Portland State · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Portland State · medium confidence
FCS Program Prestige · Portland State1987 Division II Playoffs
Portland State appears in the NCAA Division II playoffs, the program's era of relevance
Portland State1-11Hope-Doping·Offseason
Portland State is the urban university program that created the Dam Cup trophy (a rivalry crossing four Columbia River dams) and won back-to-back Division II playoff appearances, then became the Big Sky's perpetual losing program with the worst FCS record in the league.
Standard GapA program that once mattered in small-college football and competed for…
Portland State doesn't carry a chip — the fanbase has internalized the losses.
offseason · quiet
Approaching
23 days
until kickoff · vs UC Davis · Sat Aug 29 · 19:00 UTC
The experience
Portland State is the urban university program that created the Dam Cup trophy (a rivalry crossing four Columbia River dams) and won back-to-back Division II playoff appearances, then became the Big Sky's perpetual losing program with the worst FCS record in the league.
The Vikings sharpen their axes.
Portland State · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 0-12
Base 1-11
Ceiling 4-8
floor0-12Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
base1-11Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
ceiling4-8Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cold
One of five. The film room is busy this week.
Streak L3Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 1-9
The forecast
Opens Aug 29
vs UC Davis · at home
r/cfb this year
[Postgame Thread] BYU Defeats Portland State 69-0
[Game Thread] Portland State @ BYU (8:00 PM ET)
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
Takeaway conversion
0% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — below the ~19% league average, and due for more.
0 interceptions of 11 disrupted passes (11 deflected, 0 intercepted), 2025 only.
The Pulse on Portland State
—
The Vikings sharpen their axes.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Vikings."
— Portland State fanbase · recurring line
3 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Portland State · medium confidence
Stable (37)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 1-11 (8% win rate)35
Volume — 3 effective signal-N40
Key stats — 2025 — FBS rank
Points/game#131 / 138 · 6th pct16.2
Pts allowed/game42.7
All 17 stats
Other
First down pass rate#58 / 215 · 73rd pct#17 / 70 · 77th pct#5 / 11 · 64th pct0.50.0/gm
H1 epa per play opponent#158 / 167 · 6th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct0.50.0/gm
H1 epa per play#159 / 162 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct-0.1-0.0/gm
Red Zone & Drive Efficiency (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Red zone trips
Team20.2/gm#156 / 167 · 7th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp80.7/gm#7 / 166 · 96th pct#1 / 70 · 100th pct#3 / 11 · 82nd pct
Red zone score %
Team50.0%50.0%#157 / 167 · 7th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#8 / 11 · 36th pct
Opp100.0%100.0%#160 / 166 · 4th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#7 / 11 · 45th pct
Points / drive
Team0.10.0/gm#165 / 167 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp3.90.3/gm#161 / 166 · 4th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#8 / 11 · 36th pct
Yards / drive
Team18.71.6/gm#161 / 167 · 4th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp514.2/gm#161 / 166 · 4th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Plays / drive
Team5.00.4/gm#164 / 167 · 2nd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp7.40.6/gm#162 / 166 · 3rd pct#69 / 70 · 3rd pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Three-and-out rate
Team19.2%19.2%#136 / 167 · 19th pct#66 / 70 · 7th pct#7 / 11 · 45th pct
Opp4.5%4.5%#154 / 166 · 8th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Scheme Identity (2014– , play-by-play derived)
Standard-downs success allowed#90 / 172 · 48th pct#43 / 70 · 40th pct49.1%49.1%
Passing-downs success allowed#68 / 149 · 55th pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct30.0%30.0%
