Next game: vs Ball State
Massachusetts’s best edge on Ball State is passing
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Massachusetts offense against Ball State defense
Ball State offense against Massachusetts defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.23 EPA/play | 5 | 6 | 96 / 138 | 69.6 | 1025 | 7.4 | 8 | 2 | 148.2 | 28 | 54.1 | 7.4 | 4.2 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. 138 pass attempts and 37 carries in 6 games. Fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB III extends plays on the move until something opens up. Richter is the one who pushes it downfield on every look. Season receipt Rush usage21.1% bottom 49th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Plays like View William Watson III's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.09 EPA/play | 16 | 5 | 24 / 37 | 64.9 | 296 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 135.6 | — | 63.2 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| +0.00 EPA/play | 13 | 2 | 17 / 33 | 51.5 | 182 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 97.8 | — | 6.2 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · -0.20 EPA/play | 23 | 8 | 89 | 376 | 4.2 | 1 | 26 | 15.9 | 9.1 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 89 carries and 8 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Faulkner does a little of everything without one standout trait. Miller is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Yards / carry4.2 bottom 16th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate1.1% bottom 11th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like the ball security is the one real worry — 2.06 fumbles per 100 touches (top-decile concern) | ||||||||||
| Power Back · +0.12 EPA/play | 14 | 8 | 55 | 308 | 5.6 | 4 | 23 | 16.4 | 18.2 | |
Yards by week → Power backShort-yardage and goal-line specialist. Carries the load, owns the red zone. 55 carries and 9 catches in 8 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB IV wears you down at the goal line. Miller is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Rush TD rate7.3% 83th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share14.1% 73th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Curtis Kimmons IV's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.62 EPA/play | 2 | 6 | 28 | 327 | 11.7 | 2 | 51 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 28 catches and 4 carries in 6 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Harding moves the chains on third down. Hammer is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception10.3 bottom 18th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.6 67th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ty Harding's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.53 EPA/play | 19 | 6 | 20 | 284 | 14.2 | 0 | 34 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Lewis moves the chains on third down. Hammer is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception15.5 72th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jabari Lewis's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.17 EPA/play | 1 | 4 | 12 | 211 | 17.6 | 1 | 41 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Jr. moves the chains on third down. Hammer is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception14.8 64th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume12 bottom 13th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Joseph Griffin Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.37 EPA/play | 8 | 8 | 13 | 140 | 10.8 | 0 | 37 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Dia-Johnson moves the chains on third down. Hammer is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception12.7 bottom 42th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kezion Dia-Johnson's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.46 EPA/play | 83 | 8 | 15 | 132 | 8.8 | 0 | 25 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 15 catches and 4 carries in 8 games. Fewer catches a game than most FBS tight ends who play every week. This week's matchup — TE Adkins shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Lee is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception7.7 bottom 18th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 13th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Reece Adkins's full player page | ||||||||
| Red-Zone Weapon · +0.25 EPA/play | 11 | 7 | 16 | 129 | 8.1 | 3 | 34 | |
Yards by week → Red-zone weaponThe first read called near the goal line — size and catch radius do the rest. 16 catches in 7 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS tight end who plays every week. This week's matchup — TE Dowling is the first read once you cross the 20. Lee is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt TD rate18.8% 84th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Yards / reception7.7 bottom 19th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Max Dowling's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.63 EPA/play | 17 | 4 | 6 | 58 | 9.7 | 0 | 17 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nose Anchor | 90 | 7 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 21 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight340 lb 98th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tim Passmore Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 10 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 20 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.5% bottom 41th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Aubrey Melvin's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 55 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 19 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Zakar Morris's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 9 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 18 tackles in 6 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Justin Krueger's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 42 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 18 tackles in 7 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate8.3% bottom 28th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Andrew Depaepe's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 92 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 18 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate11.1% bottom 36th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Romando Johnson's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 2 | 7 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Joshua Nobles's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 95 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Hollis Dirstine's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 98 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 3.5 | 3 | 1 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate29.2% 90th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View William Depaepe's full player page | |||||||
| 99 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 44 | 8 | 52 | 13 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 52 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume52 79th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate5.8% bottom 32th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Timmy Hinspeter's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 5 | 8 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 48 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Tyler Martin's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 6 | 8 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 34 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate8.8% 96th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate4.4% 62th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Joshua Iseah's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 15 | 8 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Khari Bendolph's full player page | |||||||||
| 36 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 18 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 3 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — 51 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume51 94th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kendall Bournes's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 38 | 8 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 1.5 | 1 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Starter — 39 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.3% 62th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Zeraun Daniel's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | 7 | 6 | 24 | 7 #20 FBS | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
Ball hawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate29.2% 93th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View TJ Magee's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | — | 7 | 24 | 9 #4 FBS | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Ball hawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate37.5% 99th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Isaiah Reed's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 22 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 3 #16 FBS | 0 | 0 |
Centerfielder· Takeaway threatSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate20.0% 95th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jahmad Harmon's full player page | |||||||
| 19 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cover Corner | 13 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate18.2% 66th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Raheim Sexil's full player page | |||||||
| 8 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 27 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Leg | 99 | 8 | 11/16 | 68.8 | 21/22 | 54 | 56 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 43 | 8 | 32 | 1443 | 45.1 | 67 | 14 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.37 EPA/play | 8 | 8 | 5 | 101 | 20.2 | 0 | 25 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.62 EPA/play | 2 | 6 | 4 | 148 | 37 | 1 | 82 |
How scary each game got
Massachusetts lost at Buffalo after being 87% to win; the closest win was at Rutgers, down to 21%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Massachusetts during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · UMass
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · UMassTimmy Hinspeter leads UMass with 52 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+20 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Massachusetts fields a capable offense behind a strong, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
UMass reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 18%) and EPA allowed (top 33%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where UMass sits at the 33rd percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
UMass is worth +4.6 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 59th percentile of 133 programs
12% at home, 10% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (4-30 home, 5-46 away). Interval ±3.7.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, UMass has beaten the number by −1.9 more at home than away over 96 games. That is inside the ±6.1 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium seats 17,000 and has averaged 66% full (11,187, 27 games reported). Visitors cover a median 494 miles to get here since 2018 — 54th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 24% of the 2026 roster (21 of 88 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 45 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Garbage timeElijah Faulkner sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline: the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Elijah Faulkner and Curtis Kimmons IV split the carries (86/140 vs 54/140) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Curtis Kimmons IV produces in bigger chunks.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Ty Harding (WR) and Max Dowling (TE) split the targets (33/55 vs 22/55) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How UMass actually scores
38th percentile quality, 60th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
UMass’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 97th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 95th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does UMass hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
35th percentile success on standard downs, 38th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
UMass by half
1st-half offense ranks 57th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 24th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of UMass’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.15; 43rd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.03. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.39 raw vs. 0.07 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How UMass’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Massachusetts’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (70.2% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 173-play sample) — mid-pack, 121 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Massachusetts’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (63.4% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 162-play sample) — mid-pack, 12 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
60% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — well above the ~48% league baseline.
6 of 10 forced fumbles recovered; 5 of 8 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
16% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~18% league average.
6 interceptions of 37 disrupted passes (31 deflected, 6 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
63 penalties committed, 59 drawn on opponents — ceding 51 yards of field position.
541 penalty yards committed vs. 490 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · UMass
Most similar programs · UMassReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Hadley, MA
Usual during the game around Nov 4: 50°, between 42° and 58° in about 7 in 10 games (25 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 68°, and 8 in 10 ran between 42° and 79° (57 of 59 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.