RICE Rice 1-1 0 ND No. 3 Notre Dame2-0 52 Final No. 3 Notre Dame routed Rice 52-0. Share this game
We had Notre Dame favored. It won.
Top comment in the game thread
Adon is a bad, bad man
Q1 14:46 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 12 How it swung Drives What it cost Box score Weather Before kickoff How it swung Before kickoff, our ratings gave Notre Dame a 99% chance, and the closing betting line (Notre Dame was a 44.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
Notre Dame led by 21 after the first quarter and by 42 at the half.
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 0 +52 +52 Fumble return TD Notre Dame · Q1 14:46Final Notre Dame 52-0 Rice Notre Dame won Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. Final Rice 0-52 Notre Dame Rice lost Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Notre Dame Won 52-0 Scores Notre Dame Rice Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 7 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 10 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 7 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 7 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 9 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 2 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Notre Dame Won 52-0 Scores N. Dame Rice Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 7 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 10 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 7 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 7 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments 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minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 2 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Notre Dame Lowest 0% Lost 0-52 Scores Rice Notre Dame Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 2 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a 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comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 7 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 10 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 7 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 7 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 9 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Notre Dame Lowest 0% Lost 0-52 Scores Rice N. Dame Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 2 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 1 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Rice fans: 0 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 8 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 7 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 10 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 7 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 7 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 9 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 5 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 1 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 4 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 6 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 3 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute Notre Dame fans: 0 comments a minute
See it from Rice’s side No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
Q1 14:46 Traore returns fumble for touchdown as fans praise Adon's hit Quoted at the top of the page. Q1 10:30 Carr throws deep touchdown to Faison, making it 14-0 as fans declare Rice cooked Love me a Faison tuddie r/CFB game thread Q1 1:38 Fans mock Rice's triple option defense and compare them to Navy Always glad to have Navy around. r/CFB game thread The way ND’s defense always seem to dominate these triple options so well since Freeman has been coach r/CFB game thread Q2 5:55 Notre Dame fans criticize Carr's hospital pass and Williams' run before punt Carr has 4 incompletions and they were all extremely catchable r/CFB game thread Notre Dame’s chance to win after every play. How to read this chart Starts from the pregame line (Notre Dame -44.5), at 100% for Notre Dame (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Notre Dame or Rice flair (626 and 32); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.
Every drive Notre Dame scored on 7 of its 10 drives; Rice on 0 of its 11.
Notre Dame’s drives are teal, Rice’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
own goal goal line Q1 Rice: Fumble Return returned for a touchdown, from 75 yards out to 76 Fumble Return TD Rice: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 62 Fumble Notre Dame: Touchdown, from 38 yards out to 0 Touchdown Rice: Punt, from 75 yards out to 87 Punt Notre Dame: Touchdown, from 58 yards out to 0 Touchdown Rice: Punt, from 75 yards out to 75 Punt Notre Dame: Touchdown, from 64 yards out to 0 Touchdown Q2 Rice: Punt, from 75 yards out to 58 Punt Notre Dame: Punt, from 80 yards out to 59 Punt Rice: Fumble, from 87 yards out to 94 Fumble Notre Dame: Touchdown, from 6 yards out to 0 Touchdown Rice: Punt, from 68 yards out to 64 Punt Notre Dame: Touchdown, from 38 yards out to 0 Touchdown Rice: End of half, from 75 yards out to 55 End of half Q3 Notre Dame: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Rice: Punt, from 75 yards out to 76 Punt Notre Dame: Field goal, from 67 yards out to 18 Field goal Rice: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73 Punt Notre Dame: Turned over on downs, from 68 yards out to 9 Downs Q4 Rice: Fumble, from 91 yards out to 16 Fumble Notre Dame: End of game, from 84 yards out to 30 End of game “Man this string of made extra points is refreshing” A Notre Dame fan When fans got loud Busy
Fans had the most to say in the opening quarter.
Jump to the loudest stretch
The jump was busy; the crowd was steady.
First Second Third Fourth Notre Dame fans Rice fans usual What it cost Notre Dame’s chance to make the playoff fell from 72% to 69%.
Make the playoff
Rice · lost 0% → 0%
Notre Dame · won 72% → ▼ 69% 72% ▼ 69%
Win the title
Rice · lost 0% → 0%
Notre Dame · won 13% → ▼ 11% 13% ▼ 11%
Before the game (September 11, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score Notre Dame 52, Rice 0
Notre Dame covered −44.5 by 7.5. The total, 52, stayed under 54.5.
