Next game: vs New Mexico
Nevada’s best edge on New Mexico is big plays
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Nevada offense against New Mexico defense
New Mexico offense against Nevada defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.03 EPA/play | 6 | 4 | 53 / 89 | 59.6 | 654 | 7.3 | 3 | 2 | 127.9 | 32 | 32.8 | 6.0 | 7.3 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. The most common profile in its group this season — 79 of 159 classified this way. Played in 4 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Carter Jones's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.16 EPA/play | 10 | 5 | 37 / 71 | 52.1 | 397 | 5.6 | 2 | 3 | 99.9 | 40 | 41.4 | 3.8 | 4.1 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| -0.27 EPA/play | 12 | 4 | 26 / 55 | 47.3 | 265 | 4.8 | 2 | 5 | 81.6 | 33 | 22.6 | 1.2 | 3.5 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.07 EPA/play | — | 8 | 118 | 588 #52 FBS | 5.0 | 5 | 72 | 15 | 13 | |
Yards by week → Balanced back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — 118 carries and 15 catches in 8 games, more touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Dominic Kelley's full player page | ||||||||||
| Speed Merchant · +0.37 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 82 | 508 #74 FBS | 6.2 | 4 | 72 | 16.4 | 14.8 | |
Yards by week → Speed merchant· Boom-or-bustCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — 82 carries and 9 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Turner hits the crease and outruns the angle. Jr. is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry6.4 84th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception13.8 99th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Herschel Turner's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.27 EPA/play | 7 | 7 | 19 | 305 | 16.1 | 1 | 73 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Gary Givens III's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.56 EPA/play | 9 | 7 | 16 | 199 | 12.4 | 2 | 34 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains This week's matchup — WR Brown moves the chains on third down. Dimopoulos is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception14.0 55th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume16 bottom 21th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Marshaun Brown's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · -0.06 EPA/play | 11 | 7 | 31 | 179 | 5.8 | 0 | 26 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 31 catches in 7 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Moun moves the chains on third down. Dimopoulos is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception5.9 bottom 2th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)-0.1 bottom 4th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Damien Moun's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.07 EPA/play | 5 | 8 | 8 | 162 | 20.2 | 1 | 50 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.93 EPA/play | 81 | 4 | 5 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 37 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.14 EPA/play | 16 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 17 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 98 | 8 | 24 | 14 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Starter — 24 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate14.6% bottom 48th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View David Paine Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 10 | 7 | 18 | 11 | 3.5 | 1 | 2 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 18 tackles in 7 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight329 lb 95th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Logologo Va'a's full player page | |||||||
| 96 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 90 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 2 | 8 | 86 | 47 | 39 | 5 | 2.5 | 3 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Impact starter — 86 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume86 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate5.8% bottom 32th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View EJ Smith's full player page | |||||||||
| Versatile End | 32 | 8 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. Impact starter — 60 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 121 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate10.8% bottom 24th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Dylan Labarbera's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 1 | 8 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 58 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jeremy Naborne's full player page | |||||||||
| Versatile End | 92 | 8 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. Impact starter — 30 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Myles Williams's full player page | |||||||||
| 11 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 44 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 18 | 8 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 42 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume42 81th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Aiden Walker's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 8 | 8 | 33 | 8 #13 FBS | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 33 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate24.2% 99th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Larry Turner-Gooden's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 26 | 8 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 31 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Isaiah Jordan's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | — | 6 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Joshua Scott's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 12 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate29.4% 100th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Bryson Snelling's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 5 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.7% bottom 44th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Zion Jones's full player page | |||||||
| 15 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 84 | 8 | 10/13 | 76.9 | 20/20 | 50 | 45 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 95 | 8 | 31 | 1345 | 43.4 | 61 | 7 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.16 EPA/play | 25 | 8 | 9 | 291 | 32.3 | 0 | 90 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 7 | 18 | 218 | 12.1 | 0 | 43 |
Biggest plays from Nevada’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Nevada’s games this season, whoever made them.
