Rice routs Houston Christian 31-3

Houston Christian1-13
Rice1-031Final
Sat, Sep 5 · Rice Stadium, Houston, Texas · Crowd 15,128ESPN+

Rice routed Houston Christian 31-3.

We had Rice favored. It won.

Next: Houston Christian beat Arkansas Baptist 88-0, Sat Sep 12

Next: Rice lost to Notre Dame 52-0, Sat Sep 12

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Rice a 59% chance, and the closing betting line (Rice was a 22.5-point favorite) put it at 97%.

FinalRice 31-3 Houston ChristianRice wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4RiceWon31-3Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4RiceWon31-3Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4RiceLowest 0%Lost3-31Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4RiceLowest 0%Lost3-31Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Rice’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Rice -22.5), at 95% for Rice (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.
Kickoff came 21 minutes late. Thunder was reported in the vicinity of Houston Dunn airport (0.9 miles away) from 4:55 p.m. to 6:05 p.m., around the delay.

Every drive

Rice scored on 5 of its 10 drives; Houston Christian on 1 of its 9.

Rice’s drives are teal, Houston Christian’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Rice: Turned over on downs, from 73 yards out to 52DownsHouston Christian: Field goal, from 48 yards out to 24Field goalRice: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0TouchdownHouston Christian: Turned over on downs, from 69 yards out to 47DownsQ2Rice: Touchdown, from 53 yards out to 0TouchdownHouston Christian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73PuntRice: Field goal, from 80 yards out to 8Field goalHouston Christian: Punt, from 88 yards out to 77PuntRice: Missed field goal, from 65 yards out to 33Missed FGQ3Houston Christian: Punt, from 80 yards out to 49PuntRice: Turned over on downs, from 91 yards out to 16DownsHouston Christian: Turned over on downs, from 84 yards out to 40DownsRice: Touchdown, from 60 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Houston Christian: Interception, from 82 yards out to 33InterceptionRice: Touchdown, from 44 yards out to 0TouchdownHouston Christian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 58PuntRice: Punt, from 98 yards out to 54PuntHouston Christian: Turned over on downs, from 80 yards out to 36DownsRice: End of game, from 64 yards out to 58End of game

Box score

Rice 31, Houston Christian 3

Rice covered −22.5 by 5.5. The total, 34, stayed under 47.5.

Houston ChristianRiceTotal yardsHouston Christian 244Rice 493244493Passing yardsHouston Christian 96Rice 289628Rushing yardsHouston Christian 148Rice 465148465First downsHouston Christian 13Rice 271327TurnoversHouston Christian 1Rice 010Time of possessionHouston Christian 20:28Rice 39:3220:2839:32
Team totalsHouston ChristianRice
Total yards244493
Passing8 of 23, 96 yds4 of 10, 28 yds
Rushing35 for 148 yds70 for 465 yds
First downs1327
Third down4 of 1311 of 17
Fourth down0 of 41 of 3
Turnovers10
Penalties3 for 25 yds3 for 30 yds
Time of possession20:2839:32

Houston Christian leaders

  • Passing Cutter Stewart 6 of 17, 61 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Champ Dozier 8 for 86 yds; Jaylen Middleton 10 for 29 yds
  • Receiving Jamaal Hall II 2 for 27 yds; Mason Graham 1 for 22 yds

Rice leaders

  • Passing Gael Ochoa 2 of 5, 17 yds
  • Rushing Tyvonn Byars 16 for 104 yds; Jacurri Brown 13 for 98 yds
  • Receiving Jordan Clark 1 for 11 yds; Davis Lane 2 for 11 yds

Kickoff came 21 minutes late

88° at kickoff · no rain recorded

Thunder was reported in the vicinity of Houston Dunn airport (0.9 miles away) from 4:55 p.m. to 6:05 p.m., around the delay.

September game-day temperatures at Rice Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Rice favoredHouston Christian favored100%Win chanceRiceRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airportTemperature and feels likedegrees F75°105°feels like 91°air 82°Thunder reported
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Rice favoredHouston Christian favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airportTemperature and feels like · degrees F75°105°feels like 91°air 82°Thunder reported

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:51 left6:21 p.m.
Houston Christian 0, Rice 0 · Rice 95% to win
no rain · 88°
Byars 2-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Houston Dunn airport, 0.9 miles away, and Houston/will Hobby airport, 9.4 miles away. The paler thunder bar is thunder reported in the vicinity of an airport. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Houston Christian · 2-10

Rated 257th in our preseason ratings, 257th now.

Three straight losses.

