MD Maryland 2-3 23 NEB Nebraska 5-0 48 Final Nebraska beat Maryland 48-23. Share this game
We had Nebraska favored. It won.
Top comment in the game thread
You reading this have been assessed a 15 yard penalty
Q2 0:25 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 3 How it swung Watch the plays Drives What it cost Box score Weather Before kickoff How it swung The turning point: Williams 3-yd TD run, Maryland leads 23-14 (Q2, 8:54). Nebraska went from 81% to 59% to win. Fans right then: “I hate the term defenseless player man. It’s football. That being said that was a penalty” r/CFB game thread
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Nebraska an 88% chance, and the closing betting line (Nebraska was a 15.5-point favorite) put it at 89%.
Favored the whole way: Nebraska never fell below 50%.
Maryland never had better than a 50% chance.
Pick-six Nebraska · Q2 2:4134 unanswered Nebraska · Q2 0:05Final Nebraska 48-23 Maryland Nebraska won Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. Final Maryland 23-48 Nebraska Maryland lost Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 90% at half Nebraska Won 48-23 1 2 −22 +22 Scores 34 unanswered Nebraska Maryland Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 3 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 2 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 5 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 11 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 11 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 14 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 14 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 21 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 17 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 13 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 6 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 17 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 11 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 3 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 5 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 14 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 16 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 6 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 5 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 8 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 5 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 11 comments a minute Maryland fans: 5 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 90% at half Nebraska Won 48-23 1 2 Scores 34 unanswered Nebraska Maryland Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 3 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 2 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 5 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 11 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 11 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 14 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 14 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 21 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 17 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 13 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 6 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 17 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 11 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 3 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 5 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 14 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 16 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 6 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 5 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 8 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 5 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 11 comments a minute Maryland fans: 5 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 10% at half Nebraska Lowest 0% Lost 23-48 1 2 +22 −22 Scores 34 unanswered Maryland Nebraska Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 5 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 8 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 5 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 11 comments a minute Maryland fans: 5 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 3 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 2 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 5 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 11 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 11 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 14 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 14 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 21 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 17 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 13 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 6 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 17 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 11 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 3 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 5 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 14 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 16 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 6 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 10% at half Nebraska Lowest 0% Lost 23-48 1 2 Scores 34 unanswered Maryland Nebraska Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 5 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 8 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 5 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 11 comments a minute Maryland fans: 5 comments a minute Maryland fans: 7 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 6 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 3 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 2 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 5 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 11 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 11 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 14 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 14 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 21 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 17 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 13 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 6 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 17 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 4 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 11 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 3 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 7 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 12 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 5 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 10 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 9 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 14 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 16 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 6 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute Nebraska fans: 8 comments a minute
See it from Maryland’s side The two plays that swung it
1 Q2 8:54 Williams 3-yd TD run, Maryland leads 23-14 Nebraska 81% → 59% (−22) 2 Q2 2:41 Interception Washington intercepted by McDougle at the Nebraska 19 and returned for a TD, cuts it to 23-21Nebraska 61% → 83% (+22) The two plays that swung it
1 Q2 8:54 Williams 3-yd TD run, Maryland leads 23-14 Maryland 19% → 41% (+22) 2 Q2 2:41 Interception Washington intercepted by McDougle at the Nebraska 19 and returned for a TD, cuts it to 23-21Maryland 39% → 17% (−22) What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
Q2 7:00 Nebraska commits kick catch interference on a punt, sparking outrage from fans I hate the term defenseless player man. It’s football. That being said that was a penalty r/CFB game thread 8/71 on penalties in one half lmao r/CFB game thread Q2 4:05 McDougle intercepts Washington for a touchdown as fans celebrate the defensive score Washington wants locksely fired. He’s committed r/CFB game thread If it wasnt for defensive TD's this game would be out of hand. r/CFB game thread Q2 0:25 Fans react to excessive penalties as Nebraska scores to take halftime lead Quoted at the top of the page. This has to be a combined record for penalties in a half. This is ridiculous. r/CFB game thread Nebraska’s chance to win after every play. How to read this chart Starts from the pregame line (Nebraska -15.5), at 90% for Nebraska (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Nebraska or Maryland flair (1,691 and 666); both sides share one scale, regulation only. Watch the plays The bar and the arrow show Nebraska’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
Play all in order Q1, 9:11 Nelson 19-yd TD run Nebraska goes ahead 7-3 Q1, 9:11 · Nebraska 7, Maryland 3 ▲7% Nebraska’s chance to win, 84% to 91% ▲7% Nebraska’s chance to win, 84% to 91% ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football Q1, 8:33 Washington 65-yd TD pass to Durr Maryland goes ahead 10-7 Q1, 8:33 · Nebraska 7, Maryland 10 ▼7% Nebraska’s chance to win, 90% to 83% ▼7% Nebraska’s chance to win, 90% to 83% ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football Q2, 12:37 Nelson 5-yd TD run cuts it to 16-14 Q2, 12:37 · Nebraska 14, Maryland 16 ▲17% Nebraska’s chance to win, 64% to 81% ▲17% Nebraska’s chance to win, 64% to 81% ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football Q2, 2:41 Washington intercepted by McDougle at the Nebraska 19 and returned for a TD cuts it to 23-21 Q2, 2:41 · Nebraska 21, Maryland 23 ▲22% Nebraska’s chance to win, 61% to 83% ▲22% Nebraska’s chance to win, 61% to 83% ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football Q4, 14:58 Genatone 1-yd TD run Nebraska leads 35-23 Q4, 14:58 · Nebraska 35, Maryland 23 ▲5% Nebraska’s chance to win, 91% to 96% ▲5% Nebraska’s chance to win, 91% to 96% ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football Q4, 10:32 Colandrea 5-yd TD pass to Gilmer Nebraska leads 42-23 Q4, 10:32 · Nebraska 42, Maryland 23 ▲2% Nebraska’s chance to win, 98% to 100% ▲2% Nebraska’s chance to win, 98% to 100% ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football Q4, 6:35 Colandrea 30-yd TD pass to Gilmer Nebraska leads 48-23 Q4, 6:35 · Nebraska 48, Maryland 23 48-23 score after the play 48-23 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football Q4, 4:32 Washington sacked for a 10-yd loss Q4, 4:32 · Nebraska 48, Maryland 23 48-23 score after the play 48-23 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football
Every drive Nebraska scored on 6 of its 14 drives; Maryland on 5 of its 16.
