint reaching 14 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
53 signees across 22 states, 2023-2026. FL leads the pull.
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
6 games with TV coverage: 2 cable, 1 conference network, 3 streaming
Kickoff windows: 1 afternoon, 5 primetime
62% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — well above the ~49% league baseline.
5 of 8 forced fumbles recovered; 5 of 12 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2025 only.
15% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~19% league average.
2 interceptions of 13 disrupted passes (11 deflected, 2 intercepted), 2025 only.
62 penalties committed, 56 drawn on opponents — a near-even trade all season.
497 penalty yards committed vs. 511 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Fanbase Signals
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 9 corners
One voice
Every cohort from the die-hards to the analytics crowd lands within 0.00 of each other — a rare consensus. The loudest voice in the room:
And with that, Hustle Belt comes to a close
hustlebelt.com →The room, end to end
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
~ our readMassachusetts fans are split right down the middle, with almost nothing concrete behind it yet.
✓ counted We read 56 posts from Massachusetts fans this week.
Fanbase divided: 56% believers, 44% skeptics
Fan opinions split nearly 50/50 right now · See all divided fanbases →
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Fanbase Health Index · UMass · high confidence
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · -0.04 EPA/play | 8 | 10 | 107 / 216 | 49.5 | 957 | 4.4 | 4 | 4 | 89.2 | 29.2 | 3.3 | 6.1 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 97 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt4.6 bottom 1th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like our readthe one real worry is the accuracy — bottom 2% of FBS quarterbacks in completion rate. | |||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · +0.03 EPA/play | 9 | 7 | 63 / 110 | 57.3 | 595 | 5.4 | 3 | 2 | 108.1 | 38.8 | 4.0 | 9.1 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt5.8 bottom 10th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate1.8% 73th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Grant Jordan's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · -0.06 EPA/play | 1 | 6 | 52 / 88 | 59.1 | 424 | 4.8 | 1 | 3 | 96.5 | 19.2 | 2.8 | 5.4 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. 97 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt5.2 bottom 4th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry0.1 bottom 22th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brandon Rose's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.01 EPA/play | 26 | 12 | 98 | 368 | 3.8 | 2 | 90 | 13.5 | 9 | 27.7 | 8.9 | 4.9% (18/366) | |
Yards by week → Balanced Back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry4.2 bottom 17th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate2.0% bottom 20th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brandon Hood's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · -0.00 EPA/play | 24 | 9 | 53 | 245 | 4.6 | 2 | 43 | 8.1 | 7.6 | 19.3 | 8.8 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · junior View Rocko Griffin's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · -0.26 EPA/play | 23 | 10 | 40 | 114 | 2.9 | 0 | 14 | 2.8 | 3.4 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry3.8 bottom 10th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Elijah Faulkner's full player page | |||||||||||||
| -0.02 EPA/play | 28 | 10 | 26 | 101 | 3.9 | 0 | 27 | 8.6 | 3.4 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.16 EPA/play | 2 | 9 | 63 | 616 | 9.8 | 0 | 50 | 16.7 | 24.6 | 27.6% (101/366) | |
Yards by week → Slot Technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume63 94th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score went from the 28th percentile among FBS WRs to the 72nd | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.23 EPA/play | 12 | 11 | 27 | 260 | 9.6 | 0 | 41 | 8.8 | 9.1 | 13.9% (51/366) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception7.7 bottom 7th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint View Donnie Gray's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.45 EPA/play | 11 | 10 | 20 | 199 | 9.9 | 3 | 77 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 8.7% (32/366) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception6.8 bottom 12th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate15.0% 77th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Max Dowling's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.02 EPA/play | 7 | 7 | 16 | 144 | 9 | 0 | 21 | 8.3 | 8 | 5.7% (21/366) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception7.8 bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.0 bottom 4th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jake McConnachie's full player page | |||||||||||
| Move TE · +0.54 EPA/play | 83 | 6 | 9 | 133 | 14.8 | 1 | 51 | 3 | 5.2 | 4.1% (15/366) | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. 34 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception14.8 86th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume9 bottom 14th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Reece Adkins's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · -0.08 EPA/play | 5 | 8 | 13 | 113 | 8.7 | 0 | 18 | 6.9 | 6.4 | 7.4% (27/366) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception9.7 bottom 17th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)-0.1 bottom 2th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Tyree Kelly's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.18 EPA/play | — | 7 | 17 | 104 | 6.1 | 0 | 22 | 4.1 | 4.7 | 6.3% (23/366) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception6.8 bottom 5th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kenyon Massey's full player page | |||||||||||
