Virginia

Home-field advantage · Virginia · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Virginia is worth +4.3 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 55th percentile of 133 programs

60% at home, 36% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (27–18 home, 14–25 away). Interval ±3.4.

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Virginia has beaten the number by −2.7 more at home than away over 70 games — inside the ±6.4 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Scott Stadium seats 61,500 and has averaged 72% full (44,138, 26 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 155 miles trip since 2018, the 1st-shortest of 135 FBS venues. There is no travel penalty on visitors here either way. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 27% of the 2026 roster (30 of 112 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 54 home games since 2018.