Washington State

1-8

Next game: vs Colorado State

Colorado State’s best edge on Washington State is big plays

Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.

Washington State offense against Colorado State defense

weakelite
PassingWashington State 4th · Colorado State 2nd
RunningWashington State 22nd · Colorado State 0th
Staying on scheduleWashington State 5th · Colorado State 0th
Big playsWashington State 26th · Colorado State 43rd
Red zoneWashington State 27th · Colorado State 2nd

Colorado State offense against Washington State defense

weakelite
PassingColorado State 58th · Washington State 55th
RunningColorado State 95th · Washington State 21st
Staying on scheduleColorado State 71st · Washington State 60th
Big playsColorado State 95th · Washington State 16th
Red zoneColorado State 99th · Washington State 31st

Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.

Key stats

Key stats · 2026 · FBS rank

Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.

EPA / play134th of 138
-0.05
EPA allowed / play84th of 138
+0.10
Punt ret TDsTied 2nd of 138
2
INT return TDsTied 4th of 138
2
Punt ret (opp)Tied 135th of 137
19
2nd-half EPA/play135th of 137
-0.1
Points / game128th of 138
19.0
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
2764307.1/gm4.68/play111th of 13861st of 7012th of 13
Opp
3395377.2/gm5.85/playTied 122nd of 138Tied 65th of 702nd of 13
Rush yards
Team
1031114.6/gm1.75/play110th of 13857th of 707th of 13
Opp
1568174.2/gm2.70/play125th of 13867th of 702nd of 13
Rush carries
Team
28031.1/gmTied 87th of 138Tied 46th of 709th of 13
Opp
31234.7/gm107th of 13865th of 702nd of 13
Rush TDs
Team
121.3/gmTied 82nd of 138Tied 46th of 708th of 13
Opp
151.7/gmTied 105th of 138Tied 60th of 702nd of 13
Net pass yards
Team
1733192.6/gm2.94/play87th of 13856th of 7012th of 13
Opp
1827203.0/gm3.15/play87th of 13843rd of 702nd of 13
Pass attempts
Team
31034.4/gm11th of 1386th of 7012th of 13
Opp
26829.8/gmTied 105th of 138Tied 49th of 702nd of 13
Completions
Team
19421.6/gmTied 14th of 138Tied 8th of 7012th of 13
Opp
16318.1/gmTied 102nd of 138Tied 48th of 702nd of 13
Pass TDs
Team
50.6/gmTied 132nd of 13869th of 7013th of 13
Opp
141.6/gmTied 99th of 138Tied 55th of 704th of 13
Passer rating
Team
112.3112.3132nd of 13870th of 7013th of 13
Opp
129.4129.458th of 13733rd of 707th of 13
Interceptions thrown
Team
80.9/gmTied 109th of 138Tied 58th of 702nd of 13
Opp
40.4/gmTied 94th of 138Tied 46th of 7011th of 13
Sacks (def)
Team
91.0/gmTied 121st of 138Tied 66th of 7010th of 11
Opp
293.2/gmTied 134th of 138Tied 68th of 706th of 11
Tackles for loss
Team
434.8/gmTied 67th of 138Tied 40th of 7010th of 11
Opp
596.6/gm130th of 13866th of 704th of 11
First downs
Team
17018.9/gmTied 59th of 138Tied 38th of 7012th of 13
Opp
16718.6/gmTied 92nd of 13856th of 702nd of 13
3rd-down conv
Team
434.8/gmTied 66th of 138Tied 36th of 7012th of 13
Opp
495.4/gmTied 117th of 13861st of 702nd of 13
3rd-down att
Team
12614.0/gmTied 10th of 1383rd of 7012th of 13
Opp
12313.7/gmTied 121st of 138Tied 61st of 702nd of 13
4th-down conv
Team
101.1/gmTied 38th of 138Tied 20th of 7010th of 13
Opp
40.4/gmTied 8th of 138Tied 5th of 701st of 13
4th-down att
Team
182.0/gmTied 33rd of 138Tied 15th of 7011th of 13
Opp
91.0/gmTied 9th of 138Tied 6th of 702nd of 13
Time of possession
Team
264:5229:26/gm25th of 1389th of 7012th of 13
Opp
275:0830:34/gm132nd of 13869th of 702nd of 13

