No. 16 Penn State beats Temple 27-9

No. 16 Penn State2-027
Temple1-19Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pa. · Crowd 61,714ESPN2

No. 16 Penn State beat Temple 27-9.

We had Penn State favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

Oh Campbell 2 minutes sucks. Left no time and scores. How awful.

Q2 0:08 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 12

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Penn State a 69% chance, and the closing betting line (Penn State was a 24.5-point favorite) put it at 98%.

Favored the whole way: Penn State never fell below 83%.

Temple never had better than a 16% chance.

Blocked field goalQ3 11:46
FinalPenn State 27-9 TemplePenn State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q495% at halfPenn StateWon27-9ScoresBlocked field goalPenn StateTemplePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 10 comments a minutePenn State fans: 12 comments a minutePenn State fans: 9 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 8 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 0 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 6 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 6 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 8 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 0 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 6 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 3 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 4 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q495% at halfPenn StateWon27-9ScoresBlocked field goalP. StateTemplePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 10 comments a minutePenn State fans: 12 comments a minutePenn State fans: 9 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 8 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 0 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 6 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 6 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 8 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 0 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 6 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 3 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 4 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q45% at halfPenn StateLowest 0%Lost9-27ScoresBlocked field goalTemplePenn StateTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 3 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 4 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 10 comments a minutePenn State fans: 12 comments a minutePenn State fans: 9 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 8 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 0 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 6 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 6 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 8 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 0 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 6 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 0 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q45% at halfPenn StateLowest 0%Lost9-27ScoresBlocked field goalTempleP. StateTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 3 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 4 comments a minuteTemple fans: 2 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 1 comments a minuteTemple fans: 0 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 10 comments a minutePenn State fans: 12 comments a minutePenn State fans: 9 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 8 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 0 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 6 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 6 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 8 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 4 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 0 comments a minutePenn State fans: 5 comments a minutePenn State fans: 7 comments a minutePenn State fans: 3 comments a minutePenn State fans: 6 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 1 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 2 comments a minutePenn State fans: 0 comments a minute

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q1 5:46Penn State fans criticize Becht and the running game after a turnover on downsour oline might not be good. outside of the 1st throw of the game to howard, becht has made terrible decisions today.r/CFB game thread
  2. Q2 0:08Penn State fans criticize Matt Campbell's clock management after a touchdownQuoted at the top of the page.MATT CAMPBELL WHAT ARE YOU DOING?? CALL THE TIMEO- WOOOOOAHHr/CFB game thread
Penn State’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Penn State -24.5), at 95% for Penn State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Temple or Penn State flair (114 and 610); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Every drive

Penn State scored on 5 of its 9 drives; Temple on 2 of its 9.

Penn State’s drives are teal, Temple’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Penn State: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 15Missed FGTemple: Punt, from 80 yards out to 83PuntPenn State: Punt, from 44 yards out to 38PuntTemple: Interception, from 97 yards out to 86InterceptionPenn State: Turned over on downs, from 5 yards out to 2DownsTemple: Field goal, from 97 yards out to 6Field goalQ2Penn State: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 13Field goalTemple: Punt, from 84 yards out to 59PuntPenn State: Touchdown, from 83 yards out to 0TouchdownTemple: End of half, from 75 yards out to 77End of halfQ3Temple: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 34Missed FGPenn State: Touchdown, from 66 yards out to 0TouchdownTemple: Punt, from 75 yards out to 66PuntPenn State: Field goal, from 83 yards out to 21Field goalTemple: Punt, from 75 yards out to 59PuntQ4Penn State: Touchdown, from 85 yards out to 0TouchdownTemple: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownPenn State: End of game, from 35 yards out to 26End of game
“Wow, Penn State gets inside the 5 yard line twice in the first 10 minutes and doesn’t score any points.”
A Temple fan

When fans got loud

Busy

It was the first quarter that had fans talking the most.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was steady.

FirstSecondThirdFourthPenn State fansTemple fansusual

Box score

Penn State 27, Temple 9

Temple covered +24.5 by 6.5. The total, 36, stayed under 49.5.

Penn StateTempleTotal yardsPenn State 416Temple 283416283Passing yardsPenn State 268Temple 107268107Rushing yardsPenn State 148Temple 176148176First downsPenn State 23Temple 142314TurnoversPenn State 0Temple 101Time of possessionPenn State 28:49Temple 31:1128:4931:11
Team totalsPenn StateTemple
Total yards416283
Passing21 of 27, 268 yds13 of 22, 107 yds
Rushing34 for 148 yds33 for 176 yds
First downs2314
Third down6 of 124 of 12
Fourth down0 of 12 of 2
Turnovers01
Penalties4 for 20 yds5 for 60 yds
Time of possession28:4931:11

Penn State leaders

  • Passing Rocco Becht 21 of 27, 268 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Carson Hansen 19 for 84 yds; James Peoples 7 for 42 yds
  • Receiving Benjamin Brahmer 5 for 79 yds, 2 TD; Koby Howard 3 for 68 yds

Temple leaders

  • Passing Jaxon Smolik 10 of 16, 59 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Keveun Mason 14 for 76 yds; Jaxon Smolik 7 for 71 yds
  • Receiving Jayce Freeman 1 for 39 yds; Peter Clarke 6 for 31 yds

No rain and calm

79° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 8 mph from the south-southeast, gusts to 16

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 66 other games played at Lincoln Financial Field since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window).