| -0.23 EPA/play | 14 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 12.2 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 4.4% (16/366) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| -0.37 EPA/play | 86 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 5.4 | 0 | 16 | 1.8 | 2.3 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | — | 10 | 78 | 27 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate1.3% bottom 8th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Derrieon Craig's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 16 | 11 | 43 | 17 | 10.5 | 5 | 3 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate24.4% 85th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 9 | 10 | 42 | 18 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate10.7% bottom 34th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View David Onuoha's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 1 | 9 | 35 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Malcolm Greene's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 49 | 9 | 32 | 8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate1.6% bottom 9th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Shambre Jackson's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 11 | 10 | 27 | 9 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate9.3% bottom 29th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readBounce-Back: his CFB Index score shows a real arc: 68th percentile among FBS IDLs, fell to 45th, now back up to 73rd | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 29 | 8 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate4.5% bottom 15th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Zach Farris's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 91 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Shymell Davis's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 10 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Zukudo Igwenagu's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 15 | 6 | 15 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate10.0% bottom 31th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Aquan Robinson's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 90 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tim Passmore Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 33 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Erik Hehl's full player page | |||||||
| 54 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 5 | 11 | 97 | 34 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume97 95th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate3.1% bottom 19th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score climbed from the 11th percentile to the 69th among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 44 | 7 | 69 | 20 | 49 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume69 74th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate5.8% bottom 31th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score climbed from the 1st percentile to the 75th among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 19 | 9 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume51 50th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 18th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Rashad Henry's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 30 | 6 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-SidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 102 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 77th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Donovan Dyson's full player page | |||||||||
| 52 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 22 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 38 | 9 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume75 94th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Zeraun Daniel's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 3 | 11 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume58 78th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kendall Bournes's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 6 | 10 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · junior · 3-star, 2022 class View Jeremiah McGill's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 12 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Press CornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 43 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'2" 87th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Brennen Bailey's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 24 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cover CornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 141 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Kamren Watkins-Hunter's full player page | |||||||
| 20 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 99 | 11 | 9/15 | 60 | 12/14 | 39 | 53 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cannon | 98 | 12 | 69 | 3211 | 46.5 | 66 | 26 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 1.8 | 0 | 5 | |
| Possession Receiver · +0.18 EPA/play | — | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0.8 | 0 | 8 |
