Rutgers at Boston College

Away
Rutgers
0-1 L4 · Cold
Home
Boston College
0-1 W1 · Cooling
Fri, Sep 11 · 11:30 PM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

Fan take

How they got here

Last three games · 2025 season

Rutgers · 5-7

Picked #51 in the preseason · now #78 — worse than expected.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 36–40 vs Penn StateTop 25 #12 of 668

lost by 4 as a 14-point underdog

L 9–42 @ Ohio StateTop 25 #1 of 668

lost by 33 as a 28.5-point underdog

W 35–20 vs Maryland #97 of 668

won by 15 as a 1.5-point favorite

L 13–35 @ IllinoisTop 25 #41 of 668

lost by 22 as a 13-point underdog

W 27–24 @ Purdue #123 of 668

won by 3 as a 2.5-point underdog

L 10–56 vs OregonTop 25 #2 of 668

lost by 46 as a 18.5-point underdog

L 19–38 @ WashingtonTop 25 #25 of 668

lost by 19 as a 9.5-point underdog

L 28–31 @ Minnesota #35 of 668

lost by 3 as a 4-point underdog

L 28–38 vs IowaTop 25 #29 of 668

lost by 10 as a 2-point underdog

W 60–10 vs Norfolk State #244 of 668

won by 50 as a 45.5-point favorite

W 45–17 vs Miami (OH) #37 of 668

won by 28 as a 15.5-point favorite

W 34–31 vs Ohio #57 of 668

won by 3 as a 15.5-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

Boston College · 2-10

Picked #97 in the preseason · now #101 — about right.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 34–12 @ Syracuse #185 of 668

won by 22 as a 3-point favorite

L 34–36 vs Georgia TechTop 25 #43 of 668

lost by 2 as a 16.5-point underdog

L 13–45 vs SMUTop 25 #11 of 668

lost by 32 as a 10.5-point underdog

L 10–25 vs Notre DameTop 25 #3 of 668

lost by 15 as a 31-point underdog

L 24–38 @ LouisvilleTop 25 #31 of 668

lost by 14 as a 25.5-point underdog

L 23–38 vs UConn #62 of 668

lost by 15 as a 2.5-point underdog

L 10–41 vs ClemsonTop 25 #11 of 668

lost by 31 as a 13.5-point underdog

L 7–48 @ PittsburghTop 25 #43 of 668

lost by 41 as a 6.5-point underdog

L 24–28 vs California #61 of 668

lost by 4 as a 6.5-point favorite

L 20–30 @ Stanford #79 of 668

lost by 10 as a 13.5-point favorite

L 40–42 @ Michigan State #81 of 668

lost by 2 as a 3.5-point underdog

W 66–10 vs Fordham #183 of 668

won by 56 as a 34.5-point favorite

What’s at stake

Rutgers

  • Greg Schiano is behind Nunzio Campanile’s year-7 pace (0-2 vs. 2-0) — a win tonight widens the gap, a loss narrows it.

Boston College

  • Bill O'Brien is ahead of Jeff Hafley’s year-3 pace (1-1 vs. 0-2) — a win tonight widens the gap, a loss narrows it.

The series

Boston College leads the series 21-7-1

29 meetings since 1919 · Boston College won the last meeting

  • 2026Boston College 28–21
  • 2022Rutgers 22–21
  • 2019Boston College 30–16
  • 2004Boston College 21–10
  • 2003Boston College 35–25

Best players

Rutgers

Boston College

The line, and the room

Boston College fans are feeling better about their season (61st percentile) than Rutgers fans are (22nd) — even with Rutgers favored here.

  • Model · 48%
  • Market · 60%
  • Boston College fans · 61st
  • Rutgers fans · 22nd

Home −3 · O/U 53.5

Conditions

72°F · 6 mph wind · Fair

Boston College is worth +1.6 points (±3.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 10th percentile.

46% at home, 36% on the road against FBS opponents (21–25 home, 16–28 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.9 at home vs. away over 73 games — inside the ±7.2 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 212 miles to get here.

Rutgers 21 – Boston College 28

Boston College 28: 57%Rutgers 21: 43%

Missed — picked Rutgers, Boston College won.

The thread's loudest minute was 23:3726 comments, 6.5× its usual pace.

260100%50%0%22:3000:2502:20

comments / minutehome win probability

Comments per minute in the r/CFB game thread, 22:30–02:20 UTC (788 collected). The chart ends where the collected thread ends.

  • Q3The turn

    23 points to Rutgers — 15% to 37%.

    #10 A.Surace pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at BC 02, for 4 yards to the BC 00 TOUCHDOWN
  • BoxThe line

    Anthony Palano (Boston College): 2 INT

    Top 1% interceptions game since 2021.

Win-probability model: CollegeFootballData.

Recent games

Boston College

  • Wk 1Lat Cincinnati15-34

Rutgers

  • Wk 1Lvs Massachusetts21-37

Trajectory

4.460.02-4.42Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2RutgersBoston College

Boston College beat Rutgers 28-21 — the pregame pick had Rutgers instead.