cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / J'Dan Burnett /Tulsa

J'Dan Burnett

DL · Tulsa · Jr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

28 TACKLES · 6.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Tulsa for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Tulsa for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Tulsa

Returning around him

  • 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (21 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Tulsa · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #85 · 2026 recruiting class #109

DL · TULSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

J'Dan Burnett

  • 3
  • #11
  • 6-0 | 250 lb
  • Fort Worth, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

70

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12410

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#864 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class3
Jersey11
Measurements6-0 | 250 lb
HometownFort Worth, TX
Primary teamTulsa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 864 recruit
Composite rating 0.8622 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Nolan Catholic Fort Worth, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8622 No. 864 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12410Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12455Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8622

#864 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on J'Dan Burnett

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about J'Dan Burnett

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
28Tackles
9.5Tackles for loss
6.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.8Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Projected (13g)
30Tackles
10.3Tackles for loss
7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 28): needs 52/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 28): needs 72/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 6.5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 6.5): needs 3.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

J'Dan Burnett is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Tulsa's defense, with 6.5 sacks, 9.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12410 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 28 14 solo | #1469/4942 (70th pct)
TFL 9.5 Backfield disruption | #126/4972 (97th pct)
Sacks 6.5 Pass-rush finish | #55/4972 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
28 70th
SOLO
14 67th
TFL
9.5 97th
SACK
6.5 99th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 35-7vs Abilene Christian322.02.002 sacks
Wk 2L 14-21@ New Mexico State222.01.01
Wk 3L 23-42vs Navy531.01.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 4W 19-12@ Oklahoma State322.01.00
Wk 5L 14-31vs Tulane100.50.50
Wk 6L 7-45@ Memphis210.50.50
Wk 8L 27-41@ East Carolina310.50.50
Wk 9L 37-38vs Temple110.00.00
Wk 11L 21-40@ Florida Atlantic311.00.00
Wk 12W 31-14vs Oregon State200.00.00
Wk 13W 26-25@ Army100.00.00
Wk 14L 24-31vs UAB210.00.00
Total28149.56.51
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Louisiana Tech3-9HC: Skip Holtz · Balanced
2022Louisiana Tech3-9HC: Sonny Cumbie · Balanced
2023Louisiana Tech3-9HC: Sonny Cumbie · Balanced
2025Tulsa4-8HC: Tre Lamb · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Tulsa28149.56.51----
2023Louisiana Tech1363.01.5------
2022Louisiana Tech19123.51.02----
2021Louisiana Tech110.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons613316.09.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 28 #1469/4942 70th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 9.5 #126/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 6.5 #55/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 14 #1520/4584 67th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.30.60.60.0
Road6g2.31.00.50.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g2.21.00.80.0
Losses8g2.40.70.40.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.71.31.00.2
Weeks 8+6g2.00.20.10.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

70Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (97th). Strength: tackles for loss (95th).

Sacks#55 / 2975 · 98th pct
6.5defe
Tackles for loss#126 / 2975 · 96th pct
9.5defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Tackles#1469 / 2975 · 49th pct
28defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Solo tackles#1520 / 2975 · 47th pct
14defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
J'Dan BurnettTulsaJackson KuwatchMiami (OH)· 72% simKhalil MurdockBuffalo· 71% simBryun ParhamUConn· 70% sim
Sacks
98
Burnett
96
Kuwatch
96
Murdock
99
Parham
Tackles for loss
96
Burnett
96
Kuwatch
99
Murdock
99
Parham
QB hurries
55
Burnett
55
Kuwatch
55
Murdock
55
Parham
Tackles
49
Burnett
98
Kuwatch
100
Murdock
100
Parham
Passes defended
48
Burnett
48
Kuwatch
48
Murdock
48
Parham
Solo tackles
47
Burnett
95
Kuwatch
98
Murdock
99
Parham

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The 3-Tech Penetrator

Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to TyJuan Garbutt’s 2022 season.

TyJuan Garbutt

77%match

Virginia Tech · 2022

#2

Mikail Kamara

Indiana · 2024

All-Big Ten
74%
#3

David Reese

California · 2024

72%
#4

Mohamed Kamara

Colorado State · 2022

All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 5
70%
#5

Jaquon Griffin

Coastal Carolina · 2022

70%

Matches TyJuan on

Weight
TFL rate
Class year

Differs from TyJuan on

Height (lower)
Sack rate (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Darryl Peterson's graduate season at Wisconsin (2025).

Darryl Peterson

26%match

Wisconsin · 2025

#2

David Reese

California · 2024

25%
#3

Johnny Walker

Missouri · 2024

20%
#4

Ethan Hurkett

Iowa · 2025

19%
#5

Romello Height

Texas Tech · 2025

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 6
19%

Matches Darryl on

TFL rate
Weight
Height

Differs from Darryl on

Class year (lower)
Sack rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tre Lamb

Pass share

45.9%

407 pass / 480 run

Plays / game

73.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.2%

357 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Philip Montgomery
Tulsa
2022
Philip Montgomery
Tulsa
2023
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
era →
2025
Tre Lamb
Tulsa
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Philip Montgomery, Kevin Wilson, and Tre Lamb. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFort Worth, TX
Height6'0"
Weight250 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisiana Tech DL3 #12410 #12455 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Louisiana Tech DL3 #13482 #14014 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Louisiana Tech DL3 #13113 #13640 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Louisiana Tech DL3 #13713 #13700 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tulsa American Athletic DL 3 No. 11 | 6-0 | 250 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2024 Louisiana Tech Conference USA DL 3 No. 11 | 6-0 | 250 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2023 Louisiana Tech Conference USA DL 3 No. 11 | 6-0 | 250 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2022 Louisiana Tech Conference USA DL 3 No. 11 | 6-0 | 250 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2021 Louisiana Tech Conference USA DL 3 No. 11 | 6-0 | 250 lb | Fort Worth, TX