Nebraska beats Maryland 48-23

Maryland2-323
Nebraska5-048Final
Sat, Oct 3 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE), Lincoln, Neb. · Crowd 85,033FS1

Nebraska beat Maryland 48-23.

We had Nebraska favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

You reading this have been assessed a 15 yard penalty

Q2 0:25 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 3

How it swung

The turning point: Williams 3-yd TD run, Maryland leads 23-14 (Q2, 8:54). Nebraska went from 81% to 59% to win. Fans right then: “I hate the term defenseless player man. It’s football. That being said that was a penalty” r/CFB game thread

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Nebraska an 88% chance, and the closing betting line (Nebraska was a 15.5-point favorite) put it at 89%.

Favored the whole way: Nebraska never fell below 50%.

Maryland never had better than a 50% chance.

Pick-sixNebraska · Q2 2:4134 unansweredNebraska · Q2 0:05
FinalNebraska 48-23 MarylandNebraska wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q490% at halfNebraskaWon48-2312−22+22Scores34 unansweredNebraskaMarylandNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 3 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 2 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 5 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 11 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 11 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 14 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 14 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 21 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 17 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 13 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 6 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 17 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 11 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 3 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 5 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 14 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 16 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 6 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 8 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 11 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q490% at halfNebraskaWon48-2312Scores34 unansweredNebraskaMarylandNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 3 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 2 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 5 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 11 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 11 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 14 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 14 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 21 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 17 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 13 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 6 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 17 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 11 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 3 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 5 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 14 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 16 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 6 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 8 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 11 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q410% at halfNebraskaLowest 0%Lost23-4812+22−22Scores34 unansweredMarylandNebraskaMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 8 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 11 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 3 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 2 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 5 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 11 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 11 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 14 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 14 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 21 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 17 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 13 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 6 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 17 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 11 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 3 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 5 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 14 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 16 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 6 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q410% at halfNebraskaLowest 0%Lost23-4812Scores34 unansweredMarylandNebraskaMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 8 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 11 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 5 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 7 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 6 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 4 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 3 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 2 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 0 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteMaryland fans: 1 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 3 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 2 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 5 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 11 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 11 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 14 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 14 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 21 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 17 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 13 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 6 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 17 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 4 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 11 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 3 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 7 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 12 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 5 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 10 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 9 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 14 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 16 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 6 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minuteNebraska fans: 8 comments a minute

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q2 8:54Williams 3-yd TD run, Maryland leads 23-14Nebraska 81% → 59% (−22)
  2. 2Q2 2:41InterceptionWashington intercepted by McDougle at the Nebraska 19 and returned for a TD, cuts it to 23-21Nebraska 61% → 83% (+22)

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q2 8:54Williams 3-yd TD run, Maryland leads 23-14Maryland 19% → 41% (+22)
  2. 2Q2 2:41InterceptionWashington intercepted by McDougle at the Nebraska 19 and returned for a TD, cuts it to 23-21Maryland 39% → 17% (−22)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q2 7:00Nebraska commits kick catch interference on a punt, sparking outrage from fansI hate the term defenseless player man. It’s football. That being said that was a penaltyr/CFB game thread8/71 on penalties in one half lmaor/CFB game thread
  2. Q2 4:05McDougle intercepts Washington for a touchdown as fans celebrate the defensive scoreWashington wants locksely fired. He’s committedr/CFB game threadIf it wasnt for defensive TD's this game would be out of hand.r/CFB game thread
  3. Q2 0:25Fans react to excessive penalties as Nebraska scores to take halftime leadQuoted at the top of the page.This has to be a combined record for penalties in a half. This is ridiculous.r/CFB game thread
Nebraska’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Nebraska -15.5), at 90% for Nebraska (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Nebraska or Maryland flair (1,691 and 666); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Nebraska’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 9:11Nelson 19-yd TD runNebraska goes ahead 7-3Q1, 9:11 · Nebraska 7, Maryland 3▲7%Nebraska’s chance to win, 84% to 91%▲7%Nebraska’s chance to win, 84% to 91%Watch from this playBig Ten Football
  2. Q1, 8:33Washington 65-yd TD pass to DurrMaryland goes ahead 10-7Q1, 8:33 · Nebraska 7, Maryland 10▼7%Nebraska’s chance to win, 90% to 83%▼7%Nebraska’s chance to win, 90% to 83%Watch from this playBig Ten Football
  3. Q2, 12:37Nelson 5-yd TD runcuts it to 16-14Q2, 12:37 · Nebraska 14, Maryland 16▲17%Nebraska’s chance to win, 64% to 81%▲17%Nebraska’s chance to win, 64% to 81%Watch from this playBig Ten Football
  4. Q2, 2:41Washington intercepted by McDougle at the Nebraska 19 and returned for a TDcuts it to 23-21Q2, 2:41 · Nebraska 21, Maryland 23▲22%Nebraska’s chance to win, 61% to 83%▲22%Nebraska’s chance to win, 61% to 83%Watch from this playBig Ten Football
  5. Q4, 14:58Genatone 1-yd TD runNebraska leads 35-23Q4, 14:58 · Nebraska 35, Maryland 23▲5%Nebraska’s chance to win, 91% to 96%▲5%Nebraska’s chance to win, 91% to 96%Watch from this playBig Ten Football
  6. Q4, 10:32Colandrea 5-yd TD pass to GilmerNebraska leads 42-23Q4, 10:32 · Nebraska 42, Maryland 23▲2%Nebraska’s chance to win, 98% to 100%▲2%Nebraska’s chance to win, 98% to 100%Watch from this playBig Ten Football
  7. Q4, 6:35Colandrea 30-yd TD pass to GilmerNebraska leads 48-23Q4, 6:35 · Nebraska 48, Maryland 2348-23score after the play48-23score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football
  8. Q4, 4:32Washington sacked for a 10-yd lossQ4, 4:32 · Nebraska 48, Maryland 2348-23score after the play48-23score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football