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats · 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
Pocket Passer · -0.04 EPA/play126110 / 17861.89525.335106.72236.03.49.2
Pocket Passer · +0.23 EPA/play17383 / 13163.47795.923113.83263.04.47.1
Running backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
Satellite Back · +0.01 EPA/play99662924.445813.47.5
+0.27 EPA/play30—362366.6257——
Satellite Back · -0.24 EPA/play39462034.4045——
-0.05 EPA/play209321243.9154——
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
Possession Receiver · +0.30 EPA/play893445913.5346
Slot Technician · +0.40 EPA/play193841410.9143
Possession Receiver · +0.33 EPA/play33—2426911.24
#70 FBS		39
Possession Receiver · +0.61 EPA/play462021810.9018
Complete TE · +0.79 EPA/play235191517.9018
Possession Receiver · -0.01 EPA/play108261415.4030
Complete TE · +0.20 EPA/play288171297.6126
Complete TE · -0.15 EPA/play89—8546.8022

Biggest plays from Washington State’s games

Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Washington State’s games this season, whoever made them.

  1. Q1, 2:05 · Washington State up 7Washington State scores a touchdownArizona at Washington State, week 4Q1, 2:05 · Washington State 14, Arizona 0Pick-sixPick-sixN.Fifita pass intercepted by J.Bal at ARIZ25 J.Bal return 25 yards to the ARIZ00 touchdown penalty ARIZ UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting WSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting, kick goodWatch from this play CBS Sports College Football
  2. Q3, 4:02 · Arizona down 3, takes the leadNoah Fifita finds Caleb Smith for a 38-yard touchdownArizona at Washington State, week 4Q3, 4:02 · Arizona 21, Washington State 17Go-ahead score for Arizona in the third quarterGo-ahead score for Arizona in the third quarterN.Fifita pass complete deep left to C.Smith caught at WSU03, for 38 yards to the WSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this play CBS Sports College Football
  3. Q1, 9:57 · Washington State tiedCaden Pinnick runs 11 yards for a touchdownArizona at Washington State, week 4Q1, 9:57 · Washington State 7, Arizona 0Washington State opened the scoringWashington State opened the scoringC.Pinnick rush left for 11 yards gain to the ARIZ00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this play CBS Sports College Football
  4. Q2, 6:19 · Washington State down 7, ties itKirby Vorhees runs 2 yards for a touchdownWashington State at San Diego State, week 9Q2, 6:19 · Washington State 14, San Diego State 14Washington State tied the game in the second quarterWashington State tied the game in the second quarterK.Vorhees rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SDSU00 touchdown, kick goodWatch from this play CBS Sports College Football
  5. Q3, 14:01 · San Diego State up 3San Diego State turns it overWashington State at San Diego State, week 9Q3, 14:01 · San Diego State 17, Washington State 14▼9%San Diego State’s chance to win, 68% to 59%▼9%San Diego State’s chance to win, 68% to 59%S.Saunders pass intercepted by J.Thomas at SDSU38 broken up by K.Brown J.Thomas return 17 yards to the SDSU21 (I.Lucas) penalty WSU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (K.Beatty) 15 yards from SDSU21 to SDSU36Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
  6. Q1, 0:08 · Arizona down 14Noah Fifita finds Tre Spivey for a 28-yard touchdownArizona at Washington State, week 4Q1, 0:08 · Arizona 7, Washington State 14Arizona answered right backArizona answered right backN.Fifita pass complete short middle to T.Spivey caught at WSU25, for 28 yards to the WSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD, kick goodWatch from this play CBS Sports College Football

All 29 plays from Washington State’s games

How scary each game got

Washington State lost at Utah State after being 89% to win; the closest win was against Duquesne, down to 46%

50%L1L2W3L4L5L6L7L8L9

Tap a game for its score and win chances.

Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Washington State during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.

Stat leaders

2026 stat leaders · Washington State

through 9 games

Keith Brown leads Washington State with 71 tackles through 9 games.

