Penn State at Temple
Fan take
Penn State fans
Temple fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Penn State · 7-6
Picked #45 in the preseason · now #26 — better than expected.
Three straight wins, capped by a 12-point win over Clemson as a 2.5-point underdog.
W 22–10 @ ClemsonTop 25 #20 of 668
won by 12 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 40–36 @ Rutgers #82 of 668
won by 4 as a 14-point favorite
W 37–10 vs NebraskaTop 25 #64 of 668
won by 27 as a 7-point favorite
W 28–10 @ Michigan State #96 of 668
won by 18 as a 6.5-point favorite
L 24–27 vs IndianaTop 25 #4 of 668
lost by 3 as a 14-point underdog
L 14–38 @ Ohio StateTop 25 #1 of 668
lost by 24 as a 18-point underdog
L 24–25 @ IowaTop 25 #29 of 668
lost by 1 as a 3-point underdog
L 21–22 vs Northwestern #53 of 668
lost by 1 as a 20.5-point favorite
L 37–42 @ UCLA #77 of 668
lost by 5 as a 24.5-point favorite
L 24–30 vs OregonTop 25 #2 of 668
lost by 6 as a 4-point favorite
W 52–6 vs Villanova #128 of 668
won by 46 as a 47.5-point favorite
W 34–0 vs Florida International #100 of 668
won by 34 as a 41.5-point favorite
W 46–11 vs Nevada #81 of 668
won by 35 as a 43.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Temple · 5-7
Picked #89 in the preseason · now #93.
Three straight losses.
L 25–52 @ North TexasTop 25 #29 of 668
lost by 27 as a 20.5-point underdog
L 13–37 vs TulaneTop 25 #52 of 668
lost by 24 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 13–14 @ Army #84 of 668
lost by 1 as a 7-point underdog
L 14–45 vs East Carolina #44 of 668
lost by 31 as a 5-point underdog
W 38–37 @ Tulsa #133 of 668
won by 1 as a 5-point favorite
W 49–14 @ Charlotte #238 of 668
won by 35 as a 9.5-point favorite
L 31–32 vs NavyTop 25 #48 of 668
lost by 1 as a 10.5-point underdog
W 27–21 vs UTSA #44 of 668
won by 6 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 24–45 @ Georgia TechTop 25 #42 of 668
lost by 21 as a 24.5-point underdog
L 3–42 vs OklahomaTop 25 #12 of 668
lost by 39 as a 24.5-point underdog
W 55–7 vs Howard #201 of 668
won by 48 as a 27.5-point favorite
W 42–10 @ Massachusetts #142 of 668
won by 32 as a 1.5-point favorite
What’s at stake
Penn State
- Penn State is ranked #16, right on the edge of the Top 25.
- Penn State is coming off a 18-point win.
Temple
- Temple hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2019.
The series
Penn State leads the series 41-4-1
46 meetings since 1931 · Penn State has won the last 2
- 2026Penn State 27–9
- 2016Penn State 34–27
- 2015Temple 27–10
- 2014Penn State 30–13
- 2012Penn State 24–13
Best players
Penn State
- Koby Howard (WR) · 229 receiving yards
- Tony Rojas (LB) · 14 tackles
- Rocco Becht (QB) · 539 passing yards — Heisman odds: 20th (+5500)
Temple
- Curly Ordonez (LB) · 20 tackles
- Keveun Mason (RB) · 234 rushing yards
- Saboor Karriem (S) · 14 tackles
The line, and the room
Temple fans are feeling better about their season (43rd percentile) than Penn State fans are (14th) — even with Penn State favored here.
- Model · 31%
- Market · 2%
- Temple fans · 43rd
- Penn State fans · 14th
Home +24.5 · O/U 49.5
Conditions
80°F · 9 mph wind · Cloudy
Temple is worth +3.4 points (±4.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 36th percentile.
44% at home, 23% on the road against FBS opponents (19–24 home, 10–33 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.7 at home vs. away over 74 games — inside the ±7.2 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 155 miles to get here.
Penn State 27 – Temple 9
Called it — picked Penn State to win.
The thread's loudest minute was 16:24 — 16 comments, 5.3× its usual pace.
comments / minute
Comments per minute in the r/CFB game thread, 15:00–20:58 UTC (558 collected). The chart ends where the collected thread ends.
- BoxThe line
Curly Ordonez (Temple): 12 tackles · 1 TFL · 1 sack
Top 1% tackles game since 2021.
Win-probability model: CollegeFootballData.
Recent games
Temple
- Wk 1Wvs Rhode Island38-14
Penn State
- Wk 1Wvs Marshall45-0
Trajectory
Penn State beat Temple 27-9 — exactly what the pregame pick had.