Rice Notre Dame Total yards Rice 128 Notre Dame 478 128 478 Passing yards Rice 64 Notre Dame 360 64 360 Rushing yards Rice 64 Notre Dame 118 64 118 First downs Rice 7 Notre Dame 24 7 24 Turnovers Rice 4 Notre Dame 0 4 0 Time of possession Rice 27:42 Notre Dame 32:18 27:42 32:18 Team totals Rice Notre Dame Total yards 128 478 Passing 8 of 12, 64 yds 25 of 33, 360 yds Rushing 34 for 64 yds 32 for 118 yds First downs 7 24 Third down 2 of 12 7 of 12 Fourth down 2 of 2 1 of 2 Turnovers 4 0 Penalties 4 for 37 yds 2 for 20 yds Time of possession 27:42 32:18
Rice leaders Passing Jacurri Brown 8 of 12, 64 ydsRushing Jacurri Brown 16 for 32 yds; Tyvonn Byars 7 for 24 ydsReceiving Barry Jackson Jr. 1 for 30 yds; Chris Bruce 1 for 19 ydsNotre Dame leaders Passing C.J. Carr 16 of 20, 253 yds, 4 TDRushing Jonaz Walton 8 for 48 yds; Nolan James Jr. 6 for 29 yds, 2 TDReceiving Jerome Bettis Jr. 2 for 61 yds; Jordan Faison 4 for 54 yds, 2 TDNo rain and calm 85° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 8 mph from the west-southwest, mostly across the field, gusts to 20
Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 65 other games played at Notre Dame Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 71°, with about 7 in 10 games between 59° and 82°.
September game-day temperatures at Notre Dame Stadium
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Notre Dame favored Rice favored 100% Win chance Notre Dame Rain inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind mph, average and gusts 20 mph 40 mph Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Notre Dame favored Rice favored Rain · inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind · miles per hour 20 40 Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
First quarter, 14:55 left3:37 p.m.
Rice 0, Notre Dame 0 · Notre Dame 100% to win
no rain · wind 9 mph from the southwest, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 16 · 85°
Brown incomplete to Matthews
Previous play Next play
Where this weather comes from Measured at South Bend airport, 4.3 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.
Before kickoff Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Matchups Biggest mismatch: Rice’s EPA/play against Notre Dame, 82 points Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Rice’s EPA/play against Notre Dame’s defense
82 points weaker stronger 50th Rice offense, 9th percentile · Notre Dame defense, 91st
Rice’s passing EPA against Notre Dame’s defense
60 points weaker stronger 50th Rice offense, 1st percentile · Notre Dame defense, 61st
Rice’s explosive plays against Notre Dame’s defense
20 points weaker stronger 50th Rice offense, 27th percentile · Notre Dame defense, 47th
Season profile, all the rows Season profile Rice Notre Dame
EPA/play, offense
Rice · 9 Notre Dame · 96 EPA/play, defense
Rice · 24 Notre Dame · 91 Success rate, offense
Rice · 15 Notre Dame · 93 Success rate, defense
Rice · 43 Notre Dame · 84 Explosive-play rate, offense
Rice · 27 Notre Dame · 25 Explosive-play rate, defense
Rice · 21 Notre Dame · 47 Rush EPA, offense
Rice · 29 Notre Dame · 87 Rush EPA, defense
Rice · 24 Notre Dame · 95 Pass EPA, offense
Rice · 1 Notre Dame · 91 Pass EPA, defense
Rice · 47 Notre Dame · 61 The series Notre Dame leads the series 5-0
5 meetings since 1915 · Notre Dame has won the last 5
2014 Notre Dame 48-17 1988 Notre Dame 54-11 1974 Notre Dame 10-3 1973 Notre Dame 28-0 1915 Notre Dame 55-2 Line, fans and home field The betting line, and the fans Notre Dame fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (69th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.
50-50 Model 99% · Line 100% Notre Dame fans · 69th Rice fans · 82nd Rice Notre Dame Notre Dame favored by 44.5 · Total 54.5
How games like this usually go Notre Dame by 44.5, and it went to form 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Half of games 8 in 10 games This game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market The total rose 2 points.
opened 52.5 now 54.5 Weather at kickoff Hot and dry. Feels like 86° at kickoff.
Rice at Notre Dame · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame
86°feels like at kickoff Dry no rain at kickoff 71weather score, Rough Tied for the roughest of the day's 7 kickoff times At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's seven kickoff times. At Notre Dame Stadium that day, a 7:30 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 71 at 3:30 pm.
The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.
Rough
Mixed
Comfortable
Ideal (100) 74 Rough 71 Rough 70 Rough 71 Rough 90 Comfortable 98 Comfortable 100 Ideal
noon 1 pm 2 pm 3:30 pm 6 pm 7 pm 7:30 pm
noon: 74, Rough 1 pm: 71, Rough 2 pm: 70, Rough 3:30 pm: 71, Rough (this game) 6 pm: 90, Comfortable 7 pm: 98, Comfortable 7:30 pm: 100, Ideal Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field Notre Dame is worth +3.7 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 41st percentile.
89% at home, 78% on the road against FBS opponents (48-6 home, 29-8 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why ); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.1 at home vs. away over 92 games — inside the ±6.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 974 miles to get here.