No. 3 Notre Dame routs Rice 52-0

Rice1-10
No. 3 Notre Dame2-052Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, Ind. · Crowd 77,622NBC

No. 3 Notre Dame routed Rice 52-0.

We had Notre Dame favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

Adon is a bad, bad man

Q1 14:46 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 12

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Notre Dame a 99% chance, and the closing betting line (Notre Dame was a 44.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Notre Dame led by 21 after the first quarter and by 42 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+52+52
Fumble return TDNotre Dame · Q1 14:46
FinalNotre Dame 52-0 RiceNotre Dame wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Notre DameWon52-0ScoresNotre DameRiceNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 10 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 9 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 2 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Notre DameWon52-0ScoresN. DameRiceNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 10 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 9 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 2 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Notre DameLowest 0%Lost0-52ScoresRiceNotre DameRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 2 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 10 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 9 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Notre DameLowest 0%Lost0-52ScoresRiceN. DameRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 2 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 1 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteRice fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 10 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 9 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q1 14:46Traore returns fumble for touchdown as fans praise Adon's hitQuoted at the top of the page.
  2. Q1 10:30Carr throws deep touchdown to Faison, making it 14-0 as fans declare Rice cookedLove me a Faison tuddier/CFB game thread
  3. Q1 1:38Fans mock Rice's triple option defense and compare them to NavyAlways glad to have Navy around.r/CFB game threadThe way ND’s defense always seem to dominate these triple options so well since Freeman has been coachr/CFB game thread
  4. Q2 5:55Notre Dame fans criticize Carr's hospital pass and Williams' run before puntCarr has 4 incompletions and they were all extremely catchabler/CFB game thread
Notre Dame’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Notre Dame -44.5), at 100% for Notre Dame (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Notre Dame or Rice flair (626 and 32); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Every drive

Notre Dame scored on 7 of its 10 drives; Rice on 0 of its 11.

Notre Dame’s drives are teal, Rice’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Rice: Fumble Return returned for a touchdown, from 75 yards out to 76Fumble Return TDRice: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 62FumbleNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 38 yards out to 0TouchdownRice: Punt, from 75 yards out to 87PuntNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 58 yards out to 0TouchdownRice: Punt, from 75 yards out to 75PuntNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 64 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Rice: Punt, from 75 yards out to 58PuntNotre Dame: Punt, from 80 yards out to 59PuntRice: Fumble, from 87 yards out to 94FumbleNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 6 yards out to 0TouchdownRice: Punt, from 68 yards out to 64PuntNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 38 yards out to 0TouchdownRice: End of half, from 75 yards out to 55End of halfQ3Notre Dame: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownRice: Punt, from 75 yards out to 76PuntNotre Dame: Field goal, from 67 yards out to 18Field goalRice: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73PuntNotre Dame: Turned over on downs, from 68 yards out to 9DownsQ4Rice: Fumble, from 91 yards out to 16FumbleNotre Dame: End of game, from 84 yards out to 30End of game
“Man this string of made extra points is refreshing”
A Notre Dame fan

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans had the most to say in the opening quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was steady.

FirstSecondThirdFourthNotre Dame fansRice fansusual

What it cost

Notre Dame’s chance to make the playoff fell from 72% to 69%.

Make the playoff

Rice · lost0% → 0%
Notre Dame · won72% → ▼69%72%▼ 69%

Win the title

Rice · lost0% → 0%
Notre Dame · won13% → ▼11%13%▼ 11%

Before the game (September 11, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Notre Dame 52, Rice 0

Notre Dame covered −44.5 by 7.5. The total, 52, stayed under 54.5.

RiceNotre DameTotal yardsRice 128Notre Dame 478128478Passing yardsRice 64Notre Dame 36064360Rushing yardsRice 64Notre Dame 11864118First downsRice 7Notre Dame 24724TurnoversRice 4Notre Dame 040Time of possessionRice 27:42Notre Dame 32:1827:4232:18
Team totalsRiceNotre Dame
Total yards128478
Passing8 of 12, 64 yds25 of 33, 360 yds
Rushing34 for 64 yds32 for 118 yds
First downs724
Third down2 of 127 of 12
Fourth down2 of 21 of 2
Turnovers40
Penalties4 for 37 yds2 for 20 yds
Time of possession27:4232:18

