2identity shift
Nevada: the fanbase's identity shifting.
Jeff Choate begins his second season with a 3-9 losing record to uphold, as Nevada's identity hinges on reviving the Pistol offense and Mackay Stadium's legacy amid a weak FBS tier.
Nevada3-9Cautious optimism is building around Nevada.
belief warmed ↑ 6.3vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Leaning up
56/100 · 21 mentions · top 34% of FBS
~ our readGrounding
running on emotion
1% cite a stat · 6% typical ✓ counted
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 23 pts
~ our readThe model
#127
CFB Zeitgeist · -6.9
✓ measured2Hope-Doping·Offseason
Nevada is the program that invented the Pistol offense in Reno and handed it to the whole sport — then watched everyone run its idea while the Wolf Pack itself slid back to the bottom of the Mountain West.
Standard GapA 13-win 2010 season, an AP top-15 finish, and an offense that changed f…
Fans point out that half of college football borrowed the Pistol from a chalkboard in Reno, and that nobody outside the Mountain West remembers the offense was theirs — or that they once put a future…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - Nevada
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production66%High continuity
Talent Composite#119 nationally247 composite 488.7
Portal Additions14Primary repair: CB
Portal Losses21Primary pressure: LB
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#98Depth class
LBin 2 - Poasa Utuout 4 - Austin HarnetiauxStarter Risk
current room: 228 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 2 - Donnie Cheersout 3 - Zedekiah Anahu-AmbrosioEven
current room: 191 lbs avg (2025 roster)
IOLin 2 - Ethan Newmanout 2 - Hadine DiabyEven
current room: 302 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 2 - Selman Bridgesout 1 - Edward RhamboUpgrade
current room: 181 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 1 - Jose Balver-Mendozaout 2 - Zach CochnauerDowngrade
EDGEin 1 - Brandon Amaniampongout 2 - Jonathan MaldonadoDowngrade
current room: 239 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasons
Approaching
31 days
until kickoff · vs Western Kentucky · Sun Sep 6 · 02:30 UTC
The experience
Nevada is the Mountain West program whose Chris Ault Pistol-offense invention + Colin Kaepernick 2008-2010 + Mackay Stadium altitude define what Reno-Wolf-Pack-football looks like.
Offense: PoorDefense: PoorDefensive shape: Bend-don't-break
Nevada's 2026 Season Projected to Reach 9-4 with Bowl Game Appearance
Nevada is projected to finish with a 9-4 record and qualify for a bowl game, leveraging its high continuity and strategic transfer additions.
- Roster reloadNevada's roster reload score of "High continuity" indicates moderate changes, with a net portal exporter status due to 21 transfers out compared to 14 transfers in.
- ScheduleNevada's base scenario projects a 7-6 record with a bowl game appearance, while the ceiling scenario forecasts a 9-4 finish and bowl game participation.
Data as of 2026-08-03
·
Validated against program evidence
Alphie the Wolf is patient.
Nevada · the story right now
8 storylines developing
What Nevada's offseason is really about
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
program_outlookthis cycle~readnew
Nevada enters 2026 — the 3-9 record and 119th talent rank highlight a program that hasn't been this low since the early 2000s, and Choate's second season is the first.
what happenedNevada enters 2026 rated No. 116 in 2025 SP+ (-13.4). ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Jeff Choate begins his second season with a 3-9 losing record to uphold, as Nevada's identity hinges on reviving the Pistol offense and Mackay Stadium's altitude advantage.
what happenedNevada: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
identitythis cycle~readnew
Jeff Choate begins his second season with a 3-9 losing record to uphold, as Nevada's identity hinges on reviving the Pistol offense and Mackay Stadium's legacy amid a weak FBS tier.
what happenedNevada: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Caleb Ramseur does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Herschel Turner: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Jett Carpenter is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
narrative tension · our read
garbage timethis cycle~attributednew
Marcus Bellon: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.
narrative tension · our read
program_outlookthis cycle~readnew
Nevada enters 2025 at No. 116 in SP+ — a 13-spot drop under Jeff Choate raises one question: can Reno’s identity survive this much talent erosion?
what happenedNevada enters 2025 rated No. 116 in SP+ (-13.4). ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
How past storylines here turned out
AnsweredNevada's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downNevada's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
ReplacedNevada's offensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
The story
The Offseason Ledger · Nevada
2 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news- Coaching
Nathan Pine fired
Firing your DC mid-cycle when you're ranked #88 in class and leaning on LB depth says Choate isn't coasting into year two — Pine's exit is a pressure valve, not a housecleaning.
- Portal
Nevada QB Thatcher transfers to Oregon State
Choate loses his QB room's most experienced piece to a P4 program still rebuilding — Oregon State gets a Mountain West starter with something left to prove, Nevada gets a roster question it didn't need during an 88th-ranked class cycle.