September game-day temperatures at Lincoln Financial Field

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Temple favoredPenn State favored0%Win chanceTempleRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Temple favoredPenn State favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:48 left12:03 p.m.
Penn State 0, Temple 0 · Temple 5% to win
no rain · wind 6 mph from the south-southeast · 79°
Becht 56-yd pass to Howard; face mask on Temple
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Philadelphia International airport, 3.7 miles away, and Philadelphia Ne airport, 15 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Penn State · 7-6

Rated 46th in our preseason ratings, 38th now.

Three straight wins, capped by a 12-point win over Clemson as a 2.5-point underdog.

W 22-10 @ ClemsonTop 25 #23 of 667

won by 12 as a 2.5-point underdog

Penn State won 22-10 vs Clemson. Chance to win started at 36%, low 35%, high 98%.

W 40-36 @ Rutgers #79 of 667

won by 4 as a 14.5-point favorite

Penn State won 40-36 at Rutgers. Chance to win started at 78%, low 35%, high 96%.

W 37-10 vs NebraskaTop 25 #62 of 667

won by 27 as a 7.5-point favorite

Penn State won 37-10 vs Nebraska. Chance to win started at 77%, low 69%, high better than 99%.

W 28-10 @ Michigan State #87 of 667

won by 18 as a 6.5-point favorite

Penn State won 28-10 at Michigan State. Chance to win started at 60%, low 39%, high 98%.

L 24-27 vs IndianaTop 25 #5 of 667

lost by 3 as a 13.5-point underdog

Penn State lost 24-27 vs Indiana. Chance to win started at 22%, low under 1%, high 90%.

L 14-38 @ Ohio StateTop 25 #1 of 667

lost by 24 as a 17.5-point underdog

Penn State lost 14-38 at Ohio State. Chance to win started at 12%, low under 1%, high 12%.

L 24-25 @ IowaTop 25 #37 of 667

lost by 1 as a 3.5-point underdog

Penn State lost 24-25 at Iowa. Chance to win started at 32%, low 10%, high 75%.

L 21-22 vs Northwestern #61 of 667

lost by 1 as a 20.5-point favorite

Penn State lost 21-22 vs Northwestern. Chance to win started at 94%, low 39%, high 96%.

L 37-42 @ UCLA #61 of 667

lost by 5 as a 24.5-point favorite

Penn State lost 37-42 at UCLA. Chance to win started at 92%, low under 1%, high 92%.

L 24-30 vs OregonTop 25 #2 of 667

lost by 6 as a 4.5-point favorite

Penn State lost 24-30 vs Oregon. Chance to win started at 69%, low under 1%, high 99%.

W 52-6 vs Villanova #145 of 667

won by 46 as a 47.5-point favorite

Penn State won 52-6 vs Villanova. Never in doubt.

W 34-0 vs Florida International #108 of 667

won by 34 as a 41.5-point favorite

Penn State won 34-0 vs Florida International. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

W 46-11 vs Nevada #139 of 667

won by 35 as a 43.5-point favorite

Penn State won 46-11 vs Nevada. Chance to win started at better than 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

Last three games · 2025 season

Temple · 5-7

Rated 90th in our preseason ratings, 89th now.

Three straight losses.

L 25-52 @ North TexasTop 25 #29 of 667

lost by 27 as a 20.5-point underdog

Temple lost 25-52 at North Texas. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 10%.

L 13-37 vs TulaneTop 25 #51 of 667

lost by 24 as a 7.5-point underdog

Temple lost 13-37 vs Tulane. Chance to win started at 38%, low under 1%, high 38%.

L 13-14 @ Army #112 of 667

lost by 1 as a 7.5-point underdog

Temple lost 13-14 at Army. Chance to win started at 17%, low 5%, high 42%.

L 14-45 vs East Carolina #49 of 667

lost by 31 as a 5.5-point underdog

Temple lost 14-45 vs East Carolina. Chance to win started at 43%, low under 1%, high 44%.

W 38-37 @ Tulsa #149 of 667

won by 1 as a 3.5-point favorite

Temple won 38-37 at Tulsa. Chance to win started at 46%, low 40%, high better than 99%.

