Temple beats Rhode Island 38-14

Rhode Island1-114
Temple1-038Final
Sat, Sep 5 · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pa. · Crowd 13,484ESPN+

Temple beat Rhode Island 38-14.

We had Temple favored. It won.

Next: Rhode Island beat Elon 31-10, Sat Sep 12

Next: Temple lost to Penn State 27-9, Sat Sep 12

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Temple a 59% chance, and the closing betting line (Temple was a 14.5-point favorite) put it at 88%.

Favored the whole way: Temple never fell below 85%.

Rhode Island never had better than a 14% chance.

Pick-sixTemple · Q4 8:53
FinalTemple 38-14 Rhode IslandTemple wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q494% at halfTempleWon38-14ScoresPick-six
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q494% at halfTempleWon38-14ScoresPick-six
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q46% at halfTempleLowest 0%Lost14-38ScoresPick-six
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q46% at halfTempleLowest 0%Lost14-38ScoresPick-six

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Temple’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Temple -14.5), at 90% for Temple (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.

Every drive

Temple scored on 4 of its 10 drives; Rhode Island on 2 of its 12.

Temple’s drives are teal, Rhode Island’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Temple: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownRhode Island: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownTemple: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 16Field goalRhode Island: Punt, from 75 yards out to 59PuntTemple: Punt, from 81 yards out to 60PuntQ2Rhode Island: Punt, from 79 yards out to 71PuntTemple: Punt, from 70 yards out to 63PuntRhode Island: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 84 yards out to 70Interception TDRhode Island: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownTemple: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownRhode Island: End of half, from 75 yards out to 76End of halfQ3Rhode Island: Punt, from 75 yards out to 71PuntTemple: Fumble, from 34 yards out to 37FumbleRhode Island: Punt, from 63 yards out to 50PuntTemple: Touchdown, from 82 yards out to 0TouchdownRhode Island: Punt, from 85 yards out to 85PuntTemple: Missed field goal, from 55 yards out to 33Missed FGQ4Rhode Island: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 67 yards out to 52Interception TDRhode Island: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 20FumbleTemple: Punt, from 80 yards out to 62PuntRhode Island: Punt, from 92 yards out to 89PuntTemple: End of game, from 70 yards out to 74End of game

Box score

Temple 38, Rhode Island 14

Temple covered −14.5 by 9.5. The total, 52, went over 51.5.

Rhode Island leaders

  • Passing Tyler Budge 18 of 31, 195 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing Brendon Barrow 11 for 39 yds; Tyler Budge 9 for 38 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Marquis Buchanan 10 for 137 yds, 1 TD; Will Dixon 2 for 18 yds

Temple leaders

  • Passing Ajani Sheppard 5 of 10, 85 yds
  • Rushing Keveun Mason 20 for 158 yds, 2 TD; Ajani Sheppard 5 for 23 yds
  • Receiving Colin Chase 3 for 43 yds; Jovanni Bermudez 2 for 40 yds

No rain and calm

82° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 10 mph from the north-northwest, mostly along the field, gusts to 23

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 66 other games played at Lincoln Financial Field since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window).

September game-day temperatures at Lincoln Financial Field

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Temple favoredRhode Island favored100%Win chanceTempleRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Temple favoredRhode Island favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:36 left2:04 p.m.
Rhode Island 0, Temple 0 · Temple 90% to win
no rain · wind 9 mph from the northwest, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 17 · 82°
Sheppard 21-yd pass to Chase
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Philadelphia International airport, 3.7 miles away, and Philadelphia Ne airport, 15 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Rhode Island · 11-3

Rated 106th in our preseason ratings, 106th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 26-47 @ UC Davis #93 of 667

W 27-19 vs Central Connecticut #175 of 667

won by 8 as a 19.5-point favorite

W 38-10 vs Hampton #270 of 667

won by 28 as a 31.5-point favorite

W 45-13 @ Maine #182 of 667

won by 32 as a 4-point favorite

W 34-20 @ Elon #187 of 667

won by 14 as a 4.5-point favorite

W 38-17 vs Bryant #234 of 667

won by 21 as an 18.5-point favorite

W 58-17 @ UAlbany #250 of 667

won by 41 as a 13.5-point favorite

W 38-27 vs New Hampshire #194 of 667

won by 11 as a 9.5-point favorite

L 21-28 @ Brown #235 of 667

lost by 7 as a 14.5-point favorite

L 14-47 @ Western Michigan #114 of 667

lost by 33 as an 8.5-point underdog

Rhode Island lost 14-47 at Western Michigan. Chance to win started at 21%, low under 1%, high 49%.

