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FBS CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON

ACC

#4 overall#4 in FBSRR50 +14.4Upper strength +17.317 teamsTop 25 teams 2

THE LONG WAIT · 2025

Survival Mode

The ACC survived the realignment wars that swallowed the Pac-12, but the Power Four membership is not free — Florida State sued to exit the grant-of-rights and lost. Clemson's dynasty window may be closing while Miami's is reopening for the first time since the 2001 title.

Does the ACC stay together long enough to win a national title, or does another round of realignment reshape the Power Four before 2027?

FBS17 teamsRace: CFP Access

ACC · 2026 Season Preview

Three Things to Watch

The FrontrunnerClemson Is Rebuilding — and Still Winning

Dabo Swinney won six ACC titles in a row between 2015-2021. The window quieted for two years, then Clemson reasserted. Entering 2026 they hold the conference's top power rating and the most complete roster in the ACC. Whether this is a dynasty resurgence or one more year at the top before Miami catches them is the conference's defining question.

The Rising ProgramMiami's Return Is Real This Time

Miami went 9-3 in 2025 with a recruiting class ranked in the top 5 nationally — their first top-5 class since 2005. The program that was the standard in 2001 has been rebuilding their identity for two decades. The 2026 Clemson-Miami game may be the best regular-season game in the ACC since the old division era.

The Wild CardFlorida State's Lawsuit Shadow

Florida State sued to exit the ACC's grant-of-rights and lost. They're still in the conference, still recruiting at an elite level, and still playing with a chip the size of Tallahassee. A program that feels trapped tends to play like it has nothing to lose. That's either a danger sign or the makings of a CFP run.

Conference Standings · ACC · 2025

Standings

# Team Conf Overall Pwr Last 5
1Duke7–29–5+15.5
2Miami6–213–3+21.9
3SMU6–29–4+18.9
4Georgia Tech6–29–4+14.4
5Pittsburgh6–28–5+15.2
6Virginia7–311–3+16.9
7NC State5–48–5+15.5
8Louisville4–49–4+16.6
9Wake Forest4–49–4+16.4
10Clemson4–47–6+16.1
11California4–47–6+12.5
12Stanford3–54–8+11.0
13Florida State2–65–7+14.4
14North Carolina2–64–8+11.4
15Virginia Tech2–63–9+11.1
16Syracuse1–73–9+8.0
17Boston College1–72–10+11.1

Conference record determines standing. Power = neutral-field pts vs. all-level average. Last 5 = most recent game results.

Projected Standings · ACC · 2026

Win Projection

Preseason model — odds of winning at least N conference games, from current power ratings. Tiers rank projected strength; AVG = expected conference wins.

# Team W–L PWR AVG ≥9≥8≥7≥6≥5≥4≥3≥2≥1
Favorites
1Miami6–3+7.46.231743718997✓✓✓
2SMU6–3+4.45.72103158819499✓✓
3Virginia5–4+2.35.2151842698897✓✓
Challengers
4Louisville5–4+2.15.115174067869699✓
5NC State5–4+1.04.94153662849599✓
6Duke5–4+0.94.5292651769298✓
7Wake Forest5–4+1.84.5292651769298✓
8Clemson5–3+1.64.5162349769299✓
The Field
9Pittsburgh5–4+0.74.83123259829599✓
10California4–5-2.04.2161841688897✓
11Georgia Tech4–4-0.14.041537658697✓
12Florida State4–4-0.13.6292653799499
13Boston College3–5-3.43.3151944739299
14North Carolina3–5-3.23.2151741699099
Rebuilding
15Virginia Tech4–5-3.43.6292652779399
16Stanford3–6-3.53.5282348749299
17Syracuse3–6-6.53.0141536638798

Conference Power · FBS

Where We Stand

# Conference Avg Power vs Focal Top Team
1SEC
+15.1
8–6Ole Miss
2Big Ten
+14.8
2–4Indiana
3ACCYou are here
+14.4
—Miami
4Big 12
+14.2
3–7Texas Tech
5American Athletic
+13.6
5–2North Texas
6Mountain West
+13.3
1–3San Diego State
7Sun Belt
+13.2
3–1James Madison
8Mid-American
+12.7
4–0Toledo
9Conference USA
+12.4
3–0Western Kentucky

Round-robin power = strength of schedule-adjusted conference average, points vs. all-level average team. Record = ACC's record vs. that conference across all games this season.

