Rhode Island · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Rhode Island · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Rhode Island2018 first winning season in 17 years
Rhode Island ends a 17-year winning-season drought under Jim Fleming — the turning point in the modern program's history
Rhode Island11-3Hope-Doping·Offseason
Rhode Island is the program that went 17 years without a winning season, then won back-to-back CAA championships in 2024 and 2025 under Jim Fleming — the Rams are proof that patience and the right coach can turn four decades of dormancy into a dynasty.
Title DroughtSince 1985 · 40 yrs
The fanbase says Rhode Island went 17 years without a winning season and no one cared when they were losing, and now that they're back-to-back CAA champions, national FCS media is still slow to treat…
offseason · quiet
Approaching
22 days
until kickoff · at Merrimack · Fri Aug 28 · 04:00 UTC
The experience
Rhode Island is the program that went 17 years without a winning season, then won back-to-back CAA championships in 2024 and 2025 under Jim Fleming — the Rams are proof that patience and the right coach can turn four decades of dormancy into a dynasty.
Rams country waits.
Rhode Island · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 9-3
Base 11-1
Ceiling 12-0
floor9-3Competitive but likely outside the at-large field.
base11-1Conference title contender. Playoff bid realistic.
ceiling12-0Conference title + deep playoff run.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Warming
Four of five. The board favors this trend.
Streak L1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
The forecast
Opens Aug 28
vs Merrimack · away
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Rhode Island
—
Rams country waits.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Rams."
— Rhode Island fanbase · recurring line
6 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Rhode Island · medium confidence
Growing (59)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 11-3 (79% win rate)73
Volume — 6 effective signal-N46
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Rhode Island · 2025 schedule & results11-3Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 43% · 0 AP top-25 opponents on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #130 | #250 | -11.5 | Campbell | W 31–20 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #178 | #161 | -7 | @Stony Brook | W 31–17 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #148 | #164 | -3.5 | @Holy Cross | W 9–7 | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #135 | #183 | -16.5 | Long Island University | W 28–7 | 4-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #132 | #85 | +8.5 | @Western Michigan | L 14–47 77 | 4-1 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Oct 3 | #129 | #247 | -14.5 | @Brown | L 21–28 | 4-2 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #141 | #197 | -9.5 | New Hampshire | W 38–27 | 5-2 | 3-0 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #142 | #241 | -13.5 | @UAlbany | W 58–17 | 6-2 | 4-0 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #125 | #241 | -18.5 | Bryant | W 38–17 | 7-2 | 5-0 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #125 | #179 | -4.5 | @Elon | W 34–20 | 8-2 | 6-0 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #112 | #151 | -4 | @Maine | W 45–13 | 9-2 | 7-0 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #86 | #276 | -31.5 | Hampton | W 38–10 | 10-2 | 8-0 |
| Conference Championship | ||||||||
| 14 | Nov 29 | #83 | #179 | -19.5 | Central Connecticut | W 27–19 | 11-2 | 8-0 |
| 15 | Dec 7 | #87 | #113 | — | @UC Davis | L 26–47 | 11-3 | 8-0 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7 | @UC Davis | L 26–47 | — | — | — | +0.253 | 35.8% | 173.7% | Most explosive |
| Nov 29 | Central Connecticut | W 27–19 | — | — | — | +0.252 | 36.4% | 164.0% | One-score win |
| Nov 22 | Hampton | W 38–10 | — | — | — | +0.298 | 42.5% | 157.0% | Blowout win |
| Nov 15 | @Maine | W 45–13 | — | — | — | +0.431 | 56.2% | 121.1% | Blowout win |
| Nov 8 | @Elon | W 34–20 | — | — | — | +0.233 | 56.3% | 109.6% | Best success rate |
| Oct 25 | Bryant | W 38–17 | — | — | — | +0.239 | 44.9% | 142.7% | |
| Oct 18 | @UAlbany | W 58–17 | — | — | — | +0.492 | 54.5% | 127.9% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Oct 11 | New Hampshire | W 38–27 | — | — | — | +0.350 | 46.9% | 127.9% | |
| Oct 3 | @Brown | L 21–28 | — | — | — | +0.216 | 54.5% | 105.2% | One-score loss |
| Sep 27 | @Western Michigan | L 14–47 | — | — | — | +0.085 | 41.2% | 129.6% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 20 | Long Island University | W 28–7 | — | — | — | +0.178 | 42.6% | 125.3% | |
| Sep 13 | @Holy Cross | W 9–7 | — | — | — | +0.239 | 43.5% | 121.4% | One-score win |
| Sep 6 | @Stony Brook | W 31–17 | — | — | — | +0.201 | 40.5% | 144.7% | |
| Aug 29 | Campbell | W 31–20 | — | — | — | +0.183 | 38.7% | 129.9% | |
| Season average (14 games) | — | — | +0.261 | 45.3% | 134.3% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Rhode Island's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.26; 94th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.09. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.18 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Rhode Island · 2018-present
Elite
78% home win rate vs 42% on the road. margin runs +12.5 better at home. Meade Stadium seats 8,000, averaging 61% full (4,896 attendance, 12 games reported).
Home30-8Away19-26
Venue texture
62°F average kickoff temp; 11% of games had measurable precipitation; 12 mph average wind.
Based on 28 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Rhode Island
National Program
All-Time Record
102-235-2
since 1903 · 95 seasons · .300 win rate
HOME
58-60-2
AWAY
38-158
NEUTRAL
6-17
1900s
1910s
1920s
1930s
1940s
1950s
1960s
1970s
1980s
2000s
2010s
2020s
CAA Standing · 2025
1st in the CAA
Rhode Island sits at the top of the CAA at 8-0. Everyone else is chasing.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rhode Island | 8-0 |
| 2 | New Hampshire | 5-1 |
| 3 | Maine | 5-2 |
| 4 | Monmouth | 5-2 |
| 5 | Elon | 4-2 |
| 6 | Stony Brook | 4-3 |
| 7 | Towson | 4-3 |
| 8 | Campbell | 2-5 |
| 9 | North Carolina A&T | 2-5 |
| 10 | UAlbany | 1-5 |
| 11 | Bryant | 1-7 |
| 12 | Sacred Heart | 0-0 |
| 13 | Hampton | 0-6 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
2024 CAA championship
Rhode Island wins the program's first CAA title — the first conference championship since 1985
2025 CAA championship (8-0)
Rams go undefeated in conference play for the first time since 1985 and win back-to-back CAA titles; 11-3 overall
Moment of the Year · Rhode Island · 2025
Moment of the Year · Rhode Island · 2025Won 31-17 at Stony Brook
Week 2 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
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