Wake Forest

2-1

ACC · Jake Dickert, year 2 (11-5) · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · 31,500 · 31,441 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#73 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #63 (+3.6) · FPI #54
The marketLouisville by 12.5at Louisville · our model 25% Wake Forest · a number, not a pick

LastL 20–33 vs Miami · Fri Sep 18 · Giovanni Lopez 312 pass yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

Nextat Louisville · Sat Sep 26 · 12 pm ET · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville by 12.5 · series 3-7, last win 2021 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Wake Forest · 2026 schedule & results2-1
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 3#81#58-27.5AkronW 38–16 1371-00-0
2Sep 12#79#118-2.5@PurdueW 38–36 1502-00-0
3Sep 18#79#7+20.5MiamiL 20–33 1302-10-1
4Sep 26#74#43+12.5@Louisville
5Oct 3#73#110Stanford
6Oct 10@NC State
7Oct 17@California
9Oct 31Virginia
10Nov 7Merrimack
11Nov 14@SMU
12Nov 21@Georgia Tech
13Nov 28Duke
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 18MiamiL 20–33334126:36+0.05342.2%127.5%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 12@PurdueW 38–36411027:48+0.35752.2%120.3%Best success rate
Sep 3AkronW 38–16559029:24+0.47842.6%152.8%Season-high EPA/play
Season average (3 games)4350.3+0.29645.7%133.5%
Verdict Begins·Live

Wake Forest is the smallest school in the Power conferences and the program that keeps winning anyway — the place that turns three-star quarterbacks into NFL draft picks and just won nine games in a brand-new coach's first try.

Title DroughtSince 2006 · 20 yrs

Wake fans are used to being the team analysts forget to mention and the campus visitors can't find. They say being overlooked is a feature — the Deacons recruit the players everyone else passed on…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 9-4 · last season

Game feel50even gamescombined pts / game13th highest-scoring of 17 in the ACC
Heart rate4-1some dramain one-score games (5 of 13)7th most one-score games of 17 in the ACC
Margin+6.0competitiveavg scoring margin9th best margin of 17 in the ACC
Tempo66average paceoffensive plays / game11th fastest of 17 in the ACC
Big plays1.50highlight reelexplosiveness (IsoPPP)1st most explosive of 17 in the ACC
Home crowd29,433avg attendance15th biggest crowds of 17 in the ACC

✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among ACC teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Wake Forest has won three of its last five.

Mixed. 7-3 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 7-3
The forecast

Next Sep 26

vs Louisville · away

Season line6.5 winsover -105
StrongPass-first, spreadExplosive, big-play

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total3 booksO/U 6.5▲0.5 since Sep 2026
CFP championship#75 in field+75000
ACC title#12 in market+9400

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

Wake Forest · the story right now 6 storylines developing

What Wake Forest's season is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

market_swing2026-09-16~readnew

Jake Dickert's second season opens with a 9-4 record and a 0.5-win jump toward a projected winning season, but unease lingers as Wake Forest remains a lower-tier program with #63 talent.

what happenedWake Forest win total rose from 6 to 6.5 (+0.5 wins) between Sep 14 and Sep 16, 2026 (tier C). ✓ fact
the contextwin total up 0.5 — crosses into projected winning season territory

our readdeveloping

coaching2025 cycle~readnew

Jake Dickert replaces Dave Clawson’s 29-28 run with a 9-4 roster and just 26% production returning — Wake Forest’s small-school identity meets its first test under a new coach.

what happenedJake Dickert took over as Wake Forest's head coach, replacing Dave Clawson. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 11-year head coach Dave Clawson (67-69)

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Chris Barnes is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Sawyer Racanelli is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Wake Forest leaped 41 spots in SP+ — the program’s 9-4 record and #74 talent rank highlight a quiet ascent, but the smallest P5 school’s identity hinges on sustaining momentum.

what happenedWake Forest enters 2026 rated No. 52 in 2025 SP+ (+5.7), up 41 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

coordinators2025 cycle✓ factnew

Wake Forest: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredWake Forest's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downWake Forest's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downWake Forest's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Wake Forest · 2026

Wake Forest's most likely season is 8-5 — a bowl game. The floor is 5-7; the ceiling is 10-3.

Floor5-7No postseason.
Base8-5A bowl game.
Ceiling10-3A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Wake Forest · Market Confidence

The market bumped Wake Forest up a win. Win totals move for reasons; the books don't give interviews.

