Rutgers

0-3

Big Ten · Greg Schiano, year 7 (31-44) · SHI Stadium · 52,454 · 42,749 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#89 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #77 (-2.4) · FPI #90
The marketno line yetvs Howard · our model 87% Rutgers · a number, not a pick

LastL 35–42 vs USC · Sat Sep 19 · Antwan Raymond 122 rush yds, 1 TD, 39 rec yds

Nextvs Howard · Fri Sep 25 · 7 pm ET · SHI Stadium · series 6-0, won the last 6 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Rutgers · 2026 schedule & results0-3
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 3#68#258-29.5MassachusettsL 21–37 1260-10-0
2Sep 11#75#132+3@Boston CollegeL 21–28 1290-20-0
3Sep 19#88#27+21USCL 35–42 1320-30-1
4Sep 25#89#229Howard
5Oct 4#92#6Indiana
7Oct 17@Maryland
8Oct 24@Northwestern
9Oct 31Michigan
10Nov 7@Wisconsin
11Nov 14Nebraska
12Nov 21@Penn State
13Nov 28Michigan State
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 19USCL 35–42460233:15+0.18151.4%128.9%Best success rate
Sep 11@Boston CollegeL 21–28384434:32-0.08441.2%138.8%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 3MassachusettsL 21–37349423:39+0.20339.7%156.1%Season-high EPA/play
Season average (3 games)3983.3+0.10044.1%141.3%
Verdict Begins·Live

Rutgers held the first college football game in history — November 6, 1869, against Princeton — and ever since has been the program that gave the sport to the world and then watched the world get better at it.

Standard GapThe school that invented the game, against a present where 'almost…

Rutgers fans are weary of being the Big Ten's welcome mat — the school the blue bloods schedule for a comfortable Saturday. They'll remind you who held the first game ever, and that the founder…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Oct 3AP #5 Indianavs Indiana · at home
Sat Oct 17Maryland-Rutgersat Maryland · on the road
Sat Oct 31AP #18 Michiganvs Michigan · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 5-7 · last season

Game feel60shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 18 in the Big Ten
Heart rate2-2some dramain one-score games (4 of 12)7th most one-score games of 18 in the Big Ten
Margin-3.2competitiveavg scoring margin14th best margin of 18 in the Big Ten
Tempo70uptempooffensive plays / game1st fastest of 18 in the Big Ten
Big plays1.20some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)9th most explosive of 18 in the Big Ten
Home crowd48,459avg attendance14th biggest crowds of 18 in the Big Ten

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Big Ten teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Rutgers has lost five straight.

Hibernating. 2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last five.

Streak L5Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 2-8
I've been a proponent of less playoff games, but these games are going to go away. So then that would be the reason to keep the 24 teams in the playoff
Stoops · FOX Sportsthe day of Rutgers's 2026 game against Boston College
The forecast

Next Sep 25

vs Howard · at home

Season line2.5 winsover +160
SoftExplosive, big-playPoor

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total2 booksO/U 2.5▲1.5 since Jun 2026
CFP championship#74 in field+100000
Big Ten title#17 in market+30000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

Rutgers · the story right now 9 storylines developing

What Rutgers's identity shift is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

identitythis cycle~readnew

Greg Schiano begins his 7th season at Rutgers, where a 5-7 losing record and historic program legacy create tension over whether the Big Ten reset can sustain its identity.

what happenedRutgers: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readfront page

garbage time2025 cycle✓ factnew

Antwan Raymond does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps -- the production isn't just garbage-time padding.

our readdeveloping

underdog2025 cycle✓ factnew

Ian Strong produces at a notably LOWER rate when his team is an underdog than when favored -- he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle✓ factnew

KJ Duff is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.

our readdeveloping

short yardage2025 cycle~attributednew

Antwan Raymond: a short yardage signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

DT Sheffield: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

KJ Duff: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

program_outlook2025 cycle~readnew

Rutgers collapsed 30 spots in SP+ — the steepest drop in the Big Ten this cycle, and Schiano's job is to prove it's not structural with just 5-7 production returning.

what happenedRutgers enters 2025 rated No. 72 in SP+ (+1.0), down 30 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

coordinatorsthis cycle✓ factnew

Rutgers: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

ReplacedRutgers's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →

Outcome band · Rutgers · 2026

Rutgers' most likely season is 8-5 — a bowl game. The floor is 5-7; the ceiling is 10-3.

