Kirby Moore

1-6This season at Washington State
1-6Career
Program lift
Year 1
graded once a job reaches 3 seasons
See Washington State’s full coaching history →

Career arc

Part one · This week

As of Fri Oct 23

  • Last gameL 30-48 at Oregon State Sat Oct 17
  • This season1-6 lost 4 straight
  • On track for2-9 regular season
  • Nextvs. Boise State Sat Oct 24
  • Stature80th of 138 FBS programs

Saturday: vs. Boise State

Sat Oct 24, 6 pm ET USA Network · No. 21 Boise State is 5-1 · First meeting between Moore and Spencer Danielson as head coaches · Washington State’s chance to win: 10% (the site’s model)

His week

12 stories this week →

The headlines, Oct 18–23 from 6 outlets

Offense: 135th of 138 per play. Defense: 33rd.

Offense, per play135thOffense, staying on schedule135thDefense, per play33rdDefense, opponents' starting field position135thWorstBest
Offense, per play135th of 138Offense, staying on schedule135th of 138Defense, per play33rd of 138Defense, opponents' starting field position135th of 138WorstBest
Through 7 games. Each tick is an FBS team, adjusted for opponent strength (CFB Zeitgeist model); the dot is Washington State. The other two rows are where Washington State stands furthest from the middle. Early-season numbers move a lot.

4 games left

  1. Sat Oct 24vs. Boise State (5-1)USA Network10%
  2. Sat Oct 31at San Diego State (3-4)CBS Sports Network45%
  3. Sat Nov 14vs. Colorado State (2-4)CBS Sports Network57%
  4. Sat Nov 21at Texas State (3-3)USA Network12%

Percent: Washington State’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.

How the season got here

Where Washington State stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).

72nd78th84thPreseason80thWashington L 10-24Washington L 10-24L 10-24Washington79thKansas State L 7-34Kansas State L 7-34L 7-34Kansas State76thDuquesne W 48-7Duquesne W 48-7W 48-7Duquesne77thArizona L 24-34Arizona L 24-34L 24-34Arizona76thFresno State L 6-26Fresno State L 6-26L 6-26Fresno State78thUtah State L 16-17Utah State L 16-17L 16-17Utah State81stOregon State L 30-48Oregon State L 30-48L 30-48Oregon State80th
  1. Oct 12–18L 30-48 at Oregon State6 headlines · 47th of 138Kirby Moore Has NO ONE LEFT TO BLAME if Washington State's Offense Fails vs. Utah State First Coast News
  2. Oct 5–11L 16-17 at Utah State16 headlines · 29th of 138Kirby Moore faces tough questions about Washington State's offense after another frustrating loss Sports Illustrated
  3. Sep 28–Oct 4L 6-26 vs. Fresno State12 headlines · 39th of 138Kirby Moore knows exactly what Pac-12 opener means to WSU fans after waiting 1,000 days 247Sports
  4. Sep 21–27 · rebuiltL 24-34 vs. Arizona9 headlines · 40th of 138
  5. Sep 14–20 · rebuiltW 48-7 vs. Duquesne11 headlines · 38th of 138Kirby Moore calm, cool and collected in first Crimson-infused victory 247Sports
  6. Sep 7–13 · rebuiltL 7-34 at Kansas State6 headlines · 59th of 138What WSU coach Kirby Moore said after loss to Kansas State Sports Illustrated

Each week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.

Watch the biggest plays from Washington State’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.

Washington State

12 stories about him this week

Sat Oct 24: Boise State

38th of 100 FBS head coaches · from 6 outlets and r/CFB

Oct 18: 1Oct 19: 2Oct 20: 6Oct 21: 2Oct 22: 1L 30-48 at Oregon StateLOct 17Oct 23Most in a day: 6
Oct 18: 1Oct 19: 2Oct 20: 6Oct 21: 2Oct 22: 1L 30-48 at Oregon StateLOct 17Oct 23Most in a day: 6
Gold: stories about him each day. W and L: his games.