2025 stat leaders
finalRoster
2025+17 more
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #134 | #79 | +1.5 | Temple | L 10–42 128 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #142 | #235 | -16.5 | Bryant | L 26–27 67 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #165 | #31 | +35.5 | @Iowa | L 7–47 120 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #162 | #17 | +44.5 | @Missouri | L 6–42 138 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #166 | #78 | +12.5 | Western Michigan | L 3–21 129 | 0-5 | 0-1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #198 | #244 | +1.5 | @Kent State | L 6–42 141 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #233 | #101 | +16.5 | Buffalo | L 21–28 143 | 0-7 | 0-3 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #228 | #112 | +17.5 | @Central Michigan | L 13–38 143 | 0-8 | 0-4 |
| 11 | Nov 5 | #235 | #159 | +11.5 | @Akron | L 10–44 123 | 0-9 | 0-5 |
| 12 | Nov 13 | #248 | #203 | +9.5 | Northern Illinois | L 3–45 130 | 0-10 | 0-5 |
| 13 | Nov 19 | #263 | #66 | +34.5 | @Ohio | L 14–42 132 | 0-11 | 0-6 |
| 14 | Nov 25 | #262 | #194 | +14.5 | Bowling Green | L 14–45 121 | 0-12 | 0-7 |
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25 | Bowling Green | L 14–45 | 292 | 1 | 27:25 | +0.119 | 41.5% | 114.4% | Blowout loss |
| Nov 19 | @Ohio | L 14–42 | 215 | 3 | 27:17 | -0.088 | 27.5% | 140.1% | Blowout loss |
| Nov 13 | Northern Illinois | L 3–45 | 262 | 1 | 26:19 | +0.036 | 36.2% | 124.6% | Blowout loss |
| Nov 5 | @Akron | L 10–44 | 169 | 3 | 24:47 | -0.061 | 32.7% | 94.4% | Blowout loss |
| Oct 25 | @Central Michigan | L 13–38 | 292 | 1 | 22:07 | -0.155 | 27.8% | 119.5% | |
| Oct 18 | Buffalo | L 21–28 | 306 | 0 | 25:40 | +0.154 | 28.3% | 179.4% | Most explosive |
| Oct 11 | @Kent State | L 6–42 | 271 | 2 | 30:31 | -0.148 | 32.9% | 103.0% | Blowout loss |
| Oct 4 | Western Michigan | L 3–21 | 260 | 1 | 27:34 | -0.215 | 32.8% | 108.5% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 27 | @Missouri | L 6–42 | 124 | 1 | 21:17 | -0.070 | 23.5% | 126.6% | Blowout loss |
| Sep 13 | @Iowa | L 7–47 | 119 | 0 | 27:56 | -0.146 | 36.0% | 68.3% | Blowout loss |
| Sep 6 | Bryant | L 26–27 | 358 | 1 | 36:05 | +0.182 | 45.8% | 121.0% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Aug 30 | Temple | L 10–42 | 302 | 2 | 26:14 | -0.067 | 31.1% | 120.0% | Defense's roughest night |
| Season average (12 games) | 248 | 1.3 | -0.038 | 33.0% | 118.3% | ||||
Massachusetts fields a struggling pass-first offense behind a porous, bend-don't-break defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 0th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 0th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
5th percentile success on standard downs, 9th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
1st-half offense ranks 16th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 1st — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is -0.04; 3rd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.02. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.06 raw vs. -0.01 adjusted.
UMass reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 8%) and rushing epa allowed (top 75%); the crux lives in epa / play, where UMass sits at the 0th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Most Similar Programs · UMass
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · UMass · 2018-present
21% home win rate vs 6% on the road. margin runs +16.4 better at home. Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium seats 17,000, averaging 62% full (10,605 attendance, 23 games reported).
Positional competition · RB room
Brandon Hood and Rocko Griffin split the carries (100/157 vs 57/157) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Rocko Griffin produces in bigger chunks.
Positional competition · WR/TE room
Jacquon Gibson (WR) and Max Dowling (TE) split the targets (101/132 vs 31/132) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
What changed
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 23 points. The rest held closer to steady.
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 23 points. The rest held closer to steady.
63°F average kickoff temp; 6% of games had measurable precipitation; 10 mph average wind.
Based on 64 home games with weather data.
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
UMass's 2014–2025 record is 24-112. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
Week-by-week rivalry heat isn't tracked yet for this matchup — check back as the 2026-27 season approaches and real fan-intel signal accumulates.
Who's more worked up right now
Cross-fanbase rivalry sentiment for this matchup hasn't been measured yet this week — both sides show as neutral until real signal comes in.
THE LAST 5 · year-by-year
All-Time Record
since 1882 · 90 seasons · .342 win rate
UMass went 0-12 in its first full MAC season back. The fanbase still showed up to McGuirk, still sang Rise as One, still answered the question everyone keeps asking about whether a flagship research university should be running an FBS program. The answer, as always, was yes.
The 1998 national championship — Mark Whipple's team, the I-AA title in its last year before the FCS rebranding — is the compass the program still navigates by. UMass knows what it looks like to win at the top of a level. The argument since the 2012 FBS move has been which level, and at what cost. Nine years as a homeless independent, playing road games that amounted to paid losses with no stakes and no standings, were the price of the ambition. The MAC return in 2025 was the first real structure in a decade.
