Elon · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Elon · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Elon2018
First back-to-back FCS playoffs
Elon earns consecutive FCS playoff bids for the first time in program history
Elon6-6Hope-Doping·Offseason
Elon is the Phoenix that quietly became the CAA's most consistent mid-tier winner — three FCS playoff appearances, 22 conference wins in four years, still waiting for the breakout season that gets them heard.
Title DroughtSince 2018 · 7 yrs
The fanbase says Elon has beaten 16 top-25 programs and won more CAA games than almost anyone in the 2020s, and national media still treats them like a scheduling afterthought — they believe the small…
offseason · quiet
Approaching
21 days
until kickoff · vs Glenville State · Thu Aug 27 · 23:00 UTC
The experience
Elon is the Phoenix that quietly became the CAA's most consistent mid-tier winner — three FCS playoff appearances, 22 conference wins in four years, still waiting for the breakout season that gets them heard.
The Phoenix keep the faith.
Elon · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 4-8
Base 6-6
Ceiling 9-3
floor4-8Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base6-6Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling9-3Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cooling
Two of five. Schedule has caught up.
Streak W2Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 5-5
The forecast
Opens Aug 27
vs Glenville State · at home
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Elon
—
The Phoenix keep the faith.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Elon"
— Elon fanbase · recurring line
9 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Elon · medium confidence
Growing (53)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 6-6 (50% win rate)58
Volume — 9 effective signal-N49
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Elon · 2025 schedule & results6-6Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 47% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | #206 | #65 | — | @Duke | L 17–45 59 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #155 | #234 | -27.5 | Davidson | W 55–7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #171 | #189 | -2.5 | @Western Carolina | W 37–31 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #166 | #140 | +2 | @East Tennessee State | L 16–26 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #163 | #245 | -17.5 | Hampton | W 41–20 | 3-2 | 1-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #154 | #161 | — | @Towson | W 17–3 | 4-2 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #142 | #128 | +6.5 | Villanova | L 21–29 | 4-3 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #150 | #177 | -1.5 | @William & Mary | L 21–26 | 4-4 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #153 | #175 | -4.5 | @Maine | L 14–35 | 4-5 | 2-1 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #179 | #125 | +4.5 | Rhode Island | L 20–34 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #188 | #236 | -4 | @Campbell | W 31–24 | 5-6 | 3-2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #187 | #278 | -21 | North Carolina A&T | W 55–17 | 6-6 | 4-2 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | North Carolina A&T | W 55–17 | — | — | — | +0.156 | 34.3% | 173.8% | Most explosive |
| Nov 15 | @Campbell | W 31–24 | — | — | — | +0.084 | 33.8% | 153.7% | One-score win |
| Nov 8 | Rhode Island | L 20–34 | — | — | — | +0.039 | 36.8% | 114.5% | |
| Oct 25 | @Maine | L 14–35 | — | — | — | -0.181 | 30.9% | 135.1% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 18 | @William & Mary | L 21–26 | — | — | — | +0.365 | 47.4% | 133.1% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Oct 11 | Villanova | L 21–29 | — | — | — | +0.243 | 46.3% | 134.8% | One-score loss |
| Oct 4 | @Towson | W 17–3 | — | — | — | +0.222 | 43.4% | 120.0% | |
| Sep 27 | Hampton | W 41–20 | — | — | — | +0.226 | 45.3% | 148.4% | |
| Sep 20 | @East Tennessee State | L 16–26 | — | — | — | +0.071 | 37.9% | 137.5% | |
| Sep 13 | @Western Carolina | W 37–31 | — | — | — | +0.166 | 36.0% | 164.5% | One-score win |
| Sep 6 | Davidson | W 55–7 | — | — | — | +0.353 | 55.2% | 108.1% | Best success rate |
| Aug 28 | @Duke | L 17–45 | — | — | — | +0.198 | 34.4% | 134.7% | Defense's roughest night |
| Season average (12 games) | — | — | +0.162 | 40.1% | 138.2% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Elon's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.16; 51st percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.03. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.28 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Elon · 2018-present
Strong
61% home win rate vs 47% on the road. margin runs +9.6 better at home. Rhodes Stadium seats 14,000, averaging 46% full (6,406 attendance, 11 games reported).
Home22-14Away21-23
Venue texture
71°F average kickoff temp; 4% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.
Based on 26 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Elon
National Program
All-Time Record
115-185-1
since 1920 · 49 seasons · .382 win rate
HOME
60-66-1
AWAY
53-115
NEUTRAL
2-4
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1970s
2000s
2010s
2020s
CAA Standing · 2025
5th in the CAA
Elon sits 5th of 13 in the CAA at 4-2. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rhode Island | 8-0 |
| 2 | New Hampshire | 5-1 |
| 3 | Maine | 5-2 |
| 4 | Monmouth | 5-2 |
| 5 | Elon | 4-2 |
| 6 | Stony Brook | 4-3 |
| 7 | Towson | 4-3 |
| 8 | Campbell | 2-5 |
| 9 | North Carolina A&T | 2-5 |
| 10 | UAlbany | 1-5 |
| 11 | Bryant | 1-7 |
| 12 | Sacred Heart | 0-0 |
| 13 | Hampton | 0-6 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2022 FCS playoff return
Elon returns to the postseason under Trisciani, extending the program's playoff consistency
Moment of the Year · Elon · 2025
Moment of the Year · Elon · 2025Won 55-7 vs Davidson
Week 2 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
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