Wake Forest win total rose from 6 to 6.5 (+0.5 wins) between Sep 14 and Sep 16, 2026 (tier C). It is win total up 0.5 — crosses into projected winning season territory. The coverage is already ahead of this. The fan base is aligned with the move. The coverage runs aligned with the move.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers5 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 12% volume
Developing1 new this week
6 days agoWin total: 6 → 6.5 (▲0.5)
3 weeks agoWake Forest releases first depth chart — Reported
3 weeks agoWake Forest releases Week 1 depth chart — Reported
3 weeks agoFormer UNC QB named starter at Wake Forest — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Jake Dickert's second season opens with a 9-4 record and a 0.5-win jump toward a projected winning season, but unease lingers as Wake Forest remains a lower-tier program with #63 talent.
Source of record: Wake Forest win total rose from 6 to 6.5 (+0.5 wins) between Sep 14 and Sep 16, 2026 (tier C) — win total up 0.5 — crosses into projected winning season territory.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards loud
🎪The circus“The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly: Wake Forest Demon Deacons…” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly: Wake Forest Demon Deacons 2026 Edition”
State of The U · 2026-09-19 · read ↗
📣Believers5 bullish/market items -- the case it's working.

The 'market knows something fans don't' read -- when odds move, it's on information.

“Deacs Sit in Third After Day One of Highlands Invitational”
Wake Forest University Athletics · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“No. 16 Louisville looks to stay on winning streak against Wake Forest”
WLKY · 2026-09-22 · read ↗
“Watch Jake Dickert of Wake Forest talk about college football and the money issue - Winston-Salem Journal”
news · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'markets overcorrect' counter -- lines move on noise too; the receipts may not hold.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards12% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.

This event was in 69 of 580 board posts (12%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Very resilient from Wake here in the second half in a game with a huge talent discrepancy. Frustrating to not capitalize on some prime opportunities in the second half, but I would"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"thank god for ESPN and the game thread, I thought I would have to watch wake forest leave but I can just listen to everybody else tell me Wake is gonna lose and nothing else. Thank"
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Following now · Wake Forest · Coaching Confidence

The Jake Dickert story at Wake Forest won't sit still.

Jake Dickert took over as Wake Forest's head coach, replacing Dave Clawson. It is replaces 11-year head coach Dave Clawson (67-69). It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room is genuinely divided — believers and skeptics both have receipts.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics2 doubt takes
Believers9 bull takes
💬 fans: 1% volume
Developing4 new this week
yesterdayWake Forest Football coach Jake Dickert pre-UL press conference Q&A — 247Sports
yesterdayWatch Jake Dickert of Wake Forest talk about college football and the money issue - Winston-Salem Journal — news
6 days agoWin total: 6 → 6.5 (▲0.5)
6 days agoJake Dickert talks about Gio Lopez' improvement so far — Greensboro News and Record
3 weeks agoWake Forest releases first depth chart — Reported
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Jake Dickert Head coach
“Wake Forest Football coach Jake Dickert pre-UL press conference Q&A” — 247Sports · 2026-09-21
Dave Clawson Out
Gio Lopez
“Jake Dickert talks about Gio Lopez' improvement so far” — Greensboro News and Record · 2026-09-16
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Jake Dickert replaces Dave Clawson’s 29-28 run with a 9-4 roster and just 26% production returning — Wake Forest’s small-school identity meets its first test under a new coach.
Source of record: Jake Dickert took over as Wake Forest's head coach, replacing Dave Clawson — replaces 11-year head coach Dave Clawson (67-69).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards thinThe Dominoes active
📣Believers9 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.

The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.

“Watch Jake Dickert of Wake Forest talk about college football and the money issue - Winston-Salem Journal”
news · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
“Jake Dickert talks about Gio Lopez' improvement so far - Winston-Salem Journal”
news · 2026-09-16 · read ↗
“Wake Forest Football coach Jake Dickert recaps win over Akron, previews contest at Purdue”
247Sports · 2026-09-07 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Jake Dickert: Wake Forest needs to turn page from fall camp” — the real counter.

The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.

“Jake Dickert: Wake Forest needs to turn page from fall camp”
Jake Dickert · On3 · 2026-08-27 · read ↗
💬The boards4 board mentions — too thin to call a stance.

Only 4 of 580 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.

"Excited to see year two under Dickert. The defensive turnaround last year was truly remarkable. I don’t think it’s unreasonable to think they could be better as a unit this year wi"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Did you know? Wake Forest won 9 games last year! It seemed like nobody talked about it, but Jake Dickert's debut was a huge success. (Most of you here probably knew this already, b"
r/wfu ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

🔗The dominoes7 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.

The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.

“Recruits react to Miami-Wake Forest gameday visit”
on3.com · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
“Recruit visitors: These players will be at Miami-Wake Forest”
On3 · 2026-09-17 · read ↗

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Wake Forest is the smallest P5 school by enrollment and the program that quietly produces nine-win seasons by ignoring its size.

