Big Ten Rutgers

Head coach Greg Schiano · 7th season · 33-47 at Rutgers

Record2-61-4 Big Ten · T-15th
Bowl4 wins to goto bowl eligibility
Nextat WisconsinSat Nov 7 · 4:15 pm ET · BTN

The rest of the season

4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Nebraska 11%

Win out <1% · expect 1.0 of 4 more wins

Rutgers's chance to win each game left, from our model: Wisconsin 29%, Nebraska 11%, Penn State 13%, Michigan State 51%

Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%. Black tick: the betting line’s chance, shown where it differs from ours by 20 points or more.

Bowl chance went from 60% to 2%, peaking at 60% before a game

60%17%L12%L11%L4%L11%W6%L2%L

Our model, entering each game. The letter is the result of the game before it.

StandingTied for 15th in the Big Ten · 1-4 in conference play · All standings

LeadersPassing Dylan Lonergan 1,066 · Rushing Antwan Raymond 733 · Receiving KJ Duff 774 All player stats

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#96 CFB ZeitgeistPublic ratings: SP+ #95 (-4.9) · FPI #88
The marketWisconsin by 17.5Betting line at Wisconsin · our model 29% Rutgers

Updated Thu Nov 5 · through week 9

Follow Rutgers:athletics siteBig TenXYouTube

Schedule and results

Rutgers · 2026 schedule and results2-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 59% · 2 opponents played so far are in the AP top 25 now.Our rank entering each game: #68 to #100
WkDateOur rankOpp rankLineOpponentResultRecordConfTop performers
1Sep 3#68#258−29.5✗ −45.5MassachusettsL 21-37 126Rutgers lost 21-37 vs Massachusetts. Chance to win started at 98%, low under 1%, high 99%.0-10-0Pass Lonergan 242 · Rush Raymond 42 · Rec Duff 196
2Sep 11#75#131+3✗ −4@Boston CollegeL 21-28 129Rutgers lost 21-28 at Boston College. Chance to win started at 34%, low under 1%, high 44%.0-20-0Pass Surace 230 · Rush Raymond 134 · Rec Duff 137
3Sep 19#88#26+21✓ +14USCL 35-42 132Rutgers lost 35-42 vs USC. Chance to win started at 11%, low 1%, high 14%.0-30-1Pass Lonergan 252 · Rush Raymond 122 · Rec Duff 86
4Sep 25#89#227−42.5✓ +8.5HowardW 58-7 120Rutgers won 58-7 vs Howard. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.1-30-1Pass Lonergan 214 · Rush Raymond 140 · Rec Duff 131
5Oct 3#93#6+24.5✗ −7.5IndianaL 15-47 123Rutgers lost 15-47 vs Indiana. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 10%.1-40-2Pass Surace 128 · Rush Thevenin 47 · Rec Duff 78
6Bye week
7Oct 17#104#87+5.5✓ +12.5@MarylandW 37-30 138Rutgers won 37-30 at Maryland. Chance to win started at 28%, low 9%, high 97%.2-41-2Pass Lonergan 291 · Rush Thevenin 109 · Rec Duff 113
8Oct 24#91#16+15.5✗ −12.5@NorthwesternL 14-42 132Rutgers lost 14-42 at Northwestern. Chance to win started at 11%, low under 1%, high 11%.2-51-3Pass Surace 64 · Rush Raymond 150 · Rec Duff 33
9Oct 31#100#25+16.5✓ +9.5MichiganL 21-28 110Rutgers lost 21-28 vs Michigan. Chance to win started at 20%, low 4%, high 29%.2-61-4Pass Surace 123 · Rush Raymond 85 · Rec Houston 80
10Nov 7#106#45+17.5@Wisconsin4:15 pm ET · BTN29% to win
11Nov 14#107#25Nebraskatime TBA · BTN11% to win
12Nov 21@Penn Statetime TBA13% to win
13Nov 28Michigan Statetime TBA
How to read this table

Win chances are our model for Rutgers, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.

The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.

Line is the closing point spread for Rutgers: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.

Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Big plays (IsoPPP)Note
Oct 31MichiganL 21-28249020:54+0.13522.5%2.36Most explosive
Oct 24@NorthwesternL 14-42344326:45-0.18635.3%1.29Season-low EPA/play
Oct 17@MarylandW 37-30442135:52+0.34448.6%1.24One-score win
Oct 3IndianaL 15-47254026:58-0.03028.1%1.67Defense's roughest night
Sep 25HowardW 58-7534036:44+0.42858.9%1.10Season-high EPA/play
Sep 19USCL 35-42460233:15+0.18151.4%1.29One-score loss
Sep 11@Boston CollegeL 21-28384434:32-0.08441.2%1.39One-score loss
Sep 3MassachusettsL 21-37349423:39+0.20339.7%1.56
Season average (8 games)3771.8+0.12440.7%1.49

Rutgers's wildest games since 2013: comebacks, long shots, line misses

What’s ahead

The forecast
Season line2.5 winsover -105
Offense solidExplosive, big-playDefense poor

Season expectations

Win total1 bookOver/under 2.5▲1.5 since Jun 19
Big Ten title#17 in market+80,000

Sportsbook odds · Oct 19. A number with a minus is the favorite: −130 means $130 wins $100. A plus is the underdog: +170 means $100 wins $170.

