CFB Zeitgeist
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

UC Davis

9-4 2025 final

UC Davis is the Big Sky Aggies that own the 70-year-old Causeway Classic with Sacramento State — one of the oldest continuous rivalries in FCS, still playing annually despite Sacramento's move to FCS independence.

The Aggies hold the line.

Record
9-4
win% .692
FCS Top 25
Conf Standing
Playoff Path
Season closed
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-loss — reckoning
The Long Wait·Offseason

UC Davis is the Big Sky Aggies that own the 70-year-old Causeway Classic with Sacramento State — one of the oldest continuous rivalries in FCS, still playing annually despite Sacramento's move to FCS independence.

Title DroughtSince 2018 · 7 yrs

UC Davis went 9–4 (6–2 Big Sky) in 2025 under third-year coach Tim Plough. The Aggies were a Big Sky contender (won 6 conference games) and earned an 8-seed in the FCS playoffs. UC Davis beat Rhode Island in the second round befor…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

The Pulse on UC Davis

Quiet · dead period heritage · signal ramps back in camp
The Aggies hold the line.

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go Aggies." — UC Davis fanbase · recurring line
3 mentions · awaiting signal

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · UC Davis

Winning record

The baseline expectation.

Conference title

The annual recruiting proof point.

Playoff bid (24-team bracket)

Conference qualifier or at-large.

Championship gameLocked

Championship weekend. Top-4 in the country.

UC Davis · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor7-5Competitive but likely outside the at-large field.
base9-3Conference title contender. Playoff bid realistic.
ceiling12-0Conference title + deep playoff run.

Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.

Act II

Who We Are

FCS Program Prestige · UC Davis

Mid-Major Contender

FCS Playoff Contender — consistent bracket participant, regional force.

T1Regional
T2Mid-Major
T3Power
T4National
T5Blue Blood
T6Dynasty
T7All-Time

Fanbase Health Index · UC Davis · medium confidence

Growing (54)

DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 9-4 (69% win rate)68
Volume — 3 effective signal-N40

Home-Field Advantage · UC Davis · 2018-present

Strong

72% home win rate vs 62% on the road. margin runs +13.9 better at home.

Home21-8Away20-12
Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Mixed

Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.

Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 7-3

Big Sky Standing · 2025

3rd in the Big Sky

UC Davis is 3rd in the Big Sky at 9-4. 2 teams above — that's the direct path to the title game.

#ProgramRecord
1Montana State14-2
2Montana13-2
3UC Davis9-4
4Northern Arizona7-5
5Idaho State6-6
6Eastern Washington5-7
7Cal Poly4-8
8Idaho4-8
9Northern Colorado4-8
10Weber State4-8
11Portland State1-11

Schedule Strength · UC Davis · 2025

Balanced

Average opponent win rate 52% across 13 finalized games. 1 FBS top-25 opponent played (Washington).

Opp Win %0.524
Top-251
Top-100

Moment of the Year · UC Davis · 2025

Won 50-34 vs Southern Utah

Week 4 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.

Decisive Margin

From the Archive — UC Davis

2021: Lost 20-38 vs Eastern Washington

In 2021, the program lost 20-38 vs Eastern Washington — a one to file away home result, 18 points either way.

Go Aggies.