Massachusetts

Home-field advantage · UMass · 2018–present · FBS opponents

UMass is worth +5.3 points more at home than on the road.

Top third of FBS, 69th percentile of 133 programs

12% at home, 8% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (4–28 home, 4–44 away). Interval ±3.7.

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, UMass has beaten the number by −2.1 more at home than away over 73 games — inside the ±7.0 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium seats 17,000 and has averaged 63% full (10,784, 24 games reported). Visitors cover a median 494 miles to get here since 2018 — 53rd-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 24% of the 2026 roster (21 of 88 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 42 home games since 2018.