San Diego State at UCLA
Fan take
San Diego State fans
UCLA fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
San Diego State · 9-4
Picked #36 in the preseason · now #52.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 47–49 vs North TexasTop 25 #44 of 668
lost by 2 as a 3-point underdog
L 17–23 @ New Mexico #79 of 668
lost by 6 as a 1.5-point favorite
W 25–3 vs San José State #137 of 668
won by 22 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 17–7 vs Boise StateTop 25 #38 of 668
won by 10 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 6–38 @ Hawai'i #73 of 668
lost by 32 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 24–7 vs Wyoming #93 of 668
won by 17 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 23–0 @ Fresno State #125 of 668
won by 23 as a 3-point favorite
W 44–10 @ Nevada #183 of 668
won by 34 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 45–24 vs Colorado State #131 of 668
won by 21 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 6–3 @ Northern Illinois #128 of 668
won by 3 as a 1.5-point favorite
W 34–0 vs California #65 of 668
won by 34 as a 13.5-point underdog
L 13–36 @ Washington State #160 of 668
lost by 23 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 42–0 vs Stony Brook #161 of 668
Last three games · 2025 season
UCLA · 3-9
Picked #64 in the preseason · now #54 — about right.
Three straight losses.
L 10–29 @ USCTop 25 #22 of 668
lost by 19 as a 21.5-point underdog
L 14–48 vs WashingtonTop 25 #16 of 668
lost by 34 as a 11-point underdog
L 10–48 @ Ohio StateTop 25 #1 of 668
lost by 38 as a 33-point underdog
L 21–28 vs NebraskaTop 25 #48 of 668
lost by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 6–56 @ IndianaTop 25 #4 of 668
lost by 50 as a 27.5-point underdog
W 20–17 vs Maryland #75 of 668
won by 3 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 38–13 @ Michigan State #92 of 668
won by 25 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 42–37 vs Penn StateTop 25 #8 of 668
won by 5 as a 24.5-point underdog
L 14–17 @ Northwestern #60 of 668
lost by 3 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 10–35 vs New Mexico #108 of 668
lost by 25 as a 15.5-point favorite
L 23–30 @ UNLV #98 of 668
lost by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 10–43 vs UtahTop 25 #62 of 668
lost by 33 as a 6.5-point underdog
What’s at stake
Make the CFP field
Win the conference
Win it all
CFP odds as of September 13, 2026
The series
UCLA leads the series 19-1
20 meetings since 1933 · UCLA has won the last 2
- 2026UCLA 28–10
- 2023UCLA 35–10
- 2019San Diego State 23–14
- 2009UCLA 33–14
- 2005UCLA 44–21
Best players
San Diego State
- Sione Hala (LB) · 18 tackles
- Jelani McLaughlin (S) · 13 tackles
- Tano Letuli (LB) · 13 tackles
UCLA
- Jalen Woods (LB) · 20 tackles
- Samuel Omosigho (LB) · 19 tackles
- Malik Hartford (DB) · 15 tackles
The line, and the room
San Diego State fans are feeling better about their season (84th percentile) than UCLA fans are (26th) — even with UCLA favored here.
- Model · 56%
- Market · 86%
- UCLA fans · 26th
- San Diego State fans · 84th
Home −13.5 · O/U 53.5
Conditions
86°F · 8 mph wind · Clear
UCLA has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — +0.3 points (±3.9), home against road — 3rd percentile of FBS.
47% at home, 45% on the road against FBS opponents (23–26 home, 19–23 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -8.5 at home vs. away over 74 games — outside the ±7.0 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.
The visitors travel about 113 miles to get here.
San Diego State 10 – UCLA 28
Called it — picked UCLA to win.
The thread's loudest minute was 00:00 — 6 comments, 3.0× its usual pace.
comments / minute
Comments per minute in the r/CFB game thread, 22:15–01:00 UTC (185 collected). The chart ends where the collected thread ends.
- BoxThe line
Wayne Knight (UCLA): 13 car · 97 yds · 3 TD
Top 1% rushing TDs game since 2021.This game is just so... meh. Other than Rowe's catch and run and Nico's bone-headed INT it feels like nothing is happening. At least we don't look badly coached in terms of lack ofr/CFB game thread · ▲ 1
Win-probability model: CollegeFootballData.
Recent games
UCLA
- Wk 1Wat California45-24
San Diego State
- Wk 1Wvs Portland State53-20
Trajectory
UCLA beat San Diego State 28-10 — exactly what the pregame pick had.