Rutgers 37-30 Maryland (Oct 17, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Rutgers · Maryland

Rutgers2-437

Maryland2-530Final

Sat, Oct 17 · SECU Stadium, College Park, Md. · Crowd 39,326BTN

Rutgers beat Maryland 37-30 after its win chance fell to 9%.

Winners have been down to 9% or less in about 1 of every 12 games since 2018.

We had Maryland favored. Rutgers won.

Next: Rutgers at Northwestern, Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET · Rutgers underdog by 16.5

Next: Maryland vs Illinois, Sat Oct 31

Top comment in the game thread

I can get you to a 2-10 record for only $200,000. Hire me.

Q4 4:46 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 17

How it swung

The turning point: Thevenin 7-yd TD run, Rutgers goes ahead 30-23 (Q4, 12:52). Rutgers went from 47% to 71% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Rutgers a 36% chance, and the closing betting line (Rutgers was a 5.5-point underdog) put it at 33%.

Specialist touchdown

Rutgers · Q4 12:52

FinalRutgers 37-30 MarylandRutgers wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The two plays that swung it

1Q4 12:52Thevenin 7-yd TD run, Rutgers goes ahead 30-23Rutgers 47% → 71% (+24)
2Q4 1:26Washington 10-yd runRutgers 73% → 88% (+15)

The two plays that swung it

1Q4 12:52Thevenin 7-yd TD run, Rutgers goes ahead 30-23Maryland 53% → 29% (−24)
2Q4 1:26Washington 10-yd runMaryland 27% → 12% (−15)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q2 4:18Maryland fans celebrate a blocked extra point after Rutgers scores a touchdownSlop bowl gang rise upr/CFB game threadSimpletons cannot comprehend the elite level of gameplay happening rnr/CFB game thread
Q4 4:46Rutgers scores to lead 37-23, sparking Maryland fans to demand Locksley's firingThere arent even enough fans to get a good Fire Locksley chant going. This is like watching a loved one die a slow death.r/CFB game threadQuoted at the top of the page.
Q4 2:13Maryland fans despair as Rutgers leads 37-30 with 2:13 leftFrom a purely on field perspective yesr/CFB game threadWhy am I watching this? I could be playing video games.r/CFB game thread
Q4 0:21Maryland's final pass is ruled incomplete, ending the game and sparking Locksley firing callsI thought it was a classic whatever is called on the field has to standr/CFB game thread

Rutgers’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Maryland -5.5), at 28% for Rutgers (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Maryland or Rutgers flair (355 and 216); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Rutgers’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Rutgers scored on 6 of its 11 drives; Maryland on 4 of its 11.

Rutgers’s drives are teal, Maryland’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Maryland’s side

Maryland’s best moment: Washington 17-yd run (Q4 1:17). It lifted Maryland’s win chance by 14 points.

How Maryland fans took it: “Think there should be more shaming in letting Rutgers score 24 points in the second half” r/CFB game thread

“This does not feel right”

A Rutgers fan

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans saved the biggest reaction for the closing minutes.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was steady.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Maryland fans

locksley“I will never forgive Rutgers if they choke this and Locksley keeps his job.”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, least, fired, worse.

The winner fell to 8%.

Box score

Rutgers 37, Maryland 30

Rutgers covered +5.5 by 12.5. The total, 67, went over 55.5.

Team totals	Rutgers	Maryland
Total yards	442	378
Passing	23 of 35, 291 yds	19 of 38, 263 yds
Rushing	39 for 151 yds	26 for 115 yds
First downs	28	19
Third down	9 of 14	4 of 13
Fourth down	1 of 1	3 of 4
Turnovers	1	0
Penalties	4 for 39 yds	4 for 39 yds
Time of possession	35:52	24:08

Rutgers leaders

Passing Dylan Lonergan 23 of 35, 291 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Clay Thevenin 17 for 109 yds, 1 TD; Antwan Raymond 16 for 29 yds, 1 TD
Receiving KJ Duff 9 for 113 yds, 2 TD; Dyzier Carter 6 for 88 yds

Maryland leaders

Passing Malik Washington 19 of 38, 263 yds, 2 TD
Rushing Malik Washington 9 for 56 yds; DeJuan Williams 9 for 39 yds
Receiving Chris Durr Jr. 6 for 104 yds; Jayden Kitchens 3 for 50 yds

No rain through the game

54° at kickoff · no rain recorded

October game-day temperatures at SECU Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Fourth quarter, 12:52 left3:11 p.m.

