4identity shift
Washington State shifts fanbase identity, redefining program.
Jimmy Rogers begins his tenure at Washington State with a 7-6 record, anchoring a program defined by its Pac-12-collapse holdout identity and remote Pullman legacy.
Washington State7-6Latest
Washington State fans are split on what comes next.
belief cooled ↓ 7.1vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Mixed
51/100 · 174 mentions
~ our readGrounding
running on emotion
6% cite a stat · 7% typical ✓ counted
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 23 pts
~ our readThe model
#71
CFB Zeitgeist · +1.0
✓ measured4Hope-Doping·Offseason
Washington State is the program realignment left for dead — when the Pac-12 collapsed, Pullman got abandoned with Oregon State, and the Cougars spent two years as a conference of two before rebuilding the league themselves.
Title DroughtSince 2003 · 22 yrs
Cougar fans watched the bigger schools sprint to richer leagues and leave the loyal ones behind, and they have not forgotten which neighbor pulled the ladder up. They say the ones who ran abandoned th…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - Washington State
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production25%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#95 nationally247 composite 569.5
Portal Additions28Primary repair: EDGE
Portal Losses41Primary pressure: LB
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#128Depth class
DLin 5 - Damarjhe Lewisout 7 - Bryson LambStarter Risk
current room: 289 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 4 - Tank Hawkinsout 6 - Tony FreemanStarter Risk
current room: 187 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 5 - Linus Zunkout 3 - Isaac TerrellNeed Filled
current room: 251 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 4 - Jalil Tuckerout 4 - Tyrone Cotton IIIEven
current room: 178 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 3 - Jshawn Frausto-Ramosout 4 - Damarius RussellDowngrade
current room: 187 lbs avg (2025 roster)
LBin 1 - Nylan Brownout 4 - Sullivan SchlimgenStarter Risk
current room: 217 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasons
Approaching
31 days
until kickoff · at Washington · Sun Sep 6 · 20:00 UTC
The experience
Washington State is the Pac-12-collapse holdout — Mike Leach Air Raid legacy + Pullman remoteness + 2024 partnership-with-Oregon-State survival defined the post-conference era.
Offense: SoftTempo: Methodical, ball-controlDefense: Strong
Washington State faces significant roster turnover but shows potential in key positions
With a recruiting rank of #128 and heavy reliance on transfers, Washington State's 2026 season hinges on integrating new talent. The team's depth class and net portal exporter status suggest a mixed outlook for stability.
- Roster reloadWashington State has a transfer-in total of 28 and a transfer-out total of 41, indicating a heavy reliance on new talent to fill gaps left by departures.
Data as of 2026-08-03
·
Validated against program evidence
Butch T. Cougar is at the post.
Washington State · the story right now
9 storylines developing
What Washington State's coaching hire is really about
the open questioncan a new staff change the trajectory?
coachingthis cycle✓ factnew
Kirby Moore took over as Washington State's head coach, replacing Jimmy Rogers.
the contextreplaces 2-year head coach Jake Dickert (12-12)
narrative tension · our read
coachingthis cycle~readnew
Jimmy Rogers begins his first season at Washington State with just 25% production returning — a steep rebuild for a program defined by Air Raid legacy and Pullman resilience.
what happenedJimmy Rogers took over as Washington State's head coach, replacing Pete Kaligis. ✓ fact
the contextthe program's third head coach in five seasons
narrative tension · our read
identitythis cycle~readnew
Jimmy Rogers begins his tenure at Washington State with a 7-6 record, anchoring a program defined by its Pac-12-collapse holdout identity and remote Pullman legacy.
what happenedWashington State: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Jimmy Rogers begins his first season at Washington State with a 7-6 record and a program still defined by its post-conference survival, raising questions about sustaining momentum in a volatile Pac-12.
what happenedWashington State: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
money downthis cycle✓ factnew
Tony Freeman is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
narrative tension · our read
coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew
Kirby Moore inherits a 7-6 record at Washington State, where the Air Raid legacy and conference collapse tensions test whether a coordinator-driven rebuild can reverse a lower-tier program's trajectory.
what happenedWashington State: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
closerthis cycle~attributednew
Angel Johnson: a closer signal screened this season.
narrative tension · our read
portal2025-05-13~readnew
Jimmy Rogers' top-43 portal class, headlined by Caden Pinnick, is a survival play for Washington State's Air Raid legacy in Pullman.
what happenedWashington State signed a top-43 transfer-portal class — 34 additions headlined by Julian Dugger (QB) from Pittsburgh and Ajani Sheppard (QB) from Rutgers. ✓ fact
the contexta top-2 portal class in the Pac-12 this cycle
narrative tension · our read
market_swing2026-06-25~readnew
Jimmy Rogers begins his tenure with a 7-6 record and a #95 talent rank, raising questions about whether the program's Pac-12-collapse holdout identity can align with a modest win total increase.
what happenedWashington State win total rose from 5 to 5.5 (+0.5 wins) between Jun 24 and Jun 25, 2026 (tier C). ✓ fact
the contextwin total up 0.5 from 5.0 to 5.5
narrative tension · our read
How past storylines here turned out
ReplacedWashington State moved on from that hire — a new coaching change began the following season. See who's next →
ReplacedWashington State's offensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
The story
The Offseason Ledger · Washington State
1 verified update · portal · recruiting · staff · news- News
Win total: 5 → 5.5 (▲0.5)
Win total climbed from 5 to 5.5 without a clear public catalyst — worth watching as the offseason firms up.