L 10-31 vs Incarnate Word #146 of 667

lost by 21 as a 17.5-point underdog

L 32-37 @ East Texas A&M #220 of 667

lost by 5 as a 9.5-point underdog

L 3-50 vs Stephen F. Austin #80 of 667

lost by 47 as a 24.5-point underdog

L 7-31 @ Nicholls #198 of 667

lost by 24 as an 11.5-point underdog

L 14-38 vs SE Louisiana #106 of 667

lost by 24 as a 21.5-point underdog

L 0-27 @ McNeese #219 of 667

lost by 27 as a 6.5-point underdog

W 20-17 vs Northwestern State #260 of 667

won by 3 as a 12.5-point favorite

L 7-27 @ UT Rio Grande Valley #162 of 667

L 23-26 vs Northern Colorado #225 of 667

lost by 3 as a 1.5-point favorite

L 7-59 @ NebraskaTop 25 #29 of 667

lost by 52 as a 46.5-point underdog

Houston Christian lost 7-59 at Nebraska. Never had a real chance.

L 10-20 @ Eastern Kentucky #167 of 667

lost by 10 as an 18-point underdog

W 69-0 vs Arkansas Baptist

Last three games · 2025 season

Rice · 5-8

Rated 181st in our preseason ratings.

L 10-41 @ Texas State #41 of 667

lost by 31 as a 19.5-point underdog

Rice lost 10-41 vs Texas State. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 15%.

L 3-52 @ South FloridaTop 25 #19 of 667

lost by 49 as a 28.5-point underdog

Rice lost 3-52 at South Florida. Chance to win started at 3%, low under 1%, high 3%.

L 24-56 vs North TexasTop 25 #33 of 667

lost by 32 as an 18.5-point underdog

Rice lost 24-56 vs North Texas. Chance to win started at 14%, low under 1%, high 58%.

W 24-17 vs UAB #147 of 667

won by 7 as a 1.5-point favorite

Rice won 24-17 vs UAB. Chance to win started at 61%, low 42%, high better than 99%.

L 14-38 vs MemphisTop 25 #36 of 667

lost by 24 as a 13.5-point underdog

Rice lost 14-38 vs Memphis. Chance to win started at 24%, low under 1%, high 24%.

W 37-34 vs UConn #76 of 667

won by 3 as a 9.5-point underdog

Rice won 37-34 vs UConn. Chance to win started at 34%, low 10%, high better than 99%.

L 13-61 @ UTSA #55 of 667

lost by 48 as a 9.5-point underdog

Rice lost 13-61 at UTSA. Chance to win started at 19%, low under 1%, high 19%.

L 21-27 vs Florida Atlantic #97 of 667

lost by 6 as a 4.5-point favorite

Rice lost 21-27 vs Florida Atlantic. Chance to win started at 72%, low 6%, high 85%.

L 13-21 @ NavyTop 25 #80 of 667

lost by 8 as a 14.5-point underdog

Rice lost 13-21 at Navy. Chance to win started at 12%, low under 1%, high 12%.

W 28-17 @ Charlotte #176 of 667

won by 11 as a 1.5-point favorite

Rice won 28-17 at Charlotte. Chance to win started at 45%, low 35%, high better than 99%.

W 38-17 vs Prairie View A&M #181 of 667

won by 21 as a 29.5-point favorite

Rice won 38-17 vs Prairie View A&M. Chance to win started at 98%, low 93%, high better than 99%.

L 9-35 vs HoustonTop 25 #63 of 667

lost by 26 as a 13.5-point underdog

W 14-12 @ Louisiana #92 of 667

won by 2 as a 9.5-point underdog

Rice won 14-12 at Louisiana. Chance to win started at 20%, low 15%, high 81%.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Rice’s chances here.

50-50Model · 59%Line · 97%Houston ChristianRice

Rice favored by 22.5 · Total 47.5

How games like this usually go

Rice by 22.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Houston Christian.

opened −24.5now −22.5

Spread: −24.5 → −22.5

The books’ cut: 3.7%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 94° at kickoff.

Houston Christian at Rice · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Rice Stadium, Houston

  • 94°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 52weather score, Rough
  • 2ndbest of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Rice Stadium that day, a 7 pm kickoff would have scored 69, against 52 at 6 pm.

  • 11 am: 42, Harsh
  • noon: 42, Harsh
  • 2:30 pm: 39, Harsh
  • 3:15 pm: 39, Harsh
  • 4 pm: 39, Harsh
  • 6 pm: 52, Rough (this game)
  • 7 pm: 69, Rough

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Rice is worth +3.1 points (±3.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 30th percentile.

35% at home, 22% on the road against FBS opponents (15-28 home, 10-36 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.3 at home vs. away over 96 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 7 miles to get here.

Where next