The first season back was a winless one. Joe Harasymiak's debut year, 0-12, the program's bleakest record since making the FBS leap. But the framing matters: this was a roster being rebuilt from the ground up, a staff in its first year, a program playing real conference games for the first time since 2015. The floor was found. Harasymiak is back for year two with the same case every honest rebuild makes — the ladder is now visible, and the bottom rung is a conference win.
The 2026 question for UMass is not whether the program belongs in the MAC. It already answered that by rejoining. The question is whether the second-year roster can win the game that hasn't been won yet in this era — a MAC conference victory, the first step toward bowl eligibility, a height the program has never reached since going FBS. One win turns the story from endurance to progress. That's the only referendum that matters this fall.
Harasymiak's UMass plays identity-forward, grounded football at a small-stadium venue that creates genuine intimacy for a program structurally honest about the FBS revenue gap. The Minutemen are built through the portal and the walk-on pipeline at a flagship institution, playing for conference stakes the independent years never offered. The register is Pioneer Valley-specific: serious about the level without performing the part, allergic to being framed as a charming upset story.
UMass 2016–2025. Holding the line. The 10-year slope (+0.00 rungs / yr) doesn't tilt either way — the program lives at roughly Tier 1.
12 seasons on file
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 0-12
UMass: Below .500 in FBS play. The rebuild bar.
Mid-American Standing · 2025
UMass is 13th of 13 in the Mid-American at 0-7. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on bowl access and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western Michigan | 7-1 |
| 2 | Ohio | 5-2 |
| 3 | Toledo | 5-2 |
| 4 | Central Michigan | 5-3 |
| 5 | Miami (OH) | 5-3 |
| 6 | Akron | 4-4 |
| 7 | Buffalo | 4-4 |
| 8 | Ball State | 3-4 |
| 9 | Kent State | 3-4 |
| 10 | Eastern Michigan | 2-5 |
| 11 | Bowling Green | 2-6 |
| 12 | Sacramento State | 0-0 |
| 13 | Massachusetts | 0-7 |
Coaching Era · UMass
Joe Harasymiak in year 2 of the rebuild. The methodology is taking shape.
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
since 1972
Replica 1775-era cannon fired by the UMass Pep Band (the Power and Class Marching Band). The cannon connects the program identity to the Massachusetts Minutemen — the Revolutionary War militia the program is named for. Less famous than Texas's Smokey or Tennessee's tradition equivalents, but cleanly tied to regional history.
since 1880s
The marching band's nickname IS the program identity phrase — 'Power and Class' is what UMass calls itself when defining the institution against bigger-program comparisons. Distinct in that the band branding flows back to the football program, not the reverse. Smaller than Big Ten band productions; precise.
since 1970s
Sometimes called 'My UMass' — the fight song variations have shifted with conference moves (Yankee Conference → MAC → independent → Sun Belt). Less iconic than SEC or Big Ten fight songs because UMass football's conference identity has been less stable. The song persists; the affiliation shifts around it.
since 1972
Costumed mascot — colonial-era militiaman with tricorn hat and musket. Distinct from generic mascots because the figure references actual historical UMass identity (the state's Revolutionary War heritage). Sam's musket is a costume prop, not functional. The mascot was redesigned in the 2000s to look less aggressive — more historical-reenactor than menacing.
since 2024 (Mark Whipple return era branding refresh)
'Flagship' is UMass's branding for being the flagship campus of the University of Massachusetts system. Used in recruiting, signage, marketing. Frames UMass football as the football program that represents an entire state university system. Less a ritual than an institutional positioning the program adopted post-FBS-transition.
Program memory
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
Whipple's UMass wins the I-AA title
2012
UMass moves up to the FBS — ambition that traded a conference home for nine independent years
Heartbreak
Moment of the Year · UMass · 2025
Week 5 of 2025. A reckoning loss — the data point the next season must answer.
Unit lineage
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Hired for 2026: Max Warner — not yet reflected in on-field data.