CAA CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON BASELINE · 2026 OUTLOOK
UAlbany
Rank #240
Team Mood Card — Offseason Mode
UAlbany fan conversation is quiet right now.
The Mood Card lights up during the season, when live fan, national, and rival chatter clears the publish gate. In the offseason we hold the frame open rather than print fake precision. Live signal returns once weekly conversation volume rebuilds.
Cohort Signal
Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›
Fanbase Archetype
How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).
Fanbase Archetype
The Content Mid-Major
Primary: 68% confidence
Programs that win more than they should, given resources. The fanbase is proud but realistic. They know the ceiling. They celebrate the overachievements.
SIGNATURE PHRASE
“Punching above our weight”
MODIFIERS
· Entrenched
5-Season Migration
Performance Narrative
Season Rating Journey
One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.
Rating rose
Rating fell
Little movement
Ring shows opponent level
Result
--
Power Swing
--
Rating Path
--
Week 1 · @ Iowa
Week 13 · @ Monmouth
Week 6 · vs Stony Brook
Betting Lens
Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.
Week 13 vs Monmouth
Cover by +36.50 against a closing line of +29.5.
Week 6 vs Stony Brook
No cover by -28.00. These are the losses bettors remember.
Week 4 vs Cornell
Under versus 50.5 by -27.50 points.
Efficiency Dashboard
Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.
Offense
17th pct
Defense
16th pct
Adjusted values: -0.00 offense, +0.07 defense
Sample: 11 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
53rd pct
Defense
59th pct
Adjusted values: -0.03 offense, -0.10 defense
Sample: 11 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
31st pct
Defense
85th pct
Adjusted values: +0.28 offense, -0.22 defense
Sample: 11 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
31st pct
Defense
37th pct
Adjusted values: +0.02 offense, -0.07 defense
Sample: 11 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Why The Model Has Them Here
A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.
Power +6.0
Currently +6.0 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Big-Play Prevention currently grades around the 85th percentile.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Resume 23
Body of work: best signal lost to Iowa 7-34. Closest call lost to Stony Brook 12-47. 23rd percentile season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
1-3 over the last 4 (L10 L11 L12 W13)
Last four games: 1-3 over the last 4 (L10 L11 L12 W13). Power is 41 points ahead of resume through the most recent season — the underlying strength rating outpaces what the body of work says.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2025 Season
Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 2-10. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2026, it still belongs to this season page.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Placement Context
This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.
Overall Board#240
Inside FCS#104 of 129
Inside CAA#11 of 14
Power+6.0pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume2323rd percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborCharlotte
Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.
Closest Neighbors
The quickest way to explain a ranking is often to show the teams immediately around it.
Overall Ahead
Power +0.0 | Resume +8
#239 Alabama A&M
FCS | SWAC
Overall Behind
Power -0.0 | Resume -2
#241 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
FCS | SWAC
FCS Ahead
Power +0.0 | Resume +8
#239 Alabama A&M
FCS | SWAC
CAA Ahead
Power +1.4 | Resume +7
#219 Campbell
FCS | CAA
Cross-Level Neighbor
Power +0.1 | Resume -7
#237 Charlotte
FBS | American Athletic
Historical Snapshot
Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.
The number of fully modeled seasons currently attached to this program.
A recent multi-year closing-power average. This is the kind of anchor that should matter in preseason priors.
How the current season's closing power stacks up against the program's recent standard.
How far the current season finished below the strongest loaded team in program history.
The strongest closing power this program has posted in the loaded archive.
This is the program's best power season since 2023.
This is the program's best resume season since 2023.
The highest loaded all-level board finish currently attached to this program.
The strongest body-of-work season currently attached to this program in the loaded archive.
Where the current season sits inside this program's loaded history on the two main scales.
A cleaner fan-facing answer to the question: is this near the top of the program's arc or just another solid year?
The cleanest results season in the loaded archive, regardless of whether it was also the strongest by power.
Program Arc
Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.
Bars: win rate
Line: public power vs average team
Season Phase Split
How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.
Regular Season 2-10 in 12 games
| Phase | Record | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 2-10 | 12 |
Loaded History Signals
This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.
2023 Season
Ended at power +2.3, record 11-4, and final loaded-board rank #70.
2023 Season
Resume 84 / 100 with 11 wins and a 73% win rate.
+0.1 power
From 2024 to 2025, the program moved from -5.9 to -5.8.
11-4
The cleanest loaded season by results came in 2023, with a margin of +126.
Impact Cards
A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.