Nebraska’s drives are teal, Maryland’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
own goal goal line Q1 Maryland: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 8 Field goal Nebraska: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67 Punt Maryland: Punt, from 86 yards out to 68 Punt Nebraska: Touchdown, from 19 yards out to 0 Touchdown Maryland: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Nebraska: Punt, from 76 yards out to 85 Punt Maryland: Field goal, from 61 yards out to 24 Field goal Nebraska: Interception, from 80 yards out to 78 Interception Maryland: Field goal, from 19 yards out to 14 Field goal Nebraska: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0 Touchdown Q2 Maryland: Interception, from 53 yards out to 53 Interception Nebraska: Turned over on downs, from 43 yards out to 26 Downs Maryland: Touchdown, from 59 yards out to 0 Touchdown Nebraska: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72 Punt Maryland: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 61 yards out to 25 Interception TD Maryland: Punt, from 65 yards out to 61 Punt Nebraska: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0 Touchdown Maryland: End of half, from 75 yards out to 71 End of half Q3 Nebraska: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 34 Missed FG Maryland: Punt, from 66 yards out to 50 Punt Nebraska: Punt, from 67 yards out to 52 Punt Maryland: Punt, from 90 yards out to 87 Punt Nebraska: Touchdown, from 58 yards out to 0 Touchdown Q4 Maryland: Punt, from 76 yards out to 60 Punt Nebraska: Touchdown, from 85 yards out to 0 Touchdown Maryland: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 57 Downs Nebraska: Touchdown, from 43 yards out to 0 Touchdown Maryland: Punt, from 75 yards out to 61 Punt Nebraska: Punt, from 89 yards out to 85 Punt Maryland: End of game, from 59 yards out to 26 End of game “If it wasnt for defensive TD's this game would be out of hand.” A Nebraska fan How fans reacted Quiet
Fans were loudest in the second quarter.
Jump to the loudest stretch
The jump was quiet; the crowd was busy.
First Second Third Fourth Nebraska fans Maryland fans usual Two crowds, one game The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.
Maryland fans
locksley “Thank you Nebraska for being one of our many stops on the Mike *Locksley* humiliation tour. You did not disappoint”
fired “Nobody is a chiller game thread opponent as a fan base that 100% wants the coach fired”
fire “Remember when everybody was saying we couldn’t fire locks bc then Malik would transfer. lol”
coach “Nice guy Matt Rhule giving Mike Locksley 30 additional seconds as head coach”
Both sets of fans kept coming back to: half, now, refs, call.
What it cost Nebraska’s chance to make the playoff rose from 18% to 20%.
Make the playoff
Maryland · lost 0% → 0%
Nebraska · won 18% → ▲ 20% 18% ▲ 20%
Win the conference
Maryland · lost 0% → 0%
Nebraska · won 7% → ▲ 8% 7% ▲ 8%
Before the game (October 2, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score Nebraska 48, Maryland 23
Nebraska covered −15.5 by 9.5. The total, 71, went over 52.5.
