Virginia11-3CFP #192Beau Pribula (QB) arrives as Virginia's top transfer in a top-2 ACC portal class — a program steeped in tradition now addressing a 13% QB production return with a new era under Tony Elliott.
Virginia is the program that waited 122 years for its first 11-win season — then beat an SEC team in the Gator Bowl to seal it, the year a coach on the brink became the best in school history.
Cavalier fans spent years hearing their program treated as an afterthought at the bottom of the ACC. They say 2025 — eleven wins, a bowl scalp of an SEC team — was the answer to everyone who assumed V…
Approaching
23 days
until kickoff · vs NC State · Sat Aug 29 · 19:30 UTC
Virginia is the program whose football identity is bound to Jeffersonian tradition and the patience of a school that has been a school since 1819.
With a roster reload score of "Low continuity / heavy reload" and a recruiting rank of #111, Virginia faces challenges in maintaining continuity while integrating 31 transfers. The team's heavy reliance on portal imports and limited returning production (28%) suggests a high degree of uncertainty.
The Cavalier is patient.
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
Virginia leaped 60 spots in SP+ — the 11-3 record and #20 AP finish suggest momentum, but the #62 talent rank raises questions about sustaining success under Tony Elliott's fourth season.
Virginia leaped 60 spots in SP+ — the #20 AP finish under Tony Elliott is the ceiling fans wonder if the schedule can sustain in his fourth year.
Tony Elliott's 11-3 season elevates Virginia's program identity, merging Jeffersonian tradition with a winning record that challenges the middle-tier status quo.
Beau Pribula (QB) arrives as the headline addition in Virginia's highest-ranked portal class on record — a program steeped in tradition, now betting on a new era under Tony Elliott after an 11-3 season.
Jahmal Edrine is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
Jahmal Edrine produces at a notably higher rate when his team is an underdog than when favored, and his per-target value rises too, not just raw catches.
Trell Harris is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
J'mari Taylor does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.
J'mari Taylor converts 3rd/4th-and-short at an elite rate.
Sage Ennis is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Xay Davis gets meaningfully MORE work in the fourth quarter with a lead than his overall workload would predict.
Beau Pribula (QB) arrives as Virginia's top transfer in a top-2 ACC portal class — a program steeped in tradition now addressing a 13% QB production return with a new era under Tony Elliott.
Transfer QB named starter at Virginia
Elliott's portal class jumped Virginia 60 spots in the rankings, but the QB room is where that rebuild gets tested — naming a transfer starter is the move that turns roster construction into an actual depth chart.
Former Penn State QB named Virginia QB1
Penn State couldn't give him the keys, so he drove south — Elliott's top-16 transfer class needed a QB to glue it together, and now the room has an answer.
Virginia updates depth chart projection
LB depth pressure hasn't gone away at #111 nationally, but Virginia's top-15 portal class and a new GM calling plays in the front office suggest Elliott is finally building infrastructure around the roster holes, not just patching them.
Top 3 commits
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
55th percentile among FBS programs
Market outlook
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Virginia · Next-Season Outcome Band
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
Virginia enters 2026 rated No. 31 in 2025 SP+ (+11.1), up 60 spots from 2024. One of the bigger model jumps in the country — the tape moved faster than the consensus noticed. The coverage is thin. Quiet preseasons end two ways.
The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.
The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
This event was in 306 of 872 board posts (35%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (244 posts): 14% positive · 69% neutral · 17% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Virginia enters 2025 rated No. 31 in SP+ (+11.1), up 60 spots from 2024. One of the bigger model jumps in the country — the tape moved faster than the consensus noticed. The coverage is thin. Quiet preseasons end two ways.
The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.
The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
This event was in 306 of 872 board posts (35%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (244 posts): 14% positive · 69% neutral · 17% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Opens Aug 29
vs NC State · at home
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
VA leads the 2026 class with 7 commits. National footprint reaching 7 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
72 signees across 18 states, 2023-2026. VA leads the pull.