Today’s games across college football

What fans said

What fans said

L 21-28 vs Michigan

Rutgers fans
r/CFB
“Tells you how bad our QB room is this season”
5d ago
r/CFB
“At one point in my life I used to like Saturdays.”
5d ago
Michigan fans on Rutgers
r/CFB
“Tommy Carr’s performance today is the only reason Kyle Whittingham is still the head coach. Barely beating a Rutgers team that got blown out by UMASS because…”
5d ago

L 14-42 at Northwestern

Rutgers fans
r/CFB
“Gg wildcats good luck with the rest of your season I’ll be pulling for yall”
1w ago
r/CFB
“wait a minute this isn't the football game”
1w ago
Northwestern fans on Rutgers
r/CFB
“It’s 42-14 in the 4th quarter against Rutgers”
1w ago

Real posts about each game (they name the opponent, a player or a play), chosen by community score · usernames not shown

The games that decide the season

The games that decide the season

Sat Nov 7Next: Wisconsinat Wisconsin · on the road

Recent form · last 10 games

Rutgers has won two of its last five.

2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last two.

Streak L2Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 2-8
You hate hearing the rumors, because that means somebody’s job is being evaluated
Kelly · On33 days after Rutgers's 2026 game against Northwestern

Range of outcomes · Rutgers · 2026

Rutgers’ most likely regular season is 3-9. 96% of outcomes land from 2-10 to 4-8.

Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above

2 wins 27%; 3 wins 46%; 4 wins 23%; 5 wins 4%
What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8No postseason.
Base5-8A bowl game.
Ceiling7-6A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.

More in this tab

This week and this season

Worth watchingGames average 60 combined points, shootouts

What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-6

Game feel60shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 18 in the Big Ten
Heart rate1-3some dramain one-score games (4 of 8)5th most one-score games of 18 in the Big Ten
Margin-4.9outgunnedavg scoring margin17th best margin of 18 in the Big Ten
Tempo63average paceoffensive plays / game11th fastest of 18 in the Big Ten
Big plays1.49highlight reelexplosiveness (IsoPPP)1st most explosive of 18 in the Big Ten
Home crowd41,631avg attendance15th biggest crowds of 18 in the Big Ten

Measured from 8 games · ranks are among Big Ten teams the same season

Team storyThe story of this team right now, in one line.
The weekly grind

Rutgers held the first college football game in history — November 6, 1869, against Princeton — and ever since has been the program that gave the sport to the world and then watched the world get better at it.

Standard GapThe school that invented the game, against a present where 'almost…

Rutgers fans are weary of being the Big Ten's welcome mat — the school the blue bloods schedule for a comfortable Saturday. They'll remind you who held the first game ever, and that the founder…

Read the full program story ↓
Game-day weatherKickoff-time weather at home, and the forecast in game week.

Rutgers · Game-day weather

Typical at SHI Stadium: kickoff time makes little difference, scores run 89 to 92

  • noon: 92, Comfortable
  • 3:30 pm: 90, Comfortable
  • 7:30 pm: 89, Mixed

Typical weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read it.

At kickoff, regular-season Saturdays, 2018 to 2025: 113 at noon, 114 at 3:30 pm, 114 at 7:30 pm. Typical means the average of those Saturdays. It is not a forecast.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Rutgers is the program that played the first-ever college football game, November 6, 1869 vs Princeton, and whose Greg Schiano-second-era Big Ten reset answers what historic-program-resurrected looks like.

Offense: SolidStyle: Explosive, big-playDefense: Poor
Open questionsOpen: How will Isaiah Alvarez impact Rutgers' recruiting class of 2027?

Active arcs

Cooling
Rutgers football lands Don Bosco WR Isaiah Alvarez
How will Isaiah Alvarez impact Rutgers' recruiting class of 2027?
Read the Rutgers story →