Floor5-7No postseason.
Base8-5A bowl game.
Ceiling10-3A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Rutgers · Developing Confidence

Rutgers: the fanbase's identity shifting.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers8 bull takes
💬 fans: 16% volume
The saga so far~3 months old
2 weeks agoRutgers reveals Schiano buyout details — Reported
2 weeks agoUCLA fires athletic director — Reported
2 weeks agoKJ Duff: 9 rec · 196 yds · 3 TD vs Massachusetts
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 13d after "Wydeek Collier-Johnson dismissed from Rutgers"
3 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 12d after "Wydeek Collier-Johnson dismissed from Rutgers"
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Greg Schiano begins his 7th season at Rutgers, where a 5-7 losing record and historic program legacy create tension over whether the Big Ten reset can sustain its identity.
Source of record: Rutgers: the fanbase's identity shifting.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers8 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“PFF grades, snap counts from USC football’s Rutgers win”
On3 CFB · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
“Six USC Trojans Rising and Falling After Week 3 Win Over Rutgers”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
“Dane Pizzaro's change in mentality led to him winning the kicking job at Rutgers football”
247Sports · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards16% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.

This event was in 557 of 3524 board posts (16%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Hey guys so I recently applied for the spring 2027 semester at Rutgers, my question is that when should I expect a decision to be made on the application portal? Like October? Or N"
r/rutgers ~ fan take
"I’ve applied to like 12 different on campus dining jobs, 3 OIT jobs and 2 recreation, I haven’t heard anything from anyone, I just wanna get a simple on campus job, is there anythi"
r/rutgers ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Belief EKG
2019 seasonW 38-27 vs Michigan State (Wk 8)L 21-37 vs Indiana (Wk 9)L 27-49 vs Ohio State (Wk 10)L 20-23 vs Illinois (Wk 11)L 42-48 vs Michigan (Wk 12)W 37-30 vs Purdue (Wk 13)L 7-23 vs Penn State (Wk 14)W 27-24 vs Maryland (Wk 15)L 21-28 vs Nebraska (Wk 16)HIGHLOW
2020 seasonW 48-21 vs Massachusetts (Wk 1)L 0-30 vs Iowa (Wk 2)L 16-30 vs Boston College (Wk 4)L 0-52 vs Michigan (Wk 5)L 7-48 vs Maryland (Wk 6)L 0-35 vs Indiana (Wk 7)L 7-42 vs Minnesota (Wk 8)W 44-34 vs Liberty (Wk 9)L 10-38 vs Illinois (Wk 10)L 21-56 vs Ohio State (Wk 12)L 0-27 vs Michigan State (Wk 13)L 6-27 vs Penn State (Wk 14)HIGHLOW
2020 offseason2019 offseasonWire: 5 → 3.5 → 5 in one offseason — the market's bouncing on Schiano because nobody agrees whether a…Wk 41Wk 4447th12th
2020 season · 3W-6L2019 season · 2W-10L2025 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasonsWire event

Rival pulse

Maryland
Uneasy
-19
Maryland-Rutgers

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Rutgers is the program that played the first-ever college football game — November 6, 1869 vs Princeton — and whose Greg Schiano-second-era Big Ten reset answers what historic-program-resurrected looks like.

Offense: SoftTempo: Explosive, big-playDefense: Poor
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Rutgers

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production44%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#48 nationally247 composite 709.0
Portal Additions16Primary repair: DL
Portal Losses15Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss1NFL Draft departures (1) — 1 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#36Development class
CBin 4 - Bradlee Jones3.60out 3 - Bo Mascoe4.12Upgrade
current room: 194 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 3 - Sekou Kromah3.60out 1 - Darold Dengohe3.50Need Filled
current room: 273 lbs avg (2025 roster)
3-Tech Penetrator2025 profiledisrupts the pocket from the interior
Junior-college recruit
LBin 2 - Ty Morris3.50out 2 - Talibi Kaba4.28Even
current room: 229 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 2 - Malachi Davis3.60out 2 - Jordan Walker3.70Even
Versatile End2025 profileholds up snap after snap without a weakness to attack
Homegrown
OTin 1 - Everett Small3.50out 2 - Taj White3.70Downgrade
RBin 1 - Clay Thevenin3.50out 2 - Samuel Brown V3.40Even
current room: 203 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Satellite Back2025 profilewins in space out of the backfield
Junior-college recruit
Next man up
QB · departedAthan Kaliakmanis4★ · Rd 7, Pk 7
nowAJ Surace4★ · SO
Projected starter
Full roster (139 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Rutgers

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    KJ Duff: 9 rec · 196 yds · 3 TD vs Massachusetts

    Top 1% receiving yards game since 2021. vs Massachusetts (FBS) L 21-37.

