2identity shift
Ball State shifts fanbase identity, redefining program.
Mike Uremovich begins his tenure with a 4-8 losing record to inherit, reigniting a fanbase that last celebrated MAC titles in 1996.
Ball State4-8Latest
Cautious optimism is building around Ball State.
belief warmed ↑ 3.8vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Leaning up
54/100 · 42 mentions
~ our readGrounding
running on emotion
3% cite a stat · 7% typical ✓ counted
~ our readVolatility
Chaotic
σ 34 pts
~ our readThe model
#136
CFB Zeitgeist · -10.3
✓ measured2Hope-Doping·Offseason
Ball State has won a MAC title in three different decades -- 1993, 1996, and a 2020 upset of ranked Buffalo -- and is starting over again under a first-year coach after a 4-8 2025.
Title DroughtSince 2020 · 5 yrs
Ball State's title runs get treated as isolated upsets rather than a program with real periodic championship pedigree -- three decades, three different eras, the same result. Fans see a pattern the re…
offseason · quiet
Roster Reload - Ball State
2026 snapshot - 2026-08-06Returning Production8%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#115 nationally247 composite 495.4
Portal Additions24Primary repair: EDGE
Portal Losses18Primary pressure: S
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#113Depth class
WRin 4 - Jabari Smith Jr.out 3 - Ty RobinsonUpgrade
current room: 190 lbs avg (2025 roster)
LBin 4 - Jovan Clarkout 3 - Caden JohnsonUpgrade
current room: 225 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 3 - Cedric Franklin IIout 3 - Roman PearsonEven
current room: 187 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 0out 4 - Michael Gravely Jr.Starter Risk
TEin 2 - Sean Wardout 2 - Kameron AnthonyEven
current room: 241 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 3 - Jared Badieout 0Need Filled
Belief EKG
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasons
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · at Ohio State · Sat Sep 5 · 16:30 UTC
The experience
Ball State won MAC titles in 1993 and 1996, then broke a 24-year drought in the COVID-shortened 2020 season by upsetting a nationally-ranked Buffalo 38-28 behind QB Drew Plitt -- and is now rebuilding again under first-year coach Mike Uremovich after a 4-8 2025.
Offense: PoorRun/Pass: Run-heavy, ground-controlTempo: Explosive, big-play
Ball State faces a high-reload season with limited returning production and heavy transfer infl
The team returns just 8% of its roster, with 24 transfers in and 18 out, while recruiting ranked #113 nationally. Key positions like S and EDGE show both challenges and opportunities due to personnel movement.
- Roster reloadBall State returns only 8% of its roster, with 24 transfers in and 18 out, indicating a heavy reload.
Data as of 2026-08-03
·
Validated against program evidence
Charlie Cardinal perches quietly.
Ball State · the story right now
6 storylines developing
What Ball State's offseason is really about
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
program_outlookthis cycle~readnew
Ball State enters 2026 — the program's bottom-quintile returning production and 4-8 record under Mike Uremovich highlight a rebuilding phase with little margin for error in the Mid-American Conference.
what happenedBall State enters 2026 rated No. 132 in 2025 SP+ (-23.0). ✓ fact
the contextbottom-quintile returning production — heavy turnover entering the season
narrative tension · our read
coachingthis cycle~readnew
Uremovich begins with 8% production returning and a program that hasn't won a MAC title since 1996 — the cupboard is bare, but the identity of a team that once.
what happenedMike Uremovich took over as Ball State's head coach, replacing Mike Neu. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 6-year head coach Mike Neu (26-41)
narrative tension · our read
identitythis cycle~readnew
Mike Uremovich begins his tenure with a 4-8 losing record to inherit, reigniting a fanbase that last celebrated MAC titles in 1996.
what happenedBall State: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Donovan Hamilton is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
narrative tension · our read
deep threatthis cycle~attributednew
Qian Magwood is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
narrative tension · our read
program_outlookthis cycle~readnew
Ball State enters 2025 at No. 132 in SP+ — bottom-quintile returning production and a 4-8 record under first-year coach Mike Uremovich test whether this rebuild can avoid another losing season.
what happenedBall State enters 2025 rated No. 132 in SP+ (-23.0). ✓ fact
the contextbottom-quintile returning production — heavy turnover entering the season
narrative tension · our read
How past storylines here turned out
AnsweredBall State's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downBall State's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downBall State's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
The story
Transfer portal snapshot
+12.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: +24.4 — unweighted, no position adjustment)S-13.5
starter risk
EDGE+10.2
need not filled
QB+7.0
need not filled
WR+5.8
LB+5.4
IOL+4.7
DL+3.4
OT+3.4
low confidence
CB-1.7
TE-0.5
RB+0.2
Top 3 commits
2026 class
★★★☆☆
Tayshon Bardo
#966 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 20 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Mason Atkins
#1754 national
Profiles like a typical incoming quarterback — 14 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Pocket Passer archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Mark Hanniford
#1754 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 14 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Fan vs. market↑
57th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
(FBS mood rank)
3.5
Vegas O/U wins
(1st among FBS)
(1st among FBS)
Fans 56pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books
Market outlook
Season expectations
Win total3 booksO/U 3.5
CFP championship#130 in field+100000
MAC title#12 in market+3500
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-08-06
Ball State · Next-Season Outcome Band
Ball State · Next-Season Outcome BandFloor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 3-9
Base 5-7
Ceiling 8-5
floor3-9No postseason.
base5-7No postseason.
ceiling8-5Bowl game.
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
How the room reacted
Following now · Ball State · Season outlook Confidence
Ball State is near the bottom of the model. The math is the story.
Ball State enters 2026 rated No. 132 in 2025 SP+ (-23.0). It is bottom-quintile returning production — heavy turnover entering the season. SP+ describes what the program HAS done, not what it will do. The season is the field test. The coverage is thin. Quiet preseasons end two ways.