Transfer portal snapshot
-3.4 net portal points
(raw ledger: -21.5 — unweighted, no position adjustment)RB-7.0
starter risk
CB+6.8
LB-6.5
starter risk
OT-6.2
EDGE-3.7
TE-3.5
low confidence
WR+1.6
DL-1.5
IOL-1.5
K-1.0
low confidence
S+0.5
QB+0.5
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★☆☆
Perrion Williams
#1211 national
★★★☆☆
Janerious Jackson
#56 national
★★★☆☆
Joey Thomas III
#1654 national
→
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
66th percentile among FBS programs
Fan vs. market↑
66th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
4.5
Vegas O/U wins
(11th among FBS)
(11th among FBS)
Fans 55pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 4.5
CFP championship#113 in field+100000
Mountain West title#8 in market+1800
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Nevada · Next-Season Outcome Band
Nevada · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 7-6
Ceiling 9-4
floor4-8No postseason.
base7-6Bowl game.
ceiling9-4Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · Nevada · Season outlook Confidence
Nevada enters the season in the middle of the pack. That's the whole tension.
Nevada enters 2026 rated No. 116 in 2025 SP+ (-13.4). SP+ describes what the program HAS done, not what it will do. The season is the field test. The preview consensus leans in — but preseason ratings reward the recent past, not the season ahead.
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Nevada enters 2026 — the 3-9 record and 119th talent rank highlight a program that hasn't been this low since the early 2000s, and Choate's second season is the first.
Next · what to watch
The non-obvious read on this rating isn't the number — it's the schedule. A team at this level has 2-3 games where the model says they're overmatched, and those are the games that define the narrative. Watch whether the model holds through the first month of the schedule.
Source of record: Nevada enters 2026 rated No. 116 in 2025 SP+ (-13.4).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
🎪The circus“Legal saga over: Mountain West, Pac-12 finalize settlement agree” — the saga that won't quit.›
The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.
“Legal saga over: Mountain West, Pac-12 finalize settlement agreement”
nevadasportsnet.com · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
📣Believers2 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.
“Watch our special edition of NSN Tonight from Nevada football media day”
nevadasportsnet.com · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Jack Foster named to Outland Trophy Preseason Watch List”
University of Nevada Athletics · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
“Why Jeff Choate believes this is the deepest team in talent that he's coached at Nevada”
nevadasportsnet.com · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards14 board mentions — too thin to call a stance.›
Only 14 of 220 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
"I’m on my last semester at the University of Reno Nevada and I NEED ONE MORE elective, as a liberal arts student ideally nothing to hard or complicated definitely not anything with"
r/unr ~ fan take
"i have a question; on the pre-nevadafit modules on canvas it said that there would be a mandatory opening ceremony on the 15th at like 8pm. But for anyone who experienced this rece"
r/unr ~ fan take
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Following now · Nevada · Developing Confidence
Nevada: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
Nevada: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Jeff Choate begins his second season with a 3-9 losing record to uphold, as Nevada's identity hinges on reviving the Pistol offense and Mackay Stadium's altitude advantage.
Source of record: Nevada: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
🎪The circus“Legal saga over: Mountain West, Pac-12 finalize settlement agree” — the saga that won't quit.›
The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.
“Legal saga over: Mountain West, Pac-12 finalize settlement agreement”
nevadasportsnet.com · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
📣Believers2 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
“Watch our special edition of NSN Tonight from Nevada football media day”
nevadasportsnet.com · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“Jack Foster named to Outland Trophy Preseason Watch List”
University of Nevada Athletics · 2026-08-04 · read ↗
“Why Jeff Choate believes this is the deepest team in talent that he's coached at Nevada”
nevadasportsnet.com · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards11 board mentions — too thin to call a stance.›
Only 11 of 220 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
"I’m on my last semester at the University of Reno Nevada and I NEED ONE MORE elective, as a liberal arts student ideally nothing to hard or complicated definitely not anything with"
r/unr ~ fan take
"i have a question; on the pre-nevadafit modules on canvas it said that there would be a mandatory opening ceremony on the 15th at like 8pm. But for anyone who experienced this rece"
r/unr ~ fan take
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cooling
Two of five. Schedule has caught up.
Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 2-8
The forecast
Opens Sep 6
vs Western Kentucky · at home
Season line4.5 winsover +110
PoorPoorBend-don't-break
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Rival pulse
UNLV
Mixed+2
Battle for the Fremont Cannon
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
27
NV · 10CA · 8WA · 4TX · 2CO · 1GA · 1OR · 1
NV leads the 2026 class with 10 commits. National footprint reaching 7 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
97 signees across 17 states, 2023-2026. CA leads the pull.
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] WKU Defeats Nevada 31-16
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
National spotlight
8 games with TV coverage: 1 national broadcast, 7 cable
Kickoff windows: 2 afternoon, 6 primetime
Fumble luck
Recovering 23% of their own fumbles — running cold vs. the ~51% league rate.
3 of 13 own fumbles recovered themselves; 4 of 7 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
Converting 24% of pass disruptions into takeaways — right in line with the ~19% league rate.
