2Delaware: the fanbase's identity shifting.
Ryan Carty begins his tenure with a 7-6 record, signaling a shift as Delaware's fanbase redefines its identity beyond its historic Wing-T legacy.
2Ryan Carty begins his tenure with a 7-6 record, signaling a shift as Delaware's fanbase redefines its identity beyond its historic Wing-T legacy.
Delaware won six national titles and produced an NFL MVP and a Super Bowl MVP at quarterback -- then arrived in the FBS in 2025 and won a bowl game it wasn't even supposed to be eligible to play in.
Delaware arrived in the FBS with more championship history than most of the programs it now plays, and outsiders still talk about FCS-to-FBS jumps as programs proving themselves from scratch. The 68 V…
Approaching
28 days
until kickoff · vs Merrimack · Thu Sep 3 · 23:00 UTC
Delaware won six national titles across its history, perfected the Wing-T offense under Tubby Raymond, produced NFL MVP Rich Gannon and Super Bowl XLVII MVP Joe Flacco -- and in its first-ever FBS season, 2025, won the 68 Ventures Bowl 20-13 over Louisiana, becoming only the second program ever (after Jacksonville State) to win a bowl game in its FBS debut year.
Delaware enters the 2026 season with a roster.reload score of "low", reflecting moderate changes due to 13 transfers in and 8 out, but faces challenges in depth with a recruiting rank of #115.
YoUDee waits quietly on the sideline.
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
Delaware enters 2026 — a 7-6 record and 133rd national talent rank create a tension between promise and parity, with Ryan Carty’s first season the fulcrum for a program seeking consistency.
Ryan Carty begins his tenure with a 7-6 record, signaling a shift as Delaware's fanbase redefines its identity beyond its historic Wing-T legacy.
Donovan Lewis is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Kyre Duplessis is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Viron Ellison Jr.: a closer signal screened this season.
Delaware enters 2025 at No. 109 in SP+ — Ryan Carty's first season opens with a winning record but faces a steep climb to sustain it under Conference USA expectations.
4-star LB commits to Alabama
Ranked #114 nationally and losing linebacker depth fast — a 4-star walking into Tuscaloosa instead of Newark tells you exactly where Delaware sits in the FBS mid-tier right now.
Top 3 commits
Market outlook
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Delaware · Next-Season Outcome Band
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
Delaware enters 2026 rated No. 109 in 2025 SP+ (-10.9). SP+ describes what the program HAS done, not what it will do. The season is the field test. Preview coverage is split — believers and skeptics are reading the same data differently.
The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.
The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.
This event was in 22 of 89 board posts (25%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Delaware: the fanbase's identity shifting.
The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
Only 12 of 89 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Opens Sep 3
vs Merrimack · at home
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
FL leads the 2026 class with 4 commits. National footprint reaching 10 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
64 signees across 15 states, 2023-2026. NJ leads the pull.
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
7 games with TV coverage: 1 national broadcast, 3 ESPN, 2 cable, 1 conference network
Kickoff windows: 1 noon, 2 afternoon, 4 primetime
Recovering 31% of their own fumbles — running cold vs. the ~51% league rate.
5 of 16 own fumbles recovered themselves; 3 of 9 forced fumbles recovered, 2025 only.
Converting 32% of pass disruptions into takeaways — well above the ~19% league rate.
13 interceptions of 41 disrupted passes (28 deflected, 13 intercepted), 2025 only.
Winning the penalty battle: 69 penalties committed vs. 85 drawn on opponents, a 181-yard edge.
649 penalty yards committed vs. 830 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Fanbase Signals
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
What little we hear
Only 3 cohort(s) cleared the signal floor this week, so we won’t stage a split we can’t back. Here’s the honest read:
How Delaware fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
~ our readNot enough Delaware chatter this week to read the room.
We read 21 Delaware posts this week — not enough to call the room. Check back during the season.