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Ball State enters 2026 — the program's bottom-quintile returning production and 4-8 record under Mike Uremovich highlight a rebuilding phase with little margin for error in the Mid-American Conference.
Next · what to watch
The non-obvious read on this rating isn't the number — it's the schedule. A team at this level has 2-3 games where the model says they're overmatched, and those are the games that define the narrative. Watch whether the model holds through the first month of the schedule. The boards are already there — one thread raises exactly this.
Source of record: Ball State enters 2026 rated No. 132 in 2025 SP+ (-23.0) — bottom-quintile returning production — heavy turnover entering the season.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
📣Believers0 bullish items -- the case it's working.›
The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.
“Ball State football gears up for 2026 season”
ballstatedaily.com · 2026-08-05 · read ↗
“New Hampshire Wildcats at Ball State Cardinals Football (Date TBD)”
heraldpalladium.com · 2026-08-01 · read ↗
“Ball State president Geoffrey Mearns appointed to CFP Board of Managers”
The Star Press · 2026-07-30 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards32% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.›
This event was in 39 of 122 board posts (32%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
"We recently sat down with Mick Tidrow, Radio and TV Voice of the Ball State Cardinals, to preview the 2026 Ball State Cardinals Football Team. Here is a link to the video if you ar"
r/BallState ~ fan take
"Hello everyone, Im an international student looking to apply to ball state for fall 2027. I'm interested in applying for a Masters in Accounting, what are my chances with a 3.3 GPA"
r/BallState ~ fan take
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
Developing · Ball State · Coaching Confidence
The Mike Uremovich era at Ball State: where it actually stands.
Mike Uremovich took over as Ball State's head coach, replacing Mike Neu. It is replaces 6-year head coach Mike Neu (26-41). The hire has receded from the front page. The roster and recruiting pipeline are the real measure now. The discourse has moved on; what's left is the quiet work of building something.
The saga so far~2 months old
2 weeks agoBall State football enters year 2 under Uremovich with chip on its shoulder — Yahoo Sports
2 weeks agoHood, Thomas, Uremovich Represent Cardinals at 2026 MAC Football Media Kickoff — Ball State University Athletics
Jun 16Ball State Football Preview 2026: Can Mike Uremovich Get Things Moving? — College Football News
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Mike Uremovich Head coach
“Ball State Football Preview 2026: Can Mike Uremovich Get Things Moving?” — College Football News · 2026-06-16
Mike Neu Out
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Uremovich begins with 8% production returning and a program that hasn't won a MAC title since 1996 — the cupboard is bare, but the identity of a team that once.
Next · what to watch
The obvious story is the marquee name; the non-obvious one is roster churn — a coaching change keeps a portal and decommit window open long after the introductory presser. Watch decommitments and portal moves in the next window — that's where this is actually won or lost, not at the podium.
Source of record: Mike Uremovich took over as Ball State's head coach, replacing Mike Neu — replaces 6-year head coach Mike Neu (26-41).
How each room reacted — tap to expand
📣Believers0 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.›
The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.
“Ball State football enters year 2 under Uremovich with chip on its shoulder”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-07-23 · read ↗
“Hood, Thomas, Uremovich Represent Cardinals at 2026 MAC Football Media Kickoff”
Ball State University Athletics · 2026-07-22 · read ↗
“Ball State Football Preview 2026: Can Mike Uremovich Get Things Moving?”
College Football News · 2026-06-16 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬The boards1 board mentions — too thin to call a stance.›
Only 1 of 122 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.
"Ball State showed encouraging signs in Mike Uremovich's first season. Muncie is once again a tough place to play for the rest of the MAC. Now, can they take the show on the road? 📌"
r/BallState ~ fan take
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.
🔗The dominoes15 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.›
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cold
One of five. The film room is busy this week.
Streak L3Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 4-6
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs Ohio State · away
Season line3.5 winsover -125
PoorRun-heavy, ground-controlExplosive, big-play
✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style
Rival pulse
Northern Illinois
Hopeful+18
Bronze Stalk Trophy
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
22
IN · 8IL · 4OH · 3FL · 2CA · 1GA · 1KS · 1KY · 1+1 more
IN leads the 2026 class with 8 commits. National footprint reaching 9 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
84 signees across 16 states, 2023-2026. IN leads the pull.
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] Ball State Defeats New Hampshire 34-29
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
National spotlight
6 games with TV coverage: 4 cable, 1 conference network, 1 streaming
Kickoff windows: 3 noon, 1 afternoon, 2 primetime
Fumble luck
Recovering 36% of the fumbles they've forced — running cold vs. the ~49% league rate.
4 of 11 forced fumbles recovered; 7 of 14 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2025 only.
Takeaway conversion
Converting 25% of pass disruptions into takeaways — well above the ~19% league rate.
9 interceptions of 36 disrupted passes (27 deflected, 9 intercepted), 2025 only.
Penalty battle
Winning the penalty battle: 56 penalties committed vs. 75 drawn on opponents, a 207-yard edge.
466 penalty yards committed vs. 673 drawn on opponents, 2025 season total.
The Pulse on Ball State
54
Δ +3.8 vs last wk
42
mentions this week · conversation velocity
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Chirp Chirp"
— Ball State fanbase · recurring line
Fanbase Signals
Cohort Divergence0 pctSpread between sub-fanbase cohorts in the Pulse window.
The Fever Year
Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling
Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
HHustle Belt
CCampus paper
BBluesky
YYouTube
What little we hear
Only 4 cohort(s) cleared the signal floor this week, so we won’t stage a split we can’t back. Here’s the honest read:
Millennials+0.16
Gen Z+0.16
Analytics crowd+0.16
National take+0.16
How Ball State fans actually talk real · top-upvoted
The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.
What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model
Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.
125 mentions · 6 sources · week 2026-01. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checklight on evidence
~ our readBall State fans are buzzing about the program, but it's more feel than fact right now.
backed by facts
the mood
✓ counted We read 80 posts from Ball State fans this week.
