Rice at Notre Dame
Fan take
Rice fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Rice · 5-8
Picked #181 in the preseason · now #196.
Three straight losses, each by 20 or more.
L 10–41 @ Texas State #40 of 668
lost by 31 as a 19.5-point underdog
L 3–52 @ South FloridaTop 25 #11 of 668
lost by 49 as a 28.5-point underdog
L 24–56 vs North TexasTop 25 #35 of 668
lost by 32 as a 18.5-point underdog
W 24–17 vs UAB #154 of 668
won by 7 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 14–38 vs MemphisTop 25 #42 of 668
lost by 24 as a 14-point underdog
W 37–34 vs UConn #73 of 668
won by 3 as a 10-point underdog
L 13–61 @ UTSA #29 of 668
lost by 48 as a 9.5-point underdog
L 21–27 vs Florida Atlantic #132 of 668
lost by 6 as a 4.5-point favorite
L 13–21 @ NavyTop 25 #29 of 668
lost by 8 as a 14.5-point underdog
W 28–17 @ Charlotte #242 of 668
won by 11 as a 2-point favorite
W 38–17 vs Prairie View A&M #178 of 668
won by 21 as a 29.5-point favorite
L 9–35 vs HoustonTop 25 #34 of 668
lost by 26 as a 13.5-point underdog
W 14–12 @ Louisiana #58 of 668
won by 2 as a 9.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Notre Dame · 10-2
Picked #1 in the preseason · now #2 — about right.
Three straight wins, one over ranked or top-40 competition.
W 49–20 @ Stanford #105 of 668
won by 29 as a 33.5-point favorite
W 70–7 vs Syracuse #160 of 668
won by 63 as a 36.5-point favorite
W 37–15 @ PittsburghTop 25 #32 of 668
won by 22 as a 13-point favorite
W 49–10 vs NavyTop 25 #65 of 668
won by 39 as a 30.5-point favorite
W 25–10 @ Boston College #97 of 668
won by 15 as a 31-point favorite
W 34–24 vs USCTop 25 #12 of 668
won by 10 as a 11-point favorite
W 36–7 vs NC State #33 of 668
won by 29 as a 24.5-point favorite
W 28–7 vs Boise StateTop 25 #30 of 668
won by 21 as a 21.5-point favorite
W 56–13 @ Arkansas #58 of 668
won by 43 as a 5-point favorite
W 56–30 vs Purdue #141 of 668
won by 26 as a 24.5-point favorite
L 40–41 vs Texas A&MTop 25 #10 of 668
lost by 1 as a 6.5-point favorite
L 24–27 @ MiamiTop 25 #6 of 668
lost by 3 as a 3-point favorite
What’s at stake
Rice
- Rice is still shaking off a 52-point loss.
Notre Dame
- Notre Dame sits at 68% to make the CFP field — 69% with a win here, 49% with a loss.
- Notre Dame is coming off a 52-point win.
The series
Notre Dame leads the series 6-0
6 meetings since 1915 · Notre Dame has won the last 6
- 2026Notre Dame 52–0
- 2014Notre Dame 48–17
- 1988Notre Dame 54–11
- 1974Notre Dame 10–3
- 1973Notre Dame 28–0
Best players
Rice
- Cooper King (LB) · 13 tackles
- AJ Brown (DE) · 10 tackles
- Chibby Nwajuaku (DL) · 9 tackles
Notre Dame
- C.J. Carr (QB) · 492 passing yards
- Jaiden Ausberry (LB) · 12 tackles
- Jordan Faison (WR) · 135 receiving yards — Heisman odds: 120th (+50000)
The line, and the room
Rice fans are feeling better about their season (66th percentile) than Notre Dame fans are (53rd) — even with Notre Dame favored here.
Home −44.5 · O/U 54.5
Conditions
86°F · 8 mph wind · Fair
Notre Dame is worth +3.5 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 38th percentile.
88% at home, 79% on the road against FBS opponents (46–6 home, 27–7 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.3 at home vs. away over 66 games — inside the ±8.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 974 miles to get here.
Rice 0 – Notre Dame 52
Called it — picked Notre Dame to win.
Recent games
Notre Dame
- Wk 1Wvs Wisconsin41-13
Rice
- Wk 1Wvs Houston Christian31-3
Trajectory
Notre Dame handled Rice 52-0, matching the pregame favorite.