Roster talk is up: 7 stories in the last two weeks, from 3 the two weeks before.

What they’re talking about

Game preview4 stories
Press conference and quotes2 storiesfading
Quarterback and depth chart2 storiesrising

139 stories about him this season

from 23 outlets and r/CFB

Aug 1 to Aug 7: 14Aug 8 to Aug 14: 7Aug 15 to Aug 21: 9Aug 22 to Aug 28: 8Aug 29 to Sep 4: 10Sep 5 to Sep 11: 10Sep 12 to Sep 18: 10Sep 19 to Sep 25: 14Sep 26 to Oct 2: 15Oct 3 to Oct 9: 17Oct 10 to Oct 16: 13Oct 17 to Oct 23: 12L 10-24 at WashingtonLL 7-34 at Kansas StateLW 48-7 vs DuquesneWL 24-34 vs ArizonaLL 6-26 vs Fresno StateLL 16-17 at Utah StateLL 30-48 at Oregon StateLAug 1Oct 23Most in a week: 17
Aug 1 to Aug 7: 14Aug 8 to Aug 14: 7Aug 15 to Aug 21: 9Aug 22 to Aug 28: 8Aug 29 to Sep 4: 10Sep 5 to Sep 11: 10Sep 12 to Sep 18: 10Sep 19 to Sep 25: 14Sep 26 to Oct 2: 15Oct 3 to Oct 9: 17Oct 10 to Oct 16: 13Oct 17 to Oct 23: 12L 10-24 at WashingtonLL 7-34 at Kansas StateLW 48-7 vs DuquesneWL 24-34 vs ArizonaLL 6-26 vs Fresno StateLL 16-17 at Utah StateLL 30-48 at Oregon StateLAug 1Oct 23Most in a week: 17
Gold: stories about him each week. W and L: his games. Counted from Aug 1, when tracking began.

What they’re talking about

Press conference and quotes46 storiesfading
Game preview20 stories
Quarterback and depth chart19 storiesrising
Loss8 stories
Win8 stories
In-game decisions5 storiesfading

Could another school hire him? What has he said?

Stories are headlines grouped by what they are about, counted through Oct 23.

In his own words

No, the best players are gonna play
Dailyevergreen · · 3 days before Washington State's 2026 game against Boise State
Every quote, back to September 2026

In his own words (12)

No, the best players are gonna play
Dailyevergreen3 days before Washington State's 2026 game against Boise State
We’re not looking in the rear-view mirror, we gotta keep building on where we’re at right now
Dailyevergreenthe day after the 30-48 game
We’re either coaching it or we’re allowing it to happen
Dailyevergreen2 days before the Oregon State game
The big thing is we got to continue to work on accuracy with the football, and when something’s there, we got to take advantage
Dailyevergreen3 days after the 16-17 game
First, we have to evaluate everything on offense
Dailyevergreenthe day after the 16-17 game
It’s a collective effort
Dailyevergreenthe day after the 16-17 game
The speed showed up. Jaylen Thomas, who’s done it on defense, right, doing it down on special teams, that guy’s special
Dailyevergreenthe day after the 48-7 game
[I] think he has the potential to come back with the new five for five rule for another season here at Washington State
Dailyevergreen3 days after the 7-34 game
We gotta work together to improve, it’s a team effort
Dailyevergreen2 days after the 7-34 game
Turnovers and situational football, we have to improve on offense
Dailyevergreen2 days before the Kansas State game
The defense did a nice job against the run. That has to carry over against Kansas State
Dailyevergreen2 days before the Kansas State game
Yeah, they [the missed kicks] were surprising
Dailyevergreen3 days after the 10-24 opener
Part two · The hire

Hires into jobs like this

Hired into 25–25, Regional Program I. Rough match, not calibrated yet — ranked on what the job inherited alone. Coaches hired into this same job aren’t used as comps.