Five Lenses
What people are saying right now
The broader fanbase2 posts
News & campus coverage10 posts
Fanbase Health Index · Ball State · high confidence
Fanbase Health Index · Ball State · high confidenceGrowing (55)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 4-8 (33% win rate)50
Volume — 318 effective signal-N80
Cohort Engagement — Divergence 0.00 — quiet35
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#132 / 138 · 5th pct15.8
Pts allowed/game#99 / 138 · 29th pct29.8
Total yards/gm#134 / 136 · 2nd pct271.7
Rush yards/gm#101 / 136 · 26th pct133.7
Pass yards/gm#132 / 136 · 4th pct138.0
Yards allowed/gm#86 / 136 · 38th pct406.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#98 / 136 · 29th pct179.7
Sacks#89 / 136 · 35th pct22
Interceptions#68 / 136 · 51st pct9
3rd-down conv#119 / 136 · 13th pct33.5%
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team3260271.7/gm4.47/play#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp4878406.5/gm6.08/play#86 / 136 · 38th pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Rush yards
Team1604133.7/gm2.20/play#101 / 136 · 26th pct#53 / 70 · 26th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp2156179.7/gm2.69/play#98 / 136 · 29th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Rush carries
Team45337.8/gm#67 / 136 · 51st pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp44837.3/gm#58 / 136 · 58th pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Rush TDs
Team110.9/gm#116 / 136 · 15th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp211.8/gm#81 / 136 · 41st pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Net pass yards
Team1656138.0/gm2.27/play#132 / 136 · 4th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp2722226.8/gm3.39/play#61 / 136 · 56th pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Pass attempts
Team27723.1/gm#129 / 136 · 6th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp35429.5/gm#35 / 136 · 75th pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Completions
Team15613.0/gm#131 / 136 · 4th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp21918.2/gm#37 / 136 · 74th pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Pass TDs
Team110.9/gm#122 / 136 · 11th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp231.9/gm#107 / 136 · 22nd pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Passer rating
Team113.1113.1#128 / 136 · 7th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp143.4143.4#110 / 136 · 20th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team80.7/gm#88 / 136 · 36th pct#40 / 70 · 44th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Opp90.8/gm#54 / 136 · 61st pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Sacks (def)
Team221.8/gm#89 / 136 · 35th pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#6 / 10 · 50th pct
Opp494.1/gm#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#10 / 10 · 10th pct
Tackles for loss
Team554.6/gm#116 / 136 · 15th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
Opp1008.3/gm#133 / 136 · 3rd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#9 / 10 · 20th pct
First downs
Team17614.7/gm#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp25020.8/gm#68 / 136 · 51st pct#40 / 70 · 44th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
3rd-down conv
Team584.8/gm#113 / 136 · 18th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp675.6/gm#62 / 136 · 55th pct#37 / 70 · 49th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
3rd-down att
Team17314.4/gm#68 / 136 · 51st pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp16013.3/gm#27 / 136 · 81st pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
4th-down conv
Team90.8/gm#109 / 136 · 21st pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp131.1/gm#58 / 136 · 58th pct#28 / 70 · 61st pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
4th-down att
Team171.4/gm#116 / 136 · 15th pct#59 / 70 · 17th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp272.2/gm#72 / 136 · 48th pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Time of possession
Team356:4929:44/gm#100 / 136 · 27th pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp363:1130:16/gm#34 / 136 · 76th pct#14 / 70 · 81st pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Kicking & Punting
Field goals#123 / 135 · 10th pct8/13 (61.5%)
Extra points17/18
Punting#117 / 136 · 15th pct40.7 avg · 70 punts
Turnovers & special teams
Turnovers
Team161.3/gm#65 / 136 · 53rd pct#26 / 70 · 64th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Opp131.1/gm#32 / 136 · 77th pct#18 / 70 · 76th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Fumbles lost
Team80.7/gm#25 / 136 · 82nd pct#9 / 70 · 89th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Opp40.3/gm#19 / 136 · 87th pct#11 / 70 · 86th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct
INT return TDs
Team00.0/gm#76 / 135 · 44th pct#39 / 70 · 46th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#3 / 10 · 80th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 136 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
INT return yards
Team484.0/gm#109 / 136 · 21st pct#55 / 70 · 23rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp605.0/gm#34 / 136 · 76th pct#18 / 70 · 76th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#3 / 12 · 83rd pct
Punt ret yds
Team252.1/gm#133 / 136 · 3rd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp22218.5/gm#118 / 136 · 14th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Punt ret TDs
Team00.0/gm#43 / 135 · 69th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#2 / 9 · 89th pct
Opp10.1/gm#97 / 135 · 29th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#5 / 10 · 60th pct
Kick ret yds
Team58448.7/gm#27 / 136 · 81st pct#10 / 70 · 87th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Opp51342.8/gm#95 / 136 · 31st pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Kick ret TDs
Team10.1/gm#7 / 136 · 96th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Opp00.0/gm#1 / 135 · 100th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct#1 / 10 · 100th pct
Penalty yards
Team46638.8/gm#125 / 136 · 9th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp67356.1/gm#73 / 136 · 47th pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Other
Kick returns#22 / 136 · 85th pct#6 / 70 · 93rd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct292.4/gm
Fourth down go rate#35 / 138 · 75th pct#15 / 70 · 80th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#1 / 12 · 100th pct0.50.0/gm
Passes intercepted opponent#41 / 136 · 71st pct#24 / 70 · 67th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct80.7/gm
Red zone pass rate#57 / 154 · 64th pct#27 / 70 · 63rd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct0.40.0/gm
Penalties (opp)#66 / 136 · 52nd pct#38 / 70 · 47th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct756.2/gm
Interceptions (def)#68 / 136 · 51st pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct90.8/gm
Fumbles rec (def)#86 / 136 · 38th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct80.7/gm
Punt returns#96 / 136 · 30th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct121.0/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#97 / 167 · 43rd pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct0.20.0/gm
H2 epa per play opponent#100 / 143 · 31st pct#51 / 70 · 29th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct0.20.0/gm
Kick ret (opp)#104 / 136 · 24th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct282.3/gm
Fumbles recovered#109 / 136 · 21st pct#57 / 70 · 20th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct40.3/gm
Punt ret (opp)#119 / 136 · 13th pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct231.9/gm