Championship market · 2025

Acc Title odds

#TeamBest oddsBooks
1Miami (FL)+-1606bk
2SMU+7006bk
3Louisville+7506bk
4Clemson+12006bk
5Virginia+13006bk
6Pittsburgh+16006bk
7NC State+22006bk
8Virginia Tech+18006bk
9Florida State+25006bk
10California+12006bk
11Georgia Tech+25006bk
12Duke+60006bk
13Wake Forest+70006bk
14North Carolina+100006bk
15Syracuse+100006bk
16Stanford+150006bk
17Boston College+300006bk

Sportsbook consensus — best odds across multiple books · 2026-06-22 · American odds (e.g. +450 means bet $100 to win $450)

ACC has real upper-tier density. The top of the board raises the conference ceiling without the rest of the league completely falling away.

Conference Snapshot

RR50+14.4
Upper Strength+17.3
Median Power+14.9
Resume Pulse77.7
Avg ATS47.9%
Wins vs Market-0.21
Top-to-Middle Gap6.6
Combined Record120-100

`RR50`, `Upper Strength`, and `Median Power` are shown on the same public power scale as the rest of the site: points on a neutral field versus the average all-level NCAA team. Very small affiliations are gently regressed toward their subdivision baseline so a one-team outlier does not hijack the entire conference board.

ACC Team Board

The league stack, sorted by predictive strength. Power is shown as neutral-field points versus the all-level average team, while resume is shown on a 0-100 season score.

Rank Team Record Power Resume ATS Wins vs Market Recent Form
#3 Miami 13-3 +21.9 99 11-5 +1.48 3-1 over the last 4 (W17 W18 W19 L21)
#14 SMU 9-4 +18.9 95 6-7 +0.14 3-1 over the last 4 (W11 W13 L14 W19)
#29 Virginia 11-3 +16.9 97 9-5 +2.01 3-1 over the last 4 (W12 W14 L15 W18)
#31 Louisville 9-4 +16.6 96 4-9 -0.38 2-2 over the last 4 (L12 L13 W14 W17)
#34 Wake Forest 9-4 +16.4 93 9-4 +2.25 3-1 over the last 4 (W12 W13 L14 W19)
#37 Clemson 7-6 +16.1 87 5-8 -2.23 3-1 over the last 4 (W12 W13 W14 L18)
#47 NC State 8-5 +15.5 91 7-6 +1.04 3-1 over the last 4 (L12 W13 W14 W16)
#49 Duke 9-5 +15.5 92 6-6 +1.34 4-0 over the last 4 (W13 W14 W15 W18)
#52 Pittsburgh 8-5 +15.2 91 8-5 -0.14 1-3 over the last 4 (L12 W13 L14 L18)
#63 Florida State 5-7 +14.4 70 5-7 -3.25 1-3 over the last 4 (L11 W12 L13 L14)
#64 Georgia Tech 9-4 +14.4 93 7-6 +0.26 1-3 over the last 4 (W12 L13 L14 L18)
#94 California 7-6 +12.5 80 5-8 +0.43 2-2 over the last 4 (W11 L13 W14 L17)
#125 North Carolina 4-8 +11.4 56 5-6 -1.59 1-3 over the last 4 (W11 L12 L13 L14)
#130 Boston College 2-10 +11.1 50 6-6 -3.00 1-3 over the last 4 (L10 L11 L12 W14)
#132 Virginia Tech 3-9 +11.1 47 3-8 -2.15 0-4 over the last 4 (L10 L12 L13 L14)
#134 Stanford 4-8 +11.0 50 5-7 +1.21 1-3 over the last 4 (L10 L11 W13 L14)
#211 Syracuse 3-9 +8.0 34 4-8 -1.05 0-4 over the last 4 (L10 L11 L13 L14)

Biggest Risers

Rank movement since the most recent refresh.

No meaningful risers from the last refresh.

Biggest Faders

Teams whose stock dropped most since the last refresh.

No meaningful faders from the last refresh.

Wins vs Market

Win total minus the market's implied expectation, by team.

TeamWins vs MarketSample
Wake Forest+2.2513 lined games
Virginia+2.0114 lined games
Miami+1.4816 lined games
Duke+1.3414 lined games
Stanford+1.2112 lined games

Depth & Parity

How wide the league's power spread runs from top to bottom.

Top Rank#3 Miami
Bottom Rank#211 Syracuse
Top-to-Middle Gap6.6
Power Spread3.3
Top 25 Teams2
Top 100 Teams12

Moderately layered — the league has real tiers but no runaway gap between them. Power Spread is the standard deviation of neutral-field power across league members.