“My wife is an alum. 4 years in the student section. 4 years as a season ticket holder. I think she’s still in shock from what she saw today. Holy Fuck.”— r/CFB
“Gameday in Lubbock is gonna be fucking insane. We could probably sell our (season) tickets for like $1000 but can you put a price on that experience???”— r/CFB
“Give the game ball to that kid who got the unsportsmanlike conduct penalty on 3rd down”— r/CFB
“That's the most excited I've been about one of our games since graduating a decade ago.”— r/CFB
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
Fanbase Health Index · Delaware · high confidence
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.24 EPA/play | 4 | 13 | 322 / 514 | 62.6 | 3671 #7 FBS | 7.1 | 23 #32 FBS | 7 | 134.7 | 55.9 | 6.8 | 4.6 | |
Yards by week → Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. The most common profile in its group this season — 97 of 183 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · junior View Nick Minicucci's full player page | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | 12 / 19 | 63.2 | 98 | 5.2 | 1 | 1 | 113.3 | 45.1 | — | — | ||
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · +0.03 EPA/play | 27 | 11 | 119 | 652 | 5.5 | 5 | 70 | 15.5 | 12.3 | 20 | 17.4 | 8.2% (40/489) | |
Yards by week → Satellite Back· Boom-or-bustDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 50 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Receiving share19.6% 89th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / carry5.4 61th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jo'Nathan Silver's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.02 EPA/play | 23 | 13 | 117 | 462 | 3.9 | 4 | 20 | 12.1 | 7.7 | 13.0 | 7.8 | 5.1% (25/489) | |
Yards by week → Balanced BackPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. 186 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / carry3.8 bottom 10th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share15.2% 71th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like our readthe ball security is the one real worry — 2.17 fumbles per 100 touches (top-decile concern) | |||||||||||||
| -0.33 EPA/play | 26 | 6 | 22 | 110 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 6 | 2.6 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.51 EPA/play | 19 | 13 | 63 | 863 #49 FBS | 13.7 | 5 | 68 | 10.9 | 11.7 | 20.4% (100/489) | |
Yards by week → Slot Technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume63 94th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Yards / reception13.9 56th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile our readBreakout: his CFB Index score now sits at the 91st percentile among FBS WRs, up from the 0th | |||||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.35 EPA/play | 18 | 13 | 66 | 850 #51 FBS | 12.9 | 3 | 51 | 8.3 | 13 | 20.7% (101/489) | |
Yards by week → Slot TechnicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 97 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Reception volume66 96th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate4.5% bottom 26th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Sean Wilson's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.57 EPA/play | 15 | 9 | 31 | 359 | 11.6 | 3 | 51 | 13.2 | 8.9 | 8.8% (43/489) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · senior View Jake Thaw's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.34 EPA/play | 9 | 11 | 32 | 304 | 9.5 | 1 | 67 | 8.5 | 7.1 | 7.8% (38/489) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception7.2 bottom 6th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate3.1% bottom 19th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ja'Carree Kelly's full player page | |||||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.83 EPA/play | — | 10 | 20 | 275 | 13.8 | 3 | 40 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 4.9% (24/489) | |
Yards by week → Deep Threat· Money-downStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 100 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception17.8 87th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.8 92th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Max Patterson's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.20 EPA/play | 87 | 8 | 20 | 219 | 10.9 | 1 | 30 | 6.5 | 9.9 | 6.7% (33/489) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception11.8 bottom 33th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.2 bottom 15th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Donovan Lewis's full player page | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.09 EPA/play | 88 | 9 | 22 | 190 | 8.6 | 2 | 21 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 5.1% (25/489) | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. The most common profile in its group this season — 177 of 223 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · senior View Elijah Sessoms's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.38 EPA/play | 8 | 7 | 10 | 162 | 16.2 | 2 | 35 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 4.5% (22/489) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.21 EPA/play | 41 | 6 | 9 | 66 | 7.3 | 0 | 16 | 4.8 | 3.6 | — | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 177 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception7.8 bottom 19th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Connor Witthoft's full player page | |||||||||||
