Louisiana routs Lamar 38-7
Louisiana routed Lamar 38-7. Share this game
We had Louisiana favored. It won.
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Louisiana a 94% chance, and the closing betting line (Louisiana was a 20.5-point favorite) put it at 95%.
Louisiana 38-7 Lamar
Louisiana wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Lamar 7-38 LouisianaLamar lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Louisiana -20.5), at 92% for Louisiana (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Louisiana scored on 6 of its 12 drives; Lamar on 0 of its 11.
Louisiana’s drives are teal, Lamar’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Louisiana 38, Lamar 7
Louisiana covered −20.5 by 10.5. The total, 45, stayed under 48.5.
| Team totals | Lamar | Louisiana |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 205 | 474 |
| Passing | 18 of 31, 149 yds | 19 of 27, 231 yds |
| Rushing | 29 for 56 yds | 41 for 243 yds |
| First downs | 16 | 25 |
| Third down | 7 of 13 | 3 of 8 |
| Fourth down | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Turnovers | 4 | 3 |
| Penalties | 5 for 30 yds | 6 for 48 yds |
| Time of possession | 26:22 | 33:38 |
Lamar leaders
- Passing Aiden McCown 15 of 26, 126 yds, 3 INT
- Rushing Jojo Uga 8 for 24 yds; Parker Jenkins 10 for 23 yds
- Receiving Kyndon Fuselier 3 for 35 yds; Parker Jenkins 2 for 30 yds
Louisiana leaders
- Passing D'Wayne' Winfield 15 of 21, 189 yds, 2 INT
- Rushing Darrell Smith 10 for 84 yds, 2 TD; D'Wayne' Winfield 8 for 84 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Caden Jensen 5 for 77 yds; Kedarius Wade 3 for 64 yds
No rain and calm
78° at kickoff · 0.05 in of rain by radar over the stadium · wind 2 mph from the northwest, gusts to 8
September game-day temperatures at Cajun Field
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Where this weather comes from
Measured at Lafayette airport, 3.3 miles away. The paler thunder bar is thunder reported in the vicinity of an airport. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Lamar · 8-5
Rated 149th in our preseason ratings, 149th now.
Three straight losses.
L 20-38 @ Abilene Christian #95 of 667
lost by 18 as a 12.5-point underdog
L 19-21 vs McNeese #201 of 667
lost by 2 as a 13.5-point favorite
L 15-26 @ Stephen F. Austin #78 of 667
lost by 11 as an 11-point underdog
W 14-12 vs SE Louisiana #101 of 667
won by 2 as an 8-point underdog
L 17-24 @ Incarnate Word #182 of 667
lost by 7 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 41-14 @ Northwestern State #267 of 667
won by 27 as a 24.5-point favorite
W 23-21 vs UT Rio Grande Valley #163 of 667
won by 2 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 33-23 @ East Texas A&M #187 of 667
won by 10 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 24-17 vs Nicholls #216 of 667
won by 7 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 35-32 vs Central Arkansas #187 of 667
won by 3 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 31-7 @ Texas Southern #232 of 667
won by 24 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 20-13 vs South Dakota #120 of 667
won by 7 as a 17-point underdog
L 0-51 @ North TexasTop 25 #103 of 667
lost by 51 as a 27.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Louisiana · 6-7
Rated 35th in our preseason ratings.
L 13-20 @ Delaware #144 of 667
lost by 7 as a 1.5-point favorite
W 30-27 vs UL Monroe #191 of 667
won by 3 as a 10.5-point favorite
W 34-30 @ Arkansas State #141 of 667
won by 4 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 42-39 vs Texas State #86 of 667
won by 3 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 31-22 @ South Alabama #121 of 667
won by 9 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 23-35 @ Troy #84 of 667
lost by 12 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 10-22 vs Southern Miss #91 of 667
lost by 12 as a 4.5-point underdog
L 14-24 @ James MadisonTop 25 #64 of 667
lost by 10 as an 18.5-point underdog
W 54-51 vs Marshall #87 of 667
won by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 31-34 @ Eastern Michigan #162 of 667
lost by 3 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 10-52 @ MissouriTop 25 #11 of 667
lost by 42 as a 27.5-point underdog
W 34-10 vs McNeese #187 of 667
won by 24 as a 19.5-point favorite
L 12-14 vs Rice #114 of 667
lost by 2 as a 9.5-point favorite
The series
Louisiana leads the series 9-4
13 meetings since 1973 · Louisiana has won the last 4
- 2012Louisiana 40-0
- 1989Louisiana 42-33
- 1983Louisiana 31-6
- 1982Louisiana 24-0
- 1981Lamar 14-12
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line agree on Louisiana’s chances here.
Louisiana favored by 20.5 · Total 48.5
How games like this usually go
Louisiana by 20.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 2 points toward Louisiana.
Spread: −18.5 → −20.5
The books’ cut: 4.1%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Warm, with rain. Feels like 82° at kickoff.
Lamar at Louisiana · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Cajun Field, Lafayette
- 82°feels like at kickoff
- 0.02 inrain at kickoff
- 93weather score, Comfortable
- Bestof the day's 7 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Cajun Field that day, a 2:30 pm kickoff would have scored 38, against 93 at 7 pm.
- 11 am: 48, Harsh
- noon: 46, Harsh
- 2:30 pm: 38, Harsh
- 3:15 pm: 39, Harsh
- 4 pm: 43, Harsh
- 6 pm: 71, Rough
- 7 pm: 93, Comfortable (this game)
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
Louisiana is worth +4.3 points (±3.5) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 53rd percentile.
73% at home, 60% on the road against FBS opponents (32-12 home, 31-21 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.6 at home vs. away over 103 games — inside the ±5.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 122 miles to get here.