Rice leaders

  • Passing Jacurri Brown 8 of 12, 64 yds
  • Rushing Jacurri Brown 16 for 32 yds; Tyvonn Byars 7 for 24 yds
  • Receiving Barry Jackson Jr. 1 for 30 yds; Chris Bruce 1 for 19 yds

Notre Dame leaders

  • Passing C.J. Carr 16 of 20, 253 yds, 4 TD
  • Rushing Jonaz Walton 8 for 48 yds; Nolan James Jr. 6 for 29 yds, 2 TD
  • Receiving Jerome Bettis Jr. 2 for 61 yds; Jordan Faison 4 for 54 yds, 2 TD

No rain and calm

85° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 8 mph from the west-southwest, mostly across the field, gusts to 20

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 65 other games played at Notre Dame Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 71°, with about 7 in 10 games between 59° and 82°.

September game-day temperatures at Notre Dame Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Notre Dame favoredRice favored100%Win chanceNotre DameRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Notre Dame favoredRice favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:55 left3:37 p.m.
Rice 0, Notre Dame 0 · Notre Dame 100% to win
no rain · wind 9 mph from the southwest, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 16 · 85°
Brown incomplete to Matthews
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at South Bend airport, 4.3 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Rice · 5-8

Rated 181st in our preseason ratings, 178th now.

Three straight losses, each by 20 or more.

L 10-41 @ Texas State #41 of 667

lost by 31 as a 19.5-point underdog

Rice lost 10-41 vs Texas State. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 15%.

L 3-52 @ South FloridaTop 25 #19 of 667

lost by 49 as a 28.5-point underdog

Rice lost 3-52 at South Florida. Chance to win started at 3%, low under 1%, high 3%.

L 24-56 vs North TexasTop 25 #33 of 667

lost by 32 as an 18.5-point underdog

Rice lost 24-56 vs North Texas. Chance to win started at 14%, low under 1%, high 58%.

W 24-17 vs UAB #147 of 667

won by 7 as a 1.5-point favorite

Rice won 24-17 vs UAB. Chance to win started at 61%, low 42%, high better than 99%.

L 14-38 vs MemphisTop 25 #36 of 667

lost by 24 as a 13.5-point underdog

Rice lost 14-38 vs Memphis. Chance to win started at 24%, low under 1%, high 24%.

W 37-34 vs UConn #76 of 667

won by 3 as a 9.5-point underdog

Rice won 37-34 vs UConn. Chance to win started at 34%, low 10%, high better than 99%.

L 13-61 @ UTSA #55 of 667

lost by 48 as a 9.5-point underdog

Rice lost 13-61 at UTSA. Chance to win started at 19%, low under 1%, high 19%.

L 21-27 vs Florida Atlantic #97 of 667

lost by 6 as a 4.5-point favorite

Rice lost 21-27 vs Florida Atlantic. Chance to win started at 72%, low 6%, high 85%.

L 13-21 @ NavyTop 25 #80 of 667

lost by 8 as a 14.5-point underdog

Rice lost 13-21 at Navy. Chance to win started at 12%, low under 1%, high 12%.

W 28-17 @ Charlotte #176 of 667

won by 11 as a 1.5-point favorite

Rice won 28-17 at Charlotte. Chance to win started at 45%, low 35%, high better than 99%.

W 38-17 vs Prairie View A&M #181 of 667

won by 21 as a 29.5-point favorite

Rice won 38-17 vs Prairie View A&M. Chance to win started at 98%, low 93%, high better than 99%.

L 9-35 vs HoustonTop 25 #63 of 667

lost by 26 as a 13.5-point underdog

W 14-12 @ Louisiana #92 of 667

won by 2 as a 9.5-point underdog

Rice won 14-12 at Louisiana. Chance to win started at 20%, low 15%, high 81%.

Last three games · 2025 season

Notre Dame · 10-2

Rated 1st in our preseason ratings, 1st now.

Three straight wins, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

W 49-20 @ Stanford #100 of 667

won by 29 as a 33.5-point favorite

Notre Dame won 49-20 at Stanford. Chance to win started at 97%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

W 70-7 vs Syracuse #136 of 667

won by 63 as a 36.5-point favorite

Notre Dame won 70-7 vs Syracuse. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

W 37-15 @ PittsburghTop 25 #41 of 667

won by 22 as a 12.5-point favorite

Notre Dame won 37-15 at Pittsburgh. Chance to win started at 71%, low 66%, high better than 99%.