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
66 of 66 AP voters have them ranked, final AP ballot (2025) — from #12, Chad Bishop (Atlanta Journal-Constitution), to #25, Koki Riley (The (Baton Rouge) Advocate).
Individual AP Top 25 ballots, final AP ballot, 2025 — 66 voters tracked.
14 games with TV coverage: 2 national broadcast, 7 ESPN, 4 conference network, 1 streaming
Kickoff windows: 3 noon, 5 afternoon, 6 primetime
Recovering 67% of their own fumbles — running hot vs. the ~51% league rate.
6 of 9 own fumbles recovered themselves; 6 of 13 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.
Converting 19% of pass disruptions into takeaways — right in line with the ~19% league rate.
13 interceptions of 70 disrupted passes (57 deflected, 13 intercepted), 2025 only.
The penalty battle is a wash: 74 penalties committed vs. 67 drawn on opponents.
618 penalty yards committed vs. 598 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Fanbase Signals
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Inside the fanbase — all 12 corners
The split, staged
How Virginia fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
I hope he has nightmares about the rose bowl every day for the rest of his life.
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
Loudest in the room this week real · by engagement
All 12 corners of the fanbase
Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
~ our readVirginia fans are split right down the middle, with a bit less hard evidence than most fanbases.
✓ counted We read 244 posts from Virginia fans this week.
Fan mood across the 2025 season, both sides — our read
Shaded weeks show whose fanbase read warmer, our measure of what fans actually said, not a poll.
Fanbase divided: 45% believers, 55% skeptics
Fan opinions split nearly 50/50 right now · See all divided fanbases →
“And…it’s gone! GG Berkeley Bros. Pay that QB of yours, because he’s gonna have some Brinks trucks at his door in the offseason.”— r/CFB
“> If When we end our season with that win then this will have been an ok season. I mean we'll definitely have at least another loss before that game, but we all know what the result will be.”— r/CFB
“That eggnog pour was lame: the guy from The Office (did I hear that correctly?) only sprayed the coach.”— r/CFB
“Fun fact (and do with it what you will)- since 1999, BC has failed to reach bowl eligibility in four seasons- 2011, 2012, 2015, and 2022. Every other year they’ve reached at least 6 wins.”— r/CFB
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Fanbase Health Index · Virginia · high confidence
“This Nm defense is turbo ass my goodness”
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.32 EPA/play | 4 | 14 | 282 / 436 | 64.7 | 3000 #37 FBS | 6.9 | 16 #63 FBS | 9 | 130.5 | 59.6 | 6.3 | 3.1 | |
Yards by week → Pocket Passer· Money-downBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. saves his best for the money downs Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 97 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt7.3 bottom 32th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush usage12.8% bottom 20th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jamal Morris's full player page | |||||||||||||
| +0.18 EPA/play | 10 | 5 | 30 / 52 | 57.7 | 339 | 6.5 | 1 | 1 | 115.0 | 40.5 | 6.0 | 0 | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.11 EPA/play | 3 | 13 | 222 | 1062 #33 FBS | 4.8 | 14 #20 FBS | 78 | 26.8 | 18.6 | 16.1 | 9.6 | 11.9% (53/444) | |
Yards by week → Balanced Back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · senior our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.06 EPA/play | 21 | 13 | 118 | 556 | 4.7 | 6 | 97 | 12.1 | 12.3 | 16.1 | 13.6 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced Back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry5.1 bottom 41th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception4.3 bottom 16th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Harrison Waylee's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.16 EPA/play | 20 | 7 | 51 | 241 | 4.7 | 1 | 20 | 7.3 | 8.3 | 13.7 | 13.7 | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 7 of 21 games this season · senior · 3-star, 2022 class View Xavier Brown's full player page | |||||||||||||
| +0.61 EPA/play | 28 | 4 | 23 | 174 | 7.6 | 0 | 54 | 8.3 | 8.2 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| -0.01 EPA/play | 25 | 4 | 23 | 86 | 3.7 | 0 | 8 | 7.9 | 5.6 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.63 EPA/play | 11 | 13 | 59 | 847 #52 FBS | 14.4 | 5 | 75 | 10.8 | 11.5 | 18.2% (81/444) | |
Yards by week → Slot Technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume59 91th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.6 72th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readTwo-star recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.52 EPA/play | 7 | 14 | 46 | 564 | 12.3 | 1 | 37 | 6.9 | 8.3 | 14.4% (64/444) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception13.0 bottom 48th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate2.2% bottom 15th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score climbed from the 41st percentile to the 68th among FBS WRs | |||||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.48 EPA/play | 6 | 13 | 53 | 543 | 10.2 | 2 | 46 | 7.8 | 9 | 16.9% (75/444) | |
