cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Caleb Francl /Washington State

Caleb Francl

LB · Washington State · Sr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

82 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Washington State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Washington State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Washington State

Returning around him

  • 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (28 in / 41 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Washington State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #95 · 2026 recruiting class #71

LB · WASHINGTON STATE · PAC-12

Caleb Francl

  • 4
  • #9
  • 6-1 | 190 lb
  • Grand Island, NE

CFB Zeitgeist Score

79

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Washington State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements6-1 | 190 lb
HometownGrand Island, NE
Primary teamWashington State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Caleb Francl

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Caleb Francl

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
82Tackles
6Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Final
82Tackles
6Tackles for loss
2Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 82.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Caleb Francl is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Washington State's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 6.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 2.0 sacks | 6.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 82 34 solo | #131/4942 (97th pct)
TFL 6.0 Backfield disruption | #406/4972 (92nd pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
82 97th
SOLO
34 92nd
TFL
6.0 92nd
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
5 90th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 13-10vs Idaho1160.00.00Season-high 11 tackles
Wk 2W 36-13vs San Diego State310.00.00
Wk 3L 10-59@ North Texas311.01.00
Wk 4L 24-59vs Washington210.50.00
Wk 5W 20-3@ Colorado State811.00.00
Wk 7L 21-24@ Ole Miss600.00.00
Wk 8L 20-22@ Virginia1011.50.01
Wk 9W 28-7vs Toledo740.00.00
Wk 10L 7-10@ Oregon State641.01.00
Wk 12W 28-3vs Louisiana Tech520.00.01
Wk 13L 20-24@ James Madison850.00.010
Wk 14W 32-8vs Oregon State520.00.011
BowlW 34-21@ Utah State861.00.00
Total82346.02.023
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Washington State7-6HC: Jimmy Rogers · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Washington State82346.02.032--
Career1 loaded season82346.02.032--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 5 Quarterback hurries | #188/1878 (90th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 82 #131/4942 97th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.0 #406/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 5 #188/1878 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 34 #386/4584 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g5.50.10.00.3
Road7g7.00.80.30.1

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g6.70.30.00.3
Losses6g5.80.70.30.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.90.50.10.0
Weeks 8+6g6.80.40.20.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

79All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (95th). Strength: qb hurries (92nd).

Tackles#131 / 2975 · 96th pct
82defe
QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct
5defe
Solo tackles#386 / 2975 · 87th pct
34defe
Tackles for loss#406 / 2975 · 85th pct
6.0defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Caleb FranclWashington StateRay ConeyTulsa· 94% simMatt RoseStanford· 93% simTreylin PayneTexas State· 93% sim
Tackles
96
Francl
100
Coney
99
Rose
98
Payne
QB hurries
92
Francl
88
Coney
82
Rose
82
Payne
Solo tackles
87
Francl
93
Coney
97
Rose
95
Payne
Tackles for loss
85
Francl
90
Coney
93
Rose
87
Payne
Sacks
80
Francl
80
Coney
89
Rose
80
Payne
Passes defended
78
Francl
67
Coney
78
Rose
67
Payne
Interceptions
75
Francl
Forced fumbles
47
Francl
47
Rose

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Keionte Newson’s 2023 season.

Keionte Newson

77%match

Ball State · 2023

#2

Cameron Bergeron

Duke · 2024

66%
#3

Jordan Pollard

San José State · 2023

64%
#4

Jack Fagot

Louisville · 2021

63%
#5

Manny Lawrence-Burke

Kent State · 2021

62%

Matches Keionte on

TFL rate
PD rate
Weight

Differs from Keionte on

Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Myles Rowser's senior season at Arizona State (2025).

Myles Rowser

86%match

Arizona State · 2025

#2

Evan Williams

Oregon · 2023

83%
#3

Jett Elad

UNLV · 2024

82%
#4

Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren

Toledo · 2025

All-MACNFL Rd 2 · Pk 26
80%
#5

Shaquan Loyal

Rutgers · 2024

80%

Matches Myles on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jimmy Rogers

Pass share

48.7%

407 pass / 429 run

Plays / game

64.3

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.1%

327 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jimmy Rogers
Washington State

Played his entire career under Jimmy Rogers.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGrand Island, NE
Height6'1"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Washington State Pac-12 LB 4 No. 9 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Grand Island, NE