Recruiting rating#119 / 138 · 14th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#9 / 13 · 38th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct118.69.9/gm
H2 epa per play#120 / 142 · 16th pct#63 / 70 · 11th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct0.10.0/gm
Penalties#125 / 136 · 9th pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct564.7/gm
H1 epa per play#152 / 162 · 7th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct-0.0-0.0
First down pass rate#178 / 215 · 18th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#11 / 13 · 23rd pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct0.30.0/gm
Situational
3rd-down conversion
Off33.5%#119 / 136 · 13th pct#65 / 70 · 9th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Def41.9%#100 / 136 · 27th pct#56 / 70 · 21st pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
4th-down conversion
Off52.9%#76 / 136 · 45th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Def48.1%#47 / 136 · 66th pct#23 / 70 · 69th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Turnover margin#86 / 136 · 38th pct#46 / 70 · 36th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct-0.25/gm
Sack rate (def)#82 / 136 · 40th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#4 / 10 · 70th pct6.2%
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team272.2/gm#128 / 167 · 24th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp433.6/gm#98 / 166 · 42nd pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Red zone score %
Team63.0%63.0%#148 / 167 · 12th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp74.4%74.4%#50 / 166 · 70th pct#21 / 70 · 71st pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Points / drive
Team1.10.1/gm#138 / 167 · 18th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp2.10.2/gm#103 / 166 · 39th pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Yards / drive
Team31.62.6/gm#145 / 167 · 14th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp40.43.4/gm#71 / 166 · 58th pct#36 / 70 · 50th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Plays / drive
Team6.30.5/gm#120 / 167 · 29th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp6.30.5/gm#45 / 166 · 73rd pct#16 / 70 · 79th pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Three-and-out rate
Team23.6%23.6%#148 / 167 · 12th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#2 / 12 · 92nd pct
Opp14.0%14.0%#74 / 166 · 56th pct#40 / 70 · 44th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#7 / 12 · 50th pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Rush rate over expected#20 / 145 · 87th pct#3 / 70 · 97th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct+6.9%+6.9%
Havoc rate
Team13.9%13.9%#109 / 140 · 23rd pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Opp21.0%21.0%#138 / 140 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Standard-downs success
Team38.7%38.7%#144 / 154 · 7th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp50.2%50.2%#111 / 172 · 36th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Passing-downs success
Team22.3%22.3%#145 / 153 · 6th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp32.9%32.9%#107 / 149 · 29th pct#52 / 70 · 27th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Line yards / carry
Team2.62.6#130 / 143 · 10th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct
Opp3.03.0#87 / 155 · 45th pct#50 / 70 · 30th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct
Stuff rate
Team22.0%22.0%#120 / 143 · 17th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Opp20.2%20.2%#52 / 155 · 67th pct#30 / 70 · 59th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Power success rate
Team51.7%51.7%#135 / 137 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
Opp62.5%62.5%#34 / 141 · 77th pct#18 / 70 · 76th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Efficiency
Completion %
Off56.3%#123 / 136 · 10th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct
Def61.9%#69 / 136 · 50th pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#5 / 12 · 67th pct
Yards / attempt
Off6.0#128 / 136 · 7th pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Def7.7#109 / 136 · 21st pct#58 / 70 · 19th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#6 / 12 · 58th pct
Yards / completion
Off10.6#112 / 136 · 18th pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#4 / 12 · 75th pct
Def12.4#109 / 136 · 21st pct#60 / 70 · 16th pct#9 / 12 · 33rd pct#8 / 12 · 42nd pct
Yards / carry#123 / 136 · 10th pct#62 / 70 · 13th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct3.5
Yards / play#134 / 136 · 2nd pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct4.47
Scoring margin#128 / 136 · 7th pct#67 / 70 · 6th pct#11 / 12 · 17th pct#10 / 12 · 25th pct-14.0/gm
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
Quarterbacks
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.03 EPA/play | 1 | 12 | 153 / 272 | 56.2 | 1560 | 5.7 | 10 | 8 | 110.7 | 31.2 | 3.6 | 14.2 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. Impact starter — above-average production for the conference. 45 of 183 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Rush usage43.7% 98th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Yards / attempt6.1 bottom 12th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kiael Kelly's full player page | |||||||||||||
Running Backs
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Stuff% | 10+% | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · -0.03 EPA/play | 9 | 10 | 118 | 547 | 4.6 | 4 | 72 | 12.9 | 18.3 | 19.7 | 8.5 | 12.1% (28/232) | |
Yards by week → Balanced Back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — over 60% of the snaps, holding the job. The most common profile in its group this season — 186 of 349 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · junior View Qua Ashley's full player page | |||||||||||||
| Satellite Back · -0.17 EPA/play | 4 | 10 | 60 | 180 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4.6 | 8.2 | 27.6 | 8.6 | 6.9% (16/232) | |
Yards by week → Satellite BackDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 50 of 349 RBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Receiving share20.0% 90th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / carry3.2 bottom 3th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View TJ Horton's full player page | |||||||||||||
| -0.28 EPA/play | 22 | 3 | 27 | 77 | 2.9 | 1 | 15 | 6.7 | 5.8 | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||||
Receivers
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | 3rd Dn Use | Pass Dn Use | Tgt Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.71 EPA/play | 5 | 10 | 19 | 320 | 16.8 | 1 | 53 | 11.1 | 10.1 | 15.9% (37/232) | |
Yards by week → Possession Receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains The most common profile in its group this season — 332 of 558 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior View Qian Magwood's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.36 EPA/play | 88 | 7 | 20 | 244 | 12.2 | 0 | 47 | 9.5 | 9.3 | 14.7% (34/232) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception12.8 bottom 44th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 8th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Donovan Hamilton's full player page | |||||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.19 EPA/play | 3 | 12 | 29 | 238 | 8.2 | 1 | 35 | 6.4 | 9.7 | 17.2% (40/232) | |
Yards by week → Possession ReceiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 332 of 558 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception6.7 bottom 4th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.2 bottom 14th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Eric Weatherly's full player page | |||||||||||