    Sep 3
  2. Recruiting

    Aiden Gibson flips to Rutgers

    Penn State's recruiting problem just got a name attached to it — a four-star flip to Rutgers, in the Big Ten, hits different when Schiano's class is already sitting at #33 and the WR room needed this kind of upside.

  3. News

    Rutgers reveals Schiano buyout details

    Schiano's buyout number is public now — in the Big Ten, that's not a footnote, it's the floor of how serious Rutgers is about keeping him through the rebuild.

  4. News

    UCLA fires athletic director

    UCLA blowing up their athletic department mid-cycle is a gift to every program hunting their transfer portal targets — Schiano's staff should be making calls tonight.

  5. News

    Wydeek Collier-Johnson dismissed from Rutgers

    Former four-star EDGE gone before he ever counted — Schiano's already thin pass-rush depth takes another hit in a room that can't afford roster attrition right now.

    Aug 18Official
  6. News

    Messiah Tilson rises on depth chart

    Pressure at receiver was already real before KJ Duff took center stage at Big Ten Media Days — Tilson climbing the depth chart is Schiano's internal answer to a room that can't afford another wasted development cycle.

    Jul 28Reported
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+3.0 net portal points
(raw ledger: +0.4 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
DL
+6.9
need filled
WR
-6.2
starter risk
QB
+3.6
low confidence
TE
+3.6
low confidence
OT
-3.5
RB
-3.3
CB
+2.9
IOL
-2.5
LB
-0.9
EDGE
-0.1
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Aiden Gibson
RB · Woodruff, SC
#313 national
Projects: Workhorse — 11 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Workhorse archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Dyzier Carter
WR · Mineral, VA
#316 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 17 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Rinaldo Callaway III
EDGE · Macon, GA
#379 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

26
PA · 5FL · 4VA · 3GA · 2NC · 2NJ · 2OH · 2AZ · 1+5 more

PA leads the 2026 class with 5 commits. National footprint reaching 13 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

102 signees across 20 states, 2023-2026. NJ leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWI2MI4NY9MA1ORNVWYSDIAIL1INOH5PA8NJ22CT1CAUTCONEMOKYWV1VA3MD3DE1RIAZ1NMKSARTNNC8SC1DC1OKLAMSALGA6AKHITXFL22
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 10.3% of every high-school FBS signee NJ produced over those cycles — the biggest share any program takes — Syracuse is next. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Rutgers player grew up 199 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

21st-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%40–702 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi43%53 of 124 players
Farthest2,104 miIan Asaeli Ngaue-Stephenson · Mesa, AZ
Closest1 miZahmir Dawud · North Brunswick, NJ

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to SHI Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 124 of 139 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns NJ · 2026 roster

32% of the Rutgers roster grew up in NJ.

42 of 133 players, drawn from 21 states in all. That is the 66th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

Signing day undersells it: only 22% of the last 4 classes were from NJ, but walk-ons and transfers pull the roster 10 points back toward home.

NJ · 42FL · 16NC · 9PA · 9NY · 8GA · 6MD · 6IL · 5+13 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

133 players across 21 states. Biggest pull outside NJ: FL (16).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWI1MI4NY8MA1ORNVWYSDIAIL5IN2OH5PA9NJ42CT2CAUTCO2NEMOKYWV2VA5MD6DE1RIAZ1NMKSARTNNC9SC3DCOKLAMSALGA6AKHITX3FL16
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 6 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] UMass Defeats Rutgers 37-21
14 upvotes · Sep 2026

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 57% never transferred. B
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence lower than any point since 2025

18th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
18th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
2.5
Vegas O/U wins
(1st among FBS)
Fans 17pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 2 books
PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

The flags have favored them: 20 penalties drawn on opponents vs. 17 committed, 43 yards to the good.

113 penalty yards committed vs. 156 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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