cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / T.J. Capers /Louisville

T.J. Capers

LB · Louisville · So · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

46 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Louisville for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Louisville for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Louisville

Returning around him

  • 46% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Louisville player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (33 in / 39 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Louisville · Last season: 9-4 (AP #19) · Talent rank #50 · 2026 recruiting class #68

LB · LOUISVILLE · ACC

T.J. Capers

  • 2
  • #11
  • 6-2 | 225 lb
  • Miami, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

45

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11124

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#117 national
CFB
College
Louisville
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class2
Jersey11
Measurements6-2 | 225 lb
HometownMiami, FL
Primary teamLouisville

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 117 recruit
Composite rating 0.9449 HighSchool
Signed with Louisville 2023
Origin Columbus Miami, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9449 No. 117 recruit | HighSchool | Louisville

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11124Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11101Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Louisville

Composite

0.9449

#117 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on T.J. Capers

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about T.J. Capers

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
46Tackles
3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
46Tackles
3Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

T.J. Capers is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Louisville's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11124 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 117 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 46 23 solo | #706/4942 (86th pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
46 86th
SOLO
23 82nd
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 51-17vs Eastern Kentucky200.00.00
Wk 2W 28-14vs James Madison320.00.00
Wk 4W 40-17vs Bowling Green530.00.00
Wk 5W 34-27@ Pittsburgh220.00.00
Wk 6L 27-30vs Virginia300.00.00
Wk 8W 24-21@ Miami320.00.010
Wk 9W 38-24vs Boston College310.00.01
Wk 10W 28-16@ Virginia Tech531.00.00
Wk 11L 26-29vs California220.00.00
Wk 12L 19-20vs Clemson421.00.00
Wk 13L 6-38@ SMU841.00.00Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 14W 41-0vs Kentucky420.00.00
BowlW 27-22vs Toledo200.00.00
Total46233.00.011
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
2025Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Louisville46233.00.011--
2024Louisville760.00.0--1--
Career2 loaded seasons53293.00.012--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 46 #706/4942 86th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 23 #839/4584 82nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home9g3.10.10.00.1
Road4g4.50.50.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g3.20.10.00.1
Losses4g4.20.50.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.80.00.00.0
Weeks 8+7g4.10.40.00.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

45Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Tackles#706 / 2975 · 76th pct
46defe
Solo tackles#839 / 2975 · 71st pct
23defe
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
T.J. CapersLouisvilleTyler MartinMassachusetts· 87% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 77% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 77% sim
Tackles
76
Capers
98
Martin
99
Vaughns
99
Ra-El
Solo tackles
71
Capers
87
Martin
96
Vaughns
100
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
63
Capers
63
Martin
85
Vaughns
56
Ra-El
Passes defended
48
Capers
67
Martin
48
Vaughns
91
Ra-El
Interceptions
31
Capers
31
Martin
Sacks
24
Capers
24
Martin
63
Vaughns
24
Ra-El
QB hurries
22
Capers
22
Martin
22
Vaughns
22
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dickson Agu’s 2025 season.

Dickson Agu

85%match

Tulane · 2025

#2

Maverick Baranowski

Minnesota · 2023

85%
#3

Jeremiah Telander

Tennessee · 2024

82%
#4

Isaiah Jones

Indiana · 2024

81%
#5

Whit Weeks

LSU · 2023

81%

Matches Dickson on

Class year
TFL rate
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Rashad Henry's sophomore season at Massachusetts (2025).

Rashad Henry

89%match

Massachusetts · 2025

#2

Demarco Ward

Memphis · 2025

89%
#3

Se'Von McDowell

Coastal Carolina · 2025

88%
#4

Payton Pierce

Ohio State · 2025

86%
#5

Martell Hughes

Arizona State · 2025

85%

Matches Rashad on

Class year
TFL rate
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Brohm

Pass share

50.2%

414 pass / 410 run

Plays / game

63.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

314 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Jeff Brohm
Louisville
2025
Jeff Brohm
Louisville

Played his entire career under Jeff Brohm.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMiami, FL
Height6'2"
Weight225 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisville LB2 #11124 #11101 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Louisville LB2 #8685 #8262 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Louisville ACC LB 2 No. 11 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Miami, FL
2024 Louisville ACC LB 2 No. 11 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Miami, FL
2023 Louisville ACC LB 2 No. 11 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Miami, FL