W 49-10 vs NavyTop 25 #103 of 667

won by 39 as a 30.5-point favorite

Notre Dame won 49-10 vs Navy. Chance to win started at 98%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

W 25-10 @ Boston College #100 of 667

won by 15 as a 30.5-point favorite

Notre Dame won 25-10 at Boston College. Chance to win started at 96%, low 90%, high better than 99%.

W 34-24 vs USCTop 25 #12 of 667

won by 10 as a 10.5-point favorite

Notre Dame won 34-24 vs USC. Chance to win started at 83%, low 59%, high better than 99%.

W 36-7 vs NC State #45 of 667

won by 29 as a 24.5-point favorite

Notre Dame won 36-7 vs NC State. Chance to win started at 96%, low 88%, high better than 99%.

W 28-7 vs Boise StateTop 25 #51 of 667

won by 21 as a 21.5-point favorite

Notre Dame won 28-7 vs Boise State. Chance to win started at 95%, low 86%, high better than 99%.

W 56-13 @ Arkansas #22 of 667

won by 43 as a 5.5-point favorite

Notre Dame won 56-13 at Arkansas. Chance to win started at 59%, low 46%, high better than 99%.

W 56-30 vs Purdue #88 of 667

won by 26 as a 24.5-point favorite

Notre Dame won 56-30 vs Purdue. Chance to win started at 96%, low 96%, high better than 99%.

L 40-41 vs Texas A&MTop 25 #17 of 667

lost by 1 as a 7.5-point favorite

Notre Dame lost 40-41 vs Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 75%, low under 1%, high 92%.

L 24-27 @ MiamiTop 25 #11 of 667

lost by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite

Notre Dame lost 24-27 at Miami. Chance to win started at 44%, low under 1%, high 59%.

Week by week

Notre Dame

  • Wk 1Wvs Wisconsin41-13

Rice

  • Wk 1Wvs Houston Christian31-3

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Rice’s EPA/play against Notre Dame, 82 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Rice’s EPA/play against Notre Dame’s defense

    82 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Rice offense, 9th percentile · Notre Dame defense, 91st

  2. Rice’s passing EPA against Notre Dame’s defense

    60 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Rice offense, 1st percentile · Notre Dame defense, 61st

  3. Rice’s explosive plays against Notre Dame’s defense

    20 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Rice offense, 27th percentile · Notre Dame defense, 47th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

RiceNotre Dame
EPA/play, offense
Rice · 9Notre Dame · 96
EPA/play, defense
Rice · 24Notre Dame · 91
Success rate, offense
Rice · 15Notre Dame · 93
Success rate, defense
Rice · 43Notre Dame · 84
Explosive-play rate, offense
Rice · 27Notre Dame · 25
Explosive-play rate, defense
Rice · 21Notre Dame · 47
Rush EPA, offense
Rice · 29Notre Dame · 87
Rush EPA, defense
Rice · 24Notre Dame · 95
Pass EPA, offense
Rice · 1Notre Dame · 91
Pass EPA, defense
Rice · 47Notre Dame · 61

The series

Notre Dame leads the series 5-0

5 meetings since 1915 · Notre Dame has won the last 5

  • 2014Notre Dame 48-17
  • 1988Notre Dame 54-11
  • 1974Notre Dame 10-3
  • 1973Notre Dame 28-0
  • 1915Notre Dame 55-2

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Notre Dame fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (69th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

50-50Model 99% · Line 100%Notre Dame fans · 69thRice fans · 82ndRiceNotre Dame

Notre Dame favored by 44.5 · Total 54.5

How games like this usually go

Notre Dame by 44.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The total rose 2 points.

opened 52.5now 54.5

Total: 52.5 → 54.5

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 86° at kickoff.

Rice at Notre Dame · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame

  • 86°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 71weather score, Rough
  • Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's seven kickoff times. At Notre Dame Stadium that day, a 7:30 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 71 at 3:30 pm.

The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.

  • noon: 74, Rough
  • 1 pm: 71, Rough
  • 2 pm: 70, Rough
  • 3:30 pm: 71, Rough (this game)
  • 6 pm: 90, Comfortable
  • 7 pm: 98, Comfortable
  • 7:30 pm: 100, Ideal

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Notre Dame is worth +3.7 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 41st percentile.

89% at home, 78% on the road against FBS opponents (48-6 home, 29-8 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.1 at home vs. away over 92 games — inside the ±6.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 974 miles to get here.

Where next