| +0.03 EPA/play | 40 | 4 | 6 | 46 | 7.7 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 2 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 93 | 13 | 35 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · senior View Jack Hall's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 13 | 13 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
Versatile EndNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 139 of 200 classified this way. Played in 13 of 21 games this season · senior our readBreakout: his CFB Index score now sits at the 68th percentile among FBS EDGEs, up from the 13th | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 9 | 12 | 29 | 13 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate22.4% 79th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Keyshawn Hunter's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 52 | 11 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 0.5 | 3 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior View Dominick Brogna's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 8 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 |
Versatile EndNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 139 of 200 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate11.4% bottom 22th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ethan Saunders's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 11 | 12 | 21 | 7 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 8 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate16.7% 58th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 33 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 3.5 | 3 | 2 |
3-Tech PenetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 269 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate18.4% 65th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Trace Scott's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 98 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 7 of 21 games this season · senior View Nick Karika's full player page | |||||||
| 31 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | |
| — | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 35 | 13 | 112 | 51 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 362 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume112 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate6.2% bottom 33th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 10 | 12 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 3.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.6% 85th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate0.0% bottom 23th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Blake Matthews's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 32 | 11 | 54 | 23 | 31 | 7.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior View Marje Mulumba's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 19 | 6 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 6 of 21 games this season · senior View Dillon Trainer's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 58 | 11 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · sophomore View Colin Gallagher's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 21 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.9% 88th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume17 bottom 12th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Anthony Crenshaw's full player page | |||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 7 | 13 | 91 | 1 | 3 #56 FBS | 5.5 | 0 |
Box SafetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume91 99th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View KT Seay's full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 2 | 13 | 66 | 1 | 4 #23 FBS | 2.5 | 0 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 83 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate1.5% bottom 19th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readUnranked recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| Box Safety | 14 | 12 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Box Safety· Takeaway threatLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 166 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume50 65th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kahlil Ali's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 1 | 13 | 37 | 6 | 3 #56 FBS | 1 | 1 |
Cover CornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 141 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate16.2% 61th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Nate Evans's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 6 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Cover CornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 141 of 270 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · junior View Kshawn Cox Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 18 | 11 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Cover CornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 141 of 270 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate21.4% 79th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jamarion Kolagbodi's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 17 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate11.8% 69th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jason Scott's full player page | |||||||
