Elon

4-5

Player stats

Player stats · 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Biggest plays from Elon’s games

Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Elon’s games this season, whoever made them.

  1. Q3, 5:57 · Stanford up 14Davis Warren finds Sedrick Irvin for a 27-yard touchdownElon at Stanford, week 7Q3, 5:57 · Stanford 21, Elon 0Sedrick Irvin's first career receiving touchdownSedrick Irvin's first career receiving touchdownD.Warren pass complete deep left to S.Irvin caught at ELON00, for 27 yards to the ELON00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playACC Digital Network
  2. Q2, 14:56 · Stanford tiedMicah Ford runs 1 yard for a touchdownElon at Stanford, week 7Q2, 14:56 · Stanford 7, Elon 0Stanford opened the scoringStanford opened the scoringM.Ford rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ELON00 touchdown, kick goodWatch from this playACC Digital Network
  3. Q2, 4:36 · Stanford up 7Micah Ford runs 7 yards for a touchdownElon at Stanford, week 7Q2, 4:36 · Stanford 14, Elon 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playM.Ford rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ELON00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playACC Digital Network
  4. Q3, 0:58 · Stanford up 21Micah Ford runs 5 yards for a touchdownElon at Stanford, week 7Q3, 0:58 · Stanford 28, Elon 028-0score after the play28-0score after the playM.Ford rush right for 5 yards gain to the ELON00 touchdown. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD, kick goodWatch from this playACC Digital Network
  5. Q4, 14:30 · Stanford up 28Micah Ford runs 81 yards for a touchdownElon at Stanford, week 7Q4, 14:30 · Stanford 34, Elon 08181-yard touchdown run8181-yard touchdown run81-yard touchdown runM.Ford rush left for 81 yards gain to the ELON00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick no goodWatch from this playACC Digital Network
  6. Q4, 10:34 · Elon down 34Kamerin McDowell-Moore runs 18 yards for a touchdownElon at Stanford, week 7Q4, 10:34 · Elon 7, Stanford 34Elon got on the board with 10:34 left in the fourth quarterElon got on the board with 10:34 left in the fourth quarterNo Huddle K.Mcdowell-Moore rush middle for 18 yards gain to the STAN00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playACC Digital Network

How scary each game got

Elon lost at North Carolina A&T after being 78% to win; the closest win was against Sacred Heart, down to 24%

50%W1W1L2W3W4L5L6L7L9

Tap a game for its score and win chances.

Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Elon during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.

Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Elon is worth +13.0 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile of 133 programs

67% at home, 17% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (2-1 home, 2-10 away). Interval ±17.4.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
The stadium and how the home edge is measured

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Elon has beaten the number by +1.9 more at home than away over 52 games. That is inside the ±7.7 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Rhodes Stadium seats 14,000 and has averaged 47% full (6,536, 15 games reported). Visitors cover a median 213 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 40 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home2-1Away2-10Edge+13.0 ±17.4Visitor trip213 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

How much of Elon’s number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 10 is −0.03; adjusted for opponent strength, it's −0.04. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.23 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.

0.270.10-0.08Wk 1Wk 6Wk 10Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
0.270.10-0.08Wk 1Wk 6Wk 10RawAdjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Havoc & trenchesDefense havoc rate 0.161, 50th percentile

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc rate (D) 0.161
50th
Havoc allowed (O) 0.183
9th
Front-seven havoc (D) 0.093
40th
Secondary havoc (D) 0.068
69th
Stuff rate (D) 0.247
88th
Stuff rate allowed (O) 0.228
10th
Line yards (O) 2.794
22nd
Line yards allowed (D) 2.547
86th
Standard-downs success (O) 0.419
10th
Standard-downs success allowed (D) 0.381
93rd
Passing-downs success (O) 0.267
20th
Passing-downs success allowed (D) 0.254
84th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
CFB Zeitgeist “Go Phoenix.”
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site