cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Parker Navarro /Ohio

Parker Navarro

QB · Ohio · Sr · #13

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

2,375 PASS YDS · 14 PASS TD · 886 RUSH YDS

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Ohio)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Ohio
DestinationTBD

QB · OHIO · MID-AMERICAN

Parker Navarro

  • 4
  • #13
  • 6-0 | 205 lb
  • Phoenix, AZ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

54

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 73rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#103

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

5 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2021

UCF · QB

2022

Ohio · QB

2023

Ohio · QB

2024

Ohio · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Ohio · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2025
4.02021
43.02022
1852023
2,4232024
2,3752025

+59275%

Up 59275% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1448 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey13
Measurements6-0 | 205 lb
HometownPhoenix, AZ
Primary teamOhio

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1448 recruit
Composite rating 0.8422 HighSchool
Signed with UCF 2020
Origin Desert Vista Phoenix, AZ, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8422 No. 1448 recruit | HighSchool | UCF

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Professional 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility PendingAppeal Jan 16, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Ohio -> Professional 3-star | 0.8700 | PendingAppeal
2022 UCF -> Ohio 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#103Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#166Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (886).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UCF

Composite

0.8422

#1448 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Parker Navarro

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

0

Skeptical

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief -100 · "Parker Navarro struggles in Ohio Football’s 17-13 loss to Western Michigan &nbsp"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Parker Navarro

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

final
Through 13g
2,375Pass yards
14Pass TDs
11INT
Per game
182.7Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Final
2,375Pass yards
14Pass TDs
11INT

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Parker Navarro's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Ohio, he has 2,375 passing yards and 14 touchdown passes, but he also adds 886 rushing yards and 9 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #103 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 50.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 2,375 14 TD | 11 INT | #73/382 (81st pct)
Completion rate 62.0% 188/303 completions | #182/383 (53rd pct)
Yards/attempt 7.8 Explosiveness through the air | #103/382 (73rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Steady volumeDual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
188 78th
ATT
303 80th
CMP%
62.0% 53rd
Y/A
7.8 73rd

Passing Production

YDS
2,375 81st
TD
14 81st
INT
11 5th

Rushing

CAR
161 97th
YDS
886 98th
YPC
5.5 81st
TD
9 95th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 31-34@ Rutgers21/31239307.793.83 TD passes
Wk 2W 17-10vs West Virginia22/31247138.048.33 INTs — rough day
Wk 3L 9-37@ Ohio State6/1394107.254.8
Wk 4W 52-35vs Gardner-Webb18/272901010.770.7
Wk 5W 35-20vs Bowling Green17/25208218.374.3
Wk 6L 14-20@ Ball State16/29188106.534.9
Wk 8W 48-21vs Northern Illinois17/23205018.986.0
Wk 9W 28-21@ Eastern Michigan23/283152211.350.9Season-high 315 yds
Wk 11W 24-20vs Miami (OH)16/31201116.548.6
Wk 12L 13-17@ Western Michigan8/1970013.733.1
Wk 13W 42-14vs Massachusetts3/828003.521.4
Wk 14W 31-26@ Buffalo10/23147216.478.1
BowlW 17-10vs UNLV11/15143019.555.4
Total188/303237514117.657.7
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021UCF8-4HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-leaning
2022Ohio10-4HC: Tim Albin · Balanced
2023Ohio10-3HC: Tim Albin · Run-leaning
2024Ohio11-3HC: Tim Albin · Run-heavy
2025Ohio9-4HC: Brian Smith · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio18830362.0%2,3757.81411135.9----
2024Ohio19529566.1%2,4238.21311142.2----
2023Ohio182669.2%1857.131159.4----
2022Ohio51241.7%433.60071.8----
2021UCF1250.0%42.00066.8----
Career5 loaded seasons40763863.8%5,0307.93023138.3----
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio1618865.59--
2024Ohio1601,0476.518--
2023Ohio251787.10--
2022Ohio9-4-0.40--
2021UCF7547.73--
Career5 loaded seasons3622,1616.030--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 886 9 rush TD | #9/408 (98th pct)
Usage 50.1% 96.7% pass share | 22.9% rush share | #82/428 (81st pct)
Passing WEPA +0.29 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #87/200 (57th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 2,375 #73/382 81st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 14 #77/407 81st pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 188 #84/383 78th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 62.0% #182/383 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.8 #103/382 73rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 886 #9/408 98th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.29 #87/200 57th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 293 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 50.1% #82/428 81st pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 303 #81/407 80th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 11 #386/407 5th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 161 #14/408 97th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 44 #56/391 86th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 9 #23/408 95th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.5 #79/407 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 96.7% #10/428 98th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 64.3% #84/428 81st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 61.4% #94/428 78th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 50.7% #73/428 83rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 44.4% #81/428 81st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 43.8% #79/428 82nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 22.9% #45/428 90th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.28 #51/140 64th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 125 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 5 #252/258 3rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home7g1890.77.91.0
Road6g1761.57.10.7

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins9g1981.08.11.1
Losses4g1481.26.30.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g2011.38.30.7
Weeks 8+6g1610.86.71.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

54Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (95th). Strength: rush tds (86th). Concern: fumbles lost (2nd).

