CFB Zeitgeist Score
33
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 80th percentile.
Peyton Lewis
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
290 RUSH YDS · 7 RUSH TD · 70 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Virginia
2025Tennessee
2026Virginia
RB · TENNESSEE · SEC
Peyton Lewis
- 2
- #2
- 6-1 | 212 lb
- Salem, VA
Heisman Heat
#194
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025-14%
Down 14% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Tennessee
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-star | 0.9396 | No. 136 recruit | HighSchool | Tennessee |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Tennessee -> Virginia | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Tennessee
Composite
0.9396
#136 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Peyton Lewis
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
- National · n=4
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Peyton Lewis
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 10g
290Rush yards
70Carries
7Rush TDs
Per game
29Rush yards
7Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
377Rush yards
91Carries
9Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 290): needs 153.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 290): needs 236.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 290): needs 403.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 1/game over remaining 3.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 4.3/game over remaining 3.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Peyton Lewis's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tennessee, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
70 67th
YDS
290 64th
YPC
4.1 36th
TD
7 92nd
Receiving
REC
4 38th
YDS
42 44th
YPR
10.5 81st
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-26vs Syracuse | 8 | 38 | 4.8 | 1 | 8 | |
| Wk 2 | W 72-17vs East Tennessee State | 8 | 19 | 2.4 | 1 | 7 | |
| Wk 3 | L 41-44vs Georgia | 5 | 19 | 3.8 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 4 | W 56-24vs UAB | 11 | 81 | 7.4 | 1 | 32 | Season-high 81 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 41-34@ Mississippi State | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 7 | W 34-31vs Arkansas | 8 | 33 | 4.1 | 2 | 7 | |
| Wk 8 | L 20-37@ Alabama | 6 | 18 | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 9 | W 56-34@ Kentucky | 4 | 9 | 2.3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Wk 10 | L 27-33vs Oklahoma | 7 | 21 | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 12 | W 42-9vs New Mexico State | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | 1 | 14 | |
| Total | 70 | 290 | 3.8 | 7 | 32 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Tennessee10-3HC: Josh Heupel · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2025Tennessee8-5HC: Josh Heupel · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 290 | #267/735 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 7 | #62/739 | 92nd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.1 | #475/735 | 36th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 4 | #343/552 | 38th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 42 | #306/548 | 44th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.26 | #15/362 | 96th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 66 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 11.1% | #281/738 | 62nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 70 | #242/739 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 32 | #286/733 | 61st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 15 | #296/540 | 45th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 10.5 | #104/548 | 81st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 128 | #52/200 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 21.3 | #62/199 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 6 | #49/206 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 20.1% | #260/738 | 65th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 12.3% | #292/738 | 61st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 12.3% | #290/738 | 61st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.6% | #180/738 | 76th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 9.8% | #352/738 | 52nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.8% | #305/738 | 59th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.4% | #369/738 | 50th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 36.1 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Road3g | 12.3 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 33.1 | 4.1 | 1.0 |
| Losses3g | 19.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 33.3 | 4.3 | 0.8 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 22.5 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
33Below cohort
Concern: receptions (12th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.26Elite (≥p90) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Peyton LewisTennesseeTae MeadowsTroy· 68% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 65% simSire GainesBoise State· 64% sim
Rush TDs
Long run
Carries
Rec yards
Rush yards
Yards / carry
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Donavyn Lester’s 2023 season.
Donavyn Lester
74%match
#2
SaRodorick Thompson
68%
#3
Samson Evans
64%
#4
Deion Hankins
59%
#5
Kedrick Reescano
63%
Matches Donavyn on
Rush TD rate
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Class year
Differs from Donavyn on
Yards / carry (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Gerrid Doaks’s path through Cincinnati.
Gerrid Doaks
92%match
All-AACNFL Rd 7
#2
Andrew Body
91%
#3
Coleman Bennett
All-Conference USA
90%
#4
Antonio Harris
90%
#5
Marlon Gunn
89%
Matches Gerrid on
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Kedrick Reescano's sophomore season at Arizona (2025).
Kedrick Reescano
73%match
#2
Mike DiLiello
56%
#3
Robby Ashford
65%
#4
Lunch Winfield
61%
#5
Jamal Roberts
63%
Matches Kedrick on
Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Height
Differs from Kedrick on
Class year (lower)
EPA / carry (adj) (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Josh Heupel
Pass share
47.3%
437 pass / 486 run
Plays / game
71.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.4%
334 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2025
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
Played his entire career under Josh Heupel.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSalem, VA
Height6'1"
Weight212 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTennessee
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Tennessee | RB2 | #194 | #148 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.