Lamar · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Lamar · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Lamar1963 NAIA National Championship
Lamar wins the NAIA national title (11-0), the only national championship in program history
Lamar8-5Hope-Doping·Offseason
Lamar is the Beaumont Cardinals that won three straight Southland titles in the 1960s, disappeared into mediocrity, and has spent a decade learning how to belong again.
Title DroughtSince 1971 · 54 yrs
Fans here believe the chip is generational grief: Lamar won when the Southland mattered less, and by the time modern FCS took shape, the Cardinals had lost their edge. The program is determined to pro…
offseason · quiet
Approaching
23 days
until kickoff · vs Abilene Christian · Sat Aug 29 · 04:00 UTC
The experience
Lamar is the Beaumont Cardinals that won three straight Southland titles in the 1960s, disappeared into mediocrity, and has spent a decade learning how to belong again.
Cardinals country waits.
Lamar · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 6-6
Base 8-4
Ceiling 11-1
floor6-6Competitive but likely outside the at-large field.
base8-4Conference title contender. Playoff bid realistic.
ceiling11-1Conference title + deep playoff run.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cold
One of five. The film room is busy this week.
Streak L3Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 6-4
The forecast
Opens Aug 29
vs Abilene Christian · at home
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Lamar
—
Cardinals country waits.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Cardinals."
— Lamar fanbase · recurring line
9 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Lamar · medium confidence
Growing (56)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 8-5 (62% win rate)64
Volume — 8 effective signal-N49
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Lamar · 2025 schedule & results8-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 51% · 1 AP top-25 opponent on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | #170 | #137 | +27.5 | @North Texas | L 0–51 129 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #191 | #96 | +17 | South Dakota | W 20–13 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #176 | #202 | -9.5 | @Texas Southern | W 31–7 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #156 | #195 | -6.5 | Central Arkansas | W 35–32 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #164 | #214 | -3.5 | Nicholls | W 24–17 | 4-1 | 1-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #165 | #188 | -7.5 | @East Texas A&M | W 33–23 | 5-1 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #156 | #139 | -3.5 | UT Rio Grande Valley | W 23–21 | 6-1 | 3-0 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #149 | #266 | -24.5 | @Northwestern State | W 41–14 | 7-1 | 4-0 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #142 | #182 | +2.5 | @Incarnate Word | L 17–24 | 7-2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #154 | #91 | +8 | SE Louisiana | W 14–12 | 8-2 | 5-1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #150 | #76 | +11 | @Stephen F. Austin | L 15–26 | 8-3 | 5-2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #151 | #203 | -13.5 | McNeese | L 19–21 | 8-4 | 5-3 |
| Conference Championship | ||||||||
| 14 | Nov 29 | #155 | #104 | +12.5 | @Abilene Christian | L 20–38 | 8-5 | 5-3 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | @Abilene Christian | L 20–38 | — | — | — | -0.101 | 26.0% | 156.1% | |
| Nov 22 | McNeese | L 19–21 | — | — | — | +0.011 | 42.2% | 124.2% | One-score loss |
| Nov 15 | @Stephen F. Austin | L 15–26 | — | — | — | +0.116 | 34.0% | 132.3% | |
| Nov 8 | SE Louisiana | W 14–12 | — | — | — | -0.048 | 36.6% | 108.8% | Best defensive stand |
| Nov 1 | @Incarnate Word | L 17–24 | — | — | — | -0.046 | 30.2% | 139.6% | One-score loss |
| Oct 25 | @Northwestern State | W 41–14 | — | — | — | +0.252 | 50.6% | 99.9% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Oct 18 | UT Rio Grande Valley | W 23–21 | — | — | — | +0.170 | 40.3% | 128.4% | One-score win |
| Oct 11 | @East Texas A&M | W 33–23 | — | — | — | -0.095 | 28.8% | 139.7% | |
| Oct 4 | Nicholls | W 24–17 | — | — | — | +0.111 | 35.1% | 139.5% | One-score win |
| Sep 27 | Central Arkansas | W 35–32 | — | — | — | +0.131 | 36.0% | 157.3% | Most explosive |
| Sep 13 | @Texas Southern | W 31–7 | — | — | — | +0.198 | 50.0% | 86.0% | |
| Aug 31 | @North Texas | L 0–51 | 119 | 2 | 26:32 | -0.205 | 28.3% | 77.9% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Season average (12 games) | 119 | 2.0 | +0.041 | 36.5% | 124.2% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Lamar's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.04; 25th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.00. The widest gap came in week 2: -0.21 raw vs. -0.01 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Lamar · 2018-present
Strong
53% home win rate vs 30% on the road. margin runs +13.4 better at home. Provost Umphrey Stadium seats 16,000, averaging 45% full (7,181 attendance, 12 games reported).
Home21-18Away13-29
Venue texture
79°F average kickoff temp; 7% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.
Based on 27 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Lamar
Mid-Major Contender
All-Time Record
110-184-4
since 1961 · 42 seasons · .369 win rate
HOME
60-62-1
AWAY
42-114-3
NEUTRAL
8-8
1960s
1970s
1980s
2010s
2020s
Southland Standing · 2025
3rd in the Southland
Lamar is 3rd in the Southland at 5-3. 2 teams above — that's the direct path to the title game.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen F. Austin | 8-0 |
| 2 | SE Louisiana | 7-1 |
| 3 | Lamar | 5-3 |
| 4 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 5-3 |
| 5 | McNeese | 4-4 |
| 6 | Nicholls | 4-4 |
| 7 | East Texas A&M | 3-5 |
| 8 | Incarnate Word | 3-5 |
| 9 | Houston Christian | 1-7 |
| 10 | Northwestern State | 0-8 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
1966
Southland titles 1964-66
Three consecutive Southland Conference championships, the last in 1971
Moment of the Year · Lamar · 2025
Moment of the Year · Lamar · 2025Won 31-7 at Texas Southern
Week 3 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
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