Ohio

1-2

Mid-American · John Hauser, year 2 (2-2) · Peden Stadium · 24,000 · 21,037 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#60 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #114 (-12.7) · FPI #112
The marketno line yetvs Stonehill · our model 95% Ohio · a number, not a pick

LastL 36–41 at South Alabama · Sat Sep 19 · Riley Neer 61 rec yds, 2 TD

Nextvs Stonehill · Sat Sep 26 · 3:30 pm ET · Peden Stadium · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 22 · through week 3

Ohio · 2026 schedule & results1-2
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#50#40+24@NebraskaL 21–49 1390-10-0
2Sep 12#48#69-1.5Jacksonville StateW 29–27 1381-10-0
3Sep 19#54#64+7@South AlabamaL 36–41 1291-20-0
4Sep 26#56#234Stonehill
5Oct 3#60#121@Kent State
6Oct 10Central Michigan
7Oct 17@Sacramento State
8Oct 24Eastern Michigan
10Nov 4@Akron
11Nov 11@Miami (OH)
12Nov 18Ball State
13Nov 27Toledo
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 19@South AlabamaL 36–41387227:30+0.38550.0%142.6%Season-high EPA/play
Sep 12Jacksonville StateW 29–27262031:35+0.10340.9%93.9%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 5@NebraskaL 21–49303129:21+0.12835.3%132.9%Defense's roughest night
Season average (3 games)3171.0+0.20542.1%123.1%
Verdict Begins·Live

Ohio just won its seventh straight bowl game — the second-longest active streak in the country — under its third head coach in three years, a quietly relentless program that loses its coaches to bigger jobs and keeps winning anyway.

Title DroughtSince 2024 · 2 yrs

Athens doesn't carry a grudge so much as a quiet pride: the Bobcats keep getting their coaches stolen by bigger programs, and they keep reloading and winning bowls. The fanbase has stopped…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 9-4 · last season

Game feel50shootoutscombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 13 in the Mid-American
Heart rate5-3white-knucklein one-score games (8 of 13)1st most one-score games of 13 in the Mid-American
Margin+5.8comfortableavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 13 in the Mid-American
Tempo67uptempooffensive plays / game3rd fastest of 13 in the Mid-American
Big plays1.22some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)6th most explosive of 13 in the Mid-American
Home crowd21,007avg attendance2nd biggest crowds of 13 in the Mid-American

✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among Mid-American teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Ohio has won three of its last five.

Mixed. 7-3 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 7-3
We just got to get them in there and see them play, and that's the fine line as a coach, right
Hauser · The Post (Athens)3 days after Ohio's 2026 game against South Alabama
The forecast

Next Sep 26

vs Stonehill · at home

SolidPoorGives up the big play

~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

CFP championship#81 in field+100000
MAC title#4 in market+650

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-22

Ohio · the story right now 8 storylines developing

What Ohio's season is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

market_swing2026-09-21~readnew

John Hauser begins his tenure with a 9-4 record and a #129 talent rank, signaling a rebuild at a program defined by its historic roots and recent MAC championship odds shift.

what happenedOhio MAC championship odds lengthened — implied probability moved from 13.3% to 10.0% (-3.3pp) between Sep 20 and Sep 21, 2026 (tier B). ✓ fact
the contextwin total down 0.0 — solo market signal, no peers moved the same direction

our readbackground

coordinators2025 cycle~readnew

John Hauser inherits a 9-4 winning record and a coordinator-driven reshaping of units as Ohio seeks to redefine its historic-southeast-Ohio identity in the MAC.

what happenedOhio: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readfront page

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Ohio dropped 21 spots in SP+ — the 9-4 record and 126th talent rank create a split screen between recent success and the challenge of sustaining it under first-year coach Brian Smith.

what happenedOhio enters 2026 rated No. 84 in 2025 SP+ (-4.0), down 21 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

identitythis cycle~readnew

Brian Smith begins his tenure at Ohio with a 9-4 record anchoring a program defined by its historic identity and shifting fanbase expectations.

what happenedOhio: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readfront page

coaching2025 cycle~readnew

Brian Smith inherits Tim Albin's 9-4 foundation with 65% production returning and Peden Stadium's historic expectations weighing on his first season.

what happenedBrian Smith took over as Ohio's head coach, replacing Tim Albin. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 4-year head coach Tim Albin (34-19)

our readfront page

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Chase Hendricks is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

short yardage2025 cycle~attributednew

Sieh Bangura converts 3rd/4th-and-short at an elite rate.

our readbackground

coachingthis cycle~readnew

John Hauser inherits a 9-4 program with 65% production returning, but the 126th talent rank and 97% QB continuity demand he prove historic Southeast Ohio football can thrive beyond legacy names.

what happenedJohn Hauser took over as Ohio's head coach, replacing Brian Smith. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 4-year head coach Tim Albin (34-19)

our readdeveloping

How past storylines here turned out

ReplacedOhio moved on from that hire — a new coaching change began the following season. See who's next →
ReplacedOhio's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
Died downOhio's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Ohio · 2026

Ohio's most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Ohio · Market Confidence

The market moved on Ohio. That's not nothing.