| Move TE · +0.50 EPA/play | 6 | 7 | 10 | 141 | 14.1 | 1 | 42 | 5.5 | 6.3 | — | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. 34 of 223 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception26.7 100th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume10 bottom 16th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Koby Gross's full player page | |||||||||||
| +1.10 EPA/play | 85 | 6 | 7 | 117 | 16.7 | 2 | 40 | 1.1 | 2.9 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.22 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 11 | 113 | 10.3 | 0 | 21 | 10.9 | 9.1 | 9.1% (21/232) | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
| +0.39 EPA/play | 89 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 37 | 1.8 | 2.2 | — | |
Yards by week → | |||||||||||
Defensive Line
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finisher | 44 | 12 | 49 | 30 | 15.5 #15 FBS | 10 #13 FBS | 2 |
FinisherTurns pressure into sacks — when he gets there, he finishes. All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started. 16 of 200 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Pressure-to-sack conversion0.8 97th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like our readTwo-star recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 47 | 10 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior · 3-star, 2021 class our readBreakout: his CFB Index score went from the 16th percentile among FBS IDLs to the 71st | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 33 | 10 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 1.5 | 2 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2023 class View Darin Conley's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 93 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 388 of 809 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · senior our readAscending: his CFB Index score moved from the 14th to 38th percentile among FBS IDLs | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 56 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 |
Two-Gap BaseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 388 of 809 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate19.2% 68th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ameir Glenn's full player page | |||||||
| 41 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | |
Linebackers
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coverage 'Backer | — | 12 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 3.5 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate8.5% 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate0.0% bottom 23th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like our readBreakout: his CFB Index score moved from the 0th to 49th percentile among FBS LBs | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 21 | 10 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Sideline-to-SidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 102 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 80th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readFading: his CFB Index score now sits at the 23rd percentile among FBS LBs, up from the 81st | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 22 | 11 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 11 of 21 games this season · senior View Jack Beebe's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 6 | 9 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced LinebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 362 of 660 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · junior · 3-star, 2022 class View Caden Johnson's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 31 | 10 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.4% 96th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate14.8% 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View DeJuan Echoles's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 18 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 99 of 660 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate11.8% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jackson Wiegold's full player page | |||||||||
| 9 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 42 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 49 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 48 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Defensive Backs
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · senior View Michael Gravely Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 7 | 9 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Part-time starter — splitting the role or filling in on injury. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 9 of 21 games this season · junior View Ashton Whitner's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 16 | 11 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 419 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.4% bottom 36th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Muheem McCargo's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 20 | 9 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate18.8% 93th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score moved from the 28th to 56th percentile among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 15 | 8 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 8 of 21 games this season · sophomore · 3-star, 2023 class our readBreakout: his CFB Index score went from the 0th percentile among FBS Ss to the 30th | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 1 | 10 | 29 | 0 | 3 #56 FBS | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid NickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 419 of 801 classified this way. Played in 10 of 21 games this season · senior View Joedrick Lewis's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 5 | 7 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate14.8% 82th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Roman Pearson's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 4 | 10 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.7% bottom 49th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like our readAscending: his CFB Index score climbed from the 13th percentile to the 44th among FBS Ss | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 10 | 10 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 133 of 801 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate20.8% 96th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jahmad Harmon's full player page | |||||||
| 14 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | |
Kicking
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 7 | 3/7 | 42.9 | 14/14 | 23 | 23 | |
| 40 | 3 | 5/6 | 83.3 | 3/4 | 18 | 47 |
Punting
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 43 | 12 | 70 | 2847 | 40.7 | 67 | 15 | 3 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
Kick Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · -0.17 EPA/play | 4 | 10 | 11 | 274 | 24.9 | 1 | 90 |
| Balanced Back · -0.03 EPA/play | 9 | 10 | 11 | 212 | 19.3 | 0 | 27 |
| Possession Receiver · +0.19 EPA/play | 3 | 12 | 5 | 78 | 15.6 | 0 | 24 |
Punt Returns
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 1 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| Possession Receiver · +0.71 EPA/play | 5 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
2025 stat leaders
final
2025 stat leaders
1.
Alfred Chea
LB
59.0 tot (def)
2.
Nathan Voorhis
DE
49.0 tot (def)
3.
Michael Gravely Jr.
DB
44.0 tot (def)
4.
Joey Stemler
LB
44.0 tot (def)
5.
Jack Beebe
LB
41.0 tot (def)
Roster
2025
22
players carry a qualified CFB Index Score this season.