Roster and recruiting

Roster44% of production back, talent #48

Roster reload: Rutgers

2026 snapshot, Nov 5
Returning Production44%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#48 nationally247 composite 709.0
Portal Additions16Primary repair: DL
Portal Losses15Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss1NFL Draft departures (1), 1 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#36Development class
CBin 4 - Bradlee Jones3.60out 3 - Bo Mascoe4.12Upgrade
current room: 194 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 3 - Sekou Kromah3.60out 1 - Darold Dengohe3.50Need Filled
current room: 273 lbs avg (2025 roster)
3-Tech Penetratordisrupts the pocket from the interior
Junior-college recruit
LBin 2 - Ty Morris3.50out 2 - Talibi Kaba4.28Even
current room: 229 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 2 - Malachi Davis3.60out 2 - Jordan Walker3.70Even
3-Tech Penetratordisrupts the pocket from the interior
Transferred in
OTin 1 - Everett Small3.50out 2 - Taj White3.70Downgrade
RBin 1 - Clay Thevenin3.50out 2 - Samuel Brown V3.40Even
current room: 203 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Balanced Backdoes a little of everything without one standout trait
Junior-college recruit
Next man up
QB · departedAthan Kaliakmanis4★ · Rd 7, Pk 7
NowAJ Surace4★ · SO
Projected starter
Full roster (139 players)
UNKMikey Munn, Sean Allison
DBBradlee Jones, Brandon Murray, Cannon Marshall, Chris Joines, DK Gilley, Davoun Fuse, Devonte Anderson, Isaiah Crumpler, Jamareis Conyers, Jessie Ofurie, Kaj Sanders, Kevin Levy, Kevyn Humes, Latrell Noel, Messiah Tilson, Michael Clayton, Noah Shaw, RJ Wortman, Sage Clawges, Sebastian Cruz, Sebastian Jusma, Shawn Purcell, Steven Murray, Tariq Hayer, Tyler Childress, Zahmir Dawud, Zilan Williams
DLAnthony Morales, Braxton Kyle, Canaan Edwards, DJ Allen, Douglas Blue-Eli, Elijah King, Farell Gnago, Henry Hughes Jr., J'Dan Burnett, Jaedin Lee, Jermaine Polk, Jyon Simon, Keshon Griffin, Malachi Davis, Monte Keener, RJ Johnson Jr., Raedyn Bruens, Reece Beck, Rinaldo Callaway III, Rondarius Porter, Wydeek Collier, Zaire Angoy
DTSekou Kromah
LBAbram Wright, Alex Szczesniak, DJ McClary, Evan Ward, Isaiah Deloatch, Joe Nwachukwu, Joey Kopec, John Insinga, Kamar Archie, Liam Gilmore, MJ Johnson, Moses Walker, Tanner Raymond, Ty Anthony Morris
LSMatthew Murri, Michael O'Connor, Sammy El Hadidi, Talan Shields
OLCameron Greene, Chris Vigna, Dantae Chin, Donovan Johnson, Emir Stinette, Everett Small, Hank Zilinskas, Ian Asaeli Ngaue-Stephenson, Isaiah Cook, James Cocozzo, Jared Smith, Jayden Elijah, Joseph Lakatos, Joshua Blackston, Justin Cesaire, Kenny Jones, Kwabena Asamoah, Logan Anthony, Miron Gurman, Moshood Giwa, Nick Oliveira, Raymond Giacobbe, Raynor Andrews, Ryder Langsdale, Terrence Salami, Tyler Duell, Tyler Needham
PJakob Anderson
PKDane Pizzaro, Jack Scullion, Jai Patel, Riley McCann
QBAJ Surace, Dylan Lonergan, Rocco Rainone, Sean Ashenfelder, Xavier Stearn
RBAiden Gibson, Antwan Raymond, Clay Thevenin, Edd Guerrier, Ja'shon Benjamin, Michael Dukes III, Terrell Mitchell, Xavier Williams
SRobbie Engelberg
TEBen Rothhaar, Brady Owens, DJ Howerton, Jackson Gister, Kameron Anthony, Logan Blake, Mike Higgins, Ryan Bayoumy
WRBen Black, Dino Kaliakmanis, Dylan Braithwaite, Dyzier Carter, Elias Coke, Famah Toure, Jourdin Houston, Justice Hurt, KJ Duff, Michael Thomas III, Quentin Redding, Sah'nye Degraffenreidt, Salomon Ealey, Trent Osborn, Vernon Allen III
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2027 class
★★★☆☆
Arnold Mugerwa
WR · Johnstown, PA
#469 national
★★★☆☆
Jamar Taylor
WR · Wilmington, DE
#506 national
★★★☆☆
Josiah Sturdivant
EDGE · Wake Forest, NC
#705 national
Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] UMass Defeats Rutgers 37-21
14 upvotes · Sep 2026

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

Fans and ratings

Mood vs. historyFan mood is higher than 35% of FBS programs
→

Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now

35th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. the lineWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market↑
35th
Fan mood
(percentile among FBS)
2.5
Sportsbook win total
(0th among FBS)
Fans 35pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 1 book
Rivals

Rival pulse

Maryland
Mixed
+2
Maryland-Rutgers

Fan mood index · most recent r/CFB data

More

FollowThe team's own sites, its reporters and its podcasts.

Follow Rutgers

Each link was checked against two outside sites.

From the booth

A recent episode that covers this team
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site