cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Austin Harnetiaux /Nevada

Austin Harnetiaux

LB · Nevada · Jr · #44

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

37 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Nevada → Rice for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Rice

2025Nevada
2026Rice

LB · NEVADA · MOUNTAIN WEST

Austin Harnetiaux

  • 3
  • #44
  • 6-2 | 228 lb
  • Seattle, WA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

43

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 67th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13431

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey44
Measurements6-2 | 228 lb
HometownSeattle, WA
Primary teamNevada

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Rice 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 21, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Nevada -> Rice 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2024 Washington -> Nevada 3-star | 0.8100 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13431Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13708Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Austin Harnetiaux

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Austin Harnetiaux

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
37Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
44Tackles
1.8Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 37): needs 21.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 37): needs 31.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Austin Harnetiaux is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Nevada's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13431 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 37 17 solo | #1007/4942 (80th pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
37 80th
SOLO
17 73rd
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 11-46@ Penn State740.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 2W 20-17vs Sacramento State620.00.00
Wk 3L 13-14vs Middle Tennessee110.00.01
Wk 4L 16-31@ Western Kentucky100.00.00
Wk 7L 10-44vs San Diego State100.00.00
Wk 8L 22-24@ New Mexico111.00.00
Wk 9L 3-24vs Boise State420.00.01
Wk 11L 14-51@ Utah State410.50.00
Wk 12W 55-10vs San José State540.00.00
Wk 13W 13-7@ Wyoming520.00.00
Wk 14L 17-42vs UNLV200.00.00
Total37171.50.02
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Washington11-2HC: Kalen DeBoer · Pass-leaning
2024Nevada3-10HC: Jeff Choate · Run-leaning
2025Nevada3-9HC: Jeff Choate · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Nevada37171.50.02----
2024Nevada44211.50.0----1
2022Washington110.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons82393.00.02--1
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 37 #1007/4942 80th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 17 #1252/4584 73rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.20.00.00.3
Road5g3.60.30.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g5.30.00.00.0
Losses8g2.60.20.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.20.00.00.2
Weeks 8+6g3.50.20.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

43Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Tackles#1007 / 2975 · 65th pct
37defe
Solo tackles#1252 / 2975 · 56th pct
17defe
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Austin HarnetiauxNevadaTyler MartinMassachusetts· 79% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 75% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 71% sim
Passes defended
67
Harnetiaux
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
Tackles
65
Harnetiaux
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
Solo tackles
56
Harnetiaux
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
Tackles for loss
39
Harnetiaux
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Sacks
24
Harnetiaux
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Harnetiaux
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Coverage 'Backer

Carries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cam Dillon’s 2023 season.

Cam Dillon

89%match

Duke · 2023

#2

Solon Page III

Tennessee · 2021

88%
#3

Luke Hodge

Troy · 2025

85%
#4

Amari Burney

Florida · 2021

NFL Rd 6
84%
#5

Andrew Behm

Akron · 2022

83%

Matches Cam on

TFL rate
Height
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Raul Aguirre Jr.'s junior season at Miami (2025).

Raul Aguirre Jr.

87%match

Miami · 2025

#2

Harrison Taggart

California · 2025

86%
#3

Nick Rattin

Northern Illinois · 2022

85%
#4

Mekhi Garner

LSU · 2022

All-Sun Belt
84%
#5

Ca'lub Holloway

Sam Houston · 2025

84%

Matches Raul on

Class year
TFL rate
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Choate

Pass share

42.6%

306 pass / 413 run

Plays / game

59.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

251 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Ken Wilson
Nevada
2024
Jeff Choate
Nevada
era →
2025
Jeff Choate
Nevada

Coaching transition mid-career: Ken Wilson → Jeff Choate. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSeattle, WA
Height6'2"
Weight228 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey44

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Nevada LB3 #13431 #13708 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Washington LB3 #6996 #6630 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Washington LB3 #10437 #10110 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Nevada Mountain West LB 3 No. 44 | 6-2 | 228 lb | Seattle, WA
2024 Nevada Mountain West LB 3 No. 44 | 6-2 | 228 lb | Seattle, WA
2023 Washington Pac-12 LB 3 No. 44 | 6-2 | 228 lb | Seattle, WA
2022 Washington Pac-12 LB 3 No. 44 | 6-2 | 228 lb | Seattle, WA