Incarnate Word · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Incarnate Word · low confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Incarnate Word2022 FCS Semifinal
Incarnate Word reaches the FCS semifinal, the deepest playoff run in program history
Incarnate Word5-7Hope-Doping·Offseason
Incarnate Word is the San Antonio Cardinals that won a Southland title in 2024 and belong in every playoff conversation — stumbled in 2025, but didn't break.
Title DroughtSince 2025
Fans here believe the chip is invisibility: Incarnate Word wins the Southland, reaches the playoff semifinal in 2022, and the national media still describes the program as an FCS 'surprise.' San Anton…
low signal
Approaching
51 days
until kickoff · at Texas State · Sat Sep 26 · 04:00 UTC
The experience
Incarnate Word is the San Antonio Cardinals that won a Southland title in 2024 and belong in every playoff conversation — stumbled in 2025, but didn't break.
Cardinals country waits.
Incarnate Word · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 3-9
Base 5-7
Ceiling 8-4
floor3-9Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base5-7Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling8-4Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Mixed
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Streak W1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 4-6
The forecast
Opens Sep 26
vs Texas State · away
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Incarnate Word
—
Cardinals country waits.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Cardinals."
— Incarnate Word fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Incarnate Word · low confidence
Growing (53)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 5-7 (42% win rate)53
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Incarnate Word · 2025 schedule & results5-7Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 48% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 23 | #117 | #184 | -13.5 | @Nicholls | L 6–20 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 1 | Aug 30 | #117 | #181 | -10 | Eastern Washington | W 31–21 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #145 | #12 | +21 | @UTSA | L 20–48 142 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #125 | #143 | +5.5 | @Northern Arizona | L 23–31 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #134 | #119 | -2 | Abilene Christian | W 38–7 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #122 | #125 | — | Stephen F. Austin | L 17–31 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #145 | #193 | -18.5 | East Texas A&M | L 45–52 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| 9 | Oct 26 | #156 | #144 | -4.5 | @UT Rio Grande Valley | L 28–56 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #182 | #142 | -2.5 | Lamar | W 24–17 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #175 | #285 | -24.5 | @Northwestern State | W 38–3 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #161 | #103 | +5.5 | SE Louisiana | L 7–10 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #156 | #257 | -17.5 | @Houston Christian | W 31–10 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15 | SE Louisiana | L 7–10 | — | — | — | +0.084 | 34.7% | 118.9% | One-score loss |
| Nov 8 | @Northwestern State | W 38–3 | — | — | — | +0.319 | 43.8% | 164.9% | Most explosive |
| Nov 1 | Lamar | W 24–17 | — | — | — | -0.049 | 36.5% | 98.8% | One-score win |
| Oct 26 | @UT Rio Grande Valley | L 28–56 | — | — | — | +0.022 | 38.6% | 140.1% | Defense's roughest night |
| Oct 18 | East Texas A&M | L 45–52 | — | — | — | +0.272 | 48.8% | 121.6% | One-score loss |
| Oct 4 | Stephen F. Austin | L 17–31 | — | — | — | -0.058 | 39.5% | 104.9% | |
| Sep 27 | Abilene Christian | W 38–7 | — | — | — | +0.214 | 51.6% | 92.8% | Best success rate |
| Sep 20 | @Northern Arizona | L 23–31 | — | — | — | +0.375 | 41.3% | 147.8% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 13 | @UTSA | L 20–48 | 357 | 4 | 25:48 | +0.132 | 41.4% | 132.0% | Blowout loss |
| Aug 30 | Eastern Washington | W 31–21 | — | — | — | +0.164 | 46.6% | 110.6% | |
| Aug 23 | @Nicholls | L 6–20 | — | — | — | -0.350 | 29.4% | 94.2% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Season average (11 games) | 357 | 4.0 | +0.102 | 41.1% | 120.6% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Incarnate Word's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.10; 44th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.02. The widest gap came in week 21: 0.10 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Incarnate Word · 2018-present
Elite
82% home win rate vs 52% on the road. margin runs +17.6 better at home. Gayle and Tom Benson Stadium seats 6,000, averaging 37% full (2,204 attendance, 12 games reported).
Home34-7Away24-22
Venue texture
80°F average kickoff temp; 10% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.
Based on 31 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Incarnate Word
Mid-Major Contender
All-Time Record
75-67
since 2011 · 14 seasons · .528 win rate
HOME
40-21
AWAY
29-43
NEUTRAL
6-3
2010s
2020s
Southland Standing · 2025
8th in the Southland
Incarnate Word is 8th of 10 in the Southland at 3-5. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on playoff positioning and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen F. Austin | 8-0 |
| 2 | SE Louisiana | 7-1 |
| 3 | Lamar | 5-3 |
| 4 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 5-3 |
| 5 | McNeese | 4-4 |
| 6 | Nicholls | 4-4 |
| 7 | East Texas A&M | 3-5 |
| 8 | Incarnate Word | 3-5 |
| 9 | Houston Christian | 1-7 |
| 10 | Northwestern State | 0-8 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2024 Southland Championship
Incarnate Word wins the 2024 Southland Conference title with an undefeated 8-0 conference record
Moment of the Year · Incarnate Word · 2025
Moment of the Year · Incarnate Word · 2025Won 38-7 vs Abilene Christian
Week 5 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
Playoff History
Playoff HistoryRecent postseason (2022): 0-1
Most recent: 2022 — loss 35-32 (away). Last 5 postseason: 0-1.
2022
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