Every drive

Nebraska scored on 6 of its 14 drives; Maryland on 5 of its 16.

Nebraska’s drives are teal, Maryland’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Maryland: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 8Field goalNebraska: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntMaryland: Punt, from 86 yards out to 68PuntNebraska: Touchdown, from 19 yards out to 0TouchdownMaryland: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownNebraska: Punt, from 76 yards out to 85PuntMaryland: Field goal, from 61 yards out to 24Field goalNebraska: Interception, from 80 yards out to 78InterceptionMaryland: Field goal, from 19 yards out to 14Field goalNebraska: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Maryland: Interception, from 53 yards out to 53InterceptionNebraska: Turned over on downs, from 43 yards out to 26DownsMaryland: Touchdown, from 59 yards out to 0TouchdownNebraska: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntMaryland: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 61 yards out to 25Interception TDMaryland: Punt, from 65 yards out to 61PuntNebraska: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownMaryland: End of half, from 75 yards out to 71End of halfQ3Nebraska: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 34Missed FGMaryland: Punt, from 66 yards out to 50PuntNebraska: Punt, from 67 yards out to 52PuntMaryland: Punt, from 90 yards out to 87PuntNebraska: Touchdown, from 58 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Maryland: Punt, from 76 yards out to 60PuntNebraska: Touchdown, from 85 yards out to 0TouchdownMaryland: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 57DownsNebraska: Touchdown, from 43 yards out to 0TouchdownMaryland: Punt, from 75 yards out to 61PuntNebraska: Punt, from 89 yards out to 85PuntMaryland: End of game, from 59 yards out to 26End of game

From Maryland’s side

Maryland’s best moment: Williams 3-yd TD run, Maryland leads 23-14 (Q2 8:54). It lifted Maryland’s win chance by 22 points.

How Maryland fans took it: “GL rest of season cornpeople” r/CFB game thread

“If it wasnt for defensive TD's this game would be out of hand.”
A Nebraska fan

How fans reacted

Quiet

Fans were loudest in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was busy.

FirstSecondThirdFourthNebraska fansMaryland fansusual

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Maryland fans

locksley“Thank you Nebraska for being one of our many stops on the Mike *Locksley* humiliation tour. You did not disappoint”

fired“Nobody is a chiller game thread opponent as a fan base that 100% wants the coach fired”

fire“Remember when everybody was saying we couldn’t fire locks bc then Malik would transfer. lol”

coach“Nice guy Matt Rhule giving Mike Locksley 30 additional seconds as head coach”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: half, now, refs, call.

What it cost

Nebraska’s chance to make the playoff rose from 18% to 20%.

Make the playoff

Maryland · lost0% → 0%
Nebraska · won18% → ▲20%18%▲ 20%

Win the conference

Maryland · lost0% → 0%
Nebraska · won7% → ▲8%7%▲ 8%

Before the game (October 2, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Nebraska 48, Maryland 23

Nebraska covered −15.5 by 9.5. The total, 71, went over 52.5.

MarylandNebraskaTotal yardsMaryland 395Nebraska 447395447Passing yardsMaryland 254Nebraska 238254238Rushing yardsMaryland 141Nebraska 209141209First downsMaryland 19Nebraska 281928TurnoversMaryland 2Nebraska 121Time of possessionMaryland 25:36Nebraska 34:2425:3634:24
Team totalsMarylandNebraska
Total yards395447
Passing23 of 44, 254 yds26 of 39, 238 yds
Rushing25 for 141 yds36 for 209 yds
First downs1928
Third down1 of 146 of 13
Fourth down1 of 20 of 1
Turnovers21
Penalties12 for 115 yds16 for 132 yds
Time of possession25:3634:24

Maryland leaders

  • Passing Malik Washington 23 of 44, 254 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing DeJuan Williams 10 for 78 yds, 1 TD; Iverson Howard 3 for 34 yds
  • Receiving Chris Durr Jr. 7 for 149 yds, 1 TD; Kaleb Webb 4 for 53 yds