1. Keith Brown LB 71 tackles
2. Isaiah Hung LB 39 tackles
3. Branden Ganashamoorthy WR 459 receiving yards
4. Linus Zunk DE 38 tackles
5. Jaylen Thomas S 37 tackles

Roster

Roster

2026
29 players carry a qualified CFB Zeitgeist Score this season so far.
Jirah Leaupepetele IDL #15 of 300
Jaylen Thomas S #64 of 537
Linus Zunk EDGE #52 of 405
Branden Ganashamoorthy WR #100 of 465
Keith Brown LB #133 of 567
Kaden Beatty IDL #76 of 300

+23 more

Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back

How they play

How they play · 2026

Washington State fields a struggling offense behind a leaky defense, though it gives up the big play.

Offense
3rd pct EPA/play
Defense
39th pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
16th pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

Player percentiles

Player percentiles · Washington State · 2026

Washington State reads strongest in success rate allowed (top 41%) and passing EPA allowed (top 45%); the crux lives in field position (O), where Washington State sits at the 1st percentile.

Offense · strengths lead

EPA / play -0.05
3rd
Success rate +0.36
5th
Explosive plays +1.19
26th
Rushing EPA +0.01
22nd
Red-zone finish +3.27
27th

Defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA allowed +0.10
39th
Success rate allowed +0.39
60th
Explosive plays allowed +1.34
16th
Passing EPA allowed +0.15
55th
Red-zone defense +3.79
31st

Hidden math · special situations

Field position (O) +25.41
1st
Passing EPA -0.04
4th
Rushing EPA allowed +0.11
21st
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 9 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 138 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Washington State is worth +4.9 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 62nd percentile of 133 programs

62% at home, 33% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (26-16 home, 15-30 away). Interval ±4.0.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
The stadium and how the home edge is measured

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Washington State has beaten the number by −1.4 more at home than away over 95 games. That is inside the ±6.4 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Gesa Field seats 32,952 and has averaged 76% full (25,102, 28 games reported). Visitors face the 14th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 691 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads middle of fbs. For the home side it is a home crowd more than a home town: only 6% of the 2026 roster (8 of 139 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 50 home games since 2018.

Home26-16Away15-30Edge+4.9 ±4.0Visitor trip691 mi

More in this tab

How they play

Usage splitsTony Freeman is the money-down target

How the players get used

From the 2025 season's play-by-play

  • Money downTony Freeman is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
Position battlesReps are split — here's who's actually winning them.

RB room

The carries are split. The job isn’t.

Kirby Vorhees and Maxwell Woods split the carries (65/109 vs 44/109) -- but the job isn't split the same way.

Kirby VorheesMaxwell Woods
Carries
6544
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Targets
22/3917/39
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
38.4%48.4%
concentration alone -- EPA/carry doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 2 claims, 0 survived, 2 falsified

WR/TE room

The targets are split. The job isn’t.

Branden Ganashamoorthy (WR) and Jack Pedersen (TE) split the targets (66/92 vs 26/92) -- but the job isn't split the same way.

Branden GanashamoorthyJack Pedersen
Targets
6626
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
21/3110/31
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Garbage-time share
9/167/16
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
29.5%59.3%
concentration alone -- EPA/target doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 3 claims, 0 survived, 3 falsified
Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Washington State’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time

Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 3rd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 6th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.

league medianRaw 4th quarter · 3rd pctileCompetitive snaps only · 6th pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · CFBD play-by-play, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does Washington State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