Ohio MAC championship odds lengthened — implied probability moved from 13.3% to 10.0% (-3.3pp) between Sep 20 and Sep 21, 2026 (tier B). It is win total down 0.0 — solo market signal, no peers moved the same direction. The market moved; the fan base is split on what it means. Oddsmakers react to information, not sentiment — but that doesn't mean they're right. The room is divided — bulls and bears both have game-specific cases.

Developing2 new this week
yesterdayMAC title odds: +650 → +900 (▼3.3pp implied)
3 days agoMichael Molnar: 16 tackles · 1 TFL at South Alabama
2 weeks agoOhio releases initial depth chart — Reported
4 weeks agoNick Poulos named Ohio QB1 — Official
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
John Hauser begins his tenure with a 9-4 record and a #129 talent rank, signaling a rebuild at a program defined by its historic roots and recent MAC championship odds shift.
Source of record: Ohio MAC championship odds lengthened — implied probability moved from 13.3% to 10.0% (-3.3pp) between Sep 20 and Sep 21, 2026 (tier B) — win total down 0.0 — solo market signal, no peers moved the same direction.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
🎪The circus“Ohio's defense struggles in 41-36 loss at South Alabama” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Ohio's defense struggles in 41-36 loss at South Alabama”
The Athens Messenger · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
“Ohio's defense struggles in 41-35 loss at South Alabama”
athensmessenger.com · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
📣Believers1 bullish/market items -- the case it's working.

The 'market knows something fans don't' read -- when odds move, it's on information.

“Freshman focus: Five Buckeyes who flashed in Ohio State win over Kent State”
on3.com · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
“Ohio Football Honors Connie Sheets During 2026 Extra Yard for Teachers Week”
ohiobobcats.com · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
“Kickoff Time Against No. 17 Iowa Announced for 3:30 PM ET on CBS”
Ohio State | Official Athletics Website · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Ohio Football’s defensive struggles fuel loss at South Alabama…” — the real counter.

The 'markets overcorrect' counter -- lines move on noise too; the receipts may not hold.

“Ohio Football’s defensive struggles fuel loss at South Alabama - WOUB Public Media -”
news · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
💬The boards9% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 59 of 687 board posts (9%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Meanwhile Ohio would let blacks in the state, but they had to pay a $500 bond and have a white man vouch for their character."
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Hi everyone! I'm a college student conducting a short survey for my Behavioral Sciences Statistics class. My research question is: **Do fantasy football participants watch more NFL"
r/ohiouniversity ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Following now · Ohio · Developing Confidence

Ohio: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

Developing2 new this week
yesterdayMAC title odds: +650 → +900 (▼3.3pp implied)
3 days agoMichael Molnar: 16 tackles · 1 TFL at South Alabama
2 weeks agoOhio releases initial depth chart — Reported
4 weeks agoNick Poulos named Ohio QB1 — Official
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
John Hauser inherits a 9-4 winning record and a coordinator-driven reshaping of units as Ohio seeks to redefine its historic-southeast-Ohio identity in the MAC.
Source of record: Ohio: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
🎪The circus“Ohio's defense struggles in 41-36 loss at South Alabama” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Ohio's defense struggles in 41-36 loss at South Alabama”
The Athens Messenger · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
“Ohio's defense struggles in 41-35 loss at South Alabama”
athensmessenger.com · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
📣Believers1 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“Freshman focus: Five Buckeyes who flashed in Ohio State win over Kent State”
on3.com · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
“Ohio Football Honors Connie Sheets During 2026 Extra Yard for Teachers Week”
ohiobobcats.com · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
“Kickoff Time Against No. 17 Iowa Announced for 3:30 PM ET on CBS”
Ohio State | Official Athletics Website · 2026-09-21 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Ohio Football’s defensive struggles fuel loss at South Alabama…” — the real counter.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

“Ohio Football’s defensive struggles fuel loss at South Alabama - WOUB Public Media -”
news · 2026-09-20 · read ↗
💬The boards9% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 59 of 687 board posts (9%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Meanwhile Ohio would let blacks in the state, but they had to pay a $500 bond and have a white man vouch for their character."
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Hi everyone! I'm a college student conducting a short survey for my Behavioral Sciences Statistics class. My research question is: **Do fantasy football participants watch more NFL"
r/ohiouniversity ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Rival pulse

Miami (OH)
Bullish
+33
Battle of the Bricks

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Ohio is the MAC program whose Frank Solich tenure (2005-2020) + the Tim Albin years that followed (2021-2024) + Peden Stadium hill setting define what historic-southeast-Ohio football looks like.