Yards by week → Slot TechnicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume53 84th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Cam Ross's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.09 EPA/play | 5 | 13 | 25 | 234 | 9.4 | 0 | 34 | 4.9 | 5 | 8.3% (37/444) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception9.9 bottom 18th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.1 bottom 6th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kameron Courtney's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.32 EPA/play | — | 10 | 23 | 214 | 9.3 | 5 | 25 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 7.4% (33/444) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception9.4 bottom 31th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate21.7% 95th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Sage Ennis's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.73 EPA/play | 82 | 10 | 16 | 205 | 12.8 | 2 | 38 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 5.2% (23/444) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior View Eli Wood's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.32 EPA/play | 9 | 5 | 11 | 129 | 11.7 | 0 | 26 | 5.1 | 7.3 | 4.1% (18/444) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception5.6 bottom 7th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dakota Twitty's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.71 EPA/play | 89 | 6 | 9 | 101 | 11.2 | 1 | 26 | 2.2 | 3.8 | — | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. The most common profile in its group this season — 177 of 223 classified this way. Played in 6 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2024 class View John Rogers's full player page | |||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Versatile End | 17 | 14 | 45 | 17 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 7 |
Versatile EndNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. The most common profile in its group this season — 139 of 200 classified this way. Played in 14 of 21 games this season · senior our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 13th to 93rd percentile among FBS EDGEs | |||||||
| Versatile End | 14 | 13 | 44 | 21 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 2 |
Versatile EndNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 139 of 200 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.5% bottom 26th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readTwo-star recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 52 | 13 | 36 | 17 | 8.5 | 7 #39 FBS | 9 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate23.6% 83th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 23 | 12 | 33 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · senior our readAscending: his CFB Index score climbed from the 51st percentile to the 71st among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 91 | 13 | 33 | 12 | 3 | 2.5 | 4 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · junior · 3-star, 2023 class View Jason Hammond's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 90 | 12 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight311 lb 84th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score now sits at the 39th percentile among FBS IDLs, up from the 76th | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 55 | 12 | 30 | 7 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 |
Nose AnchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 152 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight317 lb 88th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score now sits at the 43rd percentile among FBS IDLs, up from the 88th | |||||||
| Speed Rusher | 6 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Speed RusherBends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor. 12 of 200 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Sack rate16.7% 79th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Cazeem Moore's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 15 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · junior View Hunter Osborne's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 93 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 |
Versatile EndNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 139 of 200 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate13.6% bottom 29th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Billy Koudelka's full player page | |||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 1 | 14 | 66 | 24 | 42 | 2.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 14 of 21 games this season · senior · 3-star, 2021 class View James Jackson's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 5 | 7 | 64 | 20 | 44 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume64 68th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate6.2% bottom 33th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kamren Robinson's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 11 | 13 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume49 bottom 48th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate5.1% bottom 28th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Maddox Marcellus's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 32 | 12 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 12 of 21 games this season · junior · 3-star, 2023 class our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 16th percentile among FBS LBs, up from the 1st | |||||||||