Nathan Voorhis
EDGE
#23 of 420
Darin Conley
IDL
#121 of 330
DeJuan Echoles
LB
#221 of 583
Drew Hughes
IDL
#134 of 330
Willizhuan Yates
CB
#174 of 364
Joedrick Lewis
S
#263 of 544
+16 more
Ball State · 2025 schedule & results4-8Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 48% · 1 AP top-25 opponent on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #248 | #207 | +16.5 | @Purdue | L 0–31 111 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #241 | #23 | +42.5 | @Auburn | L 3–42 116 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #234 | #166 | -3 | New Hampshire | W 34–29 51 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #235 | #66 | +20.5 | @UConn | L 25–31 126 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #212 | #65 | +14.5 | Ohio | W 20–14 140 | 2-3 | 1-0 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #204 | #70 | +9.5 | @Western Michigan | L 0–42 122 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #218 | #175 | -1.5 | Akron | W 42–28 140 | 3-4 | 2-1 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #211 | #161 | +6.5 | @Northern Illinois | L 7–21 134 | 3-5 | 2-1 |
| 11 | Nov 6 | #206 | #228 | -3 | Kent State | W 17–13 123 | 4-5 | 3-1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #205 | #160 | +2.5 | Eastern Michigan | L 9–24 129 | 4-6 | 3-2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #219 | #26 | +28.5 | @Toledo | L 9–38 136 | 4-7 | 3-3 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | #217 | #69 | +16.5 | @Miami (OH) | L 24–45 125 | 4-8 | 3-4 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | @Miami (OH) | L 24–45 | 280 | 1 | 27:26 | -0.020 | 39.3% | 115.4% | |
| Nov 22 | @Toledo | L 9–38 | 335 | 3 | 37:04 | -0.163 | 27.5% | 147.8% | Blowout loss |
| Nov 15 | Eastern Michigan | L 9–24 | 225 | 1 | 28:51 | -0.103 | 30.4% | 87.2% | |
| Nov 6 | Kent State | W 17–13 | 238 | 0 | 32:18 | -0.067 | 23.4% | 162.3% | Best defensive stand |
| Oct 25 | @Northern Illinois | L 7–21 | 275 | 3 | 29:30 | +0.129 | 35.7% | 144.0% | |
| Oct 18 | Akron | W 42–28 | 374 | 2 | 31:52 | +0.146 | 31.2% | 192.4% | Most explosive |
| Oct 11 | @Western Michigan | L 0–42 | 88 | 2 | 24:23 | -0.300 | 16.0% | 98.4% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 4 | Ohio | W 20–14 | 357 | 0 | 31:51 | -0.022 | 36.8% | 116.9% | One-score win |
| Sep 20 | @UConn | L 25–31 | 404 | 1 | 27:44 | +0.263 | 48.4% | 116.1% | One-score loss |
| Sep 13 | New Hampshire | W 34–29 | 413 | 2 | 21:55 | +0.328 | 52.8% | 146.0% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 6 | @Auburn | L 3–42 | 68 | 1 | 30:15 | -0.210 | 12.2% | 142.5% | Defense's roughest night |
| Aug 30 | @Purdue | L 0–31 | 203 | 0 | 33:40 | -0.032 | 31.4% | 108.0% | Blowout loss |
| Season average (12 games) | 272 | 1.3 | -0.004 | 32.1% | 131.4% | ||||
How They Play · 2025
How They Play · 2025Ball State fields a struggling run-heavy, explosive, big-play offense behind a leaky defense.
Opponent-adjusted percentiles vs all FBS. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Ball State's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 35th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 63rd — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Ball State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
5th percentile success on standard downs, 3rd on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 82nd | 69th |
| Akron | 20th | 36th |
| Alabama | 47th | 76th |
| App State | 41st | 80th |
| Arizona | 54th | 54th |
| Arizona State | 40th | 37th |
| Arkansas | 90th | 97th |
| Arkansas State | 51st | 40th |
| Army | 37th | 44th |
| Auburn | 73rd | 24th |
| Austin Peay | 56th | 13th |
| BYU | 91st | 46th |
| Ball State | 5th | 3rd |
| Baylor | 70th | 77th |
| Boise State | 42nd | 63rd |
| Boston College | 56th | 54th |
| Bowling Green | 10th | 17th |
| Bryant | 7th | 2nd |
| Buffalo | 29th | 20th |
| California | 25th | 66th |
| Central Michigan | 57th | 11th |
| Charlotte | 7th | 7th |
| Cincinnati | 89th | 65th |
| Clemson | 49th | 34th |
| Coastal Carolina | 16th | 22nd |
| Colorado | 8th | 48th |
| Colorado State | 29th | 35th |
| Delaware | 66th | 31st |
| Duke | 82nd | 63rd |
| East Carolina | 63rd | 91st |
| Eastern Michigan | 46th | 67th |
| Florida | 52nd | 45th |
| Florida Atlantic | 44th | 61st |
| Florida International | 50th | 26th |
| Florida State | 65th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 22nd | 71st |
| Georgia | 95th | 69th |
| Georgia Southern | 64th | 84th |
| Georgia State | 22nd | 75th |
| Georgia Tech | 92nd | 89th |
| Hawai'i | 33rd | 87th |
| Houston | 61st | 29th |
| Idaho | 30th | 78th |
| Idaho State | 93rd | 14th |
| Illinois | 79th | 95th |
| Indiana | 97th | 98th |
| Iowa | 74th | 19th |
| Iowa State | 80th | 58th |
| Jacksonville State | 59th | 56th |
| James Madison | 77th | 52nd |
| Kansas | 99th | 82nd |
| Kansas State | 37th | 59th |
| Kennesaw State | 44th | 67th |
| Kent State | 15th | 5th |
| Kentucky | 62nd | 29th |
| LSU | 18th | 52nd |
| Lafayette | 0th | 12th |
| Liberty | 65th | 53rd |
| Lindenwood | 4th | 1st |
| Long Island University | 24th | 78th |
| Louisiana | 24th | 23rd |
| Louisiana Tech | 41st | 24th |
| Louisville | 84th | 32nd |
| Maine | 3rd | 18th |
| Marshall | 71st | 62nd |
| Maryland | 11th | 86th |
| Massachusetts | 5th | 9th |
| Memphis | 75th | 68th |
| Merrimack | 1st | 83rd |
| Miami | 80th | 64th |
| Miami (OH) | 33rd | 39th |
| Michigan | 73rd | 74th |
| Michigan State | 48th | 39th |
| Middle Tennessee | 69th | 47th |
| Minnesota | 35th | 33rd |
| Mississippi State | 52nd | 35th |
| Missouri | 76th | 50th |
| Missouri State | 32nd | 50th |
| Murray State | 1st | 6th |
| NC State | 58th | 71st |
| Navy | 95th | 72nd |
| Nebraska | 78th | 51st |
| Nevada | 17th | 16th |
| New Mexico | 38th | 60th |
| New Mexico State | 16th | 33rd |