Offense: SolidDefense: PoorDefensive shape: Gives up the big play
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025Brian Smith departs8-4
  • 2025Hired John Hauser
  • 2025Hired Brian Smith
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Ohio

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-22
Returning Production62%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#129 nationally247 composite 522.8
Portal Additions19Primary repair: CB
Portal Losses16Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#107Depth class
EDGEin 3 - Cody Raymond3.49out 3 - Danny Novickas3.49Even
current room: 240 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 2 - Preston Bowman3.50out 3 - Chase Hendricks4.38Downgrade
current room: 200 lbs avg (2025 roster)
TEin 2 - Jake Furtney3.49out 2 - Mason Williams3.50Even
current room: 253 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 2 - Sandro Malicevic3.40out 2 - Ibrahim Kebe3.40Even
CBin 3 - KJ Sejour3.40out 0Need Filled
current room: 186 lbs avg (2025 roster)
IOLin 2 - CJ Dawson3.50out 1 - Davion Weatherspoon3.60Even
current room: 301 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (156 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Ohio

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Nick Poulos named Ohio QB1

    Hauser hands Poulos the keys in a MAC rebuild that's leaning harder on the portal than recruiting — ranked #107 nationally, the Bobcats need a steady hand at QB while the WR room gets sorted out around him.

    Aug 24Official
  2. News

    Michael Molnar: 16 tackles · 1 TFL at South Alabama

    Top 0.1% tackles game since 2021. at South Alabama (FBS) L 36-41.

    Sep 19
  3. News

    Ohio releases initial depth chart

    Initial depth chart out in Athens and the WR room is the story — a #107 class doesn't paper over thin outside depth, and Hauser's offense needs more than bodies at the position.

  4. News

    '5-to-play-5' rule applied to Ohio State players

    The '5-to-play-5' rule means Ohio gets bodies from Columbus that wouldn't have looked at Athens twice — for a WR room ranked 121st nationally, that pipeline matters more than any portal bid.

  5. Recruiting

    Jett Harrison commits to Ohio State

    Smith's first full class at Ohio sits at #121 nationally — Harrison fills a WR room under genuine pressure, but the MAC rebuild needs volume, not just one piece.

  6. News

    MAC title odds: +650 → +900 (▼3.3pp implied)

    Mac title odds dropped 3.3pp in line with recent program news — the books confirmed what was already public.

    Sep 21
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-3.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: +4.9 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
CB
+7.7
need filled
QB
-2.7
WR
-2.4
IOL
+1.9
S
+1.3
DL
-0.5
EDGE
-0.3
TE
-0.1
K
+0.0
OT
+0.0
RB
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Danny Fortson
OT · Cincinnati, OH
#731 national
★★★☆☆
Brandon Jenkins
ATH · Arlington Heights, IL
#774 national
★★★☆☆
Kaden Page
WR · Wapakoneta, OH
#1358 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 18 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

18
OH · 13AL · 1GA · 1IA · 1IL · 1IN · 1

OH leads the 2026 class with 13 commits. National footprint reaching 6 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

69 signees across 20 states, 2023-2026. OH leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWI1MI3NYMAOR1NVWYSDIA1IL4IN5OH29PA3NJCTCA3UTCONE1MO2KY1WVVA2MD4DERIAZNMKSARTNNC2SCDCOK1LAMS1AL1GA2AKHITXFL2
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Ohio player grew up 214 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

31st-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%122–435 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi18%24 of 131 players
Farthest2,163 miDerek Reagans · San Francisco, CA
Closest1 miBrady Wharton · Athens, OH

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Peden Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 131 of 156 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns OH · 2026 roster

46% of the Ohio roster grew up in OH.

62 of 136 players, drawn from 28 states in all. That is the 37th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

OH · 62CA · 10IL · 7FL · 6IN · 6MD · 6GA · 4MI · 4+20 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

136 players across 28 states. Biggest pull outside OH: CA (10).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMN1WI1MI4NY2MA1ORNVWYSDIA1IL7IN6OH62PA4NJ1CT1CA10UT1CO1NE1MO2KYWVVA1MD6DERIAZ2NMKSARTN1NC4SCDCOKLA1MS2AL1GA4AKHITX2FL6
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 20 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Ohio Defeats UMass 42-14
90 upvotes · Nov 2025
[Postgame Thread] Ohio Defeats Buffalo 31-26
87 upvotes · Nov 2025
[Game Thread] UMass @ Ohio (7:00 PM ET)
18 upvotes · Nov 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 62% never transferred. B
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now

70th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
70th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
7.5
Vegas O/U wins
(65th among FBS)
Fan mood aligned with market consensus
Win total consensus · 1 book
Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

Recovering 80% of their own fumbles — running hot vs. the ~52% league rate.

4 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

Getting hands on the ball but not cashing in: 0% of disruptions converted, vs. the ~19% league rate.

0 interceptions of 10 disrupted passes (10 deflected, 0 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Winning the penalty battle: 12 penalties committed vs. 24 drawn on opponents, a 89-yard edge.

107 penalty yards committed vs. 196 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site