FBS rankings · 2025 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Portland State · 2025 schedule & results1-11Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 56% · 1 AP top-25 opponent on the schedule.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 23 | #189 | #124 | +16.5 | Tarleton State | L 0–42 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 1 | Aug 31 | #189 | #25 | +44.5 | @BYU | L 0–69 108 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #213 | #97 | +36.5 | @North Dakota | L 20–50 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | #217 | #96 | +37.5 | @Hawai'i | L 3–23 131 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | #223 | #150 | +21 | Northern Arizona | L 17–31 | 0-5 | 0-1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #238 | #182 | +11 | @Eastern Washington | L 27–35 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #242 | #216 | +6 | Weber State | L 27–43 | 0-7 | 0-3 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #248 | #170 | +21.5 | @Idaho | L 6–45 | 0-8 | 0-4 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #255 | #179 | +18 | @Cal Poly | W 40–35 | 1-8 | 1-4 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #247 | #137 | +20.5 | Sacramento State | L 24–52 | 1-9 | 1-4 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | #256 | #82 | +30.5 | Montana | L 17–63 | 1-10 | 1-5 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | #259 | #237 | +10.5 | @Northern Colorado | L 13–24 | 1-11 | 1-6 |
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)▼
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | @Northern Colorado | L 13–24 | — | — | — | +0.055 | 42.3% | 97.5% | |
| Nov 15 | Montana | L 17–63 | — | — | — | +0.079 | 32.3% | 150.8% | Blowout loss |
| Nov 8 | Sacramento State | L 24–52 | — | — | — | +0.024 | 38.5% | 92.6% | Blowout loss |
| Nov 1 | @Cal Poly | W 40–35 | — | — | — | +0.286 | 45.3% | 139.6% | Season-high EPA/play |
| Oct 25 | @Idaho | L 6–45 | — | — | — | -0.145 | 32.8% | 120.3% | Blowout loss |
| Oct 18 | Weber State | L 27–43 | — | — | — | +0.063 | 37.1% | 157.5% | Most explosive |
| Oct 4 | @Eastern Washington | L 27–35 | — | — | — | +0.129 | 45.2% | 103.7% | One-score loss |
| Sep 27 | Northern Arizona | L 17–31 | — | — | — | +0.039 | 34.9% | 153.6% | |
| Sep 14 | @Hawai'i | L 3–23 | 232 | 1 | 25:53 | -0.062 | 30.9% | 99.7% | |
| Sep 6 | @North Dakota | L 20–50 | — | — | — | +0.080 | 40.8% | 117.3% | Blowout loss |
| Aug 31 | @BYU | L 0–69 | 53 | 1 | 25:38 | -0.299 | 11.4% | 110.4% | Season-low EPA/play |
| Aug 23 | Tarleton State | L 0–42 | — | — | — | -0.194 | 35.2% | 88.6% | Blowout loss |
| Season average (12 games) | 142 | 1.0 | +0.005 | 35.6% | 119.3% | ||||
Schedule mirage
How much of Portland State's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.00; 17th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.00. The widest gap came in week 1: -0.25 raw vs. -0.05 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Portland State · 2018-present
Elite
45% home win rate vs 25% on the road. margin runs +19.0 better at home. Hillsboro Stadium seats 7,600, averaging 37% full (2,838 attendance, 8 games reported).
Home16-19Away11-33
Venue texture
65°F average kickoff temp; 8% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.
Based on 25 home games with weather data.
FCS Program Prestige · Portland State
Mid-Major Contender
All-Time Record
88-158-1
since 1969 · 38 seasons · .356 win rate
HOME
18-28-1
AWAY
36-102
NEUTRAL
34-28
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
2000s
2010s
2020s
Big Sky Standing · 2025
12th in the Big Sky
Portland State is 12th of 13 in the Big Sky at 1-6. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on playoff positioning and rivalry wins.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana State | 9-0 |
| 2 | UC Davis | 7-2 |
| 3 | Montana | 6-2 |
| 4 | Northern Arizona | 6-4 |
| 5 | Idaho State | 5-4 |
| 6 | Eastern Washington | 4-3 |
| 7 | Idaho | 3-5 |
| 8 | Southern Utah | 2-2 |
| 9 | Northern Colorado | 2-5 |
| 10 | Weber State | 2-5 |
| 11 | Cal Poly | 1-6 |
| 12 | Portland State | 1-6 |
| 13 | Utah Tech | 0-4 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
1988 Division II Playoffs
Portland State returns to the Div II playoffs, proving the 1987 run was not a fluke
1993
Dam Cup establishment
The rivalry with Eastern Washington formalizes around the Dam Cup trophy, a geographic identity anchor
r/cfb moments
389
[Postgame Thread] BYU Defeats Portland State 69-0
All-time top community posts · ranked by upvotes
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