19th percentile success on standard downs, 5th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantWashington StateWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i48th standard · 29th passingUNLV41st standard · 19th passingStanford40th standard · 9th passingEastern Michigan16th standard · 30th passingSan José State17th standard · 2nd passingNew Mexico State14th standard · 36th passingSacramento State13th standard · 6th passingOklahoma State96th standard · 86th passingDuke21st standard · 67th passingFlorida State30th standard · 90th passingRutgers42nd standard · 81st passingKansas52nd standard · 18th passingBoston College63rd standard · 28th passingNorfolk State7th standard · 0th passingLouisville95th standard · 72nd passingMissouri34th standard · 41st passingMemphis92nd standard · 93rd passingGeorgia Southern60th standard · 71st passingOle Miss81st standard · 94th passingJacksonville State82nd standard · 80th passingNorth Dakota State30th standard · 45th passingArizona76th standard · 94th passingUSC79th standard · 97th passingWake Forest75th standard · 96th passingTCU70th standard · 10th passingDelaware59th standard · 64th passingUAB24th standard · 62nd passingMichigan State23rd standard · 55th passingSouth Florida84th standard · 57th passingFlorida International20th standard · 53rd passingNavy89th standard · 17th passingWisconsin25th standard · 22nd passingOregon State97th standard · 70th passingSyracuse57th standard · 39th passingOhio State84th standard · 80th passingBall State31st standard · 52nd passingPittsburgh65th standard · 50th passingColorado16th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Tech53rd standard · 40th passingAuburn14th standard · 69th passingBaylor15th standard · 46th passingNorth Texas95th standard · 84th passingApp State33rd standard · 49th passingIowa State18th standard · 31st passingUTSA91st standard · 33rd passingArkansas71st standard · 24th passingBoise State77th standard · 92nd passingOregon39th standard · 26th passingTulsa49th standard · 7th passingTulane12th standard · 8th passingPurdue57th standard · 82nd passingMiddle Tennessee27th standard · 64th passingVanderbilt41st standard · 32nd passingSan Diego State8th standard · 54th passingLSU86th standard · 98th passingClemson7th standard · 39th passingCentral Michigan36th standard · 9th passingTexas Tech64th standard · 76th passingMichigan10th standard · 89th passingWestern Michigan32nd standard · 27th passingOhio82nd standard · 42nd passingBuffalo9th standard · 11th passingTexas27th standard · 61st passingCoastal Carolina23rd standard · 64th passingColorado State66th standard · 95th passingWyoming78th standard · 48th passingTexas A&M46th standard · 55th passingLiberty93rd standard · 78th passingFlorida Atlantic67th standard · 87th passingLouisiana36th standard · 66th passingSouth Alabama44th standard · 74th passingTroy39th standard · 15th passingSam Houston11th standard · 37th passingNevada28th standard · 27th passingWestern Kentucky22nd standard · 25th passingWashington State19th standard · 5th passingWashington56th standard · 16th passingCalifornia11th standard · 20th passingCharlotte18th standard · 41st passingTennessee75th standard · 12th passingUtah State3rd standard · 76th passingMiami99th standard · 95th passingHouston87th standard · 99th passingUCF29th standard · 45th passingUtah94th standard · 98th passingFresno State25th standard · 84th passingAkron58th standard · 34th passingNorth Carolina89th standard · 73rd passingIllinois73rd standard · 91st passingToledo73rd standard · 52nd passingMinnesota32nd standard · 4th passingRice59th standard · 14th passingTemple50th standard · 68th passingNC State62nd standard · 77th passingVirginia83rd standard · 2nd passingNotre Dame100th standard · 43rd passingMassachusetts35th standard · 38th passingKent State5th standard · 21st passingSouth Carolina70th standard · 56th passingMiami (OH)50th standard · 43rd passingKennesaw State61st standard · 16th passingCincinnati68th standard · 83rd passingIndiana55th standard · 44th passingMaine0th standard · 86th passingNorthern Illinois51st standard · 14th passingBowling Green43rd standard · 21st passingGeorgia State68th standard · 66th passingSouthern Miss48th standard · 7th passingKansas State64th standard · 68th passingUConn72nd standard · 73rd passingAlabama77th standard · 57th passingEast Carolina37th standard · 19th passingOld Dominion1st standard · 36th passingOklahoma4th standard · 50th passingUTEP9th standard · 1st passingNorthwestern88th standard · 88th passingVirginia Tech43rd standard · 91st passingMaryland34th standard · 26th