| North Carolina | 14th | 30th |
| North Texas | 100th | 97th |
| Northern Illinois | 9th | 5th |
| Northwestern | 48th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 88th | 99th |
| Ohio | 69th | 76th |
| Ohio State | 99th | 99th |
| Oklahoma | 39th | 41st |
| Oklahoma State | 14th | 7th |
| Old Dominion | 72nd | 79th |
| Ole Miss | 83rd | 95th |
| Oregon | 93rd | 55th |
| Oregon State | 54th | 25th |
| Penn State | 76th | 73rd |
| Pittsburgh | 35th | 56th |
| Purdue | 46th | 88th |
| Rice | 20th | 0th |
| Rutgers | 71st | 84th |
| SMU | 50th | 57th |
| Sam Houston | 26th | 4th |
| San Diego State | 84th | 1st |
| San José State | 68th | 70th |
| South Alabama | 53rd | 28th |
| South Carolina | 31st | 8th |
| South Carolina State | 10th | 3rd |
| South Florida | 86th | 46th |
| Southern Miss | 27th | 38th |
| Stanford | 12th | 12th |
| Syracuse | 19th | 10th |
| TCU | 63rd | 82nd |
| Temple | 85th | 22nd |
| Tennessee | 97th | 81st |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 88th | 59th |
| Texas State | 60th | 93rd |
| Texas Tech | 45th | 65th |
| Toledo | 67th | 42nd |
| Troy | 18th | 27th |
| Tulane | 81st | 86th |
| Tulsa | 43rd | 43rd |
| UAB | 34th | 94th |
| UCF | 39th | 20th |
| UCLA | 28th | 48th |
| UConn | 96th | 37th |
| UL Monroe | 13th | 14th |
| UNLV | 78th | 85th |
| USC | 94th | 90th |
| UT Martin | 2nd | 41st |
| UTEP | 3rd | 10th |
| UTSA | 67th | 92nd |
| Utah | 87th | 96th |
| Utah State | 31st | 49th |
| Vanderbilt | 90th | 100th |
| Virginia | 36th | 73rd |
| Virginia Tech | 59th | 21st |
| Wake Forest | 21st | 31st |
| Washington | 98th | 93rd |
| Washington State | 61st | 44th |
| West Virginia | 12th | 18th |
| Western Kentucky | 55th | 80th |
| Western Michigan | 86th | 16th |
| Wisconsin | 6th | 27th |
| Wyoming | 23rd | 15th |
Halftime identity
Ball State by half
1st-half offense ranks 7th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 16th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Schedule mirage
How much of Ball State's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is -0.00; 3rd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.02. The widest gap came in week 2: -0.12 raw vs. -0.01 adjusted.
Ball State reads strongest in explosive plays (top 29%) and explosive plays allowed (top 65%); the crux lives in success rate, where Ball State sits at the 0th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Most Similar Programs · Ball State
Most Similar Programs · Ball StateReads Like
AkronTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontApp StateTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up frontArmyTier 3 · Prestige T3 · Similarly-sized rosters up front
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Home-Field Advantage · Ball State · 2018-present
Elite
55% home win rate vs 26% on the road. margin runs +17.0 better at home. Scheumann Stadium seats 22,500, averaging 46% full (10,386 attendance, 22 games reported).
Home24-19Away12-34
Positional competition · RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Qua Ashley and TJ Horton split the carries (115/173 vs 58/173) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Qua Ashley produces in bigger chunks.
Qua AshleyTJ Horton
Carries
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
Targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-carry share
concentration and EPA/carry agree -- a real boom/bust split
Screened 2 claims, 1 survived, 1 falsified
Positional competition · WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Eric Weatherly (WR) and Koby Gross (TE) split the targets (40/53 vs 13/53) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Koby Gross produces in bigger chunks.
Eric WeatherlyKoby Gross
Targets
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
concentration and EPA/target agree -- a real boom/bust split
Screened 2 claims, 1 survived, 1 falsified
What changed
Ball State’s play-calling, before and after the change
Offense: co-Jared Elliott / Kevin Lynch (2023) → Jared Elliott (2024)
The biggest shift: 1st-down pass rate moved up 17 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
Defense: Tyler Stockton (2020–2023) → Jeff Knowles (2024–2025)
The biggest shift: 4th-down go rate moved up 11 points. The rest held closer to steady.
1st-down pass rate
Red-zone pass rate
4th-down go rate
Season by season
How Ball State’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Defense: Jeff Knowles (2024–2025)
1st-down pass rate
2024: 52% → 2025: 33% · 18-pt range · #23 of 189 · more than most
Red-zone pass rate
2024: 49% → 2025: 40% · 9-pt range · #139 of 189 · a typical amount
4th-down go rate
2024: 36% → 2025: 45% · 9-pt range · #150 of 188 · less than most
Defensive identity · pass zones
What this defense gives up, by zone.
On short passes, Ball State’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (62.5% vs 65.9% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 92-play sample) — mid-pack, 13 of 133 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball leaderboard here: at the defense level, most teams face well under 30 rich-feed deep targets all season — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess.
Screened 133 claims, 133 survived · 2025 only, in the 399 games with the detailed play-text feed; n=92 short-zone plays faced, raw rate 57.6%
Venue texture
61°F average kickoff temp; 17% of games had measurable precipitation; 10 mph average wind.
Based on 66 home games with weather data.
The CFP Era
12 seasons inside the CFP era, no bids yet — the era the program is still trying to break into.
TRAJECTORY · quality-score line · AP rank dotted · CFP bids marked · coach regimes ribboned
Program Quality
AP Rank (inverted)
CFP Appearance
Ball State's 2014–2025 record is 51-88. The era is still being written; the CFP line is the one the program is arguing for.