10 interceptions of 42 disrupted passes (32 deflected, 10 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
Winning the penalty battle: 63 penalties committed vs. 84 drawn on opponents, a 167-yard edge.
542 penalty yards committed vs. 709 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on Nevada
56
Δ +6.3 vs last wk
21
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Battle Born"
— Nevada fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence3 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 6 corners
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
MMountain West Connection
CCampus paper
BBluesky
YYouTube
The split, staged
Warmest corner+0.00
Die-hards
most bought-in cohort our read
vs
Coldest corner−0.00
Casuals
coolest cohort our read
How Nevada fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
Rr/CFBthe room
I just want to see Bama play a road playoff game in Pullman in the snow now.
▲ 1.5k ▼open ↗
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
Loudest in the room this week real · by engagement
All 6 corners of the fanbase
skeptical
buying in
Die-hards+0.20
Casuals+0.12
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
216 mentions · 6 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checklight on evidence
~ our readNevada fans are split right down the middle, with almost nothing concrete behind it yet.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 110 posts from Nevada fans this week.
Season storylines
Week 1
“Likewise! Nice clean game, respectful and friendly game thread, good vibes all around.”— r/CFB
Week 3
“Man, I do feel for Rams fans. The Jay Norvell experience. I often do think that trying to end the game and not playing for overtime is the best tactic, but not in this case. In this case you're at home, you have the momentum, and you had already kicked the extra point. Just de…”— r/CFB
Week 2
“Just let Chubba run the offense. This switching back and forth shit ain't working.”— r/CFB
Week 9
“The biggest thing stymieing Nevada football's offense and the Wolf Pack's plan to fix it Nevada Sports Net”— google_news_nevada
Week 6
“Annnnnnnd we’re right back to watching Wolfpack football. I felt uncomfortable without at least one pick six getting scored on us per game.”— r/CFB
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Radio, beat writers & editorial8 posts
The broader fanbase4 posts
News & campus coverage12 posts
Fanbase Health Index · Nevada · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · Nevada · high confidenceGrowing (55)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 3-9 (25% win rate)44
Volume — 576 effective signal-N85
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.03 — quiet35
Fanbase Voice
326 fan mentions
Doomers
vs the 81 highest-volume fanbases - 2025 season
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#126 / 138 · 9th pct17.6
Pts allowed/game#82 / 138 · 41st pct27.5
Total yards/gm#128 / 136 · 7th pct302.4
Rush yards/gm#81 / 136 · 41st pct155.2
Pass yards/gm#129 / 136 · 6th pct147.2
Yards allowed/gm#42 / 136 · 70th pct370.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#55 / 136 · 60th pct150.3
Sacks#108 / 136 · 21st pct19
Interceptions#54 / 136 · 61st pct11
3rd-down conv#127 / 136 · 7th pct32.1%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team3629302.4/gm5.02/play#128 / 136 · 7th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#8 / 9 · 22nd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp4446370.5/gm5.70/play#42 / 136 · 70th pct#31 / 70 · 57th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Rush yards
Team1863155.2/gm2.58/play#81 / 136 · 41st pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp1804150.3/gm2.31/play#55 / 136 · 60th pct#40 / 70 · 44th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Rush carries
Team41534.6/gm#92 / 136 · 33rd pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp42435.3/gm#30 / 136 · 79th pct#24 / 70 · 67th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Rush TDs
Team90.8/gm#125 / 136 · 9th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp242.0/gm#98 / 136 · 29th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Net pass yards
Team1766147.2/gm2.44/play#129 / 136 · 6th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp2642220.2/gm3.39/play#46 / 136 · 67th pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Pass attempts
Team30825.7/gm#122 / 136 · 11th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp35629.7/gm#38 / 136 · 73rd pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Completions
Team18215.2/gm#121 / 136 · 12th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp23119.2/gm#54 / 136 · 61st pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#4 / 9 · 67th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Pass TDs
Team100.8/gm#127 / 136 · 7th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#8 / 9 · 22nd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp121.0/gm#10 / 136 · 93rd pct#8 / 70 · 90th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team110.8110.8#130 / 136 · 5th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp128.8128.8#57 / 136 · 59th pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#4 / 9 · 67th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team171.4/gm#3 / 136 · 99th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp110.9/gm#76 / 136 · 45th pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#8 / 9 · 22nd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Sacks (def)
Team191.6/gm#108 / 136 · 21st pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#7 / 10 · 40th pct
Opp181.5/gm#21 / 136 · 85th pct#13 / 70 · 83rd pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Tackles for loss
Team635.2/gm#89 / 136 · 35th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#4 / 9 · 67th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Opp675.6/gm#64 / 136 · 54th pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
First downs
Team20717.2/gm#124 / 136 · 10th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp23919.9/gm#43 / 136 · 69th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
3rd-down conv
Team504.2/gm#132 / 136 · 4th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp615.1/gm#28 / 136 · 80th pct#13 / 70 · 83rd pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
3rd-down att
Team15613.0/gm#121 / 136 · 12th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#8 / 9 · 22nd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp16013.3/gm#27 / 136 · 81st pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
4th-down conv
Team131.1/gm#68 / 136 · 51st pct#37 / 70 · 49th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp141.2/gm#68 / 136 · 51st pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#4 / 9 · 67th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
4th-down att
Team242.0/gm#75 / 136 · 46th pct#37 / 70 · 49th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp231.9/gm#46 / 136 · 67th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Time of possession