| 3 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 16 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 29 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 91 | 13 | 18/24 | 75 | 39/39 | 93 | 51 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 99 | 13 | 45 | 1779 | 39.5 | 58 | 15 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rover | 2 | 13 | 15 | 384 | 25.6 | 0 | 51 |
| Possession Receiver · +0.34 EPA/play | 9 | 11 | 6 | 134 | 22.3 | 0 | 28 |
| +0.07 EPA/play | 1 | 3 | 6 | 133 | 22.2 | 0 | 36 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.51 EPA/play | 19 | 13 | 3 | 73 | 24.3 | 1 | 68 |
| Possession Receiver · +0.57 EPA/play | 15 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
2025 stat leaders
finalRoster
2025+21 more
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | #109 | #247 | -30.5 | Delaware State | W 35–17 137 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #140 | #88 | +23.5 | @Colorado | L 7–31 131 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #120 | #69 | +9.5 | UConn | W 44–41 150 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #117 | #110 | +5.5 | @Florida International | W 38–16 135 | 3-1 | 1-0 |
| 6 | Oct 3 | #104 | #105 | -2.5 | Western Kentucky | L 24–27 138 | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Oct 15 | #111 | #86 | -3 | @Jacksonville State | L 25–38 146 | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| 9 | Oct 22 | #111 | #179 | -8 | Middle Tennessee | W 31–28 152 | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #124 | #87 | +3.5 | @Liberty | L 30–59 139 | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #145 | #104 | +5.5 | Louisiana Tech | W 25–24 135 | 5-4 | 2-3 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | #144 | #204 | -13.5 | Sam Houston (N) | L 23–26 143 | 5-5 | 2-4 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #152 | #60 | +17.5 | @Wake Forest | L 14–52 136 | 5-6 | 2-4 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | #166 | #191 | -4.5 | UTEP | W 61–31 148 | 6-6 | 2-4 |
| Bowl Season | ||||||||
| 16 | Dec 18 | #146 | #115 | +1.5 | Louisiana (N) | W 20–13 | 7-6 | 2-4 |
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18 | Louisiana | W 20–13 | — | — | — | +0.111 | 37.7% | 154.2% | One-score win |
| Nov 29 | UTEP | W 61–31 | 527 | 1 | 33:05 | +0.320 | 44.9% | 137.9% | Blowout win |
| Nov 22 | @Wake Forest | L 14–52 | 300 | 2 | 33:03 | +0.039 | 32.9% | 135.9% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Nov 16 | Sam Houston | L 23–26 | 433 | 3 | 32:06 | +0.148 | 42.9% | 116.7% | Best defensive stand |
| Nov 8 | Louisiana Tech | W 25–24 | 399 | 2 | 29:56 | +0.046 | 40.8% | 109.1% | One-score win |
| Nov 1 | @Liberty | L 30–59 | 420 | 1 | 28:30 | +0.307 | 39.7% | 148.0% | Blowout loss |
| Oct 22 | Middle Tennessee | W 31–28 | 360 | 2 | 32:55 | +0.160 | 45.1% | 127.7% | One-score win |
| Oct 15 | @Jacksonville State | L 25–38 | 456 | 2 | 27:38 | +0.114 | 40.8% | 139.8% | |
| Oct 3 | Western Kentucky | L 24–27 | 435 | 2 | 32:34 | +0.113 | 51.2% | 92.1% | One-score loss |
| Sep 20 | @Florida International | W 38–16 | 358 | 1 | 30:31 | +0.227 | 43.1% | 114.2% | |
| Sep 13 | UConn | W 44–41 | 512 | 0 | 32:25 | +0.408 | 49.3% | 145.4% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 6 | @Colorado | L 7–31 | 397 | 2 | 27:03 | +0.171 | 39.4% | 164.3% | Most explosive |
| Aug 28 | Delaware State | W 35–17 | 409 | 1 | 28:07 | +0.355 | 53.6% | 109.7% | Best success rate |
| Season average (13 games) | 417 | 1.6 | +0.194 | 43.2% | 130.4% | ||||
Delaware fields a strong pass-first offense behind a porous, gives up the big play defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Team identity · competitive snaps only
38th percentile quality, 58th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 86th | 11th |
| Akron | 12th | 89th |
| Alabama | 58th | 17th |
| App State | 35th | 47th |
| Arizona | 64th | 37th |
| Arizona State | 41st | 62nd |
| Arkansas | 90th | 12th |
| Arkansas State | 17th | 66th |
| Army | 57th | 43rd |
| Auburn | 47th | 53rd |
| BYU | 78th | 19th |
| Baylor | 69th | 25th |
| Boise State | 66th | 20th |
| Boston College | 37th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 2nd | 98th |
| Buffalo | 11th | 88th |
| California | 28th | 48th |
| Central Michigan | 52nd | 64th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 16th |
| Clemson | 51st | 48th |
| Coastal Carolina | 17th | 83rd |
| Colorado | 18th | 84th |
| Colorado State | 16th | 83rd |
| Delaware | 38th | 58th |
| Duke | 80th | 14th |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 36th |
| Eastern Michigan | 49th | 42nd |
| Florida | 30th | 67th |
| Florida Atlantic | 62nd | 59th |
| Florida International | 42nd | 50th |
| Florida State | 83rd | 32nd |
| Fresno State | 26th | 73rd |
| Georgia | 81st | 3rd |
| Georgia Southern | 73rd | 21st |
| Georgia State | 36th | 70th |
| Georgia Tech | 84th | 5th |
| Hawai'i | 64th | 41st |
| Houston | 27th | 65th |
| Illinois | 75th | 26th |
| Indiana | 95th | 1st |
| Iowa | 44th | 40th |