passingArizona State38th standard · 61st passingNew Mexico55th standard · 48th passingNebraska46th standard · 85th passingMarshall69th standard · 32nd passingArkansas State85th standard · 59th passingSMU91st standard · 82nd passingJames Madison45th standard · 77th passingTexas State74th standard · 100th passingMississippi State66th standard · 59th passingUL Monroe47th standard · 11th passingMissouri State52nd standard · 30th passingWest Virginia54th standard · 75th passingLouisiana Tech26th standard · 79th passingUCLA80th standard · 60th passingKentucky90th standard · 51st passingFlorida61st standard · 70th passingUT Martin6th standard · 3rd passingArmy93rd standard · 58th passingMercyhurst2nd standard · 34th passingIowa79th standard · 13th passingPenn State20th standard · 47th passingAir Force98th standard · 23rd passingRobert Morris2nd standard · 5th passingGardner-Webb5th standard · 23rd passingGeorgia98th standard · 89th passingBYU86th standard · 35th passing
Fragile off scheduleBalancedWeak both waysStandard downs onlyWashington StateWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i48th standard · 29th passingUNLV41st standard · 19th passingStanford40th standard · 9th passingEastern Michigan16th standard · 30th passingSan José State17th standard · 2nd passingNew Mexico State14th standard · 36th passingSacramento State13th standard · 6th passingOklahoma State96th standard · 86th passingDuke21st standard · 67th passingFlorida State30th standard · 90th passingRutgers42nd standard · 81st passingKansas52nd standard · 18th passingBoston College63rd standard · 28th passingNorfolk State7th standard · 0th passingLouisville95th standard · 72nd passingMissouri34th standard · 41st passingMemphis92nd standard · 93rd passingGeorgia Southern60th standard · 71st passingOle Miss81st standard · 94th passingJacksonville State82nd standard · 80th passingNorth Dakota State30th standard · 45th passingArizona76th standard · 94th passingUSC79th standard · 97th passingWake Forest75th standard · 96th passingTCU70th standard · 10th passingDelaware59th standard · 64th passingUAB24th standard · 62nd passingMichigan State23rd standard · 55th passingSouth Florida84th standard · 57th passingFlorida International20th standard · 53rd passingNavy89th standard · 17th passingWisconsin25th standard · 22nd passingOregon State97th standard · 70th passingSyracuse57th standard · 39th passingOhio State84th standard · 80th passingBall State31st standard · 52nd passingPittsburgh65th standard · 50th passingColorado16th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Tech53rd standard · 40th passingAuburn14th standard · 69th passingBaylor15th standard · 46th passingNorth Texas95th standard · 84th passingApp State33rd standard · 49th passingIowa State18th standard · 31st passingUTSA91st standard · 33rd passingArkansas71st standard · 24th passingBoise State77th standard · 92nd passingOregon39th standard · 26th passingTulsa49th standard · 7th passingTulane12th standard · 8th passingPurdue57th standard · 82nd passingMiddle Tennessee27th standard · 64th passingVanderbilt41st standard · 32nd passingSan Diego State8th standard · 54th passingLSU86th standard · 98th passingClemson7th standard · 39th passingCentral Michigan36th standard · 9th passingTexas Tech64th standard · 76th passingMichigan10th standard · 89th passingWestern Michigan32nd standard · 27th passingOhio82nd standard · 42nd passingBuffalo9th standard · 11th passingTexas27th standard · 61st passingCoastal Carolina23rd standard · 64th passingColorado State66th standard · 95th passingWyoming78th standard · 48th passingTexas A&M46th standard · 55th passingLiberty93rd standard · 78th passingFlorida Atlantic67th standard · 87th passingLouisiana36th standard · 66th passingSouth Alabama44th standard · 74th passingTroy39th standard · 15th passingSam Houston11th standard · 37th passingNevada28th standard · 27th passingWestern Kentucky22nd standard · 25th passingWashington State19th standard · 5th passingWashington56th standard · 16th passingCalifornia11th standard · 20th passingCharlotte18th standard · 41st passingTennessee75th standard · 12th passingUtah State3rd standard · 76th passingMiami99th standard · 95th passingHouston87th standard · 99th passingUCF29th standard · 45th passingUtah94th standard · 98th passingFresno State25th standard · 84th passingAkron58th standard · 34th passingNorth Carolina89th standard · 73rd passingIllinois73rd standard · 91st passingToledo73rd standard · 52nd passingMinnesota32nd standard · 4th passingRice59th standard · 14th passingTemple50th standard · 68th passingNC State62nd standard · 77th passingVirginia83rd standard · 2nd passingNotre Dame100th standard · 43rd passingMassachusetts35th standard · 38th passingKent State5th standard · 21st passingSouth Carolina70th standard · 56th passingMiami (OH)50th standard · 43rd passingKennesaw State61st standard · 16th passingCincinnati68th standard · 83rd passingIndiana55th standard · 44th passingMaine0th standard · 86th passingNorthern Illinois51st standard · 14th passingBowling Green43rd standard · 21st passingGeorgia State68th standard · 66th passingSouthern Miss48th standard · 7th passingKansas State64th standard · 68th passingUConn72nd standard · 73rd passingAlabama77th standard · 57th passingEast Carolina37th standard · 19th passingOld Dominion1st standard · 36th passingOklahoma4th standard · 50th passingUTEP9th standard · 1st passingNorthwestern88th standard · 88th passingVirginia Tech43rd standard · 91st passingMaryland34th standard · 26th passingArizona State38th standard · 61st passingNew Mexico55th standard · 48th passingNebraska46th standard · 85th passingMarshall69th standard · 32nd passingArkansas State85th standard · 59th passingSMU91st standard · 82nd passingJames Madison45th standard · 77th passingTexas State74th standard · 100th passingMississippi State66th standard · 59th passingUL Monroe47th standard · 11th passingMissouri State52nd standard · 30th passingWest Virginia54th standard · 75th passingLouisiana Tech26th standard · 79th passingUCLA80th standard · 60th passingKentucky90th standard · 51st passingFlorida61st standard · 70th passingUT Martin6th standard · 3rd passingArmy93rd standard · 58th passingMercyhurst2nd standard · 34th passingIowa79th standard · 13th passingPenn State20th standard · 47th passingAir Force98th standard · 23rd passingRobert Morris2nd standard · 5th passingGardner-Webb5th standard · 23rd passingGeorgia98th standard · 89th passingBYU86th standard · 35th passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
Air Force98th23rd
Akron58th34th
Alabama77th57th
App State33rd49th
Arizona76th94th
Arizona State38th61st
Arkansas71st24th
Arkansas State85th59th
Army93rd58th
Auburn14th69th
BYU86th35th
Ball State31st52nd
Baylor15th46th
Boise State77th92nd
Boston College63rd28th
Bowling Green43rd21st
Buffalo9th11th
California11th20th
Central Michigan36th9th
Charlotte18th41st
Cincinnati68th83rd
Clemson7th39th
Coastal Carolina23rd64th
Colorado16th65th
Colorado State66th95th
Delaware59th64th
Duke21st67th
East Carolina37th19th
Eastern Michigan16th30th
Florida61st70th
Florida Atlantic67th87th
Florida International20th53rd
Florida State30th90th
Fresno State25th84th
Gardner-Webb5th23rd
Georgia98th89th
Georgia Southern60th71st
Georgia State68th66th
Georgia Tech53rd40th
Hawai'i48th29th
Houston87th99th
Illinois73rd91st
Indiana55th44th
Iowa79th13th
Iowa State18th31st
Jacksonville State82nd80th
James Madison45th77th
Kansas52nd18th
Kansas State64th68th
Kennesaw State61st16th
Kent State5th21st
Kentucky90th51st
LSU86th98th
Liberty93rd78th
Louisiana36th66th
Louisiana Tech26th79th
Louisville95th72nd
Maine0th86th
Marshall69th32nd
Maryland34th26th
Massachusetts35th38th
Memphis92nd93rd
Mercyhurst2nd34th
Miami99th95th
Miami (OH)50th43rd
Michigan10th89th
Michigan State23rd55th
Middle Tennessee27th64th
Minnesota32nd4th
Mississippi State66th59th
Missouri34th41st
Missouri State52nd30th
NC State62nd77th
Navy89th17th
Nebraska46th85th
Nevada28th27th
New Mexico55th48th
New Mexico State14th36th
Norfolk State7th0th
North Carolina89th73rd
North Dakota State30th45th
North Texas95th84th
Northern Illinois51st14th
Northwestern88th88th
Notre Dame100th43rd
Ohio82nd42nd
Ohio State84th80th
Oklahoma4th50th
Oklahoma State96th86th
Old Dominion1st36th
Ole Miss81st94th
Oregon39th26th
Oregon State97th70th
Penn State20th47th
Pittsburgh65th50th
Purdue57th82nd
Rice59th14th
Robert Morris2nd5th
Rutgers42nd81st
SMU91st82nd
Sacramento State13th6th
Sam Houston11th37th
San Diego State8th54th
San José State17th2nd
South Alabama44th74th
South Carolina70th56th
South Florida84th57th
Southern Miss48th7th
Stanford40th9th
Syracuse57th39th
TCU70th10th
Temple50th68th
Tennessee75th12th
Texas27th61st
Texas A&M46th55th
Texas State74th100th
Texas Tech64th76th
Toledo73rd52nd
Troy39th15th
Tulane12th8th
Tulsa49th7th
UAB24th62nd
UCF29th45th
UCLA80th60th
UConn72nd73rd
UL Monroe47th11th
UNLV41st19th
USC79th97th
UT Martin6th3rd
UTEP9th1st
UTSA91st33rd
Utah94th98th
Utah State3rd76th
Vanderbilt41st32nd
Virginia83rd2nd
Virginia Tech43rd91st
Wake Forest75th96th
Washington56th16th
Washington State19th5th
West Virginia54th75th
Western Kentucky22nd25th
Western Michigan32nd27th
Wisconsin25th22nd
Wyoming78th48th