Team363:5730:20/gm#89 / 136 · 35th pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp356:0929:41/gm#17 / 136 · 88th pct#8 / 70 · 90th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#74 / 135 · 46th pct19/25 (76.0%)
Extra points20/20
Punting#37 / 136 · 74th pct44.8 avg · 48 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team272.2/gm#2 / 136 · 99th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp151.2/gm#49 / 136 · 65th pct#29 / 70 · 60th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Fumbles lost
Team100.8/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp40.3/gm#19 / 136 · 87th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
INT return TDs
Team20.2/gm#18 / 135 · 87th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp20.2/gm#105 / 136 · 24th pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#8 / 11 · 36th pct
INT return yards
Team19115.9/gm#29 / 136 · 79th pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp968.0/gm#58 / 136 · 58th pct#34 / 70 · 53rd pct#4 / 9 · 67th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Punt ret yds
Team1199.9/gm#76 / 136 · 45th pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp12010.0/gm#77 / 136 · 44th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Punt ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#43 / 135 · 69th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct
Opp10.1/gm#97 / 135 · 29th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct
Kick ret yds
Team39633.0/gm#77 / 136 · 44th pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp28223.5/gm#31 / 136 · 78th pct#22 / 70 · 70th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Kick ret TDs
Team10.1/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Opp10.1/gm#97 / 135 · 29th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct
Penalty yards
Team54245.2/gm#113 / 136 · 18th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp70959.1/gm#89 / 136 · 35th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Other
Kick ret (opp)#10 / 136 · 93rd pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct90.8/gm
Punt ret (opp)#49 / 136 · 65th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct121.0/gm
Red zone pass rate#52 / 154 · 67th pct#24 / 70 · 67th pct#4 / 9 · 67th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct0.40.0/gm
Interceptions (def)#54 / 136 · 61st pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct110.9/gm
Punt returns#61 / 136 · 56th pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct171.4/gm
Fourth down go rate#88 / 138 · 37th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct0.30.0/gm
Recruiting rating#88 / 138 · 37th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct159.313.3/gm
H2 epa per play opponent#91 / 143 · 37th pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct0.20.0/gm
Penalties (opp)#91 / 136 · 34th pct#54 / 70 · 24th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct847.0/gm
Fumbles recovered#91 / 136 · 34th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct50.4/gm
Kick returns#93 / 136 · 32nd pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct161.3/gm
Penalties#107 / 136 · 22nd pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct635.2/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#111 / 167 · 34th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#8 / 9 · 22nd pct0.20.0/gm
Fumbles rec (def)#123 / 136 · 10th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct100.8/gm
H2 epa per play#123 / 142 · 14th pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#8 / 9 · 22nd pct0.10.0/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#133 / 136 · 3rd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct171.4/gm
H1 epa per play#144 / 162 · 12th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#9 / 9 · 11th pct0.00.0
First down pass rate#177 / 215 · 18th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct0.30.0/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off32.1%#127 / 136 · 7th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Def38.1%#55 / 136 · 60th pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
4th-down conversion
Off54.2%#71 / 136 · 49th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Def60.9%#104 / 136 · 24th pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Turnover margin#129 / 136 · 6th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct-1.00/gm
Sack rate (def)#105 / 136 · 24th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#8 / 10 · 30th pct5.3%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team363.0/gm#108 / 167 · 36th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp494.1/gm#138 / 166 · 17th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Red zone score %
Team63.9%63.9%#147 / 167 · 13th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#8 / 9 · 22nd pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp75.5%75.5%#60 / 166 · 64th pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Points / drive
Team1.30.1/gm#133 / 167 · 21st pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#8 / 9 · 22nd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp2.00.2/gm#90 / 166 · 46th pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Yards / drive
Team38.13.2/gm#106 / 167 · 37th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp41.13.4/gm#89 / 166 · 47th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Plays / drive
Team6.30.5/gm#118 / 167 · 30th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#8 / 9 · 22nd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp6.70.6/gm#110 / 166 · 34th pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#4 / 9 · 67th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Three-and-out rate
Team13.3%13.3%#77 / 167 · 54th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp13.2%13.2%#89 / 166 · 47th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#4 / 9 · 67th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#21 / 145 · 86th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct+6.6%+6.6%
Havoc rate
Team14.5%14.5%#95 / 140 · 33rd pct#55 / 70 · 23rd pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct
Opp17.8%17.8%#115 / 140 · 19th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct
Standard-downs success
Team43.3%43.3%#124 / 154 · 20th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct
Opp51.6%51.6%#130 / 172 · 25th pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#8 / 9 · 22nd pct
Passing-downs success
Team26.0%26.0%#126 / 153 · 18th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct
Opp28.6%28.6%#45 / 149 · 70th pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct
Line yards / carry
Team2.82.8#102 / 143 · 29th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct
Opp3.13.1#106 / 155 · 32nd pct#54 / 70 · 24th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct
Stuff rate
Team19.6%19.6%#91 / 143 · 37th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct
Opp16.3%16.3%#111 / 155 · 29th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct
Power success rate
Team72.0%72.0%#60 / 137 · 57th pct#34 / 70 · 53rd pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct
Opp68.8%68.8%#64 / 141 · 55th pct#31 / 70 · 57th pct#3 / 9 · 78th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off59.1%#98 / 136 · 29th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Def64.9%#109 / 136 · 21st pct#54 / 70 · 24th pct#6 / 9 · 44th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Yards / attempt
Off5.7#129 / 136 · 6th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Def7.4#87 / 136 · 37th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Yards / completion
Off9.7#132 / 136 · 4th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#8 / 9 · 22nd pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Def11.4#66 / 136 · 52nd pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#5 / 9 · 56th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Yards / carry#60 / 136 · 57th pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#4 / 9 · 67th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct4.5
Yards / play#117 / 136 · 15th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#7 / 9 · 33rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct5.02
Scoring margin#118 / 136 · 14th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#8 / 9 · 22nd pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct-9.9/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Manager · +0.14 EPA/play | 6 | 9 | 111 / 173 | 64.2 | 1001 | 5.8 | 6 | 8 | 115.0 | 38.3 | 4.0 | 3.9 | |
Yards by week → Game ManagerConsistent underneath passer who protects the lead. Rarely loses games; rarely wins them alone. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 9 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Completion %67.2% 77th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate4.6% bottom 5th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Carter Jones's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Scrambler · +0.03 EPA/play | 13 | 12 | 44 / 86 | 51.2 | 577 | 6.7 | 3 | 8 | 100.4 | 31.5 | 2.7 | 5.5 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 45 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Rush usage53.8% 100th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate9.3% bottom 1th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Chubba Purdy's full player page | |||||||||||||
| -0.23 EPA/play | 10 | 7 | 27 / 45 | 60 | 188 | 4.2 | 1 | 1 | 98.0 | 23.2 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.16 EPA/play | 20 | 12 | 139 | 683 | 4.9 | 5 | 32 | 20.4 | 17.5 | 12.4 | 15.3 | 8.2% (21/256) | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior our readAscending: his CFB Index score climbed from the 14th percentile to the 72nd among FBS RBs | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · -0.13 EPA/play | 2 | 10 | 69 | 353 | 5.1 | 0 | 64 | 4.2 | 8.2 | 24.3 | 17.1 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced Back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry5.9 75th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate0.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Herschel Turner's full player page | |||||||||||||
| -0.27 EPA/play | 22 | 8 | 23 | 60 | 2.6 | 1 | 10 | 2.8 | 0.6 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complete TE · +0.33 EPA/play | 85 | 12 | 35 | 374 | 10.7 | 2 | 44 | 5.6 | 6.6 | 17.2% (44/256) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception12.1 63th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume35 86th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.56 EPA/play | 5 | 7 | 26 | 268 | 10.3 | 1 | 25 | 9.9 | 11.4 | 13.7% (35/256) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception9.5 bottom 16th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate3.8% bottom 22th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dakota Thomas's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · -0.28 EPA/play | 18 | 10 | 25 | 242 | 9.7 | 1 | 43 | 9.6 | 11.1 | 16.4% (42/256) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception8.9 bottom 13th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)-0.3 bottom 1th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Marcus Bellon's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.21 EPA/play | 1 | 7 | 16 | 183 | 11.4 | 0 | 28 | 11.4 | 10.6 | 11.3% (29/256) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception12.2 bottom 39th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jordan Brown's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.48 EPA/play | 9 | 6 | 16 | 164 | 10.2 | 1 | 22 | 13.8 | 10.3 | 9.8% (25/256) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception10.3 bottom 22th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume16 bottom 16th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Marshaun Brown's full player page | |||||||||||
| -0.45 EPA/play | 11 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 6.1 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 0 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 32 | 12 | 88 | 49 | 16.5 #11 FBS | 6.5 #55 FBS | 3 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate18.8% 67th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 14th to 91st percentile among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| Finisher | 9 | 12 | 38 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 1 |
FinisherTurns pressure into sacks — when he gets there, he finishes. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 16 of 200 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Pressure-to-sack conversion0.8 97th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score now sits at the 89th percentile among FBS EDGEs, up from the 15th | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 99 | 10 | 25 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 64th percentile among FBS IDLs, up from the 36th | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 43 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior View Nelson Ropati's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 10 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight329 lb 95th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Logologo Va'a's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 96 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 8 of 21 games this season · senior View Tanner Vaughan's full player page | |||||||