| 13 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 27 | 14 | 88 | 7 | 0 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume88 99th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Devin Neal's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 30 | 12 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume47 59th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score climbed from the 17th percentile to the 54th among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 13 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · senior View Christian Charles's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 28 | 13 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate17.6% 90th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Donavon Platt's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 9 | 12 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate14.3% 80th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jordan Robinson's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | — | 10 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior · 3-star, 2019 class our readFading: his CFB Index score moved from the 96th to 43rd percentile among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 18 | 13 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate11.1% 66th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Corey Costner's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | 19 | 11 | 26 | 8 #45 FBS | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Ball HawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 44 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate30.8% 96th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score now sits at the 80th percentile among FBS CBs, up from the 40th | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 10 | 10 | 24 | 5 | 3 #56 FBS | 1 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate20.8% 96th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Ja'Son Prevard's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 26 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 14th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Caleb Hardy's full player page | |||||||
| 31 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 22 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 41 | 14 | 24/30 | 80 | 49/49 | 121 | 47 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cannon | 38 | 10 | 37 | 1745 | 47.2 | 65 | 14 | 4 |
| 99 | 4 | 11 | 508 | 46.2 | 71 | 3 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.48 EPA/play | 6 | 13 | 8 | 266 | 33.3 | 1 | 100 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.48 EPA/play | 6 | 13 | 22 | 171 | 7.8 | 0 | 48 |
| -1.27 EPA/play | 8 | 3 | 4 | 58 | 14.5 | 0 | 31 |
| Possession Receiver · +0.09 EPA/play | 5 | 13 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | 15 |
2025 stat leaders
finalRoster
2025+25 more
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #56 | #112 | -13.5 | Coastal Carolina | W 48–7 144 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #66 | #28 | +2.5 | @NC State | L 31–35 131 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #50 | #190 | -31 | William & Mary | W 55–16 87 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #52 | #79 | -16.5 | Stanford | W 48–20 131 | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| 5 | Sep 26 | #47 | #69 | +7 | Florida StateTop 10 win | W 46–38 164 | 4-1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #49 | #27 | +6.5 | @Louisville | W 30–27 138 | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #41 | #126 | -16.5 | Washington State | W 22–20 119 | 6-1 | 3-1 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #46 | #138 | -11 | @North Carolina | W 17–16 144 | 7-1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #52 | #86 | -6.5 | @California | W 31–21 137 | 8-1 | 5-1 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | #43 | #69 | -7.5 | Wake Forest | L 9–16 128 | 8-2 | 5-2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #49 | #56 | +5 | @Duke | W 34–17 135 | 9-2 | 6-2 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | #41 | #76 | -8.5 | Virginia Tech | W 27–7 130 | 10-2 | 7-2 |
| Conference Championship | ||||||||
| 15 | Dec 7 | #37 | #64 | -3.5 | Duke (N) | L 20–27 138 | 10-3 | 7-3 |
| Bowl Season | ||||||||
| 18 | Dec 28 | #44 | #24 | +4 | Missouri (N) | W 13–7 | 11-3 | 7-3 |
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28 | Missouri | W 13–7 | — | — | — | +0.014 | 31.2% | 140.6% | One-score win |
| Dec 7 | Duke | L 20–27 | 344 | 2 | 25:36 | +0.145 | 42.9% | 119.0% | One-score loss |
| Nov 30 | Virginia Tech | W 27–7 | 380 | 0 | 36:56 | +0.099 | 39.3% | 109.6% | |
