No. 17 SMU routs UC Davis 56-10

Team pages: UC Davis · SMU

UC Davis2-110
No. 17 SMU2-056Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium, University Park, Texas · Crowd 29,054ACC Extra

No. 17 SMU routed UC Davis 56-10.

We had SMU favored. It won.

Next: UC Davis beat Stetson 45-7, Sat Sep 19

Next: SMU lost to Louisville 41-31, Sat Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave SMU a 93% chance, and the closing betting line (SMU was a 32.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

SMU led by 14 after the first quarter and by 42 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+49+46
Blocked field goalQ4 6:38
FinalSMU 56-10 UC DavisSMU wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4SMUWon56-10ScoresBlocked field goal
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4SMUWon56-10ScoresBlocked field goal
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4SMULowest 0%Lost10-56ScoresBlocked field goal
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4SMULowest 0%Lost10-56ScoresBlocked field goal

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

SMU’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (SMU -32.5), at 98% for SMU (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show SMU’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 11:21Cleeland sacked for a 4-yd lossQ1, 11:21 · SMU 0, UC Davis 00-0score after the play0-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q1, 6:40Raphael 5-yd TD runSMU goes ahead 7-0Q1, 6:40 · SMU 7, UC Davis 07-0score after the play7-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q1, 1:18Jennings 52-yd TD pass to McFallSMU leads 14-0Q1, 1:18 · SMU 14, UC Davis 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 12:33K.Jennings pass complete short right to T.Melin Öhrström for 2 yards to the end zone touchdownQ2, 12:33 · SMU 21, UC Davis 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q2, 10:28Jennings 2-yd TD pass to PittmanSMU leads 28-0Q2, 10:28 · SMU 28, UC Davis 028-0score after the play28-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q2, 2:57Jennings sacked for a 9-yd lossQ2, 2:57 · SMU 28, UC Davis 028-0score after the play28-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  7. Q2, 1:43Cleeland intercepted by Lee at the UC Davis 48returned 28 yardsQ2, 1:43 · SMU 28, UC Davis 028-0score after the play28-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  8. Q2, 0:59K.Jennings pass complete short middle to T.Melin Öhrström for 14 yards to the end zone touchdownQ2, 0:59 · SMU 35, UC Davis 035-0score after the play35-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  9. Q2, 0:24Jennings 44-yd TD pass to SmithSMU leads 42-0Q2, 0:24 · SMU 42, UC Davis 042-0score after the play42-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  10. Q3, 6:12Hawkins 8-yd TD pass to TurnerSMU leads 49-0Q3, 6:12 · SMU 49, UC Davis 049-0score after the play49-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  11. Q4, 11:18J.Kollock pass complete short left to C.Herman for 4 yards to the `end zone touchdownQ4, 11:18 · SMU 49, UC Davis 749-7score after the play49-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  12. Q4, 9:01Hawkins 3-yd TD pass to MilesSMU leads 56-7Q4, 9:01 · SMU 56, UC Davis 756-7score after the play56-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  13. Q4, 8:14Kollock 7-yd pass to StreetsfumbledQ4, 8:14 · SMU 56, UC Davis 756-7score after the play56-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  14. Q4, 0:15Cofield sacked for a 9-yd lossQ4, 0:15 · SMU 56, UC Davis 1056-10score after the play56-10score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football

Every drive

SMU scored on 8 of its 13 drives; UC Davis on 2 of its 14.

SMU’s drives are teal, UC Davis’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1UC Davis: Punt, from 60 yards out to 50PuntSMU: Touchdown, from 90 yards out to 0TouchdownUC Davis: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 25Missed FGSMU: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownUC Davis: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntQ2SMU: Touchdown, from 72 yards out to 0TouchdownUC Davis: Punt, from 75 yards out to 68PuntSMU: Touchdown, from 67 yards out to 0TouchdownUC Davis: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 30DownsSMU: Punt, from 70 yards out to 51PuntUC Davis: Interception, from 96 yards out to 96InterceptionSMU: Touchdown, from 20 yards out to 0TouchdownUC Davis: Punt, from 75 yards out to 75PuntSMU: Touchdown, from 44 yards out to 0TouchdownUC Davis: End of half, from 75 yards out to 76End of halfQ3SMU: Turned over on downs, from 57 yards out to 19DownsUC Davis: Punt, from 81 yards out to 81PuntSMU: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownUC Davis: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73PuntSMU: Punt, from 73 yards out to 68PuntUC Davis: Touchdown, from 45 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4SMU: Touchdown, from 50 yards out to 0TouchdownUC Davis: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 70FumbleSMU: Missed field goal, from 30 yards out to 26Missed FGUC Davis: Field goal, from 74 yards out to 16Field goalSMU: Punt, from 78 yards out to 70PuntUC Davis: End of game, from 68 yards out to 71End of game

Box score

SMU 56, UC Davis 10

SMU covered −32.5 by 13.5. The total, 66, went over 59.5.

UC DavisSMUTotal yardsUC Davis 233SMU 547233547Passing yardsUC Davis 171SMU 454171454Rushing yardsUC Davis 62SMU 936293First downsUC Davis 12SMU 201220TurnoversUC Davis 2SMU 020Time of possessionUC Davis 32:40SMU 27:2032:4027:20
Team totalsUC DavisSMU
Total yards233547
Passing19 of 36, 171 yds27 of 32, 454 yds
Rushing24 for 62 yds24 for 93 yds
First downs1220
Third down2 of 135 of 10
Fourth down2 of 30 of 1
Turnovers20
Penalties6 for 45 yds6 for 55 yds
Time of possession32:4027:20

UC Davis leaders

  • Passing Jackson Kollock 8 of 10, 88 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Coby Herman 2 for 19 yds; Matteo Perez 3 for 19 yds
  • Receiving Samuel Gbatu Jr. 5 for 60 yds; Jackson Fay 1 for 47 yds

SMU leaders

  • Passing Kevin Jennings 14 of 16, 337 yds, 5 TD
  • Rushing Derrick McFall 6 for 46 yds; Dramekco Green 4 for 19 yds
  • Receiving Yamir Knight 3 for 62 yds; Derrick McFall 2 for 57 yds, 1 TD

Feels like 104° to 107° through the game

100° at kickoff · feels like 104° to 107° · no rain recorded · wind 9 mph from the south-southeast, mostly along the field, gusts to 22

A feels-like 107° is hotter than the peak in 99% of games since 2018.

Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 71°This game: 107°0120°
Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 71°This game: 107°0120°

Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.

Warmer than every one of the 67 other games played at Gerald J. Ford Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 84°, with about 7 in 10 games between 77° and 92°.

September game-day temperatures at Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4SMU favoredUC Davis favored100%Win chanceSMURaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphTemperature and feels likedegrees F95°115°feels like 104°air 100°
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4SMU favoredUC Davis favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Temperature and feels like · degrees F95°115°feels like 104°air 100°

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:46 left3:05 p.m.
UC Davis 0, SMU 0 · SMU 98% to win
no rain · wind 10 mph from the southeast, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 17 · 100°, feels like 107°
Cleeland 3-yd pass to Fisher
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Dallas/love Field, 4.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

UC Davis · 2-0

Rated 116th in our preseason ratings, 115th now.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 49-17 @ San Diego #151 of 668

won by 32 as a 14.5-point favorite

UC Davis won 49-17 at San Diego. Chance to win started at 81%, low 49%, high better than 99%.

W 31-24 @ Portland State #242 of 668

won by 7 as a 25.5-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

SMU · 9-4

Rated 15th in our preseason ratings, 15th now.

2-1 in its last three, 2 over ranked or top-40 competition.

W 24-19 vs ArizonaTop 25 #43 of 667

won by 5 as a 2.5-point favorite

SMU won 24-19 vs Arizona. Chance to win started at 63%, low 63%, high better than 99%.

L 35-38 @ California #91 of 667

lost by 3 as a 13.5-point favorite

SMU lost 35-38 at California. Chance to win started at 77%, low 1%, high 84%.

W 38-6 vs LouisvilleTop 25 #44 of 667

won by 32 as a 3.5-point favorite

SMU won 38-6 vs Louisville. Chance to win started at 68%, low 68%, high better than 99%.

W 45-13 @ Boston College #132 of 667

won by 32 as a 10.5-point favorite

SMU won 45-13 at Boston College. Chance to win started at 69%, low 64%, high better than 99%.

W 26-20 vs MiamiTop 25 #8 of 667

won by 6 as a 6.5-point underdog

SMU won 26-20 vs Miami. Chance to win started at 38%, low 10%, high better than 99%.

L 12-13 @ Wake Forest #47 of 667

lost by 1 as a 5.5-point favorite

SMU lost 12-13 at Wake Forest. Chance to win started at 57%, low under 1%, high 91%.

W 35-24 @ ClemsonTop 25 #24 of 667

won by 11 as a 5.5-point underdog

SMU won 35-24 at Clemson. Chance to win started at 32%, low 25%, high better than 99%.

W 34-10 vs Stanford #108 of 667

won by 24 as a 19.5-point favorite

SMU won 34-10 vs Stanford. Chance to win started at 92%, low 89%, high better than 99%.

W 31-18 vs Syracuse #64 of 667

won by 13 as a 17.5-point favorite

SMU won 31-18 vs Syracuse. Chance to win started at 91%, low 83%, high better than 99%.

L 24-35 @ TCUTop 25 #25 of 667

lost by 11 as a 6.5-point underdog

SMU lost 24-35 at TCU. Chance to win started at 26%, low under 1%, high 49%.

W 28-10 @ Missouri State #127 of 667

won by 18 as a 28.5-point favorite

SMU won 28-10 at Missouri State. Chance to win started at 96%, low 70%, high better than 99%.

L 45-48 vs Baylor #25 of 667

lost by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 42-13 vs East Texas A&M #204 of 667

won by 29 as a 50.5-point favorite

SMU won 42-13 vs East Texas A&M. Never in doubt.

Week by week

SMU

  • Wk 1Wat Florida State27-24

UC Davis

Wk 1: W 31-24 at Portland State▲7Portland StateWk 1: W 49-17 at San Diego▲32San Diego
  • Wk 1Wat Portland State31-24
  • Wk 1Wat San Diego49-17

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on SMU’s chances here.

50-50Model 93% · Line 100%UC DavisSMU

SMU favored by 32.5 · Total 59.5

How games like this usually go

SMU by 32.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 8 points toward SMU.

opened −24.5now −32.5

The total rose 1 point.

opened 58.5now 59.5

Spread: −24.5 → −32.5 · Total: 58.5 → 59.5

The books’ cut: 3.4%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 106° at kickoff.

UC Davis at SMU · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium, University Park

  • 106°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 35weather score, Harsh
  • Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 5 kickoff times

At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's five kickoff times. At Gerald J. Ford Stadium that day, a 6:45 pm kickoff would have scored 54, against 35 at 2:30 pm.

The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.

  • 11 am: 41, Harsh
  • 2:30 pm: 35, Harsh (this game)
  • 3:15 pm: 36, Harsh
  • 6 pm: 47, Harsh
  • 6:45 pm: 54, Rough

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

SMU is worth +5.5 points (±3.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 73rd percentile.

79% at home, 58% on the road against FBS opponents (34-9 home, 30-22 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +5.7 at home vs. away over 102 games — inside the ±5.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 1,451 miles to get here.

Where next