| 98 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 45 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 33 | 12 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · junior · 2-star, 2022 class View Stone Combs's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | — | 10 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume51 50th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Nakian Jackson's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 44 | 11 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.4% 84th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate4.1% bottom 23th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Austin Harnetiaux's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 2 | 7 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 7 of 21 games this season · junior View EJ Smith's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 19 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 6.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-SidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 102 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 77th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate34.2% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Sam Cook's full player page | |||||||||
| 7 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rover | 5 | 12 | 59 | 2 | 5 #6 FBS | 4.5 | 0.5 |
Rover· Takeaway threatHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate3.4% bottom 27th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Murvin Kenion III's full player page | |||||||
| Perimeter Tackler | 1 | 11 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Perimeter TacklerTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 42 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume49 92th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View A.J. Odums's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 22 | 11 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 14th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Hayden McDonald's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 4 | 9 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate17.6% 90th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Edward Rhambo's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 8 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 14th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kasen Kinchen's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 18 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 14th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Aiden Walker's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 15 | 10 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate9.5% 58th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Bishop Turner's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 14 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 8 of 21 games this season · senior View DJ Warnell's full player page | |||||||
| 12 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 84 | 12 | 19/25 | 76 | 20/20 | 77 | 50 |
Punting
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complete | 39 | 12 | 45 | 2028 | 45.1 | 62 | 18 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.10 EPA/play | 25 | 12 | 12 | 311 | 25.9 | 1 | 99 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · -0.28 EPA/play | 18 | 10 | 13 | 74 | 5.7 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 0 | 14 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Dylan Labarbera
DL
88.0 tot (def)
2.
Stone Combs
LB
72.0 tot (def)
3.
Murvin Kenion III
DB
59.0 tot (def)
4.
Nakian Jackson
LB
51.0 tot (def)
5.
A.J. Odums
CB
49.0 tot (def)
Roster
2025
23
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Murvin Kenion III
S
#25 of 544
Jonathan Maldonado
EDGE
#53 of 420
Dylan Labarbera
EDGE
#55 of 420
Caleb Ramseur
RB
#98 of 326
Jett Carpenter
TE
#49 of 156
Thomas Witte
IDL
#166 of 330
+17 more
Nevada · 2025 schedule & results3-9Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 54% · 2 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #151 | #3 | +43.5 | @Penn State | L 11–46 123 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #81 | #153 | -9.5 | Sacramento State | W 20–17 68 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #130 | #158 | -9.5 | Middle Tennessee | L 13–14 135 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #142 | #112 | +7.5 | @Western Kentucky | L 16–31 138 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 5 | #152 | #74 | +13.5 | @Fresno State | L 17–20 114 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 7 | Oct 12 | #153 | #66 | +6.5 | San Diego State | L 10–44 121 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | #183 | #108 | +14.5 | @New Mexico | L 22–24 121 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #173 | #26 | +21 | Boise State | L 3–24 128 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | #174 | #142 | +9.5 | @Utah State | L 14–51 132 | 1-8 | 0-1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #206 | #93 | +9.5 | San José State | W 55–10 119 | 2-8 | 1-1 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #169 | #110 | +6.5 | @Wyoming | W 13–7 122 | 3-8 | 2-1 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | #149 | #66 | +7.5 | UNLV | L 17–42 122 | 3-9 | 2-2 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30 | UNLV | L 17–42 | 341 | 2 | 32:51 | +0.044 | 44.1% | 98.7% | Defense's roughest night |
| Nov 22 | @Wyoming | W 13–7 | 271 | 1 | 34:50 | +0.104 | 38.3% | 100.4% | Best defensive stand |
| Nov 15 | San José State | W 55–10 | 413 | 0 | 37:25 | +0.418 | 48.4% | 127.8% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Nov 9 | @Utah State | L 14–51 | 242 | 3 | 27:38 | -0.165 | 32.2% | 101.0% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 25 | Boise State | L 3–24 | 247 | 5 | 25:41 | -0.109 | 32.7% | 114.4% | |
| Oct 19 | @New Mexico | L 22–24 | 257 | 0 | 29:27 | +0.148 | 38.6% | 120.6% | One-score loss |
| Oct 12 | San Diego State | L 10–44 | 254 | 2 | 28:36 | -0.149 | 29.7% | 144.0% | Blowout loss |
| Oct 5 | @Fresno State | L 17–20 | 246 | 4 | 27:11 | -0.059 | 32.7% | 132.2% | One-score loss |
| Sep 20 | @Western Kentucky | L 16–31 | 372 | 3 | 32:22 | +0.072 | 33.8% | 138.3% | |
| Sep 13 | Middle Tennessee | L 13–14 | 369 | 2 | 28:50 | +0.074 | 35.0% | 152.6% | Most explosive |
| Sep 6 | Sacramento State | W 20–17 | 414 | 2 | 32:46 | +0.037 | 42.9% | 122.4% | One-score win |
| Aug 30 | @Penn State | L 11–46 | 203 | 3 | 26:20 | -0.061 | 34.0% | 98.5% | Blowout loss |
| Season average (12 games) | 302 | 2.2 | +0.030 | 36.9% | 120.9% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025Nevada fields a struggling offense behind a porous, bend-don't-break defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Nevada actually scores
3rd percentile quality, 97th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Nevada's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 19th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 25th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Nevada hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
17th percentile success on standard downs, 16th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
Nevada by half
1st-half offense ranks 12th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 14th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of Nevada's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.03; 29th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.01. The widest gap came in week 1: -0.06 raw vs. 0.00 adjusted.