Of the 5 closest comps, 3 left the program higher than he found it and 2 left it lower. Median stay: 4 seasons; 2 left mid-season.
Every coach hired into a Regional Program I job since 1990 (64): typically -0.8 after year 1, -1.9 after year 2.
band ends: fewer than 15 hires still in the job+12+8+4what he inherited-4-8hiredyr 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr 6yr 7yr 8yr 9yr 10yr 11yr 12yr 13Sherrill: +1.5 vs. inheritedMarrone: +5.4 vs. inheritedHammock: -10.3 vs. inheritedDantonio: -0.6 vs. inheritedDoeren: +6 vs. inheritedMoore: -0.4 vs. inherited✕ Doeren +6▏ Marrone +5.4▏ Sherrill +1.5Moore -0.4✕ Dantonio -0.6▏ Hammock -10.3
→ Mississippi State, 1991
7–5 · 7–5 · 3–6 · 8–4 · 3–8 · 5–6 · 7–4 · 8–5 · 10–2 · 8–4 · 3–8 · 3–9 · 2–10
13 seasons
+1.5 vs. what he inherited
→ Syracuse, 2009
4–8 · 8–5 · 5–7 · 8–5
4 seasons
+5.4 vs. what he inherited
→ Northern Illinois, 2019
5–7 · 0–6 · 9–5 · 3–9 · 7–6 · 8–5 · 3–9
7 seasons
-10.3 vs. what he inherited
→ Cincinnati, 2004
7–5 · 4–7 · 7–5
3 seasons · left mid-season
-0.6 vs. what he inherited
→ Northern Illinois, 2011
11–3 · 12–1
2 seasons · left mid-season
+6.0 vs. what he inherited
First head-coaching job
No prior college head-coaching tenure on record.
The job he took
Followed Jimmy Rogers (2025–2025), after the season
6–6
Program was sliding in the 2023–2025 run-up.
A Regional Program I job.
Rivalry record so far
Apple Cup vs. Washington0–1
How new coaches start here
  • Jimmy Rogers20256–6+0.5 ✕
  • Jake Dickert20213–3+0.7
  • Nick Rolovich20201–3-1.8
  • Mike Leach20123–9-2.2
  • Paul Wulff20082–11-8.9
  • Bill Doba200310–3+3.1
  • Mike Price19896–5+2.6
  • Dennis Erickson19873–7-1.8

This season

4%chance he’s out by the end of this seasonCool68th-hottest of 137 FBS jobs
0%50%+

Our hot-seat model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, and his contract (a bigger buyout, relative to pay, makes a change costlier). Ranked against the 137 FBS head coaches with 3+ games this season.

His first rated season here.

His hot seat, week by week

The chance he’s out by the end of that season, as it stood after every week of his tenure here, by today’s model.

BoilingHotWarmCool20262026, week 3 (3 games in): 2%, 90th-hottest of 133 FBS jobs2026, week 4 (4 games in): 2%, 86th-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 5 (5 games in): 3%, 76th-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 6 (6 games in): 4%, 70th-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 7 (7 games in): 5%, 68th-hottest of 137 FBS jobs2026, week 8 (7 games in): 4%, 68th-hottest of 137 FBS jobsnow

What drives his number

The biggest factors, each against the typical FBS job today.

  • ▼ Cooler
    Year 1 · tenure, which this model overrates
    (why?)

    Tenure is one of this model’s strongest inputs, but its weight was set when retirements like Nick Saban’s and Bob Stoops’ still counted as being pushed out, so it overstates how much tenure matters.

  • ▲ Hotter
    1-6, outscored by 49
  • ▼ Cooler
    No previous seasons here to judge him on

What happened to coaches like him, 2004–2025

A different comparison: past coaches, not today’s, grouped by one fact at a time. Neither line knows the games he has left or his contract, so they can sit above or below his chance.

Were 1-6 after 7 games
21% pushed out over results · of 215 coaches
Were in year 1, after 7 games
1% pushed out over results · of 523 coaches
The outcome
Pushed out over results — a firing, forced resignation, mutual parting or non-renewal, each read case by case. Leaving for a better job, or retiring on his own terms, doesn’t count.
Buyout
No figure on file for this coach. The salary database predates the last coaching carousel; a name mismatch is suppressed rather than misattributed.