Week 13
Regular Season
@ Monmouth
Result
Win
Pregame
-10.38
Power
+1.58
Resume
+0.35
Postgame
-8.81
Week 12
Regular Season
vs Towson
Result
Loss
Pregame
-10.17
Power
-0.21
Resume
-0.01
Postgame
-10.38
Week 11
Regular Season
vs Bryant
Result
Loss
Pregame
-10.50
Power
+0.33
Resume
+0.04
Postgame
-10.17
Week 10
Regular Season
@ William & Mary
Result
Loss
Pregame
-9.79
Power
-0.71
Resume
-0.07
Postgame
-10.50
Week 9
Regular Season
@ Villanova
Result
Loss
Pregame
-10.51
Power
+0.71
Resume
+0.06
Postgame
-9.79
Week 8
Regular Season
vs Rhode Island
Result
Loss
Pregame
-9.24
Power
-1.27
Resume
-0.03
Postgame
-10.51
Week 6
Regular Season
vs Stony Brook
Result
Loss
Pregame
-8.41
Power
-1.38
Resume
-0.09
Postgame
-9.79
Week 5
Regular Season
@ New Hampshire
Result
Loss
Pregame
-8.31
Power
-0.09
Resume
-0.06
Postgame
-8.41
Week 4
Regular Season
vs Cornell
Result
Win
Pregame
--
Power
--
Resume
--
Postgame
--
Week 3
Regular Season
vs New Haven
Result
Loss
Pregame
-7.14
Power
-1.25
Resume
+0.09
Postgame
-8.39
Week 2
Regular Season
@ Delaware State
Result
Loss
Pregame
-6.38
Power
-0.75
Resume
-0.03
Postgame
-7.14
Week 1
Regular Season
@ Iowa
Result
Loss
Pregame
-9.75
Power
+3.37
Resume
+0.00
Postgame
-6.38
2025 Season Schedule And Rating Movement
Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.
| Week | Date | Game | Phase | Result | Close | ATS | Total | Pregame | Power Change | Resume Change | Postgame |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30, 2025 | @ Iowa FBS | Regular Season | L 7-34 | +39.5 | Cover | 48.5 | Under | -9.75 | +3.37 | +0.00 | -6.38 |
| 2 | Sep 6, 2025 | @ Delaware State FCS | Regular Season | L 32-37 | -12.5 | No cover | 50.5 | Over | -6.38 | -0.75 | -0.03 | -7.14 |
| 3 | Sep 13, 2025 | vs New Haven FCS | Regular Season | L 17-24 | -19.5 | No cover | 45.5 | Under | -7.14 | -1.25 | +0.09 | -8.39 |
| 4 | Sep 20, 2025 | vs Cornell FCS | Regular Season | W 13-10 | +3.0 | Cover | 50.5 | Under | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 5 | Sep 27, 2025 | @ New Hampshire FCS | Regular Season | L 6-24 | +13.0 | No cover | 44.5 | Under | -8.31 | -0.09 | -0.06 | -8.41 |
| 6 | Oct 4, 2025 | vs Stony Brook FCS | Regular Season | L 12-47 | +7.0 | No cover | 48.5 | Over | -8.41 | -1.38 | -0.09 | -9.79 |
| 8 | Oct 18, 2025 | vs Rhode Island FCS | Regular Season | L 17-58 | +13.5 | No cover | 47.5 | Over | -9.24 | -1.27 | -0.03 | -10.51 |
| 9 | Oct 25, 2025 | @ Villanova FCS | Regular Season | L 16-29 | +31.5 | Cover | 51.5 | Under | -10.51 | +0.71 | +0.06 | -9.79 |
| 10 | Nov 1, 2025 | @ William & Mary FCS | Regular Season | L 7-37 | +19.0 | No cover | 50.5 | Under | -9.79 | -0.71 | -0.07 | -10.50 |
| 11 | Nov 8, 2025 | vs Bryant FCS | Regular Season | L 24-27 | +3.5 | Cover | 44.5 | Over | -10.50 | +0.33 | +0.04 | -10.17 |
| 12 | Nov 15, 2025 | vs Towson FCS | Regular Season | L 19-36 | +13.5 | No cover | 47.5 | Over | -10.17 | -0.21 | -0.01 | -10.38 |
| 13 | Nov 22, 2025 | @ Monmouth FCS | Regular Season | W 31-24 | +29.5 | Cover | 62.5 | Under | -10.38 | +1.58 | +0.35 | -8.81 |
Year-By-Year Results
The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.
| Season | Lens | Record | Final Rank | End Power | End Resume | Games | Points For | Points Against | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CurrentThis season anchors the current board. | 2-10 | #257 | -5.8 | 8 | 12 | 201 | 387 | -186 |
| 2024 | Down yearFinished meaningfully below the program's recent standard. | 4-8 | #278 | -5.9 | 7 | 12 | 235 | 339 | -104 |
| 2023 | Peak powerStrongest loaded closing power for the program. | 11-4 | #70 | +2.3 | 84 | 15 | 426 | 300 | +126 |
| 2022 | In rangeA season that landed inside the normal historical band. | 3-8 | #221 | -3.7 | 24 | 11 | 326 | 375 | -49 |
| 2021 | Down yearFinished meaningfully below the program's recent standard. | 2-9 | #252 | -5.3 | 5 | 11 | 208 | 288 | -80 |