| Nov 15 | @Duke | W 34–17 | 540 | 2 | 35:58 | +0.220 | 39.0% | 172.5% | Most explosive |
| Nov 9 | Wake Forest | L 9–16 | 327 | 3 | 28:18 | -0.244 | 28.8% | 125.3% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 1 | @California | W 31–21 | 456 | 0 | 35:26 | +0.197 | 42.0% | 127.3% | |
| Oct 25 | @North Carolina | W 17–16 | 259 | 1 | 27:27 | -0.146 | 32.9% | 92.2% | One-score win |
| Oct 18 | Washington State | W 22–20 | 301 | 0 | 25:46 | +0.070 | 40.4% | 89.2% | One-score win |
| Oct 4 | @Louisville | W 30–27 | 237 | 0 | 27:41 | -0.019 | 27.0% | 161.4% | One-score win |
| Sep 26 | Florida State | W 46–38 | 440 | 3 | 31:57 | +0.292 | 48.8% | 114.2% | One-score win |
| Sep 20 | Stanford | W 48–20 | 594 | 0 | 34:48 | +0.470 | 54.1% | 126.9% | Blowout win |
| Sep 13 | William & Mary | W 55–16 | 700 | 1 | 37:36 | +0.471 | 55.3% | 125.3% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 6 | @NC State | L 31–35 | 514 | 1 | 32:25 | +0.320 | 40.0% | 166.8% | Defense's roughest night |
| Aug 30 | Coastal Carolina | W 48–7 | 467 | 0 | 33:33 | +0.367 | 51.3% | 122.7% | Blowout win |
| Season average (14 games) | 428 | 1.0 | +0.161 | 40.9% | 128.1% | ||||
Virginia fields a limited offense behind an elite defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
59th percentile quality, 27th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 2nd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 8th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
36th percentile success on standard downs, 73rd on passing downs — a 37-point gap between the two.
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
1st-half offense ranks 87th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 18th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.16; 49th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.03. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.37 raw vs. 0.03 adjusted.
Virginia reads strongest in success rate allowed (top 12%) and passing epa allowed (top 15%); the crux lives in success rate, where Virginia sits at the 39th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Most Similar Programs · Virginia
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Virginia · 2018-present
65% home win rate vs 35% on the road. margin runs +12.2 better at home. Scott Stadium seats 61,500, averaging 70% full (43,246 attendance, 24 games reported).
Positional competition · RB room
J'mari Taylor and Harrison Waylee split the carries (223/340 vs 117/340) -- but the job isn't split the same way. J'mari Taylor owns the receiving work.
Positional competition · WR/TE room
Trell Harris (WR) and Sage Ennis (TE) split the targets (77/107 vs 30/107) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
What changed
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved down 13 points. The rest held closer to steady.
The biggest shift: red-zone pass rate moved down 10 points. The rest held closer to steady.
Season by season
Defensive identity · pass zones
On short passes, Virginia’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.9% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 134-play sample) — mid-pack, 91 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
66°F average kickoff temp; 6% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.
Based on 79 home games with weather data.
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
Virginia's 2014–2025 record is 67-79. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
Week-by-week rivalry heat isn't tracked yet for this matchup — check back as the 2026-27 season approaches and real fan-intel signal accumulates.
Who's more worked up right now
Cross-fanbase rivalry sentiment for this matchup hasn't been measured yet this week — both sides show as neutral until real signal comes in.
THE LAST 5 · year-by-year
All-Time Record
since 1889 · 134 seasons · .477 win rate
Virginia football is 122 years old. It had never won 11 games. Then 2025 happened — a 13-7 Gator Bowl win over No. 25 Missouri to seal the record, a final ranking, and a coach who was on the hot seat two years ago.
The university that Thomas Jefferson founded in 1819 had been playing football since the 1880s, and in all of that time the program had never reached 11 wins. George Welsh's teams in the late 1980s and early 1990s were the closest thing to a sustained run — an ACC title share in 1989, the program's most competitive stretch. Then a long plateau. Then a grief that reshaped what the team means to Charlottesville: three players killed in an on-campus shooting in 2022 that cut the season short and forged something heavier than football inside the program.
Tony Elliott was hired to rebuild and was one more losing season from the door. Instead, 2025 delivered the program's record. Eleven wins. Seven-and-two in the ACC. A Gator Bowl that required beating a ranked SEC opponent to close it. Chandler Morris, the transfer quarterback who won Gator Bowl MVP honors, was denied a seventh year of eligibility by the NCAA and is gone. Virginia brought in Beau Pribula from Missouri and Eli Holstein from Pittsburgh to compete for the job. Elliott returns; the question is whether his staff can replace the quarterback who carried the record season.
