cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Paul Hutson III /Marshall

Paul Hutson III

DL · Marshall · Jr · #55

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

37 TACKLES · 3 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Marshall for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Marshall for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Marshall

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (27 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Marshall · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #89 · 2026 recruiting class #120

DL · MARSHALL · SUN BELT

Paul Hutson III

  • 3
  • #55
  • 6-1 | 275 lb
  • Norfolk, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

66

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1322 national
CFB
College
Marshall
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class3
Jersey55
Measurements6-1 | 275 lb
HometownNorfolk, VA
Primary teamMarshall

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1322 recruit
Composite rating 0.8478 HighSchool
Signed with Campbell 2022
Origin IMG Academy Bradenton, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8478 No. 1322 recruit | HighSchool | Campbell

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Campbell

Composite

0.8478

#1322 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Paul Hutson III

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Paul Hutson III

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
37Tackles
6Tackles for loss
3Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
44Tackles
7.1Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 37): needs 21.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 37): needs 31.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3): needs 1.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Paul Hutson III is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Marshall's defense, with 3.0 sacks, 6.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 3.0 sacks | 6.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 37 10 solo | #1007/4942 (80th pct)
TFL 6.0 Backfield disruption | #406/4972 (92nd pct)
Sacks 3.0 Pass-rush finish | #292/4972 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
37 80th
SOLO
10 56th
TFL
6.0 92nd
SACK
3.0 94th
QBH
3 75th

Coverage & Takeaways

INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 7-45@ Georgia110.00.00
Wk 2L 20-21vs Missouri State100.50.50
Wk 3W 38-7vs Eastern Kentucky100.00.00
Wk 4W 42-28@ Middle Tennessee210.00.00
Wk 5L 51-54@ Louisiana220.00.010
Wk 7W 48-24vs Old Dominion300.50.00
Wk 8W 40-37vs Texas State731.01.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 11L 23-35vs James Madison621.01.010
Wk 12W 30-18@ Georgia State612.00.50
Wk 13L 24-26@ App State500.50.00
Wk 14L 19-24vs Georgia Southern300.50.00
Total37106.03.020
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Marshall5-7HC: Tony Gibson · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Marshall37106.03.0--2--
Career1 loaded season37106.03.0--2--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 1 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 37 #1007/4942 80th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.0 #406/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.0 #292/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 49 #115/578 80th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 24.5 #160/578 72nd pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 10 #1996/4584 56th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Defense Pick-six TD 1 #13/119 90th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.50.60.40.0
Road5g3.20.50.10.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g3.80.70.30.0
Losses6g3.00.40.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.70.20.10.0
Weeks 8+5g5.41.00.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

66Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (88th). Strength: tackles for loss (85th). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Sacks#291 / 2975 · 89th pct
3.0defe
Tackles for loss#406 / 2975 · 85th pct
6.0defe
QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Tackles#1007 / 2975 · 65th pct
37defe
Solo tackles#1996 / 2975 · 31st pct
10defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Paul Hutson IIIMarshallMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 68% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 67% simMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 67% sim
Sacks
89
III
80
Parker
63
Davey
89
Baranowski
Tackles for loss
85
III
87
Parker
91
Davey
95
Baranowski
QB hurries
82
III
88
Parker
82
Davey
82
Baranowski
Interceptions
75
III
31
Parker
Tackles
65
III
98
Parker
99
Davey
98
Baranowski
Solo tackles
31
III
96
Parker
99
Davey
98
Baranowski
Passes defended
18
III
18
Parker
18
Davey
48
Baranowski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Macyo Williams’s 2023 season.

Macyo Williams

94%match

Kent State · 2023

#2

Blake Green

South Florida · 2021

92%
#3

Kevin Pointer

Wake Forest · 2022

92%
#4

Thomas Aden

Kent State · 2025

92%
#5

Brayden Utley

Baylor · 2021

90%

Matches Macyo on

TFL rate
Sack rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Marshawn Kneeland's senior season at Western Michigan (2023).

Marshawn Kneeland

77%match

Western Michigan · 2023

All-MACNFL Rd 2 · Pk 24
#2

Mason Maddox

Kent State · 2025

77%
#3

Marcus Patterson

Kennesaw State · 2025

72%
#4

Kevon Haigler

App State · 2023

69%
#5

Deante McCray

Florida State · 2025

66%

Matches Marshawn on

Class year
Weight
Sack rate

Differs from Marshawn on

Height (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Gibson

Pass share

40.4%

335 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

69.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

244 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Tony Gibson
Marshall

Played his entire career under Tony Gibson.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNorfolk, VA
Height6'1"
Weight275 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey55

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Marshall Sun Belt DL 3 No. 55 | 6-1 | 275 lb | Norfolk, VA