Washington State by half

1st-half offense ranks 12th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 2nd — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.

league median1st half · 12th pctile2nd half · 2nd pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin

How much of Washington State’s number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 10 is -0.05; 7th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.02. The widest gap came in week 3: -0.15 raw vs. -0.00 adjusted.

0.03-0.07-0.17Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
0.03-0.07-0.17Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10RawAdjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Pass defense by zoneThe part of the field opponents keep attacking.

What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), Washington State’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.2% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 281-play sample) — mid-pack, 66 of 136 qualifying offenses.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), Washington State’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.5% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 194-play sample) — mid-pack, 118 of 137 qualifying defenses.

We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.

Screened 273 claims, 273 survived · 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=281 short-zone plays, raw rate 67.3%; 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=194 short-zone plays, raw rate 71.1%
Havoc & trenchesDefense havoc rate 0.135, 17th percentile

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc rate (D) 0.135
17th
Havoc allowed (O) 0.192
3rd
Front-seven havoc (D) 0.085
28th
Secondary havoc (D) 0.050
22nd
Stuff rate (D) 0.192
42nd
Stuff rate allowed (O) 0.229
10th
Line yards (O) 2.770
21st
Line yards allowed (D) 2.957
36th
Standard-downs success (O) 0.413
8th
Standard-downs success allowed (D) 0.433
68th
Passing-downs success (O) 0.241
8th
Passing-downs success allowed (D) 0.318
29th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

14% recovery rate on their own fumbles — below the ~52% league baseline.

1 of 7 own fumbles recovered themselves; 2 of 5 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

14% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~18% league average.

4 interceptions of 29 disrupted passes (25 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

60 penalties committed, 57 drawn on opponents — netting a 41-yard field-position edge.

524 penalty yards committed vs. 565 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

Ratings and comparisons

RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Where the models rank Washington State

CFB Zeitgeist Score

#86

-0.8

SP+

#121

-14.1

FPI

#99

-9.1

Elo

#87

1403

SRS

#99

-8.0

The national models put Washington State between 87th and 121st nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is higher on them than any of these models, at 86th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist Score ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Washington State

Reads like

AkronMid-AmericanSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Similarly-sized rosters up frontApp StateSun BeltSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Similarly-sized rosters up frontArkansasSECSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Similarly-sized rosters up front

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

WeatherHow warm or cold its home and road games usually are.

Gesa Field, Pullman, WA

Usual during the game around Nov 14: 40°, between 30° and 49° in about 7 in 10 games (26 games since 2016).

Road games since 2016: the middle game was 63°, and 8 in 10 ran between 43° and 81° (49 of 50 road games, at stadiums we cover).

HomeRoad

What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time

Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure

Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site