The 2026 question in Charlottesville is the one every program asks after its first breakthrough: was that a year or the start of an era? Virginia has one ACC title in its history, and the 2025 team gave the fanbase reason to believe a second one is a real target rather than a dream. Whether that belief compounds or recedes is what the next 12 months of football will tell.
Portal-built and scheme-driven — Elliott's Virginia acquires proven players from the transfer market and installs them in an offense designed to protect the quarterback and attack downfield with precision over volume. The defense is the program's structural backbone; Scott Stadium in Charlottesville generates real home-field leverage when the team is good. The identity is resilience over flash, and the Good Old Song after wins is sung arm-in-arm by people who waited a long time to mean it.
Virginia 2016–2025. Holding the line. The 10-year slope (-0.06 rungs / yr) doesn't tilt either way — the program lives at roughly Tier 2.
12 seasons on file
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 11-3 · CFP #19 / AP #20
Virginia: Ranked in the AP/Coaches polls, 16-25. National relevance achieved.
ACC Standing · 2025
Virginia is 2nd in the ACC at 7-3. 1 team above — that's the direct path to the title game.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duke | 7-2 |
| 2 | Virginia | 7-3 |
| 3 | Georgia Tech | 6-2 |
| 4 | Miami | 6-2 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 6-2 |
| 6 | SMU | 6-2 |
| 7 | NC State | 5-4 |
| 8 | California | 4-4 |
| 9 | Clemson | 4-4 |
| 10 | Louisville | 4-4 |
| 11 | Wake Forest | 4-4 |
| 12 | Stanford | 3-5 |
| 13 | Florida State | 2-6 |
| 14 | North Carolina | 2-6 |
| 15 | Virginia Tech | 2-6 |
| 16 | Boston College | 1-7 |
| 17 | Syracuse | 1-7 |
Coaching Era · Virginia
Tony Elliott has held the program for 5 seasons — the era is established.
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
since 1890s
'Wahoowa!' is the program's defining linguistic identity — origin in late-19th-century cheer 'Wah-hoo-wah, Wah-hoo-wah, Uni-V Vir-gin-i-a!' The single-word battle cry is what Cavaliers respond to in the wild. Used as both greeting and farewell.
since 1888
The crossed-sabres logo (formalized 1888) is one of the oldest collegiate athletic logos still in use. Jeffersonian academic identity + military-heritage Cavalier imagery + the orange and navy color scheme combine into a distinct visual language.
since 1893
Sung to the tune of 'Auld Lang Syne' — the Good Old Song is the alma mater that doubles as football fight song. The hand-on-shoulder verse-to-chorus shift is the program's most-iconic moment; visiting fans cite it as one of the most-distinct stadium traditions in the ACC.
Program memory
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
Three football players are killed in an on-campus shooting and the season is cut short — the program's defining grief
Heartbreak
2025
Virginia goes 11-3, the most wins in the program's 122-year history
2025
A 13-7 victory over No. 25 Missouri — the program's first bowl win over an SEC team — that sealed the record season
Moment of the Year · Virginia · 2025
Week 18 of 2025. Postseason win — the season-defining moment.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Most recent: 2025 — win 7-13 (away). Last 5 postseason: 2-2.
NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–20254 picks last 5 cycles. Pipeline emerging.
Unit lineage
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
All-time top community posts · ranked by upvotes
Virginia · Next-Season Outcome Band
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Fanbase Health Index · Virginia · high confidence
2025 stat leaders
How They Play · 2025
Most Similar Programs · Virginia
Season Standing · 2025 · 11-3 · CFP #19 / AP #20
Coaching Era · Virginia
Moment of the Year · Virginia · 2025
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
NFL Draft Pipeline