Offense: StrongRun/Pass: Pass-first, spreadTempo: Explosive, big-play
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025Hired Jake Dickert
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Wake Forest

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production14%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#63 nationally247 composite 680.9
Portal Additions24Primary repair: CB
Portal Losses23Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss2NFL Draft departures (2) — 1 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#39Development class
WRin 6 - Wondame Davis Jr.3.70out 8 - Sterling Berkhalter4.12Starter Risk
current room: 193 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Deep Threat2025 profilebeats you over the top
OTin 3 - Ryan Berger3.60out 2 - Melvin Siani4.38Even
DLin 2 - Sydir Mitchell3.50out 2 - Mateen Ibirogba4.75Even
current room: 271 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 2 - Vincent Firenze3.60out 2 - Jacob Cosby-Mosley3.30Even
RBin 2 - KD Daniels3.60out 2 - Drew Pickett3.49Even
current room: 198 lbs avg (2025 roster)
IOLin 2 - John Ohnegian3.50out 1 - Derrell Johnson II3.30Upgrade
current room: 303 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Next man up
RB · departedDemond Claiborne4★ · Rd 6, Pk 17
Projected starter
Full roster (116 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Wake Forest

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Former UNC QB named starter at Wake Forest

    A former UNC QB walking into Truist Field as the Week 1 starter tells you exactly where Dickert's rebuild is — raiding the rival's depth chart to fill the most critical spot on the roster.

    Aug 26Reported
  2. News

    Wake Forest releases first depth chart

    First depth chart under Dickert with two draft departures still showing — the WR pressure is real, and how that room shakes out tells you everything about whether this class punches above #39.

  3. News

    Wake Forest releases Week 1 depth chart

    Two NFL Draft departures already carved into the roster and WR pressure still unresolved — Dickert's Week 1 depth chart is the first real answer to whether the rebuild penciled in or actually filled out.

    Aug 28Reported
  4. News

    Former QB Alphonso Smith Jr. dies

    Alphonso Smith Jr. wore the No. 2 long before he ever took a snap — Wake Forest stops and remembers one of their own today, all the depth charts and bowl races paused.

  5. Recruiting

    Wittingburg commits to Wake Forest

    Two NFL Draft departures gutted the WR room and a 63rd-ranked class wasn't going to paper over it alone — Wittingburg is Dickert's most direct answer to a depth problem that's been on the board since January.

  6. Recruiting

    Gabe Fraser commits to Wake Forest

    Dickert's class sits 63rd nationally and the WR room has been the loudest concern all spring — Fraser is pressure relief, not just a depth add.

Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+0.0 net portal points
(raw ledger: +5.4 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
CB
+7.0
need filled
WR
-4.8
starter risk
IOL
+3.7
LB
+3.5
EDGE
-3.4
QB
-3.3
OT
+2.7
DL
-1.1
S
+0.5
RB
+0.3
TE
+0.2
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Grant Lawless
QB · Denver, NC
#240 national
Profiles like a typical incoming quarterback — 14 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Pocket Passer archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Kyndall McCaleb
RB · Painesville, OH
#323 national
Profiles like a typical incoming running back — 10 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Micheal Ahoua
ATH · Avon, CT
#421 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

30
GA · 7NC · 4CT · 3OH · 3TX · 3FL · 2IN · 2AL · 1+5 more

GA leads the 2026 class with 7 commits. National footprint reaching 13 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

96 signees across 21 states, 2023-2026. GA leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMI1NYMAOR1NVWYSDIA1ILIN2OH4PANJ3CT8CA2UTCO2NEMOKY1WVVA8MD2DERIAZNMKSAR1TN5NC13SC4DCOKLAMSAL3GA19AKHITX6FL9
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Wake Forest player grew up 415 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

36th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%270–710 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi12%12 of 98 players
Farthest2,303 miBilly Johnson · Atherton, CA
Closest26 miKoredell Bartley · Greensboro, NC

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 98 of 116 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns NC · 2026 roster

13% of the Wake Forest roster grew up in NC.

13 of 100 players, drawn from 26 states in all. That is the 121st-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

NC · 13FL · 10GA · 10AL · 6CA · 6TX · 6NJ · 5TN · 5+18 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

100 players across 26 states. Biggest pull outside NC: FL (10).

MEVTNHWA1IDMTNDMN2WIMI1NY1MA1OR3NVWYSDIAILIN3OHPA1NJ5CT4CA6UT1CO3NE1MOKYWVVA5MD3DERIAZ1NMKSARTN5NC13SC3DCOKLA3MS2AL6GA10AKHITX6FL10
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 16 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Wake Forest Defeats SMU 13-12
373 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Postgame Thread] SMU Defeats Wake Forest 12-10
263 upvotes · Oct 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 68% never transferred. A
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Among the stronger offseasons on record for this program

80th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
80th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
6.5
Vegas O/U wins
(41st among FBS)
Fans 39pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books
PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

The flags haven't favored them: 28 penalties committed vs. 20 drawn on opponents, 127 yards behind.

287 penalty yards committed vs. 160 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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