Rutgers 30, Maryland 23 · Maryland 29% to win

no rain · 58°

Thevenin 7-yd TD run, Rutgers goes ahead 30-23

Measured at College Park airport, 1.5 miles away, and Washington/national airport, 11 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

This is Maryland-Rutgers — see the full head-to-head history →

Recent games

Last three games

Rutgers · 1-4

Rated 68th in our preseason ratings, 104th now, down 36 spots.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 15-47 vs IndianaTop 25 #6 of 668

lost by 32 as a 24.5-point underdog

W 58-7 vs Howard #225 of 668

won by 51 as a 42.5-point favorite

L 35-42 vs USCTop 25 #29 of 668

lost by 7 as a 21-point underdog

L 21-28 @ Boston College #136 of 668

lost by 7 as a 3-point underdog

L 21-37 vs Massachusetts #244 of 668

lost by 16 as a 29.5-point favorite

Last three games

Maryland · 2-4

Rated 76th in our preseason ratings, 87th now, down 11 spots.

Three straight losses, each by 20 or more.

L 16-45 @ Ohio StateTop 25 #2 of 668

lost by 29 as a 31.5-point underdog

L 23-48 @ Nebraska #19 of 668

lost by 25 as a 15.5-point underdog

L 3-54 vs UCLATop 25 #36 of 668

lost by 51 as a 2.5-point underdog

L 26-35 vs Virginia Tech #40 of 668

lost by 9 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 38-14 @ UConn #116 of 668

won by 24 as an 11.5-point favorite

W 62-0 vs Hampton #265 of 668

won by 62 as a 45.5-point favorite

Week by week

Maryland

Wk 2Wat UConn38-14
Wk 3Lvs Virginia Tech26-35
Wk 4Lvs UCLA3-54
Wk 5Lat Nebraska23-48
Wk 6Lat Ohio State16-45

Rutgers

Wk 1Lvs Massachusetts21-37
Wk 2Lat Boston College21-28
Wk 3Lvs USC35-42
Wk 4Wvs Howard58-7
Wk 5Lvs Indiana15-47

Power rating by week

Maryland is rated 1.2 points ahead as of week 6. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Maryland’s rushing EPA against Rutgers, 55 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Maryland’s rushing EPA against Rutgers’s defense
Maryland offense, 61st percentile · Rutgers defense, 6th
Rutgers’s explosive plays against Maryland’s defense
Rutgers offense, 86th percentile · Maryland defense, 63rd
Rutgers’s success rate against Maryland’s defense
Rutgers offense, 63rd percentile · Maryland defense, 40th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

RutgersMaryland

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Maryland leads the series 12-9

21 meetings since 1920 · Rutgers has won the last 2

2025Rutgers 35-20
2024Rutgers 31-17
2023Maryland 42-24
2022Maryland 37-0
2021Maryland 40-16

Each line is Maryland’s chance to win through that meeting. Maryland is 0-2 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Rutgers fans are in a better mood than Maryland fans (47th vs 5th among FBS fanbases), even with Maryland favored.

Maryland favored by 5.5 · Total 55.5

How games like this usually go

Maryland by 5.5, on the usual path until 0:21 left in the fourth

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Maryland.

The total fell 3 points.

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Maryland is worth +2.9 points (±5.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 28th percentile.

43% at home, 32% on the road against FBS opponents (20-27 home, 13-28 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.7 at home vs. away over 94 games — inside the ±7.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 169 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Rutgers 27, Maryland 24Dec 12, 2020

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Maryland16th0-3
Rutgers14th0-2

Full Big Ten standings

Rutgers beats Maryland 37-30