W 49-14 @ Charlotte #221 of 667

won by 35 as a 9.5-point favorite

Temple won 49-14 at Charlotte. Chance to win started at 70%, low 61%, high better than 99%.

L 31-32 vs NavyTop 25 #86 of 667

lost by 1 as a 10.5-point underdog

Temple lost 31-32 vs Navy. Chance to win started at 30%, low under 1%, high 91%.

W 27-21 vs UTSA #68 of 667

won by 6 as a 6.5-point underdog

Temple won 27-21 vs UTSA. Chance to win started at 39%, low 9%, high 98%.

L 24-45 @ Georgia TechTop 25 #39 of 667

lost by 21 as a 24.5-point underdog

L 3-42 vs OklahomaTop 25 #13 of 667

lost by 39 as a 24.5-point underdog

Temple lost 3-42 vs Oklahoma. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 7%.

W 55-7 vs Howard #223 of 667

won by 48 as a 27.5-point favorite

Temple won 55-7 vs Howard. Chance to win started at 97%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

W 42-10 @ Massachusetts #156 of 667

won by 32 as a 2.5-point favorite

Temple won 42-10 at Massachusetts. Chance to win started at 50%, low 19%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

Temple

  • Wk 1Wvs Rhode Island38-14

Penn State

  • Wk 1Wvs Marshall45-0

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Penn State’s passing EPA against Temple, 58 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Penn State’s passing EPA against Temple’s defense

    58 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Penn State offense, 74th percentile · Temple defense, 16th

  2. Penn State’s EPA/play against Temple’s defense

    27 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Penn State offense, 41st percentile · Temple defense, 14th

  3. Penn State’s explosive plays against Temple’s defense

    32 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Penn State offense, 32nd percentile · Temple defense, 64th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Penn StateTemple
EPA/play, offense
Penn State · 41Temple · 65
EPA/play, defense
Penn State · 47Temple · 14
Success rate, offense
Penn State · 41Temple · 48
Success rate, defense
Penn State · 61Temple · 11
Explosive-play rate, offense
Penn State · 32Temple · 61
Explosive-play rate, defense
Penn State · 55Temple · 64
Rush EPA, offense
Penn State · 15Temple · 78
Rush EPA, defense
Penn State · 13Temple · 26
Pass EPA, offense
Penn State · 74Temple · 48
Pass EPA, defense
Penn State · 93Temple · 16

The series

Penn State leads the series 40-4-1

45 meetings since 1931 · Penn State won the last meeting

Temple wonPenn State won1931: Temple by 121932: Temple by 11940: Penn State by 181941: Temple by 141943: Penn State by 131944: Penn State by 11945: Penn State by 271946: Penn State by 261947: Penn State by 71948: Penn State by 471949: Penn State by 211950: tie1952: Penn State by 71975: Penn State by 11976: Penn State by 11977: Penn State by 371978: Penn State by 31979: Penn State by 151980: Penn State by 431981: Penn State by 301982: Penn State by 171983: Penn State by 51985: Penn State by 21986: Penn State by 301987: Penn State by 141988: Penn State by 361989: Penn State by 391990: Penn State by 381991: Penn State by 171992: Penn State by 411994: Penn State by 271995: Penn State by 521996: Penn State by 411997: Penn State by 422003: Penn State by 132006: Penn State by 472007: Penn State by 312008: Penn State by 422009: Penn State by 252010: Penn State by 92011: Penn State by 42012: Penn State by 112014: Penn State by 172015: Temple by 172016: Penn State by 719312016
  • 2016Penn State 34-27
  • 2015Temple 27-10
  • 2014Penn State 30-13
  • 2012Penn State 24-13
  • 2011Penn State 14-10

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Temple fans are in a better mood than Penn State fans (80th vs 17th among FBS fanbases), even with Penn State favored.

  • Model · 31%
  • Line · 2%
  • Temple fans · 80th
  • Penn State fans · 17th

Penn State favored by 24.5 · Total 49.5

How games like this usually go

Penn State by 24.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward Penn State.

opened +21.5now +24.5

The total fell 2 points.

opened 51.5now 49.5

Spread: +21.5 → +24.5 · Total: 51.5 → 49.5

The books’ cut: 3.7%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 82° at kickoff.

Penn State at Temple · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia

  • 82°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 81weather score, Mixed
  • Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's seven kickoff times. At Lincoln Financial Field that day, a 7 pm or 7:30 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 81 at noon.

The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.

  • noon: 81, Mixed (this game)
  • 1 pm: 79, Mixed
  • 2 pm: 79, Mixed
  • 3:30 pm: 83, Mixed
  • 6 pm: 97, Comfortable
  • 7 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 7:30 pm: 100, Ideal

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Temple is worth +3.0 points (±4.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 29th percentile.

41% at home, 24% on the road against FBS opponents (19-27 home, 11-34 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.1 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±6.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 155 miles to get here.

Where next