Transfer portal snapshot
-0.9 net portal points
(raw ledger: -36.6 — unweighted, no position adjustment)DL-9.5
starter risk
LB-9.1
starter risk
OT+7.0
need not filled
QB-6.9
starter risk
RB-6.5
starter risk
EDGE+5.6
need not filled
K-5.3
starter risk
WR-4.4
starter risk
IOL-3.5
low confidence
S-3.3
TE-0.9
CB+0.1
P+0.0
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★☆☆
Nathaniel Salmon
#731 national
Profiles like a typical incoming tight end — 17 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Complete TE archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Lance McGee
#884 national
★★★☆☆
Ryan McKendry
#30 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 16 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
↓
Fan confidence a bit lower than recent years
31st percentile among FBS programs
Fan vs. market≈
31st
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
5.5
Vegas O/U wins
(26th among FBS)
(26th among FBS)
Fan mood aligned with market consensus
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 5.5▲0.5 since Jul 2026
CFP championship#70 in field+80000
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Washington State · Next-Season Outcome Band
Washington State · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 3-9
Base 5-7
Ceiling 8-5
floor3-9No postseason.
base5-7No postseason.
ceiling8-5Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · Washington State · Coaching Confidence
The Kirby Moore story at Washington State won't sit still.
Kirby Moore took over as Washington State's head coach, replacing Jimmy Rogers. It is replaces 2-year head coach Jake Dickert (12-12). It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room has bought in, but early believers have been wrong before.
near-unanimous belief
where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers7 bull takes
💬 fans: 1% volume · negative overall
Developing3 new this week
todayWSU ready to open Kirby Moore era tomorrow with first day of fall camp — KREM
todayOn eve of fall camp, WSU coach Kirby Moore says team will announce starting QB before season-opener, plus other injury news - The Spokesman-Review — news
yesterdayWashington State football: Kirby Moore previews fall camp, QB competition, injuries | Full Press Conference — SWX Local Sports
4 weeks agoWin total: 5 → 5.5 (▲0.5)
4 weeks agoWin total: 5.5 → 5 (▼0.5)
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Kirby Moore Head coach
“WSU ready to open Kirby Moore era tomorrow with first day of fall camp” — KREM · 2026-08-06
Jimmy Rogers Out
Brad Larrondo
“Kirby Moore Adds Brad Larrondo, Seven Assistants to Cougar Coaching Staff” — Washington State University Athletics · 2026-01-05
Cougar Coaching Staff
“Kirby Moore Adds Brad Larrondo, Seven Assistants to Cougar Coaching Staff” — Washington State University Athletics · 2026-01-05
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
The room is running hot. The real test is whether the momentum holds once the calendar moves past the announcement.
Next · what to watch
The obvious story is the marquee name; the non-obvious one is roster churn — a coaching change keeps a portal and decommit window open long after the introductory presser. Watch decommitments and portal moves in the next window — that's where this is actually won or lost, not at the podium. The boards are already there — one thread raises exactly this.
Source of record: Kirby Moore took over as Washington State's head coach, replacing Jimmy Rogers — replaces 2-year head coach Jake Dickert (12-12).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers7 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.›
The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.
“Recruiting: Grading Kirby Moore’s first busy WSU official visit season”
247Sports · 2026-07-11 · read ↗
“WSU football recruiting: 2 crucial talking points under Kirby Moore”
247Sports · 2026-07-01 · read ↗
“Kirby Moore makes biggest splash yet, adds 4-star OT to 2027 class”
CougCenter · 2026-06-24 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards3 board mentions — too thin to call a stance. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (65%).›
Only 3 of 505 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
"I hope we retain him under Moore. I am actually bullish on his future despite what alot of Cougs think. Would like to see another transfer QB in competing with him though."
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Yeah the cupboard is pretty bare. I thought that we had a promising QB sign with us. Obviously he'll need to develop so ya Duggar will likely be our best option unless Moore shakes"
r/CFB ~ fan take
Board health this week (180 posts): 15% positive · 52% neutral · 33% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
🔗The dominoes4 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.›
Developing · Washington State · Coaching Confidence
The Jimmy Rogers era at Washington State: where it actually stands.
Jimmy Rogers took over as Washington State's head coach, replacing Pete Kaligis. It is the program's third head coach in five seasons. The hire has receded from the front page. The roster and recruiting pipeline are the real measure now. The discourse has moved on; what's left is the quiet work of building something.
The saga so far~2 months old
2 weeks agoHow Jimmy Rogers turned Isaac Terrell into a productive pass rusher, and why it will continue at Iowa State — 247Sports
4 weeks agoWin total: 5 → 5.5 (▲0.5)
4 weeks agoWin total: 5.5 → 5 (▼0.5)
Jun 3From TikTok Dances to Touchdowns: Daniel Blood Brings His Whole Self to Rogers Field — Washington State University Athletics
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Jimmy Rogers Head coach
“How Jimmy Rogers turned Isaac Terrell into a productive pass rusher, and why it will continue at Iowa State” — 247Sports · 2026-07-23
Pete Kaligis Out
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Jimmy Rogers begins his first season at Washington State with just 25% production returning — a steep rebuild for a program defined by Air Raid legacy and Pullman resilience.
Next · what to watch
The obvious story is the marquee name; the non-obvious one is roster churn — a coaching change keeps a portal and decommit window open long after the introductory presser. Watch decommitments and portal moves in the next window — that's where this is actually won or lost, not at the podium. The boards are already there — one thread raises exactly this.
Source of record: Jimmy Rogers took over as Washington State's head coach, replacing Pete Kaligis — the program's third head coach in five seasons.
How each room reacted — tap to expand
📣Believers0 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.›
The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.