Nevada reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 29%) and passing epa allowed (top 49%); the crux lives in passing epa, where Nevada sits at the 4th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · Nevada
Most Similar Programs · NevadaReads Like
CharlotteTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontColorado StateTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontEast CarolinaTier 3 · Prestige T2 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Nevada · 2018-present
Strong
48% home win rate vs 32% on the road. margin runs +9.4 better at home. Mackay Stadium seats 27,000, averaging 66% full (17,877 attendance, 24 games reported).
Home23-24Away15-31
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Caleb Ramseur and Herschel Turner split the carries (138/206 vs 68/206) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Caleb RamseurHerschel Turner
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
concentration alone -- EPA/carry doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 2 claims, 0 survived, 2 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Marcus Bellon (WR) and Jett Carpenter (TE) split the targets (40/83 vs 43/83) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Marcus Bellon produces in bigger chunks.
Marcus BellonJett Carpenter
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Garbage-time share
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration and EPA/target agree -- a real boom/bust split
Screened 3 claims, 1 survived, 2 falsified
What changed
Nevada’s play-calling, before and after the change
Offense: Matt Lubick (2024) → David Gilbertson (2025)
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved up 10 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Defense: co-Kwame Agyeman / co-Mike Bethea (2022–2023) → Kane Ioane (2024–2025)
The biggest shift: 4th-down go rate moved up 5 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
4th-down go rate
Season by season
How Nevada’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Defense: Kane Ioane (2024–2025)
1st-down pass rate
2024: 41% → 2025: 34% · 7-pt range · #135 of 189 · a typical amount
Red-zone pass rate
2024: 30% → 2025: 40% · 10-pt range · #129 of 189 · a typical amount
4th-down go rate
2024: 48% → 2025: 35% · 14-pt range · #112 of 188 · a typical amount
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, Nevada’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.1% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 125-play sample) — mid-pack, 72 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=125 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 66.4%
Historical echo
Nevada’s slide has precedent — and 2 of the 4 closest kept falling.
Programs whose stature fell in the same shape. The grey line is their decline; the color is what came next for them.
Colorado State 1936–1941
kept sliding
Arkansas State 1990–1995
stayed down
Kansas 1953–1958
clawed back
SMU 1986–1993
kept sliding
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Venue texture
61°F average kickoff temp; 4% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.
Based on 71 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
Nevada's 2014–2025 record is 61-84. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
262-289-7
since 1915 · 82 seasons · .469 win rate
HOME
151-94-5
AWAY
104-183-2
NEUTRAL
7-12
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
The program, in full — read the essay
Chris Ault drew the Pistol offense up in Reno in 2005, and within a decade it was in every NFL playbook. Nevada gave the sport one of its defining formations — and has spent the fifteen years since asking whether it can ever get back to what that idea produced.
The 2010 Wolf Pack season is the reference point everything in Reno gets measured against. Thirteen wins. A WAC title. Colin Kaepernick running the Pistol to a 34-31 overtime win over No. 3 Boise State at Mackay Stadium on a night the high desert felt like the center of the sport. An AP top-15 finish. That team — the one that carried an idea from a Reno chalkboard to the national conversation — is the program's defining chapter, and it arrived the same year that chapter was essentially closing. Ault retired, the sustained Pistol era wound down, and the post-2012 years became a long, uneven descent toward the bottom of the Mountain West.
Jeff Choate went 3-10 in 2024 and 3-9 in 2025 (2-6 Mountain West) — two straight losing seasons at the bottom of the league for a program that once finished ranked. The wound is not the losing, exactly; losing years happen. The wound is the distance. Fifteen years is a long time to spend pointing at what the program used to be, and the internal fracture in Reno is honest: one faction clings to the Ault-Kaepernick era as evidence of the ceiling, and another looks at back-to-back three-win seasons and wants a clear-eyed conversation about what a rebuild actually requires in 2026.
The 2026 question is whether Choate's third year is the inflection point or another floor. A bowl game would be the first since 2022 and would do more than add a win — it would give the fanbase something to argue about beyond the gap between what Nevada invented and where Nevada is. The Pistol is still in use across the country. Mackay Stadium is still at altitude. The ingredient that made 2010 possible was a once-in-a-generation dual-threat quarterback running a once-in-a-generation idea. What 2026 will answer is whether the program has found either.