W 28-7 vs Long Island University #185 of 667

won by 21 as a 16.5-point favorite

W 9-7 @ Holy Cross #171 of 667

won by 2 as a 3.5-point favorite

W 31-17 @ Stony Brook #210 of 667

won by 14 as a 7-point favorite

W 31-20 vs Campbell #247 of 667

won by 11 as an 11.5-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

Temple · 5-7

Rated 90th in our preseason ratings.

L 25-52 @ North TexasTop 25 #29 of 667

lost by 27 as a 20.5-point underdog

Temple lost 25-52 at North Texas. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 10%.

L 13-37 vs TulaneTop 25 #51 of 667

lost by 24 as a 7.5-point underdog

Temple lost 13-37 vs Tulane. Chance to win started at 38%, low under 1%, high 38%.

L 13-14 @ Army #112 of 667

lost by 1 as a 7.5-point underdog

Temple lost 13-14 at Army. Chance to win started at 17%, low 5%, high 42%.

L 14-45 vs East Carolina #49 of 667

lost by 31 as a 5.5-point underdog

Temple lost 14-45 vs East Carolina. Chance to win started at 43%, low under 1%, high 44%.

W 38-37 @ Tulsa #149 of 667

won by 1 as a 3.5-point favorite

Temple won 38-37 at Tulsa. Chance to win started at 46%, low 40%, high better than 99%.

W 49-14 @ Charlotte #221 of 667

won by 35 as a 9.5-point favorite

Temple won 49-14 at Charlotte. Chance to win started at 70%, low 61%, high better than 99%.

L 31-32 vs NavyTop 25 #86 of 667

lost by 1 as a 10.5-point underdog

Temple lost 31-32 vs Navy. Chance to win started at 30%, low under 1%, high 91%.

W 27-21 vs UTSA #68 of 667

won by 6 as a 6.5-point underdog

Temple won 27-21 vs UTSA. Chance to win started at 39%, low 9%, high 98%.

L 24-45 @ Georgia TechTop 25 #39 of 667

lost by 21 as a 24.5-point underdog

L 3-42 vs OklahomaTop 25 #13 of 667

lost by 39 as a 24.5-point underdog

Temple lost 3-42 vs Oklahoma. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 7%.

W 55-7 vs Howard #223 of 667

won by 48 as a 27.5-point favorite

Temple won 55-7 vs Howard. Chance to win started at 97%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

W 42-10 @ Massachusetts #156 of 667

won by 32 as a 2.5-point favorite

Temple won 42-10 at Massachusetts. Chance to win started at 50%, low 19%, high better than 99%.

The series

Temple leads the series 6-0

6 meetings since 1949 · Temple has won the last 6

Temple wonRhode Island won1949: Temple by 411971: Temple by 271972: Temple by 221973: Temple by 431974: Temple by 311975: Temple by 3919491975
  • 1975Temple 45-6
  • 1974Temple 38-7
  • 1973Temple 43-0
  • 1972Temple 22-0
  • 1971Temple 40-13

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Temple’s chances here.

50-50Model · 59%Line · 88%Rhode IslandTemple

Temple favored by 14.5 · Total 51.5

How games like this usually go

Temple by 14.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 4.5 points toward Temple.

opened −10now −14.5

Spread: −10 → −14.5

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 83° at kickoff.

Rhode Island at Temple · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia

  • 83°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 80weather score, Mixed
  • Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's seven kickoff times. At Lincoln Financial Field that day, a 7:45 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 80 at 2 pm.

The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.

  • noon: 84, Mixed
  • 12:45 pm: 82, Mixed
  • 2 pm: 80, Mixed (this game)
  • 3:30 pm: 79, Mixed
  • 6 pm: 95, Comfortable
  • 7 pm: 99, Comfortable
  • 7:45 pm: 100, Ideal

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Temple is worth +3.0 points (±4.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 29th percentile.

41% at home, 24% on the road against FBS opponents (19-27 home, 11-34 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.1 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±6.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 220 miles to get here.

Where next