Rush yards#9 / 183 · 95th pct
886rush
Rush TDs#21 / 183 · 86th pct
9rush
Yards / att#48 / 183 · 73rd pct
7.8pass
Pass yards#73 / 183 · 60th pct
2375pass
Pass TDs#77 / 183 · 58th pct
14pass
Completion %#99 / 183 · 46th pct
62.0%pass
Interceptions#162 / 183 · 10th pct
11pass
Fumbles lost#168 / 174 · 2nd pct
5fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

119/186 (64.0%) · 9 TD · 4 INT

Short

0–9 yds
39%of completions
46 comp5.7 yds avg1 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
45%of completions
53 comp13.3 yds avg3 TD

Deep

20+ yds
17%of completions
20 comp31.2 yds avg5 TD

Overall 64.0% completion on 186 attempts · 20 deep completions averaging 31.2 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.290
43th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.29Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.28Mid (p50–p75) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Parker NavarroOhioJake RetzlaffTulane· 84% simBear BachmeierBYU· 82% simNoah KimEastern Michigan· 81% sim
Rush yards
95
Navarro
89
Retzlaff
83
Bachmeier
59
Kim
Rush TDs
86
Navarro
98
Retzlaff
93
Bachmeier
74
Kim
Yards / att
73
Navarro
81
Retzlaff
73
Bachmeier
46
Kim
Pass yards
60
Navarro
86
Retzlaff
81
Bachmeier
76
Kim
Pass TDs
58
Navarro
60
Retzlaff
60
Bachmeier
72
Kim
Completion %
46
Navarro
45
Retzlaff
69
Bachmeier
42
Kim
Interceptions
10
Navarro
44
Retzlaff
44
Bachmeier
10
Kim
Fumbles lost
2
Navarro
8
Retzlaff
18
Bachmeier
18
Kim

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Scrambler

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Parker Navarro’s 2024 season.

Parker Navarro

80%match

Ohio · 2024

All-MAC
#2

Zevi Eckhaus

Washington State · 2025

71%
#3

John Rhys Plumlee

UCF · 2022

70%
#4

Jake Retzlaff

BYU · 2024

65%
#5

Jalon Daniels

Kansas · 2024

64%

Matches Parker on

Yards / attempt
Completion %
TD rate

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jack Abraham’s path through Southern Miss.

Jack Abraham

94%match

Southern Miss · 2020

All-Conference USA
#2

Anthony Colandrea

UNLV · 2025

All-Mountain West
92%
#3

Tyler Huff

Jacksonville State · 2024

83%
#4

Zac Thomas

App State · 2020

All-Sun Belt
81%
#5

Jalon Daniels

Kansas · 2025

All-Big 12
80%

Matches Jack on

Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Zevi Eckhaus's graduate season at Washington State (2025).

Zevi Eckhaus

70%match

Washington State · 2025

#2

Kaidon Salter

Colorado · 2025

All-Conference USA
59%
#3

Ta'Quan Roberson

Buffalo · 2025

52%
#4

Blake Shapen

Mississippi State · 2025

50%
#5

Jalon Daniels

Kansas · 2024

All-Big 12
49%

Matches Zevi on

Weight
Total pass EPA (college ability)

Differs from Zevi on

Rush yards / carry (higher)
Rush usage (higher)
Yards / attempt (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brian Smith

Pass share

36.6%

311 pass / 539 run

Plays / game

65.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

278 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Tim Albin
Ohio
2022
Tim Albin
Ohio
2023
Tim Albin
Ohio
2024
Tim Albin
Ohio
2025
Brian Smith
Ohio
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Tim Albin → Brian Smith. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPhoenix, AZ
Height6'0"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey13

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-MAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-MAC all_conference Ohio | MAC QB
2024 All-MAC all_conference Ohio | MAC QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Ohio QB4 #103 #166 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Ohio QB4 #193 #178 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Ohio QB4 #1439 #1213 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American
2021 UCF QB4 #1121 #997 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ohio Mid-American QB 4 No. 13 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Phoenix, AZ
2024 Ohio Mid-American QB 4 No. 13 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Phoenix, AZ
2023 Ohio Mid-American QB 4 No. 13 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Phoenix, AZ
2022 Ohio Mid-American QB 4 No. 13 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Phoenix, AZ
2021 UCF American Athletic QB 4 No. 13 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Phoenix, AZ