Virginia routs Delaware 42-3

Team pages: Delaware · Virginia

Delaware2-23
Virginia3-142Final
Sat, Sep 26 · Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, Va. · Crowd 41,935ACC Network

Virginia routed Delaware 42-3.

We had Virginia favored. It won.

Next: Delaware lost to Liberty 30-14, Fri Oct 2

Next: Virginia lost to Florida State 38-7, Sat Oct 3

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Virginia a 63% chance, and the closing betting line (Virginia was a 19.5-point favorite) put it at 94%.

FinalVirginia 42-3 DelawareVirginia wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.At the airport: 0.09 in of rain
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4VirginiaWon42-3Scores0.02 in per 10 minutes, the peakRain
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4VirginiaWon42-3Scores0.02 in per 10 minutes, the peakRain
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4VirginiaLowest 0%Lost3-42Scores0.02 in per 10 minutes, the peakRain
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4VirginiaLowest 0%Lost3-42Scores0.02 in per 10 minutes, the peakRain

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Virginia’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Virginia -19.5), at 93% for Virginia (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.
The blue strip under the chart is the weather at the airport. 0.04 in of rain by radar over the stadium, heaviest in the third quarter. Measured at Charlottesville airport, 8.1 miles away. Full conditions below.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Virginia’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 7:34Pribula 11-yd TD pass to MartinVirginia goes ahead 7-0Q1, 7:34 · Virginia 7, Delaware 0▲3%Virginia’s chance to win, 94% to 97%▲3%Virginia’s chance to win, 94% to 97%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q2, 14:56Pribula 7-yd TD pass to FloresVirginia leads 14-0Q2, 14:56 · Virginia 14, Delaware 0▲2%Virginia’s chance to win, 96% to 98%▲2%Virginia’s chance to win, 96% to 98%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q2, 3:32Pribula 52-yd TD pass to CourtneyVirginia leads 21-3Q2, 3:32 · Virginia 21, Delaware 321-3score after the play21-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 0:01Pribula 19-yd TD pass to CourtneyVirginia leads 28-3Q2, 0:01 · Virginia 28, Delaware 328-3score after the play28-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q3, 6:44Pribula 14-yd TD runVirginia leads 35-3Q3, 6:44 · Virginia 35, Delaware 335-3score after the play35-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q3, 2:51Streeter intercepted by Adams at the UVA28Q3, 2:51 · Virginia 35, Delaware 335-3score after the play35-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  7. Q4, 11:11Holstein 74-yd TD pass to AbdullahVirginia leads 42-3Q4, 11:11 · Virginia 42, Delaware 342-3score after the play42-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  8. Q4, 9:11Streeter intercepted by Adams at the UVA27Q4, 9:11 · Virginia 42, Delaware 342-3score after the play42-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football

Every drive

Virginia scored on 6 of its 12 drives; Delaware on 1 of its 11.

Virginia’s drives are teal, Delaware’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Virginia: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownDelaware: Punt, from 75 yards out to 78PuntVirginia: Missed field goal, from 51 yards out to 20Missed FGDelaware: Punt, from 80 yards out to 80PuntVirginia: Touchdown, from 59 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Delaware: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 22Field goalVirginia: Punt, from 72 yards out to 75PuntDelaware: Punt, from 60 yards out to 61PuntVirginia: Touchdown, from 85 yards out to 0TouchdownDelaware: Punt, from 75 yards out to 59PuntVirginia: Touchdown, from 85 yards out to 0TouchdownVirginia: End of half, from 65 yards out to 65End of halfQ3Delaware: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntVirginia: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownDelaware: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntVirginia: Turned over on downs, from 67 yards out to 29DownsDelaware: Interception, from 71 yards out to 65InterceptionVirginia: Fumble, from 72 yards out to 30FumbleQ4Delaware: Punt, from 59 yards out to 59PuntVirginia: Touchdown, from 74 yards out to 0TouchdownDelaware: Interception, from 75 yards out to 42InterceptionVirginia: Punt, from 73 yards out to 50PuntDelaware: End of game, from 91 yards out to 40End of game

What it cost

Delaware’s chance to make the playoff fell from 1% to 0%.

Make the playoff

Delaware · lost1% → ▼0%
Virginia · won3% → 3%

Before the game (September 25, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Virginia 42, Delaware 3

Virginia covered −19.5 by 19.5. The total, 45, stayed under 52.5.

DelawareVirginiaTotal yardsDelaware 160Virginia 556160556Passing yardsDelaware 71Virginia 43771437Rushing yardsDelaware 89Virginia 11989119First downsDelaware 12Virginia 341234TurnoversDelaware 2Virginia 121Time of possessionDelaware 23:49Virginia 36:1123:4936:11
Team totalsDelawareVirginia
Total yards160556
Passing7 of 27, 71 yds33 of 44, 437 yds
Rushing30 for 89 yds41 for 119 yds
First downs1234
Third down4 of 147 of 15
Fourth down0 of 14 of 5
Turnovers21
Penalties8 for 78 yds7 for 61 yds
Time of possession23:4936:11

Delaware leaders

  • Passing Riley Trujillo 1 of 3, 38 yds
  • Rushing Jo'Nathan Silver 12 for 49 yds; Jared Porter 7 for 27 yds
  • Receiving Tae'Sean Robinson 1 for 38 yds; Elijah Sessoms 1 for 11 yds

Virginia leaders

  • Passing Beau Pribula 24 of 28, 279 yds, 4 TD
  • Rushing Xay Davis 10 for 30 yds; Beau Pribula 9 for 24 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Rico Flores 9 for 113 yds, 1 TD; Kameron Courtney 4 for 89 yds, 2 TD

Rain for part of the game

74° at kickoff · 0.04 in of rain by radar over the stadium · wind 8 mph from the north-northeast, gusts to 25

A 25 mph gust is stronger than the peak gust in 87% of games since 2018.

Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 16 mphThis game: 25 mph060 mph
Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 16 mphThis game: 25 mph060 mph

Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.

The usual here around this date is 69°, with about 7 in 10 games between 59° and 78°.

September game-day temperatures at Scott Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Virginia favoredDelaware favored100%Win chanceVirginiaRaininches per 10 min0.1 inWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph25 mph gust
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Virginia favoredDelaware favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inWind · miles per hour204025 mph gust

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Third quarter, 11:22 left8:10 p.m.
Delaware 3, Virginia 28 · Virginia 100% to win
no rain · wind 6 mph from the north, gusts to 14 · 60°
Pribula 5-yd pass to Twitty

Jump to

Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Charlottesville airport, 8.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Delaware · 2-1

Rated 41st in our preseason ratings, 47th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 22-14 vs Coastal Carolina #156 of 668

won by 8 as a 4.5-point favorite

Delaware won 22-14 vs Coastal Carolina. Chance to win started at 74%, low 31%, high better than 99%.

L 26-35 @ Vanderbilt #44 of 668

lost by 9 as a 20.5-point underdog

Delaware lost 26-35 at Vanderbilt. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 21%.

W 42-7 vs Merrimack #216 of 668

won by 35 as a 31.5-point favorite

Delaware won 42-7 vs Merrimack. Chance to win started at 98%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

Last three games

Virginia · 2-1

Rated 56th in our preseason ratings, 50th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 27-38 vs West Virginia #137 of 668

lost by 11 as a 10.5-point favorite

Virginia lost 27-38 vs West Virginia. Chance to win started at 82%, low 3%, high 92%.

W 59-3 vs Norfolk State #225 of 668

won by 56 as a 47.5-point favorite

Virginia won 59-3 vs Norfolk State. Chance to win started at better than 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

W 34-8 vs NC State #46 of 668

won by 26 as a 4-point favorite

Virginia won 34-8 vs NC State. Chance to win started at 68%, low 65%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

Virginia

Wk 1: W 34-8 vs NC State▲26NC StateWk 2: W 59-3 vs Norfolk State▲56Norfolk StateWk 3: L 27-38 vs West Virginia▼11West Virginia
  • Wk 1Wvs NC State34-8
  • Wk 2Wvs Norfolk State59-3
  • Wk 3Lvs West Virginia27-38

Delaware

Wk 1: W 42-7 vs Merrimack▲35MerrimackWk 2: L 26-35 at Vanderbilt▼9VanderbiltWk 3: W 22-14 vs Coastal Carolina▲8Coastal Carolina
  • Wk 1Wvs Merrimack42-7
  • Wk 2Lat Vanderbilt26-35
  • Wk 3Wvs Coastal Carolina22-14

Power rating by week

Delaware is rated 0.2 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

542Wk 0Wk 2Wk 3VirginiaDelaware

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Virginia’s passing EPA against Delaware, 35 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Delaware’s explosive plays against Virginia’s defense

    29 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Delaware offense, 65th percentile · Virginia defense, 94th

  2. Virginia’s EPA/play against Delaware’s defense

    31 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Virginia offense, 56th percentile · Delaware defense, 25th

  3. Virginia’s passing EPA against Delaware’s defense

    35 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Virginia offense, 63rd percentile · Delaware defense, 28th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

DelawareVirginia
EPA/play, offense
Delaware · 38Virginia · 56
EPA/play, defense
Delaware · 25Virginia · 69
Success rate, offense
Delaware · 30Virginia · 60
Success rate, defense
Delaware · 31Virginia · 67
Explosive-play rate, offense
Delaware · 65Virginia · 10
Explosive-play rate, defense
Delaware · 24Virginia · 94
Rush EPA, offense
Delaware · 44Virginia · 57
Rush EPA, defense
Delaware · 55Virginia · 49
Pass EPA, offense
Delaware · 38Virginia · 63
Pass EPA, defense
Delaware · 28Virginia · 62

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Delaware fans are in a better mood than Virginia fans (78th vs 32nd among FBS fanbases), even with Virginia favored.

  • Model · 63%
  • Line · 94%
  • Virginia fans · 32nd
  • Delaware fans · 78th

Virginia favored by 19.5 · Total 52.5

How games like this usually go

Virginia by 19.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Delaware.

opened −20.5now −19.5

Spread: −20.5 → −19.5

The books’ cut: 4.1%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Mild, with rain. Feels like 66° at kickoff.

Delaware at Virginia · Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026 · Scott Stadium, Charlottesville

  • 66°feels like at kickoff
  • 0.05 inrain at kickoff
  • 94weather score, Comfortable

At kickoff, Sept. 26, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed. At Scott Stadium that day, a 5 pm kickoff would have scored 98, against 94 at 6 pm.

  • noon: 92, Comfortable
  • 12:45 pm: 91, Comfortable
  • 2 pm: 91, Comfortable
  • 3:30 pm: 94, Comfortable
  • 4 pm: 95, Comfortable
  • 5 pm: 98, Comfortable
  • 6 pm: 94, Comfortable (this game)
  • 7 pm: 89, Mixed

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Sept. 26, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

Virginia is worth +5.1 points (±3.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 66th percentile.

62% at home, 34% on the road against FBS opponents (29-18 home, 14-27 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.1 at home vs. away over 96 games — inside the ±5.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 187 miles to get here.

Where next