| Iowa State | 68th | 22nd |
| Jacksonville State | 54th | 38th |
| James Madison | 65th | 44th |
| Kansas | 85th | 28th |
| Kansas State | 71st | 49th |
| Kennesaw State | 56th | 30th |
| Kent State | 21st | 86th |
| Kentucky | 15th | 85th |
| LSU | 14th | 81st |
| Liberty | 43rd | 56th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 73rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 39th | 61st |
| Louisville | 48th | 64th |
| Marshall | 55th | 39th |
| Maryland | 30th | 74th |
| Memphis | 80th | 24th |
| Miami | 76th | 5th |
| Miami (OH) | 34th | 67th |
| Michigan | 67th | 33rd |
| Michigan State | 27th | 75th |
| Middle Tennessee | 39th | 52nd |
| Minnesota | 29th | 77th |
| Mississippi State | 22nd | 77th |
| Missouri | 61st | 30th |
| Missouri State | 55th | 46th |
| NC State | 86th | 23rd |
| Navy | 94th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 48th | 57th |
| Nevada | 3rd | 97th |
| New Mexico | 58th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 9th | 87th |
| North Carolina | 13th | 89th |
| North Texas | 98th | 7th |
| Northern Illinois | 8th | 92nd |
| Northwestern | 52nd | 36th |
| Notre Dame | 99th | 20th |
| Ohio | 67th | 18th |
| Ohio State | 93rd | 4th |
| Oklahoma | 20th | 80th |
| Oklahoma State | 5th | 95th |
| Old Dominion | 83rd | 45th |
| Ole Miss | 89th | 2nd |
| Oregon | 91st | 10th |
| Oregon State | 2nd | 98th |
| Penn State | 73rd | 33rd |
| Pittsburgh | 60th | 39th |
| Purdue | 25th | 78th |
| Rice | 6th | 94th |
| Rutgers | 70th | 27th |
| SMU | 74th | 42nd |
| Sam Houston | 4th | 96th |
| San Diego State | 24th | 76th |
| San José State | 45th | 69th |
| South Alabama | 36th | 58th |
| South Carolina | 23rd | 86th |
| South Florida | 87th | 23rd |
| Southern Miss | 40th | 55th |
| Stanford | 10th | 90th |
| Syracuse | 5th | 95th |
| TCU | 72nd | 35th |
| Temple | 70th | 34th |
| Tennessee | 96th | 11th |
| Texas | 45th | 55th |
| Texas A&M | 82nd | 14th |
| Texas State | 92nd | 8th |
| Texas Tech | 77th | 31st |
| Toledo | 50th | 61st |
| Troy | 14th | 80th |
| Tulane | 79th | 15th |
| Tulsa | 20th | 70th |
| UAB | 61st | 45th |
| UCF | 33rd | 82nd |
| UCLA | 23rd | 79th |
| UConn | 95th | 13th |
| UL Monroe | 11th | 92nd |
| UNLV | 88th | 9th |
| USC | 98th | 2nd |
| UTEP | 1st | 99th |
| UTSA | 77th | 51st |
| Utah | 97th | 6th |
| Utah State | 46th | 63rd |
| Vanderbilt | 100th | 0th |
| Virginia | 59th | 27th |
| Virginia Tech | 32nd | 71st |
| Wake Forest | 42nd | 72nd |
| Washington | 92nd | 8th |
| Washington State | 33rd | 52nd |
| West Virginia | 7th | 93rd |
| Western Kentucky | 53rd | 29th |
| Western Michigan | 31st | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 0th | 100th |
| Wyoming | 8th | 91st |
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 70th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 28th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
66th percentile success on standard downs, 31st on passing downs — a 35-point gap between the two.
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
1st-half offense ranks 44th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 63rd — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.19; 71st percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.05. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.36 raw vs. 0.03 adjusted.
Delaware reads strongest in explosive plays (top 30%) and epa / play (top 36%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Delaware sits at the 1st percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Most Similar Programs · Delaware
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Delaware · 2018-present
76% home win rate vs 37% on the road. margin runs +15.6 better at home. Delaware Stadium seats 22,000, averaging 78% full (17,062 attendance, 13 games reported).
Positional competition · RB room
Jo'Nathan Silver and Viron Ellison Jr. split the carries (117/231 vs 114/231) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Viron Ellison Jr. gets the clock-killing work.
Positional competition · WR/TE room
Sean Wilson (WR) and Elijah Sessoms (TE) split the targets (97/120 vs 23/120) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Defensive identity · pass zones
On short passes, Delaware’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.9% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 190-play sample) — mid-pack, 46 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
64°F average kickoff temp; 6% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.
Based on 33 home games with weather data.
11 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
Delaware's 2014–2025 record is 71-59. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
since 1903 · 85 seasons · .541 win rate
Delaware has six national titles, a Wing-T offense that defined a coaching era, and two alumni with NFL MVP trophies. It arrived in the FBS in 2025 and immediately won a bowl game it wasn't even guaranteed to be invited to.
Tubby Raymond coached Delaware for 36 seasons, won 300 games, and perfected the Wing-T — a run-first, deception-built offense that carried the program to national titles in 1971, 1972, and 1979. Three more titles (1946, 1963, 2003) round out six across program history, more than almost any team that's ever made the jump from FCS to FBS.
