FCS CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON
Southland
THE LONG WAIT · 2025
McNeese Country
The Southland Conference lost several members to the newly formed United Athletic Conference in 2023, including Abilene Christian, Central Arkansas, and Eastern Kentucky. The remaining core — Lamar, McNeese State, Southeastern Louisiana, Nicholls, Houston Baptist, and Northwestern State — rebuilt as a smaller, regional Gulf Coast conference. McNeese State has been the standard: four Southland titles in six years, consistent FCS playoff appearances, and a fan culture built around a genuinely beloved program in Lake Charles, Louisiana.
McNeese has the recruiting base to maintain its Southland dominance even after the conference shrank. But Southeastern Louisiana and Nicholls have both made playoff appearances. Does anyone from the Gulf Coast corridor knock off the Cowboys, or does Lake Charles keep producing the automatic bid?
Conference Standings · Southland · 2025
Standings
| # | Team | Conf |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen F. Austin | 8–0 |
| 2 | SE Louisiana | 7–1 |
| 3 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 5–3 |
| 4 | Lamar | 5–3 |
| 5 | McNeese | 4–4 |
| 6 | Nicholls | 4–4 |
| 7 | Incarnate Word | 3–5 |
| 8 | East Texas A&M | 3–5 |
| 9 | Houston Christian | 1–7 |
| 10 | Northwestern State | 0–8 |
Conference record determines standing. Power = neutral-field pts vs. all-level average. Last 5 = most recent game results.
Projected Standings · Southland · 2025
Win Projection
Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. AVG = expected wins; W–L = most-likely record.
| # | Team | W–L | PWR | AVG | ≥8 | ≥7 | ≥6 | ≥5 | ≥4 | ≥3 | ≥2 | ≥1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | ||||||||||||
| 1 | Stephen F. Austin | 5–3 | +5.3 | 5.2 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 70 | 89 | 97 | ✓ | ✓ |
| 2 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 5–3 | +3.4 | 4.5 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 52 | 78 | 93 | 99 | ✓ |
| Challengers | ||||||||||||
| 3 | SE Louisiana | 5–3 | +3.0 | 4.7 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 57 | 81 | 95 | 99 | ✓ |
| 4 | Incarnate Word | 4–4 | +0.7 | 4.1 | 4 | 17 | 40 | 68 | 88 | 97 | ✓ | |
| 5 | Lamar | 4–4 | +0.7 | 4.0 | 4 | 15 | 38 | 65 | 87 | 97 | ✓ | |
| The Field | ||||||||||||
| 6 | McNeese | 4–4 | -0.0 | 4.0 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 64 | 86 | 97 | ✓ | |
| 7 | Nicholls | 4–4 | -0.4 | 3.9 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 61 | 84 | 96 | ✓ | |
| 8 | East Texas A&M | 4–4 | -2.0 | 3.6 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 52 | 78 | 94 | 99 | |
| Rebuilding | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Houston Christian | 3–5 | -3.9 | 3.2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 69 | 90 | 99 | |
| 10 | Northwestern State | 3–5 | -6.7 | 2.7 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 55 | 82 | 97 | ||
Conference Power · FCS
Where We Stand
| # | Conference | Avg Power |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | MVFC | |
| 2 | Big Sky | |
| 3 | MEAC | |
| 4 | UAC | |
| 5 | SWAC | |
| 6 | SouthlandYou are here | |
| 7 | CAA | |
| 8 | Patriot | |
| 9 | Big South-OVC | |
| 10 | Pioneer | |
| 11 | Southern | |
| 12 | NEC | |
| 13 | Ivy |
Round-robin power = strength of schedule-adjusted conference average, points vs. all-level average team. Record = Southland's record vs. that conference across all games this season.
Southland is outperforming its raw power profile. The league body of work is stronger than the market would expect.
League Drivers
Southland Team Board
The league stack, sorted by predictive strength. Power is shown as neutral-field points versus the all-level average team, while resume is shown on a 0-100 season score.
| Rank | Team | Record | Power | Resume | ATS | Wins vs Market | Recent Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #60 | Stephen F. Austin | 11-3 | +14.5 | 93 | 6-4 | +0.49 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W12 W13 W15 L16) |
| #93 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 9-3 | +12.5 | 88 | 3-1 | -0.14 | 3-1 over the last 4 (L10 W11 W12 W13) |
| #107 | SE Louisiana | 9-4 | +12.1 | 87 | 5-7 | -0.60 | 2-2 over the last 4 (L11 W12 W13 L14) |
| #173 | Incarnate Word | 5-7 | +9.8 | 52 | 5-5 | -1.92 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W10 W11 L12 W13) |
| #174 | Lamar | 8-5 | +9.8 | 76 | 6-6 | +1.61 | 1-3 over the last 4 (W11 L12 L13 L14) |
| #192 | McNeese | 5-7 | +9.1 | 44 | 5-4 | +0.71 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W10 W11 L12 W13) |
| #199 | Nicholls | 4-8 | +8.7 | 35 | 6-5 | -0.48 | 2-2 over the last 4 (W10 L11 W12 L13) |
| #225 | East Texas A&M | 3-9 | +7.1 | 33 | 5-6 | -0.44 | 1-3 over the last 4 (L10 L11 W12 L13) |
| #251 | Houston Christian | 2-10 | +5.2 | 17 | 2-8 | -1.48 | 0-4 over the last 4 (L10 L11 L12 L13) |
| #276 | Northwestern State | 1-11 | +2.4 | 18 | 4-7 | -0.27 | 0-4 over the last 4 (L10 L11 L12 L13) |