The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Mike Uremovich

4–8
2025–now · 1 stint
← all coaches

In his own words

Awaiting signal — no quotes collected from this staff yet this cycle.

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerBALL STATERegional Programthe building-block levelBall State, 2025: 4-8, Regional Program V2025Ball State, 2026: in progress, Regional Program V2026-2.0One point per coached season, in career order; dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).

Ball State, 2 seasons (active)
−2.0
Regional Program V → Regional Program V.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%Ball State2025–2026▲ 16.0pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

0–1 against his rivals.

Rivalry record
0–1
0.0% · 1 rival
One-score games
1–0
100.0% · margin ≤8
vs. Blue Blood or better
0–1
0.0%
Buyout owed
$1,200,000 (est.)
bigger than 5% of FBS buyouts
Rivalry ledger
Performance by opponent class
Blue Blood
0–1 0.0%
Regional Program
2–5 28.6%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Defense marginal impact
+0.11
#85 of 325 · a typical amount

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2025–now
Ball State
too new to grade yet

10th-best Ball State tenure of 10 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Underperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent
-35.6 pts
#206 of 208 · less than most
Defense vs. talent
+11.9 pts
#63 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Mike Neu (2016–2024).

Season20252026Trend
Record & result
Record4–80–0
Postseason
Recruiting rank#119#113
Style — pass rate
Pass rate37.953.9
Coordinators
OC
DCJeff KnowlesJeff Knowles
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense37
Defense513
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%33.351.3
Red-zone pass%40.0
4th-down go%opp. territory45.5
Roster construction · portal era

A portal-built roster.

Portal arrivals
48
3.0★ avg rating
Portal departures
52
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-4
#26 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in

Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.

Avg. size (raw)
6′1″, 225 lbs
across 36 of 48 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
-0.1 lbs
#233 of 255 · less than most
Avg. class year
Jr
#250 of 255 · less than most
Top states: IL (6), OH (5), CA (5), FL (4), GA (3)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
51.6
position-weighted
Talent lost
53.6
position-weighted
Net
-2.0
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Tyler Mizzell (QB) from Concord
Biggest loss: Kadin Semonza (QB) to Tulane
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Tight end via the portal
100%
#1 of 188 stints
Buys Edge via the portal
83%
#9 of 208 stints

AI Narratives — “Ball State — stat check”.

4–8
How to read this. Bands and archetypes come from the Zeitgeist List’s season-by-season stature model, and only apply once a stint clears 3 coached seasons in our ledger — a newer stint shows its real record with no stature judgment yet.