cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Chris Barnes /Wake Forest

Chris Barnes

WR · Wake Forest · Fr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

547 REC YDS · 39 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Wake Forest → Oklahoma State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Oklahoma State

2025Wake Forest
2026Oklahoma State

WR · WAKE FOREST · ACC

Chris Barnes

  • 1
  • #10
  • 5-7 | 168 lb
  • Houston, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

67

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 67th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3428

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1784 national
CFB
College
Wake Forest
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class1
Jersey10
Measurements5-7 | 168 lb
HometownHouston, TX
Primary teamWake Forest

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1784 recruit
Composite rating 0.8419 HighSchool
Signed with Washington State 2024
Origin North Shore Houston, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8419 No. 1784 recruit | HighSchool | Washington State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Oklahoma State 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 11, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Wake Forest -> Oklahoma State 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate
2025 Washington State -> Wake Forest 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3428Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3268Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Washington State

Composite

0.8419

#1784 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Chris Barnes

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 6 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 6 mentions · belief +0 · "Q&A with Cowboy Football wide receiver Chris Barnes &nbsp;&nbsp; Oklahoma State "Own fans
  • Own fans · n=6

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Chris Barnes

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

14.0

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #161 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 70th

Why it matters

#161 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.0 yards per reception (39 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 14.0 (70th)

HIGH · n=39 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#176 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 2 vs Western Carolina — 149 ypr

Result W 42-10

The week the volume broke through — put up 149 yds vs Western Carolina.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
547Rec yards
39Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
49.7Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
646.5Rec yards
46Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 547): needs 76.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 547): needs 226.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 39): needs 10.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 39): needs 20.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Chris Barnes already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #3428 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 39 3 rec TD | #192/1110 (83rd pct)
Receiving yards 547 14.0 per catch | #182/1107 (84th pct)
Scrimmage yards 690 Total offensive yardage | #182/1107 (84th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

All-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
39 83rd
YDS
547 84th
YPR
14.0 68th
TD
3 82nd

Rushing

CAR
13 93rd
YDS
143 97th
YPC
11.0 90th
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
263 82nd
KR AVG
37.6 98th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 10-9vs Kennesaw State3237.7015
Wk 2W 42-10vs Western Carolina614924.8064Season-high 149 yds
Wk 3L 24-34vs NC State37625.3070
Wk 5L 29-30vs Georgia Tech33913.0035
Wk 6W 30-23@ Virginia Tech5214.2010
Wk 7W 39-14@ Oregon State310234.03553 TD catches
Wk 9W 13-12vs SMU56613.2032
Wk 10L 7-42@ Florida State4164.007
Wk 11W 16-9@ Virginia2126.009
Wk 13W 52-14vs Delaware3196.3012
Wk 14L 32-49@ Duke22412.0019
Total3954713.7370
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Wake Forest9-4HC: Jake Dickert · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Wake Forest3954714.03--
Career1 loaded season3954714.03--
SeasonTeam
2025Wake Forest13143263----
Career1 loaded season13143263----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 9.2% 15.3% pass-game share | #230/1137 (80th pct)
Return yards 263 1 return TD | #44/238 (82nd pct)
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 39 #192/1110 83rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 547 #182/1107 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.0 #350/1106 68th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 263 #44/238 82nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 15.3% #230/1137 80th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 143 #12/397 97th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 78 #2/346 100th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 13 #30/407 93rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 11.0 #41/393 90th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 70 #96/1105 91st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 37.6 #5/236 98th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 7 #69/243 72nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Kick return TD 1 #4/20 85th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 12.1% #40/1137 97th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 9.9% #69/1137 94th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 9.2% #131/1137 89th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.5% #333/1137 71st pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 7.9% #397/1137 65th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.9% #403/1137 65th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 3.6% #36/1137 97th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g3.862.015.00.0
Road5g3.235.012.00.6

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g3.956.013.70.4
Losses4g3.038.813.60.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.868.318.20.5
Weeks 8+5g3.227.48.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

67Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (96th). Strength: long catch (83rd).

Rush yards#10 / 287 · 97th pct
143rush
Long catch#89 / 558 · 84th pct
70rece
Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Rec yards#182 / 558 · 67th pct
547rece
Receptions#192 / 558 · 65th pct
39rece
Yards / catch#201 / 558 · 63rd pct
14.0rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Chris BarnesWake ForestDemarcus LaceyMarshall· 83% simDevin VoisinSouth Alabama· 81% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 79% sim
Rush yards
97
Barnes
97
Lacey
Long catch
84
Barnes
81
Lacey
78
Voisin
65
McMillan
Fumbles lost
81
Barnes
81
Lacey
81
Voisin
Rec yards
67
Barnes
87
Lacey
87
Voisin
96
McMillan
Receptions
65
Barnes
93
Lacey
95
Voisin
90
McMillan
Yards / catch
63
Barnes
37
Lacey
35
Voisin
84
McMillan
Rec TDs
57
Barnes
78
Lacey
68
Voisin
57
McMillan
Rush TDs
39
Barnes
39
Lacey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jacob De Jesus’s 2024 season.

Jacob De Jesus

77%match

UNLV · 2024

All-Mountain West
#2

Cam'Ron Lacy

Middle Tennessee · 2025

72%
#3

Jalen Walker

Miami (OH) · 2021

72%
#4

Que'Sean Brown

Duke · 2024

69%
#5

Demario Douglas

Liberty · 2021

NFL Rd 6
68%

Matches Jacob on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Reception volume

Differs from Jacob on

Class year (lower)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen Kelsey’s path through Campbell.

Jalen Kelsey

100%match

Campbell · 2022

#2

Lujuan Winningham

Central Arkansas · 2021

98%
#3

Jacob Harris

UCF · 2020

96%
#4

Tyrin Smith

UTEP · 2023

96%
#5

Jermaine Jackson

Idaho · 2023

93%

Matches Jalen on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Cam'Ron Lacy's sophomore season at Middle Tennessee (2025).

Cam'Ron Lacy

76%match

Middle Tennessee · 2025

#2

Que'Sean Brown

Duke · 2025

69%
#3

Miles Coleman

North Texas · 2025

68%
#4

Omari Hayes

Tulane · 2025

64%
#5

Tony Freeman

Washington State · 2025

63%

Matches Cam'Ron on

Total EPA (college ability)
Height
Yards / reception

Differs from Cam'Ron on

Class year (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jake Dickert

Pass share

48.0%

405 pass / 439 run

Plays / game

64.9

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.1%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jake Dickert
Wake Forest

Played his entire career under Jake Dickert.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHouston, TX
Height5'7"
Weight168 lb
Class1
PositionWR
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-ACC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-ACC all_conference Wake Forest | ACC RS

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Washington State WR1 #3428 #3268 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Wake Forest ACC WR 1 No. 10 | 5-7 | 168 lb | Houston, TX
2024 Washington State Pac-12 WR 1 No. 10 | 5-7 | 168 lb | Houston, TX