Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from UC Davis’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in UC Davis’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 11:21 · UC Davis tiedUC Davis is sackedUC Davis at SMU, week 2Q1, 11:21 · UC Davis 0, SMU 00-0score after the play0-0score after the playT.Cleeland sacked for loss of 4 yards to the `SMU45 (J.Wyrick)▶Watch from this play
Q1, 6:40 · SMU tiedKendrick Raphael runs 5 yards for a touchdownUC Davis at SMU, week 2Q1, 6:40 · SMU 7, UC Davis 090Capped a 90-yard drive90Capped a 90-yard driveCapped a 90-yard driveK.Raphael rush left for 5 yards gain to the UCD00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q1, 1:18 · SMU up 7Kevin Jennings finds Derrick McFall for a 52-yard touchdownUC Davis at SMU, week 2Q1, 1:18 · SMU 14, UC Davis 05252-yard touchdown pass5252-yard touchdown pass52-yard touchdown passK.Jennings pass complete short middle to D.McFall caught at UCD34, for 52 yards to the UCD00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 12:33 · SMU up 14SMU scores a touchdownUC Davis at SMU, week 2Q2, 12:33 · SMU 21, UC Davis 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playNo Huddle K.Jennings pass complete short right to T.Melin Öhrström caught at UCD00, for 2 yards to the UCD00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 10:28 · SMU up 21Kevin Jennings finds Randy Pittman for a 2-yard touchdownUC Davis at SMU, week 2Q2, 10:28 · SMU 28, UC Davis 0Kevin Jennings's third touchdown pass of the gameKevin Jennings's third touchdown pass of the gameK.Jennings pass complete short right to R.Pittman Jr. caught at UCD04, for 2 yards to the UCD00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 2:57 · SMU up 28SMU is sackedUC Davis at SMU, week 2Q2, 2:57 · SMU 28, UC Davis 028-0score after the play28-0score after the playK.Jennings sacked for loss of 9 yards to the `SMU49 (T.Slone)▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
UC Davis lost at Southern Utah after being 77% to win; the closest win was at San Diego, down to 18%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave UC Davis during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
UC Davis is worth +8.3 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 98th percentile of 133 programs
67% at home, 23% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (2-1 home, 3-10 away). Interval ±9.1.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, UC Davis has beaten the number by +6.0 more at home than away over 55 games. That is inside the ±8.3 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Aggie Stadium seats 10,743 and has averaged 104% full (11,201, 17 games reported). Visitors cover a median 605 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 43 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
How much of UC Davis’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.14; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.03. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.25 raw vs. 0.07 adjusted.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · UC Davis
Most similar programs · UC DavisReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.