cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tyler Warren /Penn State

Tyler Warren

TE · Penn State · Sr · #44

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLIndianapolis — drafted 2025, Rd 1, Pick 14, #14 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

IndianapolisEntering 2nd NFL season

#14Rd 1 · Pick 14
IndianapolisEntering 2nd NFL season

TE · PENN STATE · BIG TEN

Tyler Warren

  • 4
  • #44
  • 6-6 | 257 lb
  • Mechanicsville, VA

CFB Zeitgeist TE Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#1612

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2021

Penn State · TE

2022

Penn State · TE

2023

Penn State · TE

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 1, Pick 14 · #14 overall · Indianapolis

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2023
61.02021
1232022
4222023

+592%

Up 592% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#543 national
CFB
College
Penn State
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
R1 &middot; #14
Indianapolis &middot; 2025

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey44
Measurements6-6 | 257 lb
HometownMechanicsville, VA
Primary teamPenn State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 543 recruit
Composite rating 0.8785 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin Atlee Mechanicsville, VA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8785 No. 543 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1612Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1244Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8785

#543 national

NFL Draft

2025 · Rd 1, Pick 14

#14 overall · Indianapolis

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tyler Warren

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tyler Warren

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Tyler Warren already has 10 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #1612 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 10 honors loaded

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 34 7 rec TD | #37/475 (92nd pct)
Receiving yards 422 12.4 per catch | #32/475 (93rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 422 Total offensive yardage | #32/475 (93rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
34 92nd
YDS
422 93rd
YPR
12.4 77th
TD
7 100th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Penn State7-5HC: James Franklin · Balanced
2022Penn State11-2HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2023Penn State10-3HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2023Penn State3442212.47--
2022Penn State1012312.33--
2021Penn State56112.21--
Career3 loaded seasons4960612.411--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.0% 2.1% pass-game share | #459/468 (2nd pct)
Return yards 11 0 return TD
Touchdowns 7 Across offense and returns | #2/475 (100th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 34 #37/475 92nd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 422 #32/475 93rd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 7 #2/475 100th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 12.4 #111/475 77th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 2.1% #459/468 2nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 75 #5/475 99th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.4% #231/468 51st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 2.6% #260/468 45th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 2.0% #339/468 28th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 2.0% #12/468 98th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 1.1% #374/468 20th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.9% #335/468 29th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 0.4% #401/468 15th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

James Franklin

Pass share

42.0%

339 pass / 469 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

230 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

1 coach
2021
James Franklin
Penn State
2022
James Franklin
Penn State
2023
James Franklin
Penn State

Played his entire career under James Franklin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMechanicsville, VA
Height6'6"
Weight257 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey44

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

10 entries
🥇

ALL-AMERICA

Named All-American (2024)

6 selectors honored him

🏅

POSITION AWARDS

Mackey

2024 season

🥈

ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM

All-Conf 1st team (2024)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-America

6 All-America selections

National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.

All-Conference

3 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 Mackey position_award Penn State | Mackey winner | TE
2024 All-America (SI) all_america SI AP-RET
2024 All-America (The Athletic) all_america Penn State | The Athletic TE
2024 All-America (ESPN) all_america Penn State | ESPN TE
2024 All-America (CBS) all_america Penn State | CBS TE
2024 All-America (FWAA) all_america Penn State | FWAA TE
2024 All-America (SN) all_america Penn State | SN TE
2024 All-Big Ten all_conference Penn State | Big Ten TE
2024 All-Big Ten all_conference Penn State | Big Ten KWAL
2023 All-Big Ten all_conference Penn State | Big Ten TE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Penn State TE4 #1612 #1244 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Penn State TE4 #248 #222 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Penn State TE4 #627 #510 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Penn State TE4 #1403 #1259 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Penn State Big Ten TE 4 No. 44 | 6-6 | 257 lb | Mechanicsville, VA
2023 Penn State Big Ten TE 4 No. 44 | 6-6 | 257 lb | Mechanicsville, VA
2022 Penn State Big Ten TE 4 No. 44 | 6-6 | 257 lb | Mechanicsville, VA
2021 Penn State Big Ten TE 4 No. 44 | 6-6 | 257 lb | Mechanicsville, VA