CFB Zeitgeist Score
62
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 88th percentile.
Athan Kaliakmanis
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
3,124 PASS YDS · 20 PASS TD · -26 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Washington2026 NFL rookie season
#223Rd 7 · Pick 7
Washington2026 NFL rookie season
QB · RUTGERS · BIG TEN
Athan Kaliakmanis
- 4
- #16
- 6-3 | 212 lb
- Antioch, IL
Heisman Heat
#39
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+230%
Up 230% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 · #223
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4-star | 0.8964 | No. 349 recruit | HighSchool | Minnesota |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Minnesota -> Rutgers | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3124 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (3124).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Minnesota
Composite
0.8964
#349 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 7, Pick 7
#223 overall · Washington
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Athan Kaliakmanis
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Athan Kaliakmanis
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
WEPA per dropback
+0.370
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks
National rank #25 of 58
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks 58th
Why it matters
#25 of 58 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by weighted EPA per dropback (min 250 dropbacks) — +0.370 EPA/play.
Vs cohort
This player +0.370 (58th)
HIGH · n=388 cohort 58
- Also strong
- Total weighted-EPA passing#20 / 58
- Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)#29 / 57
- Yards per attempt#12 / 72
Signature Moment
Week 2 vs Miami (OH) — 18 ypc
Result W 45-17
The week the volume broke through — put up 18 yds vs Miami (OH).
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 12g
3,124Pass yards
20Pass TDs
7INT
Per game
260.3Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
3,384Pass yards
22Pass TDs
8INT
✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,124.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 3,124): needs 876/game over remaining 1.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 20): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 20): needs 10/game over remaining 1.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 20): needs 15/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Athan Kaliakmanis's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Rutgers, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
229 88th
ATT
368 89th
CMP%
62.2% 54th
Y/A
8.5 83rd
Passing Production
YDS
3,124 93rd
TD
20 90th
INT
7 23rd
Rushing
CAR
96 86th
YDS
-26 6th
YPC
-0.3 16th
TD
4 82nd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-31vs Ohio | 18/23 | 252 | 2 | 0 | 11.0 | 72.0 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 2 | W 45-17vs Miami (OH) | 26/36 | 259 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 | 86.3 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | W 60-10vs Norfolk State | 18/26 | 309 | 1 | 0 | 11.9 | 37.2 | |
| Wk 4 | L 28-38vs Iowa | 24/40 | 330 | 0 | 1 | 8.3 | 77.2 | |
| Wk 5 | L 28-31@ Minnesota | 21/34 | 249 | 2 | 1 | 7.3 | 51.1 | |
| Wk 7 | L 19-38@ Washington | 31/50 | 386 | 2 | 1 | 7.7 | 59.2 | Season-high 386 yds |
| Wk 8 | L 10-56vs Oregon | 8/25 | 79 | 0 | 2 | 3.2 | 11.0 | |
| Wk 9 | W 27-24@ Purdue | 19/27 | 359 | 1 | 0 | 13.3 | 64.9 | |
| Wk 10 | L 13-35@ Illinois | 25/45 | 253 | 1 | 0 | 5.6 | 60.3 | |
| Wk 11 | W 35-20vs Maryland | 13/20 | 229 | 4 | 2 | 11.5 | 97.8 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | L 9-42@ Ohio State | 10/20 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 4.1 | 27.4 | |
| Wk 14 | L 36-40vs Penn State | 16/22 | 338 | 3 | 0 | 15.4 | 74.3 | 3 TD passes |
| Total | 229/368 | 3124 | 20 | 7 | 8.9 | 59.9 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Minnesota9-4HC: P.J. Fleck · Run-heavy
2023Minnesota6-7HC: P.J. Fleck · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Rutgers7-6HC: Greg Schiano · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2025Rutgers5-7HC: Greg Schiano · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,124 | #29/382 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 20 | #42/407 | 90th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 229 | #48/383 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 62.2% | #177/383 | 54th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.5 | #67/382 | 83rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -26 | #385/408 | 6th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.37 | #34/200 | 84th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 388 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 54.0% | #50/428 | 89th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 368 | #44/407 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 7 | #316/407 | 23rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 96 | #58/408 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 15 | #218/391 | 45th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #74/408 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -0.3 | #344/407 | 16th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 95.2% | #23/428 | 95th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 73.5% | #22/428 | 95th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 64.0% | #78/428 | 82nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 56.8% | #33/428 | 93rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 47.2% | #50/428 | 89th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 45.8% | #60/428 | 86th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 13.7% | #116/428 | 73rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.11 | #127/140 | 10th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 58 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 257 | 2.0 | 9.8 | 0.7 |
| Road5g | 266 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 282 | 2.4 | 11.0 | 0.4 |
| Losses7g | 245 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 298 | 1.8 | 8.9 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 223 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 0.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
62Solid starter
Elite: yards / att (88th). Strength: pass yards (84th). Concern: rush yards (11th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds44%of completions
66 comp5.8 yds avg2 TD
Middle
10–19 yds42%of completions
62 comp13.3 yds avg3 TD
Deep
20+ yds14%of completions
21 comp32.8 yds avg4 TD
Overall 61.3% completion on 243 attempts · 21 deep completions averaging 32.8 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.37Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.11Below (<p25) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Athan KaliakmanisRutgersMiller MossLouisville· 81% simJacob ClarkMissouri State· 81% simCade KlubnikClemson· 80% sim
Yards / att
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Rush TDs
Completion %
Interceptions
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Air Raid Cannon
Elite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Carter Bradley’s 2023 season.
Carter Bradley
67%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
Jack Coan
67%
#3
Ben Bryant
66%
#4
Behren Morton
NFL Rd 7
66%
#5
Tyler Johnston III
61%
Matches Carter on
EPA / dropback (adj)
Class year
Differs from Carter on
Completion % (lower)
Rush usage (higher)
Yards / attempt (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Michael Collins’s path through Rice.
Michael Collins
88%match
#2
Nick Starkel
All-Mountain West
86%
#3
Zach Smith
82%
#4
Chase Brice
All-Sun Belt
81%
#5
Tim DeMorat
81%
Matches Michael on
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Ben Wooldridge's senior season at Louisiana (2024).
Ben Wooldridge
65%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
Grayson McCall
All-Sun Belt
65%
#3
Carter Bradley
All-Sun Belt
64%
#4
Ethan Garbers
All-Big Ten
59%
#5
Gunnar Watson
All-Sun Belt
55%
Matches Ben on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Weight
Completion %
Differs from Ben on
Rush yards / carry (lower)
Yards / attempt (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Greg Schiano
Pass share
45.1%
378 pass / 460 run
Plays / game
69.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.1%
359 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Greg Schiano
Rutgers
2023
Greg Schiano
Rutgers
2024
Greg Schiano
Rutgers
2025
Greg Schiano
Rutgers
Played his entire career under Greg Schiano.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAntioch, IL
Height6'3"
Weight212 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey16
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamRutgers
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Rutgers | QB4 | #39 | #35 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Minnesota | QB4 | #320 | #495 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Minnesota | QB4 | #257 | #263 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2021 | Minnesota | QB4 | #1342 | #1134 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Rutgers | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 16 | 6-3 | 212 lb | Antioch, IL |
| 2024 | Rutgers | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 16 | 6-3 | 212 lb | Antioch, IL |
| 2023 | Minnesota | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 16 | 6-3 | 212 lb | Antioch, IL |
| 2022 | Minnesota | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 16 | 6-3 | 212 lb | Antioch, IL |
| 2021 | Minnesota | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 16 | 6-3 | 212 lb | Antioch, IL |