“How Jimmy Rogers turned Isaac Terrell into a productive pass rusher, and why it will continue at Iowa State”
247Sports · 2026-07-23 · read ↗
“From TikTok Dances to Touchdowns: Daniel Blood Brings His Whole Self to Rogers Field”
Washington State University Athletics · 2026-06-03 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards1 board mentions — too thin to call a stance. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (65%).›
Only 1 of 505 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
"Hi there. My son starts WSU Pullman in August. He will be in Rogers Hall. This is a silly question, but does anybody have advice on a bedside caddy? I'm looking up different ones b"
r/wsu ~ fan take
"So housing assignments for the fall just came out, and I got rogers hall, but every post about it is at least 7 years old, so for people who have lived there recently, what did you"
r/wsu ~ fan take
Board health this week (180 posts): 15% positive · 52% neutral · 33% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
🔗The dominoes4 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.›
Recent Form · last 10 games
Mixed
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Streak W2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 5-5
The forecast
Opens Sep 6
vs Washington · away
Season line5.5 winsover -190
SoftMethodical, ball-controlStrong
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Rival pulse
Washington
Hopeful+17
Apple Cup
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
16
CA · 7TX · 3WA · 3NV · 1PA · 1TN · 1
CA leads the 2026 class with 7 commits. National footprint reaching 6 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
122 signees across 24 states, 2023-2026. CA leads the pull.
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] Washington State Defeats Idaho 13-10
2027 4* IOL Rashaun Lavata'i commits to Washington State
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
National spotlight
12 games with TV coverage: 2 national broadcast, 1 ESPN, 1 cable, 1 conference network, 7 streaming
Kickoff windows: 1 noon, 5 afternoon, 6 primetime
Fumble luck
45% recovery rate on their own fumbles — below the ~51% league baseline.
5 of 11 own fumbles recovered themselves; 5 of 10 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
16% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~19% league average.
5 interceptions of 31 disrupted passes (26 deflected, 5 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
87 penalties committed, 85 drawn on opponents — netting a 92-yard field-position edge.
729 penalty yards committed vs. 821 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on Washington State
51
Δ -7.1 vs last wk
174
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Pullman"
— Washington State fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence1 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 9 corners
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
CCougcenter
CCampus paper
BBluesky
YYouTube
One voice
+0.00whole-room sentiment · cool our read
Every cohort from the die-hards to the analytics crowd lands within 0.03 of each other — a rare consensus. The loudest voice in the room:
CCougcenterBeat · article
Can Wsu Catch Boise State? Breaking Down the Pac-12 Favorites
cougcenter.com →How Washington State fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
The room, end to end
skeptical
buying in
Casuals−0.06
Bettors−0.09
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
370 mentions · 6 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checklight on evidence
~ our readWashington State fans are down on the program, with a bit less hard evidence than most fanbases.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 180 posts from Washington State fans this week.
What fans are saying
Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim
coaching decisionLimited signal that season
fans believe the coaching staff is misusing key players' strengths
The fact that his stubbornness kept Zevi out of the game till 52-3 is malpractice. Potter has not looked like “it” at all.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Sep 13, 2025 · via CFB
program directionLimited signal that season
fans believe Jimmy Rogers lacks game-day preparation
You can excuse it however you want, Rogers is Wulff 2.0. We looked bad against Idaho. San Diego State isn’t good. I’ve never seen a team look so unprepared since Wulff. It’s one thing to lose a good game and another to know the game is over by the halfway point in the first quarter. UNT came to play, we didn’t. That starts with the coaching staff.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Sep 13, 2025 · via CFB
player roleLimited signal that season
fans think Zevi's starting would improve the team's performance
Why the fuck is Zevi not playing what was the point of pushing to keep him. Dude balled out in the bowl game what are we doing
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 31, 2025 · via CFB
program directionLimited signal that season
fans believe Washington State has produced multiple NFL quarterbacks
Honestly Wazzu is QBU. Minshew, Ward, Mateer. There are much bigger programs that haven’t produced that type of talent.
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 30, 2025 · via CFB
Season storylines
Week 1
“Really too bad our star QB had to sit out the game for really good reasons, i'm sure. The backups really struggled. Do not look into this comment”— r/CFB
Week 7
“Moral victories only count if you didn't make yourself lose. The last 5 minutes of Cougar football was some of the most armature hour shit I've seen since the Wulff era....”— r/CFB
Week 3
“The schedule for us is a lot harder, but this team is so much more dominant than even last seasons was. The Hoosiers are a top ten team in the country.”— r/CFB
Week 8
“I am glad to announce my infant son has watched his first win and can now call himself a cougar fan. Max, if you're reading this in the future, I'm so sorry buddy.”— r/CFB
Week 9
“We're such good friends with the Beavs, we gifted them a win they can rebuild around and make the whole Pac-12 stronger. I choose to believe this. (Also, probably the worst offensive performance I've seen in quite a while. Yikes guys.)”— r/CFB
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Radio, beat writers & editorial7 posts
News & campus coverage5 posts
Fanbase Health Index · Washington State · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · Washington State · high confidenceGrowing (61)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 7-6 (54% win rate)58
Volume — 958 effective signal-N90
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.01 — quiet35
The Lexicon
636 posts and articles vs the field · 2025 season
wsu
×54.5 the field
Signature — ≥10× the rest of college football
wsu×54.5n=34
potter×515.7n=34
zevi×1001.1n=36
rogers×47.3n=17
Characteristic — 3–10×
offense×3.0n=135
wazzu×43.3n=14
leach×74.2n=12
Mild — <3×
defense×2.0n=125
unt×9.8n=12
bad×2.8n=38
“Flair up? WSU has had some guys at QB lol”
reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim
Fans using WSU (8 examples)
Iirc WSU Athletics posted her wearing cap and gown on grad day among the other athletes that
Every WSU game this season has been chippy, except maybe Virginia. Wonder if there is a common
A third pick has hit the wsu Cougar football team!!