All-Time Record
285-316-6
since 1932 · 60 seasons · .469 win rate
HOME
161-112-3
AWAY
121-194-3
NEUTRAL
3-10
1930s
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
The program, in full — read the essay
Ball State has won a MAC title in three different decades. It just doesn't happen very often, and the wait for the next one started again with a 4-8 season under a brand-new coach.
The pattern is real, even if the gaps are long. 1993: an 8-3-1 MAC championship season and a trip to the Las Vegas Bowl. 1996: a second title in four years, punter Brad Maynard somehow winning both MAC MVP and MAC Defensive Player of the Year in the same season — a two-way honor that still stands out on the program's record book. Then 24 years of nothing, until 2020.
The 2020 team shouldn't have won that title. An eight-game, COVID-shortened schedule, a trip to Ford Field against a nationally-ranked #23 Buffalo team with the conference's best offense, and Ball State scored three touchdowns in the final 5:55 of the first half to blow the game open, holding on for a 38-28 win. Quarterback Drew Plitt was named Offensive MVP. It was the program's first championship in 24 years, and it came against a team that had no business losing.
Mike Uremovich was hired in December 2024 to start the next chapter, and his first season, 2025, went 4-8 (3-5 MAC) — a normal-looking rebuild year for a program that has never rushed its title windows. Three separate eras, three decades, and a fanbase that's learned to be patient about when the next one shows up.
How they play
No single scheme has carried across all three championship eras — what's constant is a program that finds a signature standout when the window opens (Maynard's two-way dominance in 1996, Plitt's poise in the 2020 title game) rather than a fixed offensive or defensive identity year to year.
Steady
Ball State 2016–2025. Holding the line. The 10-year slope (+0.00 rungs / yr) doesn't tilt either way — the program lives at roughly Tier 1.
CFP Era · Ball State
12 seasons on file
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
down middle peak CFP year
Season Standing · 2025 · 4-8
Season Standing · 2025 · 4-8FBS sub-.500
Ball State: Below .500 in FBS play. The rebuild bar.
R0R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9
Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff
Mid-American Standing · 2025
8th in the Mid-American
Ball State is 8th of 13 in the Mid-American at 3-4. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on bowl access and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western Michigan | 7-1 |
| 2 | Ohio | 5-2 |
| 3 | Toledo | 5-2 |
| 4 | Central Michigan | 5-3 |
| 5 | Miami (OH) | 5-3 |
| 6 | Akron | 4-4 |
| 7 | Buffalo | 4-4 |
| 8 | Ball State | 3-4 |
| 9 | Kent State | 3-4 |
| 10 | Eastern Michigan | 2-5 |
| 11 | Bowling Green | 2-6 |
| 12 | Sacramento State | 0-0 |
| 13 | Massachusetts | 0-7 |
Coaching Era · Ball State
Coaching Era · Ball StateMike Uremovich
Mike Uremovich in year 2 of the rebuild. The methodology is taking shape.
Era Mike Uremovich · 2025–presentPrev: Mike Neu (2016–2024)DC: Jeff KnowlesPrev DC: Tyler Stockton (2020–2023)
2
years · era
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
The 2020 MAC Championship
since 2020
In a COVID-shortened eight-game season, Ball State upset nationally-ranked #23 Buffalo 38-28 at Ford Field to win its first MAC title since 1996 -- scoring three touchdowns in the final 5:55 of the first half to seize control. Quarterback Drew Plitt was named Offensive MVP after throwing for 263 yards and three touchdowns and adding a rushing score.
The 1990s MAC Titles (1993, 1996)
since 1993
Ball State won MAC championships in 1993 (8-3-1) and 1996, both capped by Las Vegas Bowl appearances. Punter Brad Maynard, a two-way standout who won both MAC MVP and MAC Defensive Player of the Year in 1996, still holds the program's career punting records.
Charlie Cardinal
since 1970
Charlie Cardinal is the university's mascot, embodying the cardinal-red-and-black identity that has anchored Ball State athletics for decades.
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
1993 MAC Championship
Ball State goes 8-3-1, wins the MAC, and plays in the Las Vegas Bowl
1996 MAC Championship
The program's second title in four years, again capped by a Las Vegas Bowl trip
2020 upset of #23 Buffalo
Ball State scores three touchdowns in the final 5:55 of the first half and holds on to win 38-28, ending a 24-year title drought
Moment of the Year · Ball State · 2025
Moment of the Year · Ball State · 2025Won 42-28 vs Akron
Week 8 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Bowl / Postseason LedgerRecent postseason (2020-2021): 1-1
Most recent: 2021 — loss 20-51 (home). Last 5 postseason: 1-1.
20212020
NFL Draft Pipeline
2023–2023
NFL Draft PipelineThin
1 picks last 5 cycles. Roster development still maturing.
1
picks · 0 R1
#250
Nic Jones
Cornerback · 2023 · Kansas City · #59/322 final season
#174 all-time in draft picksthe talent factory →
Unit lineage
Ball State’s offense and defense, by coordinator
FBS-relative efficiency percentile per season (2014–2025), same population as the Coordinator Mirror board. Dashed vertical lines mark a coordinator change.
Offense2014–2025
2014–2019 · Joey Lynch2020–2022 · Kevin Lynch2023 · co-Jared Elliott / Kevin Lynch2024 · Jared Elliott
Defense2014–2025
2014–2015 · Kevin Kelly2016 · Tim Daoust2017–2018 · David Elson2019 · David Elson / co-Tyler Stockton2020–2023 · Tyler Stockton2024–2025 (ongoing) · Jeff Knowles
Elite (≥70th pct)AveragePoor (≤30th pct)
Chronicle Visuals
A heavy-turnover 2025: 8% returning (below average), with the offense the biggest question.
The portal upgraded the QB room but opened a hole at S.
Ball State converts recruit talent into draft picks better than its class rank suggests.
r/cfb moments
369
[Postgame Thread] Ball State Defeats Buffalo 38-28
All-time top community posts · ranked by upvotes
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site