cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brady Nassar /San Diego State

Brady Nassar

EDGE · San Diego State · Jr · #33

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

14 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to San Diego State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to San Diego State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Edge · San Diego State

Returning around him

  • 80% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 San Diego State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (26 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

San Diego State · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #86 · 2026 recruiting class #78

EDGE · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Brady Nassar

  • 3
  • #33
  • 6-5 | 265 lb
  • Pleasanton, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

38

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 88th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14721

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#944 national
CFB
College
San Diego State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionEDGE
Class3
Jersey33
Measurements6-5 | 265 lb
HometownPleasanton, CA
Primary teamSan Diego State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 944 recruit
Composite rating 0.8658 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Amador Valley Pleasanton, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8658 No. 944 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14721Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14801Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8658

#944 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brady Nassar

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brady Nassar

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
14Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
20Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 14): needs 16.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 14): needs 21.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Brady Nassar is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on San Diego State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14721 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 0.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 14 7 solo | #2476/4942 (50th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
14 50th
SOLO
7 48th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
4 85th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 42-0vs Stony Brook000.00.00
Wk 2L 13-36@ Washington State100.00.00
Wk 6W 45-24vs Colorado State000.00.01
Wk 7W 44-10@ Nevada330.00.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 10W 24-7vs Wyoming110.00.00
Wk 12W 17-7vs Boise State220.00.01
Wk 13W 25-3vs San José State310.00.01
Wk 14L 17-23@ New Mexico200.00.00
BowlL 47-49vs North Texas200.00.00
Total1470.00.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023San Diego State4-8HC: Brady Hoke · Run-leaning
2025San Diego State9-4HC: Sean Lewis · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025San Diego State1470.00.03----
2023San Diego State550.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons19120.00.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 14 #2476/4942 50th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 7 #2403/4584 48th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g1.30.00.00.5
Road3g2.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g1.50.00.00.5
Losses3g1.70.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g1.20.00.00.2
Weeks 8+4g2.00.00.00.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the EDGE cohort

38Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (87th). Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
Solo tackles#2397 / 2975 · 17th pct
7defe
Tackles#2476 / 2975 · 16th pct
14defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · EDGE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Brady NassarSan Diego StateBlake FletcherAir Force· 53% simBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 44% simAndon ThomasArmy· 43% sim
QB hurries
88
Nassar
92
Fletcher
72
Llewellyn
82
Thomas
Passes defended
78
Nassar
67
Fletcher
86
Llewellyn
91
Thomas
Sacks
24
Nassar
24
Fletcher
24
Llewellyn
51
Thomas
Solo tackles
17
Nassar
91
Fletcher
95
Llewellyn
100
Thomas
Tackles
16
Nassar
99
Fletcher
99
Llewellyn
99
Thomas
Tackles for loss
7
Nassar
28
Fletcher
80
Llewellyn
73
Thomas

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Versatile End

Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Blake Mangelson’s 2022 season.

Blake Mangelson

86%match

BYU · 2022

#2

Justin Mascoll

Clemson · 2021

82%
#3

Jack Pyburn

Florida · 2023

82%
#4

Cade Denhoff

Clemson · 2025

79%
#5

Raam Stevenson

Washington State · 2023

79%

Matches Blake on

Sack rate
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Collin McCarthy's junior season at UConn (2023).

Collin McCarthy

96%match

UConn · 2023

#2

Tyreese Fearbry

Kentucky · 2024

85%
#3

James Head Jr.

Indiana · 2022

78%
#4

Joshua Lukusa

Miami (OH) · 2025

78%
#5

Avery Dunn

Michigan State · 2023

78%

Matches Collin on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sean Lewis

Pass share

35.3%

290 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

63.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

224 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
2025
Sean Lewis
San Diego State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Brady Hoke → Sean Lewis. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPleasanton, CA
Height6'5"
Weight265 lb
Class3
PositionEDGE
Jersey33

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 San Diego State EDGE3 #14721 #14801 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 San Diego State EDGE3 #14689 #14682 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 San Diego State Mountain West EDGE 3 No. 33 | 6-5 | 265 lb | Pleasanton, CA
2024 San Diego State Mountain West EDGE 3 No. 33 | 6-5 | 265 lb | Pleasanton, CA
2023 San Diego State Mountain West EDGE 3 No. 33 | 6-5 | 265 lb | Pleasanton, CA