Overtime, 0:00 · Air Force down 3, takes the leadRocco Conti runs 7 yards for a touchdownAir Force at Nevada, week 4Overtime, 0:00 · Air Force 36, Nevada 33Overtime touchdown for Air ForceOvertime touchdown for Air ForceR.Conti rush left for 7 yards gain to the Nevada00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN▶Watch from this play
Q4, 1:49 · Nevada down 7, ties itHerschel Turner runs 57 yards for a touchdownAir Force at Nevada, week 4Q4, 1:49 · Nevada 27, Air Force 271:49Game-tying touchdown for Nevada with 1:49 left1:49Game-tying touchdown for Nevada with 1:49 leftGame-tying touchdown for Nevada with 1:49 leftH.Turner rush middle for 57 yards gain to the AF00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q4, 0:17 · Air Force tiedBryson Snelling intercepts Liam SzarkaAir Force at Nevada, week 4Q4, 0:17 · Air Force 27, Nevada 27Air Force turned it over with 0:17 left, tiedAir Force turned it over with 0:17 left, tiedL.Szarka pass intercepted by B.Snelling at Nevada47, End Of Play▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 4:43 · Nevada down 3, takes the leadAJ Bianco runs 9 yards for a touchdownAir Force at Nevada, week 4Q3, 4:43 · Nevada 17, Air Force 13Go-ahead score for Nevada in the third quarterGo-ahead score for Nevada in the third quarterA.Bianco rush middle for 9 yards gain to the AF00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 2:21 · Nevada up 7Donnie Cheers runs 20 yards for a touchdownWestern Kentucky at Nevada, week 1Q2, 2:21 · Nevada 21, Western Kentucky 7▲16%Nevada’s chance to win, 73% to 89%▲16%Nevada’s chance to win, 73% to 89%D.Cheers rush right for 20 yards gain to the WKU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
CBS Sports College Football - Q1, 1:32 · Nevada breaks the tieHerschel Turner runs 8 yards for a touchdownAir Force at Nevada, week 4Q1, 1:32 · Nevada 10, Air Force 3Nevada took the lead in the first quarterNevada took the lead in the first quarterH.Turner rush left for 8 yards gain to the AF00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Nevada lost to Air Force after being 81% to win; the closest win was at UTEP, down to 41%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Nevada during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Nevada
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · NevadaEJ Smith leads Nevada with 86 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+13 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Nevada fields a struggling explosive, big-play offense behind a leaky defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Nevada reads strongest in success rate allowed (top 25%) and explosive plays (top 27%); the crux lives in passing EPA, where Nevada sits at the 9th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Nevada is worth +4.2 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 50th percentile of 133 programs
48% at home, 32% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (21-23 home, 16-34 away). Interval ±4.0.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Nevada has beaten the number by +1.2 more at home than away over 101 games. That is inside the ±6.3 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Mackay Stadium seats 27,000 and has averaged 67% full (18,143, 28 games reported). Visitors cover a median 491 miles to get here since 2018 — 56th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 19% of the 2026 roster (19 of 101 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 51 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Garbage timeCaleb Ramseur does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score.
- Deep threatJett Carpenter is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Dominic Kelley and Herschel Turner split the carries (98/159 vs 61/159) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Dominic Kelley gets the clock-killing work; Herschel Turner produces in bigger chunks.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Gary Givens III (WR) and DJ Asiasi (TE) split the targets (43/51 vs 8/51) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Nevada actually scores
1st percentile quality, 99th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Nevada’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 44th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 41st — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Nevada hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
28th percentile success on standard downs, 27th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Nevada by half
1st-half offense ranks 3rd percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 41st — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Nevada’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.03; 14th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.00. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.56 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Nevada’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Nevada’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (61.6% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 187-play sample) — mid-pack, 6 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Nevada’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (63.8% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 158-play sample) — mid-pack, 17 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 20% of their own fumbles — running cold vs. the ~52% league rate.
1 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Getting hands on the ball but not cashing in: 3% of disruptions converted, vs. the ~18% league rate.
1 interceptions of 38 disrupted passes (37 deflected, 1 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Winning the penalty battle: 49 penalties committed vs. 67 drawn on opponents, a 213-yard edge.
419 penalty yards committed vs. 632 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Nevada
Most similar programs · NevadaReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Historical echo
Nevada’s slide has precedent — and 2 of the 4 closest kept falling.
Programs whose stature fell in the same shape. The grey line is their decline; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Weather
Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV · 4,615 ft above sea level
Usual during the game around Nov 6: 49°, between 36° and 62° in about 7 in 10 games (35 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 63°, and 8 in 10 ran between 41° and 78° (47 of 58 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.