WSU -13.5 - *Over/Under:* 43.5 || [Flair](http://flair.redditcfb.com) ¦ [Discord](https://discord.gg/zSKCKtj3dY) *** *Please
There are no bigger WSU haters than ourselves. lol
Why do I have to have 6 different subscriptions to watch WSU play...🏴☠️
guy](https://www.reddit.com/r/wsu/comments/1315ir/drinking_fireball_on_national_tv_go_cougs/), [whatever girl], [disappointed
WSU. I’m not sure what he’s good at that he keeps getting jobs…
Fanbase Voice
3,250 fan mentions
Doomers
vs the 81 highest-volume fanbases - 2025 season
Your Vocabulary Clusteroffense
offense
with 8 other fanbasesKey stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#101 / 138 · 28th pct22.5
Pts allowed/game#23 / 138 · 84th pct20.2
Total yards/gm#96 / 136 · 30th pct339.8
Rush yards/gm#92 / 136 · 33rd pct129.5
Pass yards/gm#77 / 136 · 44th pct210.4
Yards allowed/gm#12 / 136 · 92nd pct301.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#34 / 136 · 76th pct127.2
Sacks#31 / 136 · 78th pct31
Interceptions#105 / 136 · 24th pct6
3rd-down conv#87 / 136 · 37th pct38.1%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team4418339.8/gm5.24/play#96 / 136 · 30th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp3920301.5/gm5.03/play#12 / 136 · 92nd pct#8 / 70 · 90th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Rush yards
Team1683129.5/gm2.00/play#92 / 136 · 33rd pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp1653127.2/gm2.12/play#34 / 136 · 76th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Rush carries
Team43633.5/gm#76 / 136 · 45th pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp42832.9/gm#38 / 136 · 73rd pct#29 / 70 · 60th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Rush TDs
Team161.2/gm#91 / 136 · 34th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp151.2/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Net pass yards
Team2735210.4/gm3.24/play#77 / 136 · 44th pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp2267174.4/gm2.91/play#14 / 136 · 90th pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Pass attempts
Team40731.3/gm#59 / 136 · 57th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp35227.1/gm#32 / 136 · 77th pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Completions
Team26120.1/gm#51 / 136 · 63rd pct#29 / 70 · 60th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp22417.2/gm#45 / 136 · 68th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Pass TDs
Team191.5/gm#70 / 136 · 49th pct#40 / 70 · 44th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp161.2/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Passer rating
Team133.0133.0#71 / 136 · 49th pct#42 / 70 · 41st pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp124.2124.2#40 / 136 · 71st pct#24 / 70 · 67th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team151.2/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp60.5/gm#21 / 136 · 85th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Sacks (def)
Team312.4/gm#31 / 136 · 78th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Opp221.7/gm#53 / 136 · 62nd pct#29 / 70 · 60th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Tackles for loss
Team685.2/gm#68 / 136 · 51st pct#36 / 70 · 50th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Opp665.1/gm#57 / 136 · 59th pct#32 / 70 · 56th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
First downs
Team25419.5/gm#75 / 136 · 46th pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp21616.6/gm#16 / 136 · 89th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
3rd-down conv
Team675.2/gm#77 / 136 · 44th pct#40 / 70 · 44th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp584.5/gm#20 / 136 · 86th pct#9 / 70 · 89th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
3rd-down att
Team17613.5/gm#48 / 136 · 65th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp16612.8/gm#37 / 136 · 74th pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
4th-down conv
Team151.2/gm#47 / 136 · 66th pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp70.5/gm#3 / 136 · 99th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
4th-down att
Team211.6/gm#93 / 136 · 32nd pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp211.6/gm#34 / 136 · 76th pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Time of possession
Team421:1032:24/gm#21 / 136 · 85th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp358:5027:36/gm#22 / 136 · 85th pct#9 / 70 · 89th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#29 / 135 · 79th pct16/19 (84.2%)
Extra points33/33
Punting#121 / 136 · 12th pct40.5 avg · 54 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team211.6/gm#17 / 136 · 88th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp110.8/gm#22 / 136 · 85th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Fumbles lost
Team60.5/gm#69 / 136 · 50th pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp50.4/gm#33 / 136 · 76th pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
INT return TDs
Team00.0/gm#76 / 135 · 44th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp20.2/gm#105 / 136 · 24th pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
INT return yards
Team80.6/gm#132 / 136 · 4th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp29322.5/gm#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Punt ret yds
Team41531.9/gm#5 / 136 · 97th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Opp433.3/gm#19 / 136 · 87th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Punt ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#43 / 135 · 69th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#1 / 9 · 100th pct
Kick ret yds
Team25119.3/gm#110 / 136 · 20th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp37528.8/gm#63 / 136 · 54th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Kick ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#40 / 136 · 71st pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Penalty yards
Team72956.1/gm#52 / 136 · 62nd pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp82163.2/gm#116 / 136 · 15th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Other
H1 epa per play opponent#8 / 167 · 96th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct0.00.0
H2 epa per play opponent#17 / 143 · 89th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct0.10.0/gm
Punt returns#17 / 136 · 88th pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct241.8/gm
Fumbles rec (def)#25 / 136 · 82nd pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct50.4/gm
Punt ret (opp)#31 / 136 · 78th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct100.8/gm
Red zone pass rate#37 / 154 · 77th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct0.40.0/gm
Penalties#42 / 136 · 70th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct876.7/gm
Kick ret (opp)#60 / 136 · 57th pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct201.5/gm
Recruiting rating#71 / 138 · 49th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct179.013.8/gm
First down pass rate#73 / 215 · 67th pct#24 / 70 · 67th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct0.50.0/gm
H1 epa per play#82 / 162 · 50th pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct0.20.0/gm
Fourth down go rate#87 / 138 · 38th pct#44 / 70 · 39th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct0.30.0/gm