Nebraska leaders

  • Passing Anthony Colandrea 26 of 39, 238 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Anthony Colandrea 10 for 108 yds; Isaiah Mozee 8 for 46 yds
  • Receiving Kwazi Gilmer 11 for 147 yds, 2 TD; Isaiah Mozee 4 for 30 yds

No rain through the game

76° at kickoff · no rain recorded

October game-day temperatures at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Nebraska favoredMaryland favored100%Win chanceNebraskaRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Nebraska favoredMaryland favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Second quarter, 2:41 left4:44 p.m.
Maryland 23, Nebraska 21 · Nebraska 83% to win
no rain · 78°
Washington intercepted by McDougle at the Nebraska 19 and returned for a TD, cuts it to 23-21

Jump to

Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Lincoln airport, 3.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last 4 games

Maryland · 2-2

Rated 76th in our preseason ratings, 76th now.

2-2 in its last 4 — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Last 4 games

Nebraska · 4-0

Rated 40th in our preseason ratings, 28th now, up 12 spots.

4 straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

Week by week

Nebraska

Wk 1: W 49-21 vs Ohio▲28OhioWk 2: W 56-7 vs Bowling Green▲49Bowling Gre…Wk 3: W 34-7 vs North Dakota▲27North DakotaWk 4: W 31-13 at Michigan State▲18Michigan St.
  • Wk 1Wvs Ohio49-21
  • Wk 2Wvs Bowling Green56-7
  • Wk 3Wvs North Dakota34-7
  • Wk 4Wat Michigan State31-13

Maryland

Wk 1: W 62-0 vs Hampton▲62HamptonWk 2: W 38-14 at UConn▲24UConnWk 3: L 26-35 vs Virginia Tech▼9Virginia Te…Wk 4: L 3-54 vs UCLA▼51UCLA
  • Wk 1Wvs Hampton62-0
  • Wk 2Wat UConn38-14
  • Wk 3Lvs Virginia Tech26-35
  • Wk 4Lvs UCLA3-54

Power rating by week

Nebraska is rated 6.2 points ahead as of week 4. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

73-2Wk 0Wk 2Wk 4NebraskaMaryland

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Maryland’s passing EPA against Nebraska, 84 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Maryland’s passing EPA against Nebraska’s defense

    84 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Maryland offense, 8th percentile · Nebraska defense, 92nd

  2. Maryland’s EPA/play against Nebraska’s defense

    60 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Maryland offense, 18th percentile · Nebraska defense, 78th

  3. Nebraska’s explosive plays against Maryland’s defense

    30 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Nebraska offense, 93rd percentile · Maryland defense, 63rd

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

MarylandNebraska
EPA/play, offense
Maryland · 18Nebraska · 83
EPA/play, defense
Maryland · 38Nebraska · 78
Success rate, offense
Maryland · 20Nebraska · 63
Success rate, defense
Maryland · 40Nebraska · 86
Explosive-play rate, offense
Maryland · 55Nebraska · 93
Explosive-play rate, defense
Maryland · 63Nebraska · 22
Rush EPA, offense
Maryland · 61Nebraska · 95
Rush EPA, defense
Maryland · 39Nebraska · 48
Pass EPA, offense
Maryland · 8Nebraska · 65
Pass EPA, defense
Maryland · 43Nebraska · 92

The series

Nebraska leads the series 3-1

4 meetings since 2016 · Nebraska won the last meeting

  • 2025Nebraska 34-31Nebraska won 34-31 at Maryland. Chance to win started at 63%, low 16%, high 98%.
  • 2023Maryland 13-10Nebraska lost 10-13 vs Maryland. Chance to win started at 42%, low under 1%, high 67%.
  • 2019Nebraska 54-7Nebraska won 54-7 at Maryland. Chance to win started at 65%, low 62%, high better than 99%.
  • 2016Nebraska 28-7

Each line is Nebraska’s chance to win through that meeting. Nebraska is 1-1 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Nebraska fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (67th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

50-50Model 88% · Line 8…Nebraska fans · 67thMaryland fans · 1stMarylandNebraska

Nebraska favored by 15.5 · Total 52.5

How games like this usually go

Nebraska by 15.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward Nebraska.

opened −12.5now −15.5

The total fell 1 point.

opened 53.5now 52.5

Spread: −12.5 → −15.5 · Total: 53.5 → 52.5

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 77° at kickoff.

Maryland at Nebraska · Saturday, Oct. 3, 2026 · Memorial Stadium, Lincoln

  • 77°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 91weather score, Comfortable
  • Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 5 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's five kickoff times. At Memorial Stadium that day, a 6 pm or 6:45 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 91 at 2:30 pm.

The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.

  • 11 am: 96, Comfortable
  • 2:30 pm: 91, Comfortable (this game)
  • 3:15 pm: 93, Comfortable
  • 6 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 6:45 pm: 100, Ideal

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Nebraska is worth +5.2 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 69th percentile.

47% at home, 28% on the road against FBS opponents (24-27 home, 11-29 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.2 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±5.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 1,053 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Full Big Ten standings