How good is this number? Checked on every FBS coach from 2010 to 2025, with its percentages calibrated each season on earlier years only: they track what happened — coaches it put near 25% were out about a quarter of the time — and a version pricing the games left with the previous season’s ratings ranked jobs as well as the ranking this page used before. Each week it learns from coaches who were still on the job at that point, so a firing during the season counts. In the Boiling zone it has run a few points high. Every job, and the method.

Part three · The career

Coaching career

2026–now
Washington State
too new to grade yet

Followed Jimmy Rogers (2025).

Who they bring in

Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 232 lbs
across 19 of 28 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+1.7 lbs
#198 of 255 · bottom quarter
Avg. class year
Fr
#255 of 255 · bottom quarter
Avg. portal rating
3.0★
rated arrivals only
Top states: CA (5), VA (2), TX (2), AZ (2), GA (1)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
51.9
position-weighted
Talent lost
52.6
position-weighted
Net
-0.8
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Caden Pinnick (QB) from UC Davis
Biggest loss: Jaxon Potter (QB) to Old Dominion
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Safety via the portal
100%
#1 of 218 stints
Buys Cornerback via the portal
100%
#1 of 236 stints
Grows Running back from high school
75%
#162 of 208 stints
1-6

Big games

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

0-1 against his rivals.

Rivalry record
0-1
0.0% · 1 rival
One-score games
0-1
0.0% · margin ≤8
Against the spread
5-2
all 7 had a line
Rivalry ledger
Performance by opponent class
Power Program
0-2 0.0%
National Program
0-2 0.0%
Regional Program
0-2 0.0%

ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.

Signature games

0-1 vs. AP top 25 · 0-0 vs. the top 10
Signature wins
Signature losses
L
Washington · 2026
10-24
Rival
L
Kansas State · 2026
7-34
L
Oregon State · 2026
30-48

Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%FBS avg 41%Washington State2026–20261 season
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered season

How good is he so far?

Too new to grade — in-season movement only
Washington State’s composite stature has held about steady since preseason: 24.9 entering the year to 24.6 through week 8 (Regional Program I) · #103 of 138 in movement since preseason · middle half.
Part four · How he builds a team

Three numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.

  1. 1His recruiting
  2. 2Roster ownership
  3. 3Where he recruits

His recruiting, really

No class below is fully his yet — every one was inherited or signed mid-transition, so none counts toward a verdict.

2026
#128
Transition

Transition — he was hired mid-cycle

Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his; inherited and mid-transition classes still show here, faded, but stay out of the average.

Roster ownership

Roster ownership

35%His own players

of his 2026 roster arrived on his watch — 51 of 147 players. The other 96 are holdovers from before he was hired.

Arrived under him 51Inherited 96

Of his own players on this roster, 37% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).

Everyone he has brought in, 2026–2026Counting players who have since left: 37% of the 51 arrivals we can classify came through the portal.

“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.

Where he recruits

CATop state

is his biggest recruiting state: 7 of 16 signees (44%) across his 2026–2026 tenure, drawn from 6 states in all. Next: TX (3).

Where his signees came from, 2026–2026 (16 high-school, JUCO and prep signees)

50% of his signees come from CA and its 3 border states (NV 1).

1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee2 signees1 signee1 signee1 signee1 signee

Off this map: 1 signee to the east (PA).

By region
West
11
South
4
Northeast
1
Roster distance from campus (Gesa Field, WA)
median hometown distance
883 mi
within 100 mi
4%
within 500 mi
27%
beyond 1,000 mi
38%
139 of 147 roster players with a known hometown (95% coverage)

The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.

How to read this. "This week" is the real, current season as of its date, rebuilt every night — not a career verdict. Bands and archetypes elsewhere on this page come from the Zeitgeist List’s season-by-season stature model, and only apply once a stint clears 3 coached seasons in our ledger — a newer stint shows its real record with no stature judgment yet.