How they play
The Pistol is Nevada's permanent identity marker — Chris Ault's hybrid of the shotgun and the I-formation, a run-first, downhill attack that places the quarterback a few yards behind center rather than deep in the shotgun, preserving downhill run angles while retaining passing flexibility. In practice, the current Wolf Pack runs a more conventional Mountain West spread under Choate — the Pistol is the heritage, not necessarily the weekly formation. The altitude at Mackay Stadium (4,400 feet) is the home-field variable that still shows up in fourth-quarter conditioning late in the season.
Steady
Nevada 2016–2025. Holding the line. The 10-year slope (-0.10 rungs / yr) doesn't tilt either way — the program lives at roughly Tier 2.
CFP Era · Nevada
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 3-9
Season Standing · 2025 · 3-9FBS sub-.500
Nevada: Below .500 in FBS play. The rebuild bar.
R0R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9
Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
Mountain West Standing · 2025
4th in the Mountain West
Nevada sits 4th of 10 in the Mountain West at 2-2. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNLV | 4-1 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 3-1 |
| 3 | Hawai'i | 2-2 |
| 4 | Nevada | 2-2 |
| 5 | Air Force | 2-3 |
| 6 | San José State | 2-3 |
| 7 | Wyoming | 1-4 |
| 8 | North Dakota State | 0-0 |
| 9 | Northern Illinois | 0-0 |
| 10 | UTEP | 0-0 |
Coaching Era · Nevada
Coaching Era · NevadaJeff Choate
Jeff Choate in year 3 of the rebuild. The methodology is taking shape.
Era Jeff Choate · 2024–presentPrev: Ken Wilson (2022–2023)OC: David GilbertsonPrev OC: Matt Lubick (2024)DC: Kane IoanePrev DC: co-Kwame Agyeman / co-Mike Bethea (2022–2023)
3
years · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
Pistol Offense Invention (2005)
since 2005
Chris Ault invented the Pistol offense at Nevada in 2005 — a hybrid of shotgun + I-formation where the QB stands 4 yards behind center (vs 5-7 in shotgun). The scheme spread nationally + became the foundation of multiple modern offenses. Colin Kaepernick + the 2010 #11 AP run were Pistol-offense-defining moments. The scheme is permanent Nevada heritage.
Colin Kaepernick 2008-2010
since 2008
Colin Kaepernick (2008-2010) + the Pistol offense produced the program's all-time peak — 2010 13-1 + Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl + #11 final AP + the iconic upset of #3 Boise State (the 34-31 OT win that ended Boise State's BCS bid). Kaepernick's NFL career (49ers Super Bowl QB) added permanent legacy.
Mackay Stadium Altitude
since 1966
Mackay Stadium sits at 4,600 ft in Reno + faces unpredictable Sierra Nevada wind patterns. The altitude + wind + the Sierra mountain backdrop + the 30,000 capacity create a venue distinct from larger flagship-state programs. Visiting teams cite the wind as a particular field-goal hazard.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2005
The Pistol debuts
Chris Ault unveils the Pistol offense in Reno, a formation that would spread across college football and into the NFL
2010
The Mackay Miracle
Nevada erases a 17-point deficit to beat No. 3 Boise State 34-31 in OT after a missed field goal — the program's signature night
Moment of the Year · Nevada · 2025
Moment of the Year · Nevada · 2025Lost 11-46 at Penn State
Week 1 of 2025. A reckoning loss — the data point the next season must answer.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2014-2021): 3-3
Most recent: 2021 — loss 24-52 (home). Last 5 postseason: 3-2.
20212020201920182015
NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–2025
NFL Draft PipelineDeveloping
3 picks last 5 cycles. Pipeline emerging.
3
picks · 0 R1
#132
Romeo Doubs
Wide Receiver · 2022 · Green Bay · #17/468 final season
#149
Cole Turner
Tight End · 2022 · Washington · #467/485 final season
#225
Kitan Crawford
Safety · 2025 · Arizona · #73/537 final season
#119 all-time · 1 first-round picksthe talent factory →
Unit lineage
Nevada’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2014–2025
2014–2015 · Nick Rolovich2016 · Tim Cramsey2017–2021 · Matt Mumme2022–2023 · Derek Sage2024 · Matt Lubick2025 (ongoing) · David Gilbertson
Defense2014–2025
2014–2016 · co-Scott Boone / co-Bill Teerlinck2017–2019 · Jeff Casteel2020–2021 · Brian Ward2022–2023 · co-Kwame Agyeman / co-Mike Bethea2024–2025 (ongoing) · Kane Ioane
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
Among the most continuous rosters into 2025 — 66% back, anchored by the offense, only qb room to settle.
The portal upgraded the CB room but opened a hole at LB.
1 player drafted in 2025; the reload runs through the portal and recruiting.
Nevada converts recruit talent into draft picks better than its class rank suggests.
r/cfb moments
420
[Postgame Thread] SMU Defeats Nevada 29-24
271
[Postgame Thread] USC Defeats Nevada 66-14
182
[Postgame Thread] Idaho Defeats Nevada 33-6
150
[Game Thread] SMU @ Nevada (8:00 PM ET)
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