The quarterback pipeline is the other half of the case: Rich Gannon won the NFL MVP in 2002 and led Oakland to Super Bowl XXXVII, becoming the first Blue Hen to start a Super Bowl. Joe Flacco set twenty school records in just two Delaware seasons before going in the first round in 2008 — and in 2013, threw for three touchdowns with zero interceptions across the entire playoffs, tying Joe Montana's record, on his way to Super Bowl XLVII MVP honors in a 34-31 win over San Francisco. Flacco's own Delaware team had come agonizingly close to a title of its own, losing the 2007 FCS championship game 49-21 to Appalachian State.
Delaware announced the move to Conference USA and the FBS back in 2023, and made the jump in 2025 under fourth-year coach Ryan Carty. The debut season went 6-6 (4-4), and under NCAA transition rules the Blue Hens weren't even supposed to be postseason-eligible — until the sport came up short on six-win teams and handed them an at-large bid anyway. They took it and won: 20-13 over Louisiana in the 68 Ventures Bowl, becoming just the second program ever, after Jacksonville State in 2023, to win a bowl game in its first FBS season. Six national titles, two NFL MVP-caliber quarterbacks, and now a bowl trophy earned in the first year anyone outside the CAA had to actually watch them play.
Nearly four decades of the Wing-T set a program-defining identity built on misdirection and disciplined run-blocking; the post-Raymond eras have leaned more on quarterback play (Gannon, Flacco), and Ryan Carty's FBS-era offense is the newest chapter still being written.
Delaware 2015–2025. Climbing +0.8 rungs across the last 10 seasons. Slope +0.19 rungs / year — moving up the prestige scale.
11 seasons on file
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 7-6
Delaware: 6+ wins, bowl access secured. The baseline of a successful FBS year.
Conference USA Standing · 2025
Delaware sits 6th of 10 in the Conference USA at 2-4. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kennesaw State | 6-1 |
| 2 | Jacksonville State | 6-2 |
| 3 | Western Kentucky | 5-2 |
| 4 | Florida International | 5-3 |
| 5 | Missouri State | 4-2 |
| 6 | Delaware | 2-4 |
| 7 | Liberty | 2-4 |
| 8 | Middle Tennessee | 2-6 |
| 9 | New Mexico State | 1-5 |
| 10 | Sam Houston | 1-5 |
Coaching Era · Delaware
Ryan Carty in year 2 of the rebuild. The methodology is taking shape.
The rituals that anchor a Saturday in this program's world.
since 1966
Developed by Raymond's predecessor and perfected across Tubby Raymond's 300-win, 36-season tenure (1966-2001), the Delaware Wing-T -- a deceptive, run-first system built on misdirection and fake hand-offs -- won three of the program's national titles (1971, 1972, 1979) and defined Blue Hens football for a generation.
since 1987
Delaware has produced six NFL quarterbacks. Rich Gannon won the 2002 NFL MVP and led Oakland to Super Bowl XXXVII, the first former Blue Hen to start a Super Bowl. Joe Flacco set 20 school records in two seasons at Delaware, became a first-round pick in 2008, and was named Super Bowl XLVII MVP after leading Baltimore to a 34-31 win over San Francisco in 2013.
since 2025
Delaware joined Conference USA and the FBS in 2025 under fourth-year head coach Ryan Carty, finishing 6-6 (4-4). Technically ineligible for the postseason under FCS-to-FBS transition rules, the Blue Hens received an at-large bowl bid anyway due to a shortage of six-win-eligible teams -- and won the 68 Ventures Bowl 20-13 over Louisiana, becoming just the second program ever (after Jacksonville State in 2023) to win a bowl game in its first FBS season.
Program memory
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
Gannon wins the NFL MVP and leads Oakland to Super Bowl XXXVII, the first former Blue Hen to start a Super Bowl
Delaware's most recent national title
Joe Flacco's Blue Hens reach the FCS title game and fall 49-21 to Appalachian State
Heartbreak
2013
Flacco throws three touchdowns without an interception across the postseason, tying Joe Montana's record, and leads Baltimore to a 34-31 Super Bowl win over San Francisco
Delaware beats Louisiana 20-13 in its first-ever FBS bowl game, becoming the second program ever (after Jacksonville State) to win a bowl in its FBS debut season
Moment of the Year · Delaware · 2025
Week 16 of 2025. Postseason win — the season-defining moment.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Most recent: 2025 — win 20-13 (home). Last 5 postseason: 2-1.
All-time top community posts · ranked by upvotes