San Diego State routs Portland State 53-20
Team pages: Portland State · San Diego State
San Diego State routed Portland State 53-20. Share this game
We had San Diego State favored. It won.
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave San Diego State a 98% chance, and the closing betting line (San Diego State was a 38.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
San Diego State led by 1 after the first quarter and by 23 at the half.
San Diego State · Q3 11:31San Diego State 53-20 Portland State
San Diego State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Portland State 20-53 San Diego StatePortland State lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (San Diego State -38.5), at 99% for San Diego State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.Every drive
San Diego State scored on 8 of its 13 drives; Portland State on 4 of its 14.
San Diego State’s drives are teal, Portland State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
San Diego State 53, Portland State 20
Portland State covered +38.5 by 5.5. The total, 73, went over 61.5.
| Team totals | Portland State | San Diego State |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 375 | 394 |
| Passing | 31 of 52, 280 yds | 14 of 21, 157 yds |
| Rushing | 30 for 95 yds | 42 for 237 yds |
| First downs | 21 | 22 |
| Third down | 7 of 19 | 6 of 12 |
| Fourth down | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 3 |
| Penalties | 12 for 98 yds | 6 for 55 yds |
| Time of possession | 33:25 | 26:35 |
Portland State leaders
- Passing Gabe Downing 31 of 52, 280 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
- Rushing Delon Thompson 20 for 80 yds; Derrick Blanche Jr. 1 for 8 yds
- Receiving Terence Loville 10 for 119 yds, 1 TD; Tanner Beaman 4 for 63 yds
San Diego State leaders
- Passing Jayden Denegal 12 of 17, 137 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Javion Kinnard 8 for 79 yds; Lucky Sutton 18 for 58 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving Justius Lowe 2 for 56 yds, 1 TD; Nathan Acevedo 4 for 47 yds, 1 TD
No rain and calm
79° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 6 mph from the north-northwest, gusts to 13
Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 68 other games played at Snapdragon Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window).
September game-day temperatures at Snapdragon Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at San Diego/montg airport, 2.4 miles away, and San Diego/lindberg airport, 5.0 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Portland State · 1-11
Rated 252nd in our preseason ratings, 252nd now.
Three straight losses.
L 13-24 @ Northern Colorado #235 of 667
lost by 11 as a 10.5-point underdog
L 17-63 vs Montana #70 of 667
lost by 46 as a 30.5-point underdog
L 24-52 vs Sacramento State #102 of 667
lost by 28 as a 20.5-point underdog
W 40-35 @ Cal Poly #195 of 667
won by 5 as an 18-point underdog
L 6-45 @ Idaho #154 of 667
lost by 39 as a 21.5-point underdog
L 27-43 vs Weber State #205 of 667
lost by 16 as a 6-point underdog
L 27-35 @ Eastern Washington #199 of 667
lost by 8 as an 11-point underdog
L 17-31 vs Northern Arizona #144 of 667
lost by 14 as a 21-point underdog
L 3-23 @ Hawai'i #147 of 667
lost by 20 as a 36.5-point underdog
L 20-50 @ North Dakota #143 of 667
lost by 30 as a 36.5-point underdog
L 0-69 @ BYUTop 25 #53 of 667
lost by 69 as a 44.5-point underdog
L 0-42 vs Tarleton State #104 of 667
lost by 42 as a 16.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
San Diego State · 9-4
Rated 36th in our preseason ratings.
L 47-49 vs North TexasTop 25 #45 of 667
lost by 2 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 17-23 @ New Mexico #83 of 667
lost by 6 as a 1.5-point favorite
W 25-3 vs San José State #148 of 667
won by 22 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 17-7 vs Boise StateTop 25 #54 of 667
won by 10 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 6-38 @ Hawai'i #95 of 667
lost by 32 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 24-7 vs Wyoming #112 of 667
won by 17 as a 10.5-point favorite
W 23-0 @ Fresno State #136 of 667
won by 23 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 44-10 @ Nevada #181 of 667
won by 34 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 45-24 vs Colorado State #127 of 667
won by 21 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 6-3 @ Northern Illinois #126 of 667
won by 3 as a 1.5-point favorite
W 34-0 vs California #58 of 667
won by 34 as a 13.5-point underdog
L 13-36 @ Washington State #106 of 667
lost by 23 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 42-0 vs Stony Brook #200 of 667
won by 42 as a 19.5-point favorite
The series
San Diego State leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2007 · San Diego State won the last meeting
- 2007 · neutral siteSan Diego State 52-17
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line agree on San Diego State’s chances here.
San Diego State favored by 38.5 · Total 61.5
How games like this usually go
San Diego State by 38.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The total rose 4 points.
Total: 57.5 → 61.5
Weather at kickoff
Warm and dry. Feels like 78° at kickoff.
Portland State at San Diego State · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego
- 78°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 98weather score, Comfortable
- Tiedfor the best of the day's 3 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 3 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the best of the day's three kickoff times. At Snapdragon Stadium that day, a 7:30 pm kickoff would have scored 99, against 98 at 6:30 pm.
- 12:30 pm: 69, Rough
- 6:30 pm: 98, Comfortable (this game)
- 7:30 pm: 99, Comfortable
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
San Diego State is worth +3.5 points (±3.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 37th percentile.
62% at home, 44% on the road against FBS opponents (30-18 home, 20-25 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.2 at home vs. away over 99 games — inside the ±5.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 934 miles to get here.