Maryland Nebraska Total yards Maryland 395 Nebraska 447 395 447 Passing yards Maryland 254 Nebraska 238 254 238 Rushing yards Maryland 141 Nebraska 209 141 209 First downs Maryland 19 Nebraska 28 19 28 Turnovers Maryland 2 Nebraska 1 2 1 Time of possession Maryland 25:36 Nebraska 34:24 25:36 34:24 Team totals Maryland Nebraska Total yards 395 447 Passing 23 of 44, 254 yds 26 of 39, 238 yds Rushing 25 for 141 yds 36 for 209 yds First downs 19 28 Third down 1 of 14 6 of 13 Fourth down 1 of 2 0 of 1 Turnovers 2 1 Penalties 12 for 115 yds 16 for 132 yds Time of possession 25:36 34:24
Maryland leaders Passing Malik Washington 23 of 44, 254 yds, 1 TD, 2 INTRushing DeJuan Williams 10 for 78 yds, 1 TD; Iverson Howard 3 for 34 ydsReceiving Chris Durr Jr. 7 for 149 yds, 1 TD; Kaleb Webb 4 for 53 ydsNebraska leaders Passing Anthony Colandrea 26 of 39, 238 yds, 3 TD, 1 INTRushing Anthony Colandrea 10 for 108 yds; Isaiah Mozee 8 for 46 ydsReceiving Kwazi Gilmer 11 for 147 yds, 2 TD; Isaiah Mozee 4 for 30 ydsNo rain through the game 76° at kickoff · no rain recorded
October game-day temperatures at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Nebraska favored Maryland favored 100% Win chance Nebraska Rain inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind mph, average and gusts 20 mph 40 mph Hourly wind only at this airport Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Nebraska favored Maryland favored Rain · inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind · miles per hour 20 40 Hourly wind only at this airport Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Second quarter, 2:41 left4:44 p.m.
Maryland 23, Nebraska 21 · Nebraska 83% to win
no rain · 78°
Washington intercepted by McDougle at the Nebraska 19 and returned for a TD, cuts it to 23-21
Previous play Next play
Jump to Biggest swing: 22 points of win chance · second Where this weather comes from Measured at Lincoln airport, 3.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.
Before kickoff Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Matchups Biggest mismatch: Maryland’s passing EPA against Nebraska, 84 points Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Maryland’s passing EPA against Nebraska’s defense
84 points weaker stronger 50th Maryland offense, 8th percentile · Nebraska defense, 92nd
Maryland’s EPA/play against Nebraska’s defense
60 points weaker stronger 50th Maryland offense, 18th percentile · Nebraska defense, 78th
Nebraska’s explosive plays against Maryland’s defense
30 points weaker stronger 50th Nebraska offense, 93rd percentile · Maryland defense, 63rd
Season profile, all the rows Season profile Maryland Nebraska
EPA/play, offense
Maryland · 18 Nebraska · 83 EPA/play, defense
Maryland · 38 Nebraska · 78 Success rate, offense
Maryland · 20 Nebraska · 63 Success rate, defense
Maryland · 40 Nebraska · 86 Explosive-play rate, offense
Maryland · 55 Nebraska · 93 Explosive-play rate, defense
Maryland · 63 Nebraska · 22 Rush EPA, offense
Maryland · 61 Nebraska · 95 Rush EPA, defense
Maryland · 39 Nebraska · 48 Pass EPA, offense
Maryland · 8 Nebraska · 65 Pass EPA, defense
Maryland · 43 Nebraska · 92 The series Nebraska leads the series 3-1
4 meetings since 2016 · Nebraska won the last meeting
2025 Nebraska 34-31 Nebraska won 34-31 at Maryland. Chance to win started at 63%, low 16%, high 98%. 2023 Maryland 13-10 Nebraska lost 10-13 vs Maryland. Chance to win started at 42%, low under 1%, high 67%. 2019 Nebraska 54-7 Nebraska won 54-7 at Maryland. Chance to win started at 65%, low 62%, high better than 99%. 2016 Nebraska 28-7 Each line is Nebraska’s chance to win through that meeting. Nebraska is 1-1 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Line, fans and home field The betting line, and the fans Nebraska fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (67th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.
50-50 Model 88% · Line 8… Nebraska fans · 67th Maryland fans · 1st Maryland Nebraska Nebraska favored by 15.5 · Total 52.5
How games like this usually go Nebraska by 15.5, and it went to form 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Half of games 8 in 10 games This game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.
The market The spread moved 3 points toward Nebraska.
opened −12.5 now −15.5 The total fell 1 point.
opened 53.5 now 52.5 Spread: −12.5 → −15.5 · Total: 53.5 → 52.5
The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff Warm and dry. Feels like 77° at kickoff.
Maryland at Nebraska · Saturday, Oct. 3, 2026 · Memorial Stadium, Lincoln
77°feels like at kickoff Dry no rain at kickoff 91weather score, Comfortable Tied for the roughest of the day's 5 kickoff times At kickoff, Oct. 3, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Kickoff times that Saturday Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's five kickoff times. At Memorial Stadium that day, a 6 pm or 6:45 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 91 at 2:30 pm.
The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.
Rough
Mixed
Comfortable
Ideal (100) 96 Comfortable 91 Comfortable 93 Comfortable 100 Ideal 100 Ideal
11 am 2:30 pm 3:15 pm 6 pm 6:45 pm
11 am: 96, Comfortable 2:30 pm: 91, Comfortable (this game) 3:15 pm: 93, Comfortable 6 pm: 100, Ideal 6:45 pm: 100, Ideal Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Oct. 3, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field Nebraska is worth +5.2 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 69th percentile.
47% at home, 28% on the road against FBS opponents (24-27 home, 11-29 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why ); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.2 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±5.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 1,053 miles to get here.
Last meeting in our History pages