Fumbles recovered#91 / 136 · 34th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct50.4/gm
Penalties (opp)#96 / 136 · 30th pct#54 / 70 · 24th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct856.5/gm
H2 epa per play#101 / 142 · 30th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct0.10.0/gm
Interceptions (def)#105 / 136 · 24th pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct60.5/gm
Kick returns#106 / 136 · 23rd pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct141.1/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#126 / 136 · 8th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct151.2/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off38.1%#87 / 136 · 37th pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Def34.9%#32 / 136 · 77th pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
4th-down conversion
Off71.4%#7 / 136 · 96th pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Def33.3%#4 / 136 · 98th pct#2 / 70 · 99th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Turnover margin#123 / 136 · 10th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct-0.77/gm
Sack rate (def)#19 / 136 · 87th pct#12 / 70 · 84th pct#1 / 8 · 100th pct#2 / 10 · 90th pct8.8%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team372.8/gm#102 / 167 · 40th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp302.3/gm#41 / 166 · 76th pct#9 / 70 · 89th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Red zone score %
Team83.8%83.8%#49 / 167 · 71st pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp76.7%76.7%#64 / 166 · 62nd pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Points / drive
Team1.70.1/gm#103 / 167 · 39th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp1.60.1/gm#37 / 166 · 78th pct#25 / 70 · 66th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Yards / drive
Team36.42.8/gm#117 / 167 · 31st pct#64 / 70 · 10th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp36.62.8/gm#34 / 166 · 80th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Plays / drive
Team6.70.5/gm#52 / 167 · 69th pct#29 / 70 · 60th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp6.20.5/gm#30 / 166 · 83rd pct#8 / 70 · 90th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Three-and-out rate
Team13.3%13.3%#77 / 167 · 54th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Opp15.4%15.4%#50 / 166 · 70th pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#94 / 145 · 36th pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct-2.8%-2.8%
Havoc rate
Team14.2%14.2%#105 / 140 · 26th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct
Opp15.5%15.5%#75 / 140 · 47th pct#37 / 70 · 49th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct
Standard-downs success
Team49.4%49.4%#58 / 154 · 63rd pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct
Opp47.5%47.5%#75 / 172 · 57th pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct
Passing-downs success
Team29.9%29.9%#84 / 153 · 46th pct#48 / 70 · 33rd pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct
Opp24.2%24.2%#8 / 149 · 95th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct
Line yards / carry
Team2.92.9#78 / 143 · 46th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct
Opp2.92.9#71 / 155 · 55th pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct
Stuff rate
Team19.8%19.8%#95 / 143 · 34th pct#49 / 70 · 31st pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct
Opp18.9%18.9%#71 / 155 · 55th pct#41 / 70 · 43rd pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct
Power success rate
Team61.0%61.0%#117 / 137 · 15th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct
Opp79.5%79.5%#122 / 141 · 14th pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#8 / 8 · 12th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off64.1%#44 / 136 · 68th pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#2 / 8 · 88th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Def63.6%#94 / 136 · 32nd pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#7 / 8 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Yards / attempt
Off6.7#95 / 136 · 31st pct#55 / 70 · 23rd pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Def6.4#29 / 136 · 79th pct#19 / 70 · 74th pct#4 / 8 · 62nd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Yards / completion
Off10.5#118 / 136 · 14th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Def10.1#8 / 136 · 95th pct#5 / 70 · 94th pct#3 / 8 · 75th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
Yards / carry#102 / 136 · 26th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct3.9
Yards / play#104 / 136 · 24th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#6 / 8 · 38th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct5.24
Scoring margin#67 / 136 · 51st pct#45 / 70 · 37th pct#5 / 8 · 50th pct#10 / 11 · 18th pct+2.3/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.24 EPA/play | 4 | 11 | 192 / 306 | 62.7 | 2092 | 6.8 | 15 #71 FBS | 12 | 128.5 | 63.9 | 5.5 | 4.7 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. The most common profile in its group this season — 97 of 183 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior View Zevi Eckhaus's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Game Manager · +0.20 EPA/play | 5 | 3 | 67 / 95 | 70.5 | 604 | 6.4 | 4 | 3 | 131.5 | 40.6 | 5.8 | 0 | |
Yards by week → Game ManagerConsistent underneath passer who protects the lead. Rarely loses games; rarely wins them alone. 9 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Completion %70.2% 89th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush usage5.0% bottom 6th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jaxon Potter's full player page | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.02 EPA/play | 9 | 12 | 138 | 576 | 4.2 | 5 | 46 | 18.5 | 12.4 | 17.2 | 9.7 | 6.9% (25/361) | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · sophomore our readthe ball security is the one real worry — 2.55 fumbles per 100 touches (top-decile concern) | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · -0.08 EPA/play | 1 | 13 | 75 | 252 | 3.4 | 1 | 50 | 0.6 | 4.6 | 32.9 | 9.6 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced Back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry2.7 bottom 1th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate1.3% bottom 14th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Angel Johnson's full player page | |||||||||||||
| +0.08 EPA/play | 3 | 11 | 36 | 225 | 6.2 | 0 | 48 | 6.3 | 7.2 | — | — | 6.1% (22/361) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| +0.02 EPA/play | 20 | 12 | 38 | 205 | 5.4 | 0 | 45 | 4.7 | 5.4 | — | — | 5.0% (18/361) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.58 EPA/play | 18 | 13 | 57 | 725 | 12.7 | 3 | 48 | 12.2 | 11.9 | 23.0% (83/361) | |
Yards by week → Slot TechnicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume57 89th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score moved from the 60th to 83rd percentile among FBS WRs | |||||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.35 EPA/play | — | 13 | 54 | 588 | 10.9 | 3 | 48 | 13.4 | 12.7 | 19.9% (72/361) | |
Yards by week → Slot Technician· Return threatRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. a house-call threat every time he fields it Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume54 85th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Yards / reception10.8 bottom 26th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 72nd percentile among FBS WRs, up from the 0th | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.24 EPA/play | 15 | 11 | 20 | 221 | 11.1 | 1 | 35 | 5.3 | 7.1 | 9.7% (35/361) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior View Jeremiah Noga's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.44 EPA/play | 23 | 11 | 23 | 174 | 7.6 | 3 | 32 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 8.0% (29/361) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception4.7 bottom 4th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate13.0% 68th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Trey Leckner's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.18 EPA/play | 21 | 7 | 9 | 168 | 18.7 | 1 | 43 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 5.0% (18/361) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.93 EPA/play | 84 | 6 | 7 | 121 | 17.3 | 2 | 39 | 5 | 5 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.28 EPA/play | 12 | 9 | 13 | 110 | 8.5 | 1 | 18 | 0.8 | 2.5 | — | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · senior View Leon Neal Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.24 EPA/play | 8 | 4 | 5 | 42 | 8.4 | 0 | 19 | 3.5 | 5.9 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speed Rusher | 88 | 10 | 28 | 15 | 12 #51 FBS | 7 #39 FBS | 6 |
Speed RusherBends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 12 of 200 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Sack rate25.0% 97th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score now sits at the 78th percentile among FBS EDGEs, up from the 13th | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 99 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 3 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · junior · 2-star, 2022 class our readTwo-star recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readBreakout: his CFB Index score climbed from the 14th percentile to the 87th among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 92 | 11 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 14th to 71st percentile among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| Speed Rusher | 10 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
Speed RusherBends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor. 12 of 200 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Sack rate18.2% 84th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readBounce-Back: his CFB Index score shows a real arc: 82nd percentile among FBS EDGEs, fell to 41st, now back up to 66th | |||||||
| Power Rusher | 98 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 2.5 | 3 |
Power RusherBull-rushes through contact, winning with size and length at the point of attack. 10 of 200 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate23.5% 64th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Malaki Ta'ase's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 53 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate29.2% 94th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Soni Finau's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 89 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate9.1% bottom 28th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Donovan Fitzmaurice's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 93 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Versatile EndNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 139 of 200 classified this way. Played in 7 of 21 games this season · sophomore View Jack Janikowski's full player page | |||||||
| 45 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 5 | |
| 52 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 90 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 44 | 12 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Sideline-to-SidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 102 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 77th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readTwo-star recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 80th percentile among FBS LBs, up from the 34th | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 9 | 13 | 82 | 34 | 48 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume82 87th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate3.7% 65th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | — | 11 | 65 | 26 | 39 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume65 69th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.8% bottom 11th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Anthony Palano's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 20 | 10 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume49 bottom 48th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 18th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Sullivan Schlimgen's full player page | |||||||||
| 40 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 42 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 33 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rover | 1 | 13 | 71 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate8.5% 52th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Tucker Large's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 23 | 13 | 58 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume58 78th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Matthew Durrance's full player page | |||||||
| Perimeter Tackler | 2 | 11 | 53 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Perimeter TacklerTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 42 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume53 96th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Colby Humphrey's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 25 | 9 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · senior View Cale Reeder's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 8 | 10 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Cover CornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 141 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate4.3% bottom 17th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Kenny Worthy III's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 5 | 12 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Cover CornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 141 of 270 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior · 3-star, 2023 class View Jamorri Colson's full player page | |||||||
| 28 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 38 | 13 | 16/19 | 84.2 | 33/33 | 81 | 49 |
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.49 EPA/play | 10 | 8 | 13 | 231 | 17.8 | 0 | 28 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.35 EPA/play | — | 13 | 24 | 415 | 17.3 | 0 | 59 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Parker McKenna
LB
83.0 tot (def)
2.
Caleb Francl
LB
82.0 tot (def)
3.
Tucker Large
S
71.0 tot (def)
4.
Anthony Palano
LB
65.0 tot (def)
5.
Josh Meredith
WR
725 yds (rec)
Roster
2025
23
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Caleb Francl
LB
#61 of 583
Bryson Lamb
IDL
#62 of 330
Josh Meredith
WR
#96 of 485
Parker McKenna
LB
#135 of 583
Isaac Terrell
EDGE
#110 of 420
Tony Freeman
WR
#160 of 485
+17 more
Washington State · 2025 schedule & results7-6Brutal slateAverage opponent win rate 59% · 5 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | #174 | #162 | -17 | Idaho | W 13–10 118 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 7 | #189 | #90 | -2.5 | San Diego State | W 36–13 135 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #160 | #105 | +6.5 | @North Texas | L 10–59 126 | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #176 | #53 | +20.5 | Washington | L 24–59 114 | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #189 | #103 | +6.5 | @Colorado State | W 20–3 126 | 3-2 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #156 | #14 | +32.5 | @Ole Miss | L 21–24 129 | 3-3 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #126 | #41 | +16.5 | @Virginia | L 20–22 119 | 3-4 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #105 | #41 | +2 | Toledo | W 28–7 132 | 4-4 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #88 | #111 | -3 | @Oregon State | L 7–10 118 | 4-5 | 2-1 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | #98 | #100 | -10 | Louisiana Tech | W 28–3 115 | 5-5 | 2-1 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #72 | #18 | +15.5 | @James Madison | L 20–24 118 | 5-6 | 2-1 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | #67 | #144 | -14.5 | Oregon State | W 32–8 132 | 6-6 | 3-1 |
| Bowl Season | ||||||||
| 17 | Dec 22 | #67 | #94 | +1.5 | Utah State (N) | W 34–21 | 7-6 | 4-1 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22 | Utah State | W 34–21 | — | — | — | +0.306 | 48.9% | 130.1% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Nov 29 | Oregon State | W 32–8 | 383 | 2 | 28:34 | +0.148 | 45.3% | 98.6% | |
| Nov 22 | @James Madison | L 20–24 | 301 | 1 | 34:58 | +0.002 | 34.3% | 108.8% | One-score loss |
| Nov 16 | Louisiana Tech | W 28–3 | 303 | 0 | 35:03 | +0.240 | 43.8% | 111.0% | Best defensive stand |
| Nov 1 | @Oregon State | L 7–10 | 271 | 2 | 28:48 | -0.141 | 36.7% | 103.9% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 25 | Toledo | W 28–7 | 321 | 2 | 32:33 | +0.160 | 42.0% | 116.8% | |
| Oct 18 | @Virginia | L 20–22 | 326 | 2 | 34:14 | +0.157 | 42.6% | 98.7% | One-score loss |
| Oct 11 | @Ole Miss | L 21–24 | 345 | 0 | 32:42 | +0.159 | 41.4% | 121.5% | One-score loss |
| Sep 27 | @Colorado State | W 20–3 | 347 | 0 | 31:23 | +0.167 | 49.2% | 93.6% | Best success rate |
| Sep 20 | Washington | L 24–59 | 305 | 3 | 35:46 | +0.073 | 44.6% | 118.0% | Defense's roughest night |
| Sep 13 | @North Texas | L 10–59 | 275 | 5 | 31:26 | +0.072 | 30.8% | 147.8% | Most explosive |
| Sep 7 | San Diego State | W 36–13 | 402 | 0 | 35:06 | +0.148 | 43.6% | 100.4% | |
| Aug 31 | Idaho | W 13–10 | 211 | 1 | 24:49 | +0.059 | 34.5% | 96.5% | One-score win |
| Season average (13 games) | 316 | 1.5 | +0.119 | 41.4% | 111.2% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025Washington State fields a limited methodical, ball-control offense behind a strong, bend-don't-break defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Washington State actually scores
33rd percentile quality, 52nd percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Washington State's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 43rd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 48th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Washington State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
61st percentile success on standard downs, 44th on passing downs — a 17-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
Washington State by half
1st-half offense ranks 50th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 30th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of Washington State's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.12; 65th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.04. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.10 raw vs. -0.00 adjusted.
Washington State reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 2%) and passing epa allowed (top 23%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Washington State sits at the 4th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · Washington State
Most Similar Programs · Washington StateReads Like
AkronTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontApp StateTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontArkansasTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Washington State · 2018-present
Elite
71% home win rate vs 37% on the road. margin runs +13.1 better at home. Gesa Field seats 32,952, averaging 79% full (25,894 attendance, 24 games reported).
Home33-13Away15-25
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Kirby Vorhees and Angel Johnson split the carries (133/206 vs 73/206) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Kirby VorheesAngel Johnson
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Inside the 5
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Q4, leading (competitive)
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
concentration alone -- EPA/carry doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 4 claims, 0 survived, 4 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Josh Meredith (WR) and Trey Leckner (TE) split the targets (81/108 vs 27/108) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Josh MeredithTrey Leckner
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Inside the 10
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration alone -- EPA/target doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 3 claims, 0 survived, 3 falsified
What changed
Washington State’s play-calling, before and after the change
Offense: Ben Arbuckle (2023–2024) → Danny Freund (2025)
The biggest shift: 1st-down pass rate moved down 9 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Defense: Jeff Schmedding (2023–2024) → Jesse Bobbit (2025)
The biggest shift: 1st-down pass rate moved down 9 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, Washington State’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.7% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 136-play sample) — mid-pack, 64 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=136 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 65.4%
Venue texture
58°F average kickoff temp; 12% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 73 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
Washington State's 2014–2025 record is 81-63. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
516-563-38
since 1907 · 110 seasons · .461 win rate
HOME
274-212-23
AWAY
231-340-15
NEUTRAL
11-11
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
The program, in full — read the essay
When the Pac-12 collapsed in 2023 and every program with leverage sprinted for richer leagues, Washington State stayed. Two years later, the orphan is the founder — anchoring a rebuilt eight-team Pac-12 launching in 2026, the conference the Cougars refused to let die.
The most isolated major-conference campus in the country — eight hours from Seattle, carved into the Palouse wheat country of eastern Washington — was also the last one standing. The schools that ran to the Big Ten and Big 12 calculated market size and TV footprints and decided Pullman didn't belong. Washington State and Oregon State were left holding the conference name and two available game slots. The story of what happened next is genuinely strange: rather than dissolving, the holdouts rebuilt. The 2026 Pac-12 is an eight-team league built almost from scratch, and WSU is its emotional anchor.
The 2025 season produced a 7-6 record and a Famous Idaho Potato Bowl win over Utah State — respectable, not transformational. First-year coach Jimmy Rogers then left for Iowa State after one season, adding another layer of instability to a program that has been navigating transition since 2023. His replacement is Kirby Moore, who comes from Missouri's offensive staff and carries the credential of being a Prosser, Washington native — a hire with geographic resonance in a program built on its rootedness. The Air Raid ghost of Mike Leach still haunts every offensive conversation in Pullman; Moore inherits the expectation that WSU passes first, always.
The 2026 question in Pullman is whether the rebuilt Pac-12 is a real league or a scheduling arrangement. Washington State beat long odds to survive the collapse. The season will answer whether survival translates to contention — whether Kirby Moore's offense can make Martin Stadium matter again in a conference that needs the Cougars to be good as badly as the Cougars need a conference to be in.
How they play
Air Raid at its core — Mike Leach installed it, and the expectation in Pullman is that WSU spreads the field and throws. Kirby Moore arrives from a Missouri offense that ran RPO concepts with spread spacing, so the DNA matches. The Cougars win by volume and by tempo, making Martin Stadium's small, loud environment a genuine advantage when the passing game is functioning. The chip is real: this is a program that measures every home crowd against the knowledge that bigger schools decided they weren't worth keeping.
Steady
Washington State 2016–2025. Holding the line. The 10-year slope (-0.09 rungs / yr) doesn't tilt either way — the program lives at roughly Tier 4.
CFP Era · Washington State
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 7-6
Season Standing · 2025 · 7-6Bowl eligible
Washington State: 6+ wins, bowl access secured. The baseline of a successful FBS year.
R0R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9
Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
Pac-12 Standing · 2025
1st in the Pac-12
Washington State sits at the top of the Pac-12 at 4-1. Everyone else is chasing.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington State | 4-1 |
| 2 | San Diego State | 3-1 |
| 3 | Boise State | 2-2 |
| 4 | Fresno State | 2-3 |
| 5 | Oregon State | 1-2 |
| 6 | Utah State | 1-2 |
| 7 | Colorado State | 1-3 |
| 8 | Texas State | 0-0 |
Coaching Era · Washington State
Coaching Era · Washington StateKirby Moore
Kirby Moore took over from Jimmy Rogers for the 2026 season.
Era Kirby Moore · 2026–presentPrev: Jimmy Rogers (2025)OC: Matt MillerPrev OC: Danny Freund (2025)DC: Trent BrayPrev DC: Jesse Bobbit (2025)
1
year · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
Mike Leach Air Raid Era (2012-2019)
since 2012
Mike Leach's tenure (2012-2019) defined the program — the Air Raid offense identity continued at Pullman after Texas Tech, multiple bowl appearances, and the 2018 11-2 + Alamo Bowl peak. Leach's 2019 departure to Mississippi State left the Air Raid legacy as permanent program DNA. Leach's 2022 death (at Mississippi State) was mourned as a WSU tragedy.
1997 Rose Bowl Run
since 1997
Mike Price's 1997 10-2 + Rose Bowl appearance + #9 final AP rank (Ryan Leaf QB before the 1998 NFL draft) — the program's only major bowl appearance since the 1930s. Leaf's #16 jersey + the Apple Cup victory route + the Pasadena trip became program canon.
Pac-12 Holdout (2024)
since 2024
Washington State + Oregon State were the two programs that DIDN'T leave for the SEC / Big Ten / ACC / Big 12 in the 2024 Pac-12 collapse. The 'Pac-12 Two' held the conference's legal entity + scheduled a 2024 season largely against Mountain West + non-conference opponents. The defiance + uncertainty + Mountain West partnership became permanent program identity.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
The 1997 Rose Bowl run
A Pac-10 title and the program's most famous season behind Ryan Leaf
2018
The 11-2 Leach peak
Washington State wins 11 games and finishes ranked in the Air Raid's best season
2023
Left behind in realignment
The Pac-12 dissolves and WSU gets no Power-conference invitation, reduced to a two-team league with Oregon State
Wound
Moment of the Year · Washington State · 2025
Moment of the Year · Washington State · 2025Lost 21-24 at Ole Miss
Week 7 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2015-2025): 3-6
Most recent: 2025 — win 21-34 (away). Last 5 postseason: 1-4.
20252024202220212019
NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–2025
NFL Draft PipelineDeveloping
7 picks last 5 cycles. Pipeline emerging.
7
picks · 0 R1
#69
Kyle Williams
Wide Receiver · 2025 · New England
#72
Abraham Lucas
Offensive Tackle · 2022 · Seattle
#85
Daiyan Henley
Inside Linebacker · 2023 · Los Angeles · #34/548 final season
#51 all-time · 13 first-round picksthe talent factory →
Unit lineage
Washington State’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2014–2025
2015–2019 · Mike Leach2020 · Brian Smith / co-Craig Stutzmann2021 · co-Craig Stutzmann / Brian Smith2022 · Eric Morris2023–2024 · Ben Arbuckle2025 · Danny Freund
Hired for 2026: Matt Miller — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Defense2014–2025
2014 · Mike Breske2015–2017 · Alex Grinch2018 · Tracy Claeys2019 · Tracy Claeys / co-Darcel McBath (interim) / co-Roc Bellantoni (interim; games 6–13) (interim)2020–2021 · Jake Dickert2022 · Brian Ward2023–2024 · Jeff Schmedding2025 · Jesse Bobbit
Hired for 2026: Trent Bray — not yet reflected in on-field data.
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
A heavy-turnover 2025: 25% returning (below average), with the offense the biggest question.
The portal upgraded the EDGE room but opened a hole at DL.
1 player drafted in 2025; the reload runs through the portal and recruiting.
Washington State converts recruit talent into draft picks better than its class rank suggests.
r/cfb moments
734
[Postgame Thread] USC Defeats Washington State 